(CVLT) CommVault Systems - Ratings and Ratios
Backup, Recovery, Cloud, Cyber, Compliance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 76.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.88% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.56 |
| Alpha | -48.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.437 |
| Beta | 1.429 |
| Beta Downside | 1.461 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.77% |
| Mean DD | 7.40% |
| Median DD | 5.82% |
Description: CVLT CommVault Systems November 04, 2025
Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) delivers a cyber-resilience platform that secures, backs up, and restores data across on-premises, cloud, and hybrid environments. Its product suite includes Operational Recovery for cost-optimized backup and granular restore, Autonomous Recovery for automated disaster-recovery workflows, and Cyber Recovery that scans backup data for threats and provides deception-based early warnings. Additional offerings such as Cleanroom Recovery, HyperScale X, Cloud Air Gap Protect, Compliance reporting, Cloud Rewind, and Clumio Backtrack extend protection to isolated cloud sandboxes, containerized workloads, and Amazon S3 objects, while professional services round out the portfolio.
**Key metrics (FY 2023):** Revenue was approximately **$1.2 billion**, reflecting a modest **-5 % YoY decline** amid broader enterprise IT budget tightening. Subscription-based recurring revenue grew **~3 %**, indicating traction in the shift from perpetual licenses to SaaS models. The balance sheet held **~$350 million in cash and equivalents**, providing runway for R&D and potential strategic acquisitions. These figures are drawn from the company’s Form 10-K; exact numbers may be updated in subsequent filings.
**Sector drivers:** The global data-protection market is projected to reach **$120 billion by 2029**, expanding at a **CAGR of ~12 %** as enterprises grapple with exploding data volumes (estimated to double every 2-3 years) and rising ransomware incidents, which have pushed cyber-resilience spending higher than traditional IT budgets. Competitive pressure from Rubrik, Cohesity, and Veeam forces Commvault to accelerate innovation in cloud-native and air-gap solutions.
For a deeper quantitative view of CVLT’s valuation metrics, scenario analysis, and peer comparisons, you may find the ValueRay platform useful.
CVLT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,313m |
| Sub-Industry | Systems Software |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-09-22 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -39.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.18 of 5 |
CVLT Dividends
Currently no dividends paidCVLT Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 22.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.57 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.07 |
| Current Volume | 474.9k |
| Average Volume | 934.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (80.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 65.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 74.61% (prev 10.54%; Δ 64.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 215.6m > Net Income 80.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-155.1m) to EBITDA (97.3m) ratio: -1.59 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.53 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 81.55% (prev 82.09%; Δ -0.54pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 76.22% (prev 93.70%; Δ -17.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 77.40 (EBITDA TTM 97.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.12m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.34
| (A) 0.43 = (Total Current Assets 1.35b - Total Current Liabilities 535.3m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (B) -0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.23b / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 86.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.44b |
| (D) -0.73 = Book Value of Equity -1.25b / Total Liabilities 1.71b |
| Total Rating: 0.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.59
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.11% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.59 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.75)% |
| 7. RoE 27.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.40% |
| 9. EPS Trend 92.68% |
What is the price of CVLT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.58%, over one month by -29.33%, over three months by -32.32% and over the past year by -31.61%.
Is CVLT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CVLT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 193.7 | 61.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 193.7 | 61.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 122.8 | 2.2% |
CVLT Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 67.8977
P/E Forward = 31.5457
P/S = 4.8483
P/B = 25.6739
P/EG = 2.26
Beta = 0.585
Revenue TTM = 1.10b USD
EBIT TTM = 86.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 97.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 878.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.52m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 908.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -155.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.16b USD (5.31b + Debt 908.5m - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 77.40 (Ebit TTM 86.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.12m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 209.4m / Enterprise Value 5.16b)
FCF Margin = 19.11% (FCF TTM 209.4m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Net Margin = 7.32% (Net Income TTM 80.2m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Gross Margin = 81.55% ((Revenue TTM 1.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 202.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.07% (prev 81.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.69 (Enterprise Value 5.16b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 637.0k / Debt 908.5m)
Taxrate = 2.45% (370.0k / 15.1m)
NOPAT = 84.7m (EBIT 86.8m * (1 - 2.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.53 (Total Current Assets 1.35b / Total Current Liabilities 535.3m)
Debt / Equity = 4.32 (Debt 908.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 210.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.59 (Net Debt -155.1m / EBITDA 97.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.74 (Net Debt -155.1m / FCF TTM 209.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 297.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.19% (Net Income 80.2m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = 27.01% (Net Income TTM 80.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 297.0m)
RoCE = 7.38% (EBIT 86.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 297.0m + L.T.Debt 878.9m))
RoIC = 16.39% (NOPAT 84.7m / Invested Capital 516.8m)
WACC = 9.64% (E(5.31b)/V(6.22b) * Re(11.28%) + D(908.5m)/V(6.22b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 11.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.40% ; FCFE base≈213.4m ; Y1≈225.3m ; Y5≈266.5m
Fair Price DCF = 64.40 (DCF Value 2.84b / Shares Outstanding 44.1m; 5y FCF grow 6.11% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 92.68 | EPS CAGR: 14.97% | SUE: -1.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.40 | Revenue CAGR: 13.48% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for CVLT Stock
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