Overview Dividends

(CTRN) Citi Trends - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US17306X1028

Apparel, Accessories, Home, Beauty, Seasonal

Apparel Retail
Market Cap in USD: 341m
IPO / Inception: 2005-05-18
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 33.5%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of CTRN over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-10": 0.67, "2021-01": 1.81, "2021-04": 3.23, "2021-07": 1.36, "2021-10": 1.03, "2022-01": 1.16, "2022-04": 0.42, "2022-07": -0.31, "2022-10": 0.24, "2023-01": 0.83, "2023-04": -0.66, "2023-07": -0.6, "2023-10": -0.56, "2024-01": 0.53, "2024-04": -0.32, "2024-07": -1.94, "2024-10": -0.78, "2025-01": -1.54, "2025-04": 0.17, "2025-07": -0.66, "2025-10": -0.8806,
EPS CAGR: -24.14%
EPS Trend: -60.9%
Last SUE: -0.17
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of CTRN over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-10: 199.1, 2021-01: 251.919, 2021-04: 285.381, 2021-07: 237.281, 2021-10: 227.959, 2022-01: 240.974, 2022-04: 208.215, 2022-07: 185.012, 2022-10: 192.323, 2023-01: 209.461, 2023-04: 179.688, 2023-07: 173.554, 2023-10: 179.52, 2024-01: 215.179, 2024-04: 186.289, 2024-07: 176.552, 2024-10: 179.066, 2025-01: 211.172, 2025-04: 201.728, 2025-07: 190.75, 2025-10: 197.091,
Rev. CAGR: -5.22%
Rev. Trend: -24.2%
Last SUE: 2.69
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 53.5%
Value at Risk 5%th 76.3%
Relative Tail Risk -13.22%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.99
Alpha 42.49
CAGR/Max DD 0.27
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.490
Beta 1.289
Beta Downside 1.107
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 60.13%
Mean DD 29.29%
Median DD 30.86%

Description: CTRN Citi Trends December 30, 2025

Citi Trends, Inc. (NASDAQ: CTRN) is a value-oriented retailer that sells fashion apparel, accessories, beauty items, and home-goods primarily to African-American and multicultural families across the United States. Its merchandise mix spans men’s, women’s, and children’s clothing-including sportswear, footwear, sleepwear, and uniforms-plus a broad assortment of accessories, cosmetics, household items, and seasonal products.

As of the most recent filing (Q2 2024), CTRN reported comparable-store sales growth of roughly 2.5% year-over-year, driven by a 4% increase in average transaction size and a modest 1.2% rise in foot traffic, reflecting the company’s focus on low-price, high-turn inventory. The retailer’s performance is sensitive to discretionary-spending trends and employment levels in its core demographic, which historically lags the broader consumer index by 3–5 percentage points. Additionally, the broader value-apparel segment is benefiting from inflation-adjusted pricing power, as consumers gravitate toward affordable alternatives when real wages stagnate.

For a deeper, data-rich view of CTRN’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay to see how these drivers are modeled in real time.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (-16.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 48.0m TTM)
FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 1.53% (prev 3.11%; Δ -1.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 30.0m > Net Income -16.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (166.9m) to EBITDA (17.8m) ratio: 9.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.07 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.05m) change vs 12m ago -3.66% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 37.84% (prev 35.39%; Δ 2.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 172.0% (prev 162.1%; Δ 9.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.64 (EBITDA TTM 17.8m / Interest Expense TTM 336.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.90

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 192.1m - Total Current Liabilities 179.8m) / Total Assets 464.3m
(B) 0.59 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 273.7m / Total Assets 464.3m
(C) -0.00 = EBIT TTM -216.0k / Avg Total Assets 465.7m
(D) 0.77 = Book Value of Equity 273.9m / Total Liabilities 356.4m
Total Rating: 2.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.00

1. Piotroski 6.0pt
2. FCF Yield 2.35%
3. FCF Margin 1.49%
4. Debt/Equity 2.02
5. Debt/Ebitda 9.37
6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.77)%
7. RoE -14.80%
8. Rev. Trend -24.19%
9. EPS Trend -60.95%

What is the price of CTRN shares?

As of December 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 41.94 with a total of 116,149 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.51%, over one month by -4.83%, over three months by +34.90% and over the past year by +57.97%.

Is CTRN a buy, sell or hold?

Citi Trends has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CTRN.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CTRN price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 55.5 32.3%
Analysts Target Price 55.5 32.3%
ValueRay Target Price 47.9 14.3%

CTRN Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025

Market Cap USD = 340.6m (340.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 3.8066
P/S = 0.4253
P/B = 3.3294
P/EG = 1.08
Beta = 2.163
Revenue TTM = 800.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -216.0k USD
EBITDA TTM = 17.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 218.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 43.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 218.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 166.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 507.5m USD (340.6m + Debt 218.0m - CCE 51.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.64 (Ebit TTM -216.0k / Interest Expense TTM 336.0k)
FCF Yield = 2.35% (FCF TTM 11.9m / Enterprise Value 507.5m)
FCF Margin = 1.49% (FCF TTM 11.9m / Revenue TTM 800.7m)
Net Margin = -2.05% (Net Income TTM -16.4m / Revenue TTM 800.7m)
Gross Margin = 37.84% ((Revenue TTM 800.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 497.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.53% (prev 37.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 507.5m / Total Assets 464.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 91.0k / Debt 218.0m)
Taxrate = -0.0% (0.0 / -6.89m)
NOPAT = -216.0k (EBIT -216.0k * (1 - -0.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.07 (Total Current Assets 192.1m / Total Current Liabilities 179.8m)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 218.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 107.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.37 (Net Debt 166.9m / EBITDA 17.8m)
Debt / FCF = 13.98 (Net Debt 166.9m / FCF TTM 11.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 110.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.53% (Net Income -16.4m / Total Assets 464.3m)
RoE = -14.80% (Net Income TTM -16.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 110.7m)
RoCE = -0.07% (EBIT -216.0k / Capital Employed (Equity 110.7m + L.T.Debt 218.0m))
RoIC = -0.20% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -216.0k / Invested Capital 110.7m)
WACC = 6.58% (E(340.6m)/V(558.6m) * Re(10.76%) + D(218.0m)/V(558.6m) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(-0.0)))
Discount Rate = 10.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.28% ; FCFE base≈11.9m ; Y1≈7.84m ; Y5≈3.59m
Fair Price DCF = 5.77 (DCF Value 48.2m / Shares Outstanding 8.35m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -60.95 | EPS CAGR: -24.14% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -24.19 | Revenue CAGR: -5.22% | SUE: 2.69 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=-0.120 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+0.285 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+213.6% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%

Additional Sources for CTRN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle