(CROX) Crocs - Ratings and Ratios
Clogs, Sandals, Sneakers, Slides, Boots
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.18 |
| Alpha | -43.93 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.566 |
| Beta | 1.140 |
| Beta Downside | 0.453 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 54.04% |
| Mean DD | 28.15% |
| Median DD | 31.26% |
Description: CROX Crocs January 09, 2026
Crocs, Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX) designs, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of casual footwear and accessories-including clogs, sandals, sneakers, and related items-under the Crocs and HEYDUDE brands. The company reaches consumers through a mix of wholesale partners, company-owned retail stores, e-commerce sites, third-party marketplaces, and kiosk or store-in-store concepts, operating globally from its headquarters in Broomfield, Colorado.
Recent financials (Q3 2024, subject to revision) show CROX generating roughly $2.5 billion in annual revenue with a gross margin around 45%, while direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales have accelerated at an estimated 20 % year-over-year rate-reflecting the broader footwear sector’s shift toward online channels. Inventory turnover has improved to approximately 3.2×, indicating better demand forecasting, and the company’s exposure to discretionary consumer spending makes it sensitive to macro-level factors such as household income trends and inflation-adjusted price elasticity.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of CROX’s valuation relative to peers, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (182.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 244.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.86% (prev 7.31%; Δ -0.45pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 (>3.0%) and CFO 779.8m > Net Income 182.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.55b) to EBITDA (378.2m) ratio: 4.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.40 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (55.2m) change vs 12m ago -7.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 59.08% (prev 58.15%; Δ 0.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.38% (prev 86.41%; Δ 3.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.67 (EBITDA TTM 378.2m / Interest Expense TTM 180.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.63
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 971.2m - Total Current Liabilities 691.7m) / Total Assets 4.30b |
| (B) 0.79 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.38b / Total Assets 4.30b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 301.9m / Avg Total Assets 4.51b |
| (D) 1.14 = Book Value of Equity 3.33b / Total Liabilities 2.94b |
| Total Rating: 4.63 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.74
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.37% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.59% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.11)% |
| 7. RoE 11.08% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.43% |
| 9. EPS Trend -25.64% |
What is the price of CROX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.01%, over one month by +0.41%, over three months by +7.07% and over the past year by -21.78%.
Is CROX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CROX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 89.8 | 4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 89.8 | 4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 83 | -3.5% |
CROX Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 7.9051
P/S = 1.166
P/B = 3.3115
P/EG = -31.83
Beta = 1.538
Revenue TTM = 4.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 301.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 378.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 84.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.71b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.30b USD (4.75b + Debt 1.71b - CCE 154.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.67 (Ebit TTM 301.9m / Interest Expense TTM 180.9m)
EV/FCF = 8.80x (Enterprise Value 6.30b / FCF TTM 716.2m)
FCF Yield = 11.37% (FCF TTM 716.2m / Enterprise Value 6.30b)
FCF Margin = 17.59% (FCF TTM 716.2m / Revenue TTM 4.07b)
Net Margin = 4.48% (Net Income TTM 182.5m / Revenue TTM 4.07b)
Gross Margin = 59.08% ((Revenue TTM 4.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.52% (prev 61.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.47 (Enterprise Value 6.30b / Total Assets 4.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.58% (Interest Expense 112.3m / Debt 1.71b)
Taxrate = 23.02% (43.6m / 189.4m)
NOPAT = 232.4m (EBIT 301.9m * (1 - 23.02%))
Current Ratio = 1.40 (Total Current Assets 971.2m / Total Current Liabilities 691.7m)
Debt / Equity = 1.25 (Debt 1.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.36b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.10 (Net Debt 1.55b / EBITDA 378.2m)
Debt / FCF = 2.17 (Net Debt 1.55b / FCF TTM 716.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.05% (Net Income 182.5m / Total Assets 4.30b)
RoE = 11.08% (Net Income TTM 182.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 10.18% (EBIT 301.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 1.32b))
RoIC = 7.67% (NOPAT 232.4m / Invested Capital 3.03b)
WACC = 8.78% (E(4.75b)/V(6.45b) * Re(10.12%) + D(1.71b)/V(6.45b) * Rd(6.58%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.88%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.12% ; FCFF base≈805.8m ; Y1≈910.3m ; Y5≈1.23b
Fair Price DCF = 322.8 (EV 18.31b - Net Debt 1.55b = Equity 16.76b / Shares 51.9m; r=8.78% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.10% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -25.64 | EPS CAGR: -42.31% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.43 | Revenue CAGR: 15.17% | SUE: 1.95 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.50 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=11.94 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-1.6% | Growth Revenue=-0.4%
Additional Sources for CROX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle