(CTRN) Citi Trends - Ratings and Ratios
Fashion Apparel, Accessories, Home Goods, Footwear, Kids Wear
CTRN EPS (Earnings per Share)
CTRN Revenue
Description: CTRN Citi Trends July 12, 2025
Citi Trends, Inc. is a value retailer specializing in fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods, catering primarily to African American and multicultural families in the United States. The companys product range includes a wide variety of apparel for men, women, and children, as well as accessories, beauty products, and home lifestyle products.
To further analyze Citi Trends, Inc., we can look at key performance indicators (KPIs) such as sales growth, gross margin, and inventory turnover. Given the companys focus on value retail, its likely that they prioritize competitive pricing and efficient supply chain management. A review of their recent financial statements would provide insight into their revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow management.
From a valuation perspective, Citi Trends, Inc. has a market capitalization of $275.45M USD and a forward P/E ratio of 3.81, indicating potentially undervalued shares. However, the negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -31.82% raises concerns about the companys profitability. Further analysis would be needed to understand the drivers behind this negative RoE and whether its a one-time anomaly or a persistent issue.
To assess the companys operational efficiency, we could examine metrics such as same-store sales growth, average transaction value, and customer retention rates. Additionally, an analysis of Citi Trends competitive positioning within the apparel retail industry, including their market share and brand recognition, would provide valuable context for evaluating their future prospects.
CTRN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 261m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 2005-05-18 |
CTRN Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 45.0% |
| Fundamental | 30.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 10.6% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 55.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
CTRN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCTRN Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 51.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 79.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -54.5% |
| CAGR 5y | 16.52% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.27 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.56 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.84 |
| Alpha | 42.15 |
| Beta | 2.195 |
| Volatility | 50.84% |
| Current Volume | 61.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 71.2k |
| Stop Loss | 32.9 (-5.8%) |
| Signal | -0.17 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-16.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 47.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.61pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.79% (prev 3.91%; Δ -1.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.03m > Net Income -16.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (167.1m) to EBITDA (16.4m) ratio: 10.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.13 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.31m) change vs 12m ago -0.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.61% (prev 35.02%; Δ 3.59pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 162.4% (prev 149.5%; Δ 12.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -5.42 (EBITDA TTM 16.4m / Interest Expense TTM 324.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.14
| (A) 0.05 = (Total Current Assets 189.2m - Total Current Liabilities 167.4m) / Total Assets 457.4m |
| (B) 0.61 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 280.6m / Total Assets 457.4m |
| (C) -0.00 = EBIT TTM -1.76m / Avg Total Assets 482.1m |
| (D) 0.82 = Book Value of Equity 280.8m / Total Liabilities 344.2m |
| Total Rating: 3.14 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.09
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.16% = -1.08 |
| 3. FCF Margin -1.18% = -0.44 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.92 = 0.89 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 10.18 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.22)% = -11.52 |
| 7. RoE -14.31% = -2.38 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 11.00% = 0.83 |
| 9. EPS Trend -43.98% = -2.20 |
What is the price of CTRN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.33%, over one month by +6.27%, over three months by +9.92% and over the past year by +80.65%.
Is Citi Trends a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of CTRN is around 35.42 USD . This means that CTRN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 1.43%.
Is CTRN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CTRN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48 | 37.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48 | 37.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.2 | 12.3% |
CTRN Fundamental Data Overview October 09, 2025
P/E Forward = 3.8066
P/S = 0.333
P/B = 2.3449
P/EG = 1.08
Beta = 2.195
Revenue TTM = 782.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.76m USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 217.5m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 43.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 217.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 167.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 427.7m USD (260.6m + Debt 217.5m - CCE 50.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.42 (Ebit TTM -1.76m / Interest Expense TTM 324.0k)
FCF Yield = -2.16% (FCF TTM -9.23m / Enterprise Value 427.7m)
FCF Margin = -1.18% (FCF TTM -9.23m / Revenue TTM 782.7m)
Net Margin = -2.13% (Net Income TTM -16.6m / Revenue TTM 782.7m)
Gross Margin = 38.61% ((Revenue TTM 782.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 480.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.60% (prev 37.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 427.7m / Total Assets 457.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 88.0k / Debt 217.5m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 3.82m)
NOPAT = -1.76m (EBIT -1.76m * (1 - 0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.13 (Total Current Assets 189.2m / Total Current Liabilities 167.4m)
Debt / Equity = 1.92 (Debt 217.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 113.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.18 (Net Debt 167.1m / EBITDA 16.4m)
Debt / FCF = -18.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 167.1m / FCF TTM -9.23m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 116.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.64% (Net Income -16.6m / Total Assets 457.4m)
RoE = -14.31% (Net Income TTM -16.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 116.3m)
RoCE = -0.53% (EBIT -1.76m / Capital Employed (Equity 116.3m + L.T.Debt 217.5m))
RoIC = -1.51% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.76m / Invested Capital 116.3m)
WACC = 7.70% (E(260.6m)/V(478.1m) * Re(14.10%) + D(217.5m)/V(478.1m) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 14.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.46%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -9.23m)
EPS Correlation: -43.98 | EPS CAGR: -17.02% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.00 | Revenue CAGR: -0.30% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CTRN Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle