(CSX) CSX - Ratings and Ratios
Rail, Intermodal, Freight, Bulk, Automotive
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.84% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -17.58% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 34.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.57 |
| Alpha | 3.65 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.24 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.571 |
| Beta | 0.679 |
| Beta Downside | 0.670 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.44% |
| Mean DD | 8.94% |
| Median DD | 9.29% |
Description: CSX CSX December 03, 2025
CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX) operates a rail-based freight network across the eastern United States and parts of Canada, complemented by a trucking segment that handles intermodal transfers, drayage, and bulk-commodity moves. Its service portfolio spans chemicals, agricultural products, minerals, automotive goods, forest products, fertilizers, metals, and energy commodities such as coal, coke, and iron ore.
The company runs roughly 20,000 route-mile rail lines in 26 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, supported by a fleet of about 3,500 locomotives and ~30 intermodal terminals. CSX’s intermodal business-moving consumer goods in containers-has been a growth engine, while its rail-to-truck transfer capability extends service to non-rail-served customers such as plastics and ethanol producers.
In FY 2024 CSX reported revenue of $13.5 billion and achieved an operating ratio of 80.5%, the best in a decade, reflecting strong volume growth (≈6% YoY in intermodal traffic) and disciplined cost control. However, coal shipments continued to decline (~15% YoY) as the power sector pivots away from fossil fuels, underscoring the importance of diversifying into higher-margin commodities and e-commerce-driven intermodal volumes. Capital spending remained robust at $2.3 billion, aimed at network upgrades and capacity expansion, which aligns with broader infrastructure investment trends in the U.S. rail sector.
For a deeper, data-driven view of CSX’s valuation dynamics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material risk-adjusted opportunities.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (2.88b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 899.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.83pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.03% (prev 6.87%; Δ -9.90pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.62b > Net Income 2.88b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (19.03b) to EBITDA (6.30b) ratio: 3.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.85 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.87b) change vs 12m ago -3.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.64% (prev 37.00%; Δ -0.36pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 34.73% (prev 34.09%; Δ 0.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.49 (EBITDA TTM 6.30b / Interest Expense TTM 838.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.82
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 2.97b) / Total Assets 43.28b |
| (B) 0.24 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 10.19b / Total Assets 43.28b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 4.60b / Avg Total Assets 43.17b |
| (D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 11.83b / Total Liabilities 30.52b |
| Total Rating: 1.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.13
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 25.19% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.54 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.02 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.43)% |
| 7. RoE 23.14% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 24.97% |
| 9. EPS Trend -45.59% |
What is the price of CSX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.46%, over one month by +5.78%, over three months by +9.28% and over the past year by +14.91%.
Is CSX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CSX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.6 | 7.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.6 | 7.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.9 | 5.8% |
CSX Fundamental Data Overview December 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.8831
P/E Forward = 19.2678
P/S = 4.8551
P/B = 5.3705
P/EG = 2.6379
Beta = 1.299
Revenue TTM = 15.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.60b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 608.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 19.03b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 87.59b USD (68.57b + Debt 19.64b - CCE 618.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.49 (Ebit TTM 4.60b / Interest Expense TTM 838.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.31% (FCF TTM 3.78b / Enterprise Value 87.59b)
FCF Margin = 25.19% (FCF TTM 3.78b / Revenue TTM 15.00b)
Net Margin = 19.21% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Revenue TTM 15.00b)
Gross Margin = 36.64% ((Revenue TTM 15.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.95% (prev 35.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.02 (Enterprise Value 87.59b / Total Assets 43.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 210.0m / Debt 19.64b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (204.0m / 877.0m)
NOPAT = 3.53b (EBIT 4.60b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 2.97b)
Debt / Equity = 1.54 (Debt 19.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.02 (Net Debt 19.03b / EBITDA 6.30b)
Debt / FCF = 5.04 (Net Debt 19.03b / FCF TTM 3.78b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.66% (Net Income 2.88b / Total Assets 43.28b)
RoE = 23.14% (Net Income TTM 2.88b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.45b)
RoCE = 14.84% (EBIT 4.60b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.45b + L.T.Debt 18.55b))
RoIC = 11.23% (NOPAT 3.53b / Invested Capital 31.44b)
WACC = 6.81% (E(68.57b)/V(88.21b) * Re(8.52%) + D(19.64b)/V(88.21b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.55% ; FCFE base≈3.45b ; Y1≈3.24b ; Y5≈3.03b
Fair Price DCF = 26.68 (DCF Value 49.69b / Shares Outstanding 1.86b; 5y FCF grow -7.90% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -45.59 | EPS CAGR: -3.32% | SUE: -3.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 24.97 | Revenue CAGR: 7.28% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+18.2% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
Additional Sources for CSX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle