CVLT Stock Analysis: CommVault Systems | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.215m USD | 12M Return: -11.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 119M
EPS Trend: 99.8%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 99.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CVLT) is a U.S.-based enterprise software company that provides cyber resiliency and data protection solutions, helping organizations secure, back up, and recover their data, applications, and identity systems across hybrid and multi-cloud environments. Its product portfolio is organized around core offerings such as Operational Recovery, Autonomous Recovery, and Cyber Recovery, supplemented by specialized tools like Cleanroom Recovery, HyperScale Grid/Flex, Threatscan, Cloud Air Gap Protect, Compliance, Cloud Rewind, and Clumio Backtrack, which collectively address backup, recovery validation, threat detection, and ransomware response. The company complements its software with a full suite of professional and customer support services, including consulting, recovery, education, and managed cyber resilience services.
Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey, Commvault operates globally across North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region, and has been publicly traded since its 2006 IPO. As a mid-cap player in the GICS Systems Software sub-industry, it competes in the enterprise data protection and cyber resilience sector, where vendors typically monetize through a mix of subscription licensing, term-based software agreements, and recurring support contracts - a model that tends to generate predictable, recurring revenue tied to the size of customer data environments.
- Cyber Recovery segment drives accelerating subscription revenue growth
- Shift to SaaS model pressures near-term margins but expands ARR
- Competition from Rubrik and Cohesity intensifies in data protection market
| Net Income: 70.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.92 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 53.08% < 20% (prev 8.04%; Δ 45.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 244.7m > Net Income 70.7m |
| Net Debt (54.2m) to EBITDA (106.4m): 0.51 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.3m) vs 12m ago -4.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 80.93% > 18% (prev 82.02%; Δ -1.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 78.79% > 50% (prev 89.03%; Δ -10.24% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 25.28 > 6 (EBIT TTM 95.9m / Interest Expense TTM 3.79m) |
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 1.29b - Total Current Liabilities 658.2m) / Total Assets 1.89b |
| B: -0.78 (Retained Earnings -1.47b / Total Assets 1.89b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 95.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.50b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 7.49m / Total Liabilities 1.88b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.07 = B |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 330.5m/252.0m, Revenue 1.18b/995.6m) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 82.02% / 80.93%) |
| AQI: 0.71 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.42) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 1.18b / 995.6m) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 70.7m - CFO 244.7m) / TA 1.89b) |
| Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 153.72 with a total of 881,124 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.62%, over one month by +25.91%, over three months by +94.09% and over the past year by -11.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 147.00 (which is 4.4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
CommVault Systems has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CVLT.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 135.2 | -12% |
P/E Trailing = 95.5733
P/E Forward = 28.3286
P/S = 5.2508
P/B = 829.3734
P/EG = 3.1734
Revenue TTM = 1.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 95.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 106.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 880.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.96m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 954.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 36.6m
Net Debt = 54.2m USD (calculated: Debt 954.1m - CCE 900.0m)
Enterprise Value = 6.27b USD (6.22b + Debt 954.1m - CCE 900.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 25.28 (Ebit TTM 95.9m / Interest Expense TTM 3.79m)
EV/FCF = 24.63x (Enterprise Value 6.27b / FCF TTM 254.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 254.6m / Enterprise Value 6.27b)
FCF Margin = 21.51% (FCF TTM 254.6m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = 5.97% (Net Income TTM 70.7m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 80.93% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 225.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.57% (prev 81.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.32 (Enterprise Value 6.27b / Total Assets 1.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.40% (Interest Expense 3.79m / Debt 954.1m)
Taxrate = 23.30% (21.5m / 92.1m)
NOPAT = 73.6m (EBIT 95.9m * (1 - 23.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.95 (Total Current Assets 1.29b / Total Current Liabilities 658.8m)
Debt / Equity = 127.3 (Debt 954.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.49m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.51 (Net Debt 54.2m / EBITDA 106.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.21 (Net Debt 54.2m / FCF TTM 254.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 199.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.70% (Net Income 70.7m / Total Assets 1.89b)
RoE = 35.35% (Net Income TTM 70.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 199.9m)
RoCE = 8.88% (EBIT 95.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 199.9m + L.T.Debt 880.9m))
RoIC = 6.26% (NOPAT 73.6m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 9.08% (E(6.22b)/V(7.17b) * Re(10.43%) + D(954.1m)/V(7.17b) * Rd(0.40%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 15.56 | Cagr: -1.54%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.63% ; FCFF base≈230.7m ; Y1≈264.4m ; Y5≈389.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 123.9 (EV 5.19b - Net Debt 54.2m = Equity 5.13b / Shares 41.4m; r=9.08% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.76 | EPS CAGR: 19.66% | SUE: 2.99 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.10 | Revenue CAGR: 17.33% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+71% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+59% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=5.24 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+82% | GrowthEPS=+20.5% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=6.09 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+16.1% | GrowthRev=+11.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +80% (up=47, down=4)