(CSX) CSX - Ratings and Ratios
Rail Services,Intermodal Containers,Trucking Services,Bulk Commodities
CSX EPS (Earnings per Share)
CSX Revenue
Description: CSX CSX September 26, 2025
CSX Corporation (NASDAQ: CSX) is a North-American freight-transport operator that runs both rail and trucking businesses. Its rail segment moves a broad mix of commodities-including chemicals, agricultural products, minerals, automotive parts, forest goods, fertilizers, metals, coal, coke and iron ore-while the trucking segment handles intermodal containers, trailers, and drayage services, linking non-rail customers to the rail network.
The company’s network spans roughly 20,000 route-mile rail lines across 26 states east of the Mississippi, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, supported by about 3,500 owned or leased locomotives and a network of ~30 intermodal terminals that facilitate containerized consumer-goods shipments.
Key operating metrics (FY 2024) show a 5.2% year-over-year increase in carload volume to 1.68 billion units and a 3.8% rise in intermodal volume to 1.12 million TEUs, reflecting continued demand from e-commerce and manufacturing supply chains. CSX’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margin held steady at ~31%, while its debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.2× remains within the industry’s typical range, indicating manageable leverage despite capital-intensive infrastructure needs.
Macro-level drivers that materially affect CSX’s outlook include U.S. freight-transport demand tied to GDP growth (historically, rail volumes move ~0.6% for each 1% change in GDP), the ongoing shift from trucking to rail for bulk and intermodal shipments due to fuel-price volatility, and regulatory trends around emissions that favor rail’s lower carbon intensity relative to road haulage.
For investors seeking a data-driven, risk-adjusted view of CSX’s valuation relative to peers, a deeper dive on ValueRay’s platform can surface comparable metrics and scenario analyses without any sales pressure.
CSX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 65,733m |
| Sub-Industry | Rail Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | 1980-11-03 |
CSX Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 34.8% |
| Fundamental | 62.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 62.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -10.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
CSX Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.36% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 8.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.1% |
CSX Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 35.3% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 29.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 41.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 7.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.26 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.87 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -15.06 |
| Beta | 1.286 |
| Volatility | 21.23% |
| Current Volume | 13064.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 13064.7k |
| Stop Loss | 34.7 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | 0.26 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (2.88b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 899.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.03% (prev 6.87%; Δ -9.90pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.62b > Net Income 2.88b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (19.03b) to EBITDA (6.30b) ratio: 3.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.85 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.87b) change vs 12m ago -3.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.64% (prev 37.00%; Δ -0.36pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 34.73% (prev 34.09%; Δ 0.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.49 (EBITDA TTM 6.30b / Interest Expense TTM 838.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.82
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 2.97b) / Total Assets 43.28b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 10.19b / Total Assets 43.28b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 4.60b / Avg Total Assets 43.17b |
| (D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 11.83b / Total Liabilities 30.52b |
| Total Rating: 1.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.74
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.46% = 2.23 |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.19% = 6.30 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.54 = 1.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.02 = -1.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.82)% = 3.53 |
| 7. RoE 23.14% = 1.93 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 19.62% = 1.47 |
| 9. EPS Trend -66.74% = -3.34 |
What is the price of CSX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.47%, over one month by -0.50%, over three months by +1.45% and over the past year by +9.08%.
Is CSX a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CSX is around 33.75 USD . This means that CSX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.81%.
Is CSX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CSX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.2 | 9.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.2 | 9.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37.6 | 5% |
CSX Fundamental Data Overview October 30, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.9221
P/E Forward = 18.5874
P/S = 4.6544
P/B = 5.3599
P/EG = 2.5101
Beta = 1.286
Revenue TTM = 15.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.60b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.90b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 608.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 19.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 84.76b USD (65.73b + Debt 19.64b - CCE 618.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.49 (Ebit TTM 4.60b / Interest Expense TTM 838.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.46% (FCF TTM 3.78b / Enterprise Value 84.76b)
FCF Margin = 25.19% (FCF TTM 3.78b / Revenue TTM 15.00b)
Net Margin = 19.21% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Revenue TTM 15.00b)
Gross Margin = 36.64% ((Revenue TTM 15.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.95% (prev 35.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 84.76b / Total Assets 43.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 210.0m / Debt 19.64b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (204.0m / 877.0m)
NOPAT = 3.53b (EBIT 4.60b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 2.97b)
Debt / Equity = 1.54 (Debt 19.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.02 (Net Debt 19.03b / EBITDA 6.30b)
Debt / FCF = 5.04 (Net Debt 19.03b / FCF TTM 3.78b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.66% (Net Income 2.88b / Total Assets 43.28b)
RoE = 23.14% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.45b)
RoCE = 15.16% (EBIT 4.60b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.45b + L.T.Debt 17.90b))
RoIC = 11.29% (NOPAT 3.53b / Invested Capital 31.28b)
WACC = 8.47% (E(65.73b)/V(85.38b) * Re(10.75%) + D(19.64b)/V(85.38b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.77% ; FCFE base≈3.45b ; Y1≈3.24b ; Y5≈3.03b
Fair Price DCF = 19.14 (DCF Value 35.63b / Shares Outstanding 1.86b; 5y FCF grow -7.90% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -66.74 | EPS CAGR: -8.33% | SUE: -3.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 19.62 | Revenue CAGR: 6.72% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for CSX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle