(CVLT) CommVault Systems - Ratings and Ratios
Data Protection, Cloud Recovery, Cyber Resilience, Backup, Disaster Recovery
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.44% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.31 |
| Alpha | -42.32 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.82 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.402 |
| Beta | 1.401 |
| Beta Downside | 1.508 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.77% |
| Mean DD | 8.20% |
| Median DD | 5.76% |
Description: CVLT CommVault Systems January 07, 2026
Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) delivers a cyber-resilience platform that secures and restores data across on-premises, cloud, and hybrid environments. Its product suite includes Operational Recovery (backup and cost-optimized cloud mobility), Autonomous Recovery (automated disaster-recovery workflows), Cyber Recovery (threat-scanning and deception), Cleanroom Recovery (isolated cloud-based test environments), HyperScale X (scale-out protection for legacy, container and virtual workloads), Cloud Air-Gap Protect (air-gapped cloud storage), Compliance reporting, Cloud Rewind (application-level restores), and Clumio Backtrack for Amazon S3 objects, complemented by professional services.
Key market signals that could affect CVLT’s growth include: (1) the global data-protection market is projected to expand at a ~12% CAGR through 2028, driven by rising ransomware incidents and regulatory pressure; (2) Commvault reported FY 2024 revenue of $1.03 billion, a 7% YoY increase, with subscription-based ARR now representing ~55% of total revenue, indicating a shift toward recurring-revenue models; and (3) the company’s gross margin has stabilized around 71%, comparable to peers such as Veeam and Rubrik, suggesting competitive pricing power. These drivers assume continued enterprise migration to multi-cloud architectures and that CVLT can maintain its integration advantage versus pure-play cloud backup vendors.
For a deeper, data-driven look at CVLT’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst notes worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (80.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 65.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -11.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 74.61% (prev 10.54%; Δ 64.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 215.6m > Net Income 80.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-155.1m) to EBITDA (97.3m) ratio: -1.59 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.53 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 81.55% (prev 82.09%; Δ -0.54pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 76.22% (prev 93.70%; Δ -17.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 77.40 (EBITDA TTM 97.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.12m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.34
| (A) 0.43 = (Total Current Assets 1.35b - Total Current Liabilities 535.3m) / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (B) -0.64 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.23b / Total Assets 1.92b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 86.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.44b |
| (D) -0.73 = Book Value of Equity -1.25b / Total Liabilities 1.71b |
| Total Rating: 0.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.27
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.82% |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.11% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.59 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.76)% |
| 7. RoE 27.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 89.36% |
| 9. EPS Trend 19.14% |
What is the price of CVLT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.48%, over one month by +5.77%, over three months by -23.69% and over the past year by -16.06%.
Is CVLT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CVLT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 189.9 | 47.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 189.9 | 47.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 140.7 | 9.5% |
CVLT Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Trailing = 72.0398
P/E Forward = 27.8552
P/S = 5.1441
P/B = 26.5643
P/EG = 2.26
Beta = 0.596
Revenue TTM = 1.10b USD
EBIT TTM = 86.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 97.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 878.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.52m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 908.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -155.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.48b USD (5.64b + Debt 908.5m - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 77.40 (Ebit TTM 86.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.12m)
FCF Yield = 3.82% (FCF TTM 209.4m / Enterprise Value 5.48b)
FCF Margin = 19.11% (FCF TTM 209.4m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Net Margin = 7.32% (Net Income TTM 80.2m / Revenue TTM 1.10b)
Gross Margin = 81.55% ((Revenue TTM 1.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 202.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.07% (prev 81.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.86 (Enterprise Value 5.48b / Total Assets 1.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.07% (Interest Expense 637.0k / Debt 908.5m)
Taxrate = 2.45% (370.0k / 15.1m)
NOPAT = 84.7m (EBIT 86.8m * (1 - 2.45%))
Current Ratio = 2.53 (Total Current Assets 1.35b / Total Current Liabilities 535.3m)
Debt / Equity = 4.32 (Debt 908.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 210.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.59 (Net Debt -155.1m / EBITDA 97.3m)
Debt / FCF = -0.74 (Net Debt -155.1m / FCF TTM 209.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 297.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.19% (Net Income 80.2m / Total Assets 1.92b)
RoE = 27.01% (Net Income TTM 80.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 297.0m)
RoCE = 7.38% (EBIT 86.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 297.0m + L.T.Debt 878.9m))
RoIC = 16.39% (NOPAT 84.7m / Invested Capital 516.8m)
WACC = 9.64% (E(5.64b)/V(6.55b) * Re(11.18%) + D(908.5m)/V(6.55b) * Rd(0.07%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 11.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.44%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.71% ; FCFE base≈213.4m ; Y1≈225.3m ; Y5≈266.5m
Fair Price DCF = 65.19 (DCF Value 2.87b / Shares Outstanding 44.1m; 5y FCF grow 6.11% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 19.14 | EPS CAGR: 8.51% | SUE: -0.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.36 | Revenue CAGR: 8.64% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=3.91 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=+7.1% | Growth Revenue=+16.9%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.53 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+15.9% | Growth Revenue=+12.5%
Additional Sources for CVLT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle