CVLT Stock Analysis: CommVault Systems | NASDAQ
Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.983m USD | 12M Return: -28.1% | US2041661024 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 90.2M
EPS Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CVLT) is a U.S.-based enterprise software company that provides cyber resiliency and data protection solutions, helping organizations secure, back up, and recover their data, applications, and identity systems across hybrid and multi-cloud environments. Its product portfolio is organized around core offerings such as Operational Recovery, Autonomous Recovery, and Cyber Recovery, supplemented by specialized tools like Cleanroom Recovery, HyperScale Grid/Flex, Threatscan, Cloud Air Gap Protect, Compliance, Cloud Rewind, and Clumio Backtrack, which collectively address backup, recovery validation, threat detection, and ransomware response. The company complements its software with a full suite of professional and customer support services, including consulting, recovery, education, and managed cyber resilience services.
Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey, Commvault operates globally across North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region, and has been publicly traded since its 2006 IPO. As a mid-cap player in the GICS Systems Software sub-industry, it competes in the enterprise data protection and cyber resilience sector, where vendors typically monetize through a mix of subscription licensing, term-based software agreements, and recurring support contracts - a model that tends to generate predictable, recurring revenue tied to the size of customer data environments.
- Cyber Recovery segment drives accelerating subscription revenue growth
- Shift to SaaS model pressures near-term margins but expands ARR
- Competition from Rubrik and Cohesity intensifies in data protection market
| Net Income: 68.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.61 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 53.21% < 20% (prev 12.46%; Δ 40.75% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 322.9m > Net Income 68.3m |
| Net Debt (24.5m) to EBITDA (104.5m): 0.23 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.9m) vs 12m ago -7.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 80.69% > 18% (prev 81.95%; Δ -1.27% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 79.29% > 50% (prev 89.50%; Δ -10.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.93 > 6 (EBIT TTM 94.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.99m) |
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.27b - Total Current Liabilities 620.0m) / Total Assets 1.89b |
| B: -0.77 (Retained Earnings -1.46b / Total Assets 1.89b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 94.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.53b) |
| D: 0.03 (Book Value of Equity 52.1m / Total Liabilities 1.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.17 = B |
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 271.6m/255.4m, Revenue 1.22b/1.05b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 81.95% / 80.69%) |
| AQI: 0.77 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 1.22b / 1.05b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 68.3m - CFO 322.9m) / TA 1.89b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 133.36 with a total of 415,557 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.55%, over one month by -11.12%, over three months by +31.77% and over the past year by -28.13%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 120.00 (which is 10% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
CommVault Systems has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.18. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CVLT.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 162.4 | 21.8% |
P/E Trailing = 75.6667
P/E Forward = 22.6757
P/S = 4.0988
P/B = 663.3882
P/EG = 3.1734
Revenue TTM = 1.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 94.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 104.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 880.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 7.15m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 954.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 36.6m
Net Debt = 24.5m USD (calculated: Debt 954.3m - CCE 929.8m)
Enterprise Value = 5.01b USD (4.98b + Debt 954.3m - CCE 929.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.93 (Ebit TTM 94.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.99m)
EV/FCF = 19.39x (Enterprise Value 5.01b / FCF TTM 258.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.16% (FCF TTM 258.3m / Enterprise Value 5.01b)
FCF Margin = 21.24% (FCF TTM 258.3m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Net Margin = 5.62% (Net Income TTM 68.3m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Gross Margin = 80.69% ((Revenue TTM 1.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 234.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.92% (prev 80.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.65 (Enterprise Value 5.01b / Total Assets 1.89b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 4.99m / Debt 954.3m)
Taxrate = 29.91% (29.1m / 97.4m)
NOPAT = 66.2m (EBIT 94.5m * (1 - 29.91%))
Current Ratio = 2.04 (Total Current Assets 1.27b / Total Current Liabilities 620.2m)
Debt / Equity = 18.33 (Debt 954.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 52.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.23 (Net Debt 24.5m / EBITDA 104.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.09 (Net Debt 24.5m / FCF TTM 258.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 121.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.45% (Net Income 68.3m / Total Assets 1.89b)
RoE = 56.13% (Net Income TTM 68.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 121.7m)
RoCE = 9.42% (EBIT 94.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 121.7m + L.T.Debt 880.9m))
RoIC = 5.44% (NOPAT 66.2m / Invested Capital 1.22b)
WACC = 9.11% (E(4.98b)/V(5.94b) * Re(10.78%) + D(954.3m)/V(5.94b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -68.77 | Cagr: -3.07%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.56% ; FCFF base≈236.3m ; Y1≈270.8m ; Y5≈398.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 127.2 (EV 5.29b - Net Debt 24.5m = Equity 5.27b / Shares 41.4m; r=9.11% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.33 | EPS CAGR: 17.90% | SUE: 1.62 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 99.51 | Revenue CAGR: 18.01% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.21 | Chg30d=+4.61% | Revisions=+59% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=-1.31% | Revisions=+82% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=5.39 | Chg30d=+2.88% | Revisions=+82% | GrowthEPS=+24.0% | GrowthRev=+10.3%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=6.04 | Chg30d=-0.77% | Revisions=+58% | GrowthEPS=+12.0% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +83% (up=48, down=3)