CVLT Stock Analysis: CommVault Systems | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.137m USD | 12M Return: -13.7% | US2041661024 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 79.9M
EPS Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CVLT) provides cyber resiliency and data protection solutions for enterprises operating hybrid and multi-cloud environments. The companys product portfolio spans backup and recovery, automated recovery orchestration, cyber threat detection and response, isolated cloud-based cleanroom recovery, scale-out data protection infrastructure, and compliance tools, as well as a broad suite of professional, support, and managed services. Commvault sells to enterprise customers globally, with operations spanning North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia-Pacific, and China, and has been headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey since its 1996 incorporation.
The company operates in the Systems Software sub-industry of the Information Technology sector, competing in the enterprise data protection and cyber recovery market alongside other infrastructure software vendors. Its software-based, subscription- and license-driven business model serves large organizations that require unified data management across on-premises and cloud workloads, an area that has grown in importance as enterprises prioritize ransomware preparedness and regulatory compliance.
- Ransomware threats drive demand for cyber recovery solutions
- Subscription revenue transition accelerates ARR growth
- Competition intensifies from Rubrik, Cohesity, and Veeam
| Net Income: 68.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.61 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 53.21% < 20% (prev 12.46%; Δ 40.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 264.7m > Net Income 68.3m |
| Net Debt (23.5m) to EBITDA (104.5m): 0.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.9m) vs 12m ago -7.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 80.88% > 18% (prev 81.95%; Δ -1.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 79.29% > 50% (prev 89.50%; Δ -10.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.93 > 6 (EBIT TTM 94.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.99m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.27b - Total Current Liabilities 620.0m) / Total Assets 1.89b |
| B: -0.77 (Retained Earnings -1.46b / Total Assets 1.89b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 94.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.53b) |
| D: 0.03 (Book Value of Equity 52.1m / Total Liabilities 1.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.17 = B |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 271.6m/255.4m, Revenue 1.22b/1.05b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 81.95% / 80.88%) |
| AQI: 0.77 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 1.22b / 1.05b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 68.3m - CFO 264.7m) / TA 1.89b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 153.73 with a total of 536,559 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.82%, over one month by +15.27%, over three months by +2.45% and over the past year by -13.73%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 147.10 (which is 4.3% or 1.1 ATR below the current price).
CommVault Systems has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CVLT.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 160.6 | 4.4% |
P/E Trailing = 94.9231
P/E Forward = 28.0112
P/S = 5.0476
P/B = 118.9806
P/EG = 3.1734
Revenue TTM = 1.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 94.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 104.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 881.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.15m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 953.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 35.7m
Net Debt = 23.5m USD (calculated: Debt 953.4m - CCE 929.8m)
Enterprise Value = 6.16b USD (6.14b + Debt 953.4m - CCE 929.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.93 (Ebit TTM 94.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.99m)
EV/FCF = 23.85x (Enterprise Value 6.16b / FCF TTM 258.3m)
FCF Yield = 4.19% (FCF TTM 258.3m / Enterprise Value 6.16b)
FCF Margin = 21.24% (FCF TTM 258.3m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Net Margin = 5.62% (Net Income TTM 68.3m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Gross Margin = 80.88% ((Revenue TTM 1.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 232.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 81.66% (prev 80.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.26 (Enterprise Value 6.16b / Total Assets 1.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 4.99m / Debt 953.4m)
Taxrate = 29.91% (29.1m / 97.4m)
NOPAT = 66.2m (EBIT 94.5m * (1 - 29.91%))
Current Ratio = 2.04 (Total Current Assets 1.27b / Total Current Liabilities 620.2m)
Debt / Equity = 18.32 (Debt 953.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 52.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.23 (Net Debt 23.5m / EBITDA 104.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.09 (Net Debt 23.5m / FCF TTM 258.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 121.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.45% (Net Income 68.3m / Total Assets 1.89b)
RoE = 56.13% (Net Income TTM 68.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 121.7m)
RoCE = 9.41% (EBIT 94.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 121.7m + L.T.Debt 881.9m))
RoIC = 5.44% (NOPAT 66.2m / Invested Capital 1.22b)
WACC = 9.34% (E(6.14b)/V(7.09b) * Re(10.73%) + D(953.4m)/V(7.09b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.77 | Cagr: -3.07%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.84% ; FCFF base≈236.3m ; Y1≈270.8m ; Y5≈398.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 122.7 (EV 5.11b - Net Debt 23.5m = Equity 5.09b / Shares 41.4m; r=9.34% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.33 | EPS CAGR: 17.90% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 99.51 | Revenue CAGR: 18.01% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+55% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.38 | Chg30d=+0.17% | Revisions=-42% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=5.46 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+25.4% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=6.20 | Chg30d=+0.77% | Revisions=+76% | GrowthEPS=+13.7% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +51% (up=53, down=16)