(CVCO) Cavco Industries - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 4.065m USD | Total Return: 23.5% in 12m

Manufactured Homes, Modular Buildings, Park Model RVs, Mortgages, Insurance
Total Rating 59
Safety 77
Buy Signal -0.88
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: -6.6
Market Cap: 4.06B
Avg Turnover: 63.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility38.3%
VaR 5th Pctl6.33%
VaR vs Median0.24%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.61
Rel. Str. IBD28.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group82.5
Character TTM
Beta1.070
Beta Downside1.362
Hurst Exponent0.582
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD34.68%
CAGR/Max DD0.75
CAGR/Mean DD2.78
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CVCO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 2.71, "2021-06": 2.92, "2021-09": 4.06, "2021-12": 5.34, "2022-03": 5.8, "2022-06": 6.63, "2022-09": 8.25, "2022-12": 6.66, "2023-03": 5.39, "2023-06": 5.29, "2023-09": 4.76, "2023-12": 4.27, "2024-03": 4.03, "2024-06": 4.11, "2024-09": 5.28, "2024-12": 6.9, "2025-03": 5.4, "2025-06": 6.42, "2025-09": 6.55, "2025-12": 5.58, "2026-03": 5.42,
EPS CAGR: 5.64%
EPS Trend: 35.2%
Last SUE: 0.12
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CVCO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 306.502, 2021-06: 330.422, 2021-09: 359.543, 2021-12: 431.714, 2022-03: 505.479, 2022-06: 588.338, 2022-09: 577.392, 2022-12: 500.603, 2023-03: 476.38, 2023-06: 475.875, 2023-09: 452.03, 2023-12: 446.769, 2024-03: 420.118, 2024-06: 477.599, 2024-09: 507.461, 2024-12: 522.04, 2025-03: 508.358, 2025-06: 556.857, 2025-09: 556.527, 2025-12: 580.994, 2026-03: 550.127,
Rev. CAGR: 6.64%
Rev. Trend: 73.8%
Last SUE: -0.90
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Fakeout Volatile

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Description: CVCO Cavco Industries

Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) is a vertically integrated manufacturer and retailer of factory-built housing, headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. The company operates through two primary segments: Factory-Built Housing, which includes manufactured homes, modular units, and commercial structures, and Financial Services, which provides specialized mortgage lending and property insurance.

The business model leverages off-site construction to reduce labor costs and weather-related delays, a method that typically yields a lower price-per-square-foot compared to traditional site-built residential construction. Cavco utilizes a diversified distribution network consisting of company-owned retail stores, independent distributors, and large-scale residential developers. The manufactured housing sector currently serves as a critical component of the affordable housing market in the United States, particularly as site-built home prices rise.

Investors can further evaluate the company’s valuation metrics and financial health by reviewing the data available on ValueRay. Founded in 1965, the company has expanded its portfolio to include specialized products such as park model RVs, vacation cabins, and multi-family units for military and commercial applications.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mortgage rate fluctuations impact manufactured housing affordability and total unit volume
  • Raw material costs for lumber and steel dictate gross margin performance
  • Expansion of company-owned retail locations drives higher vertical integration revenue
  • Financial services segment profitability relies on loan origination volume and interest spreads
  • Federal housing policy changes affect demand for low-income and workforce housing units
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 9.5
Net Income: 190.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.40 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 21.80% < 20% (prev 30.12%; Δ -8.32% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 267.5m > Net Income 190.6m
Net Debt (-242.5m) to EBITDA (249.0m): -0.97 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (7.84m) vs 12m ago -3.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 23.47% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2.32k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 154.9% > 50% (prev 143.3%; Δ 11.63% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 221.9 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 249.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.09m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 824.7m - Total Current Liabilities 335.4m) / Total Assets 1.49b
B: 0.93 (Retained Earnings 1.39b / Total Assets 1.49b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 242.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.45b)
D: 3.58 (Book Value of Equity 1.39b / Total Liabilities 388.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 10.07 = AAA
Beneish M -2.86
DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 184.2m/188.1m, Revenue 2.24b/2.02b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 23.47% / 23.10%)
AQI: 1.43 (AQ_t 0.24 / AQ_t-1 0.17)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 2.24b / 2.02b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 190.6m - CFO 267.5m) / TA 1.49b)
Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CVCO shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 536.52 with a total of 180,521 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.16%, over one month by +7.67%, over three months by -7.06% and over the past year by +23.51%.

Is CVCO a buy, sell or hold?

Cavco Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CVCO.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CVCO price?
Analysts Target Price 587.5 9.5%
Cavco Industries (CVCO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.06b (4.06b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.0793
P/E Forward = 29.4985
P/S = 1.8111
P/B = 3.6848
P/EG = 45.7667
Revenue TTM = 2.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 242.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 249.0m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = 291k USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 30.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 30.7m already included)
Net Debt = -242.5m USD (calculated: Debt 30.7m - CCE 273.3m)
Enterprise Value = 3.82b USD (4.06b + Debt 30.7m - CCE 273.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 221.9 (Ebit TTM 242.6m / Interest Expense TTM 1.09m)
EV/FCF = 16.47x (Enterprise Value 3.82b / FCF TTM 232.1m)
FCF Yield = 6.07% (FCF TTM 232.1m / Enterprise Value 3.82b)
FCF Margin = 10.34% (FCF TTM 232.1m / Revenue TTM 2.24b)
Net Margin = 8.49% (Net Income TTM 190.6m / Revenue TTM 2.24b)
Gross Margin = 23.47% ((Revenue TTM 2.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.10% (prev 23.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.56 (Enterprise Value 3.82b / Total Assets 1.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.55% (Interest Expense 1.09m / Debt 30.7m)
Taxrate = 22.16% (12.1m / 54.6m)
NOPAT = 188.8m (EBIT 242.6m * (1 - 22.16%))
Current Ratio = 2.46 (Total Current Assets 824.7m / Total Current Liabilities 335.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 30.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.97 (Net Debt -242.5m / EBITDA 249.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.04 (Net Debt -242.5m / FCF TTM 232.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.15% (Net Income 190.6m / Total Assets 1.49b)
RoE = 17.55% (Net Income TTM 190.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.09b)
RoCE = 20.99% (EBIT 242.6m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.49b - Current Liab 335.4m))
RoIC = 18.57% (NOPAT 188.8m / Invested Capital 1.02b)
WACC = 9.70% (E(4.06b)/V(4.10b) * Re(9.75%) + D(30.7m)/V(4.10b) * Rd(3.55%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -3.18%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.73% ; FCFF base≈202.1m ; Y1≈231.6m ; Y5≈340.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 571.0 (EV 4.15b - Net Debt -242.5m = Equity 4.39b / Shares 7.68m; r=9.70% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 35.21 | EPS CAGR: 5.64% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.79 | Revenue CAGR: 6.64% | SUE: -0.90 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=5.68 | Chg30d=-1.22% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=6.44 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=25.00 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=+4.2% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=30.00 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+20.0% | GrowthRev=+7.5%