(CSX) CSX - NASDAQ
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Railroads | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 84.787m USD | Total Return: 48.1% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 582M
EPS Trend: -90.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -93.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind, Avwap Ph Week, Confidence
CSX Corporation operates a Class I freight railroad providing rail-based transportation services across the United States and Canada. The company runs two business segments-rail and trucking-and serves a diverse set of end markets, including chemicals, agricultural and food products, automotive, forest products, fertilizers, metals, and coal. Its network spans approximately 20,000 route miles across 26 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, supported by a fleet of roughly 3,400 locomotives and about 30 intermodal terminals.
Beyond line-haul rail services, CSX offers intermodal container and trailer transport, drayage, and rail-to-truck transfer operations that connect non-rail-served customers to its network. The North American Class I rail sector is highly capital-intensive, with high barriers to entry driven by the long-lived nature of track infrastructure, limited rights-of-way, and the large locomotive and rolling stock investments required to operate at scale. CSX is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, and was incorporated in 1978.
- Intermodal volume recovery drives revenue as supply chains normalize
- Coal carload declines persist amid energy transition and utility demand softness
- Operating ratio improvement targets margin expansion despite freight cycle headwinds
| Net Income: 3.05b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.78% < 20% (prev -2.81%; Δ 2.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 4.63b > Net Income 3.05b |
| Net Debt (18.7b) to EBITDA (6.49b): 2.88 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.86b) vs 12m ago -1.59% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.54% > 18% (prev 35.29%; Δ 2.25% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 32.37% > 50% (prev 33.06%; Δ -0.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.82b / Interest Expense TTM 848.0m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 3.11b - Total Current Liabilities 3.22b) / Total Assets 44.2b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 10.9b / Total Assets 44.2b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 4.82b / Avg Total Assets 43.7b) |
| D: 0.44 (Book Value of Equity 13.6b / Total Liabilities 30.7b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.99 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 1.39b/1.35b, Revenue 14.2b/14.3b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 35.29% / 37.54%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 14.2b / 14.3b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 3.05b - CFO 4.63b) / TA 44.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 47.44 with a total of 9,700,514 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.10%, over one month by +2.09%, over three months by +20.26% and over the past year by +48.08%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 46.00 (which is 3% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
CSX has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CSX.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46.3 | -2.5% |
P/E Trailing = 27.9939
P/E Forward = 24.1546
P/S = 5.9916
P/B = 6.2417
P/EG = 2.0799
Revenue TTM = 14.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.82b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.49b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 710.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 469.0m
Net Debt = 18.7b USD (calculated: Debt 19.8b - CCE 1.11b)
Enterprise Value = 103b USD (84.8b + Debt 19.8b - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.69 (Ebit TTM 4.82b / Interest Expense TTM 848.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.06x (Enterprise Value 103b / FCF TTM 4.13b)
FCF Yield = 3.99% (FCF TTM 4.13b / Enterprise Value 103b)
FCF Margin = 29.18% (FCF TTM 4.13b / Revenue TTM 14.2b)
Net Margin = 21.55% (Net Income TTM 3.05b / Revenue TTM 14.2b)
Gross Margin = 37.54% ((Revenue TTM 14.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.90% (prev 31.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.34 (Enterprise Value 103b / Total Assets 44.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.28% (Interest Expense 848.0m / Debt 19.8b)
Taxrate = 23.25% (924.0m / 3.97b)
NOPAT = 3.70b (EBIT 4.82b * (1 - 23.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 3.11b / Total Current Liabilities 3.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 19.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.88 (Net Debt 18.7b / EBITDA 6.49b)
Debt / FCF = 4.53 (Net Debt 18.7b / FCF TTM 4.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.98% (Net Income 3.05b / Total Assets 44.2b)
RoE = 23.52% (Net Income TTM 3.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.0b)
RoCE = 15.49% (EBIT 4.82b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.0b + L.T.Debt 18.2b))
RoIC = 9.02% (NOPAT 3.70b / Invested Capital 41.0b)
WACC = 7.45% (E(84.8b)/V(105b) * Re(8.42%) + D(19.8b)/V(105b) * Rd(4.28%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -2.45%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.56b ; Y1≈4.08b ; Y5≈6.00b
[DCF] Fair Price = 38.51 (EV 90.3b - Net Debt 18.7b = Equity 71.6b / Shares 1.86b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -90.08 | EPS CAGR: -6.15% | SUE: 2.04 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -93.91 | Revenue CAGR: -2.15% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+0.31% | Revisions=+43% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.51 | Chg30d=+0.49% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=+0.55% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+18.8% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.17 | Chg30d=+0.81% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+13.5% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%