CWST Stock Analysis: Casella Waste Systems | NASDAQ
Waste Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 6.159m USD | 12M Return: -13.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 65.1M
EPS Trend: 51.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CWST) is a vertically integrated solid waste services company operating in the United States. Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Rutland, Vermont, the company provides non-hazardous solid waste collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. Beyond core waste handling, Casella markets recyclable commodities such as corrugated cardboard, newsprint, plastics, glass, and ferrous and aluminum metals, exposing the business to recycling commodity market conditions. The US solid waste industry is generally considered essential and relatively defensive, and vertical integration allows operators like Casella to control multiple stages of the waste stream, from pickup through landfill disposal and material recovery.
- Acquisition pipeline fuels growth across fragmented Northeast waste markets
- Recycling commodity prices swing on fiber and metals demand
- Landfill disposal pricing and volumes drive margin expansion
| Net Income: 7.14m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.31% < 20% (prev 14.71%; Δ -9.40% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 341.9m > Net Income 7.14m |
| Net Debt (1.20b) to EBITDA (406.0m): 2.94 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (63.5m) vs 12m ago 0.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.17% > 18% (prev 18.61%; Δ 2.56% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 57.97% > 50% (prev 50.95%; Δ 7.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.20 > 6 (EBIT TTM 73.5m / Interest Expense TTM 61.2m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 359.7m - Total Current Liabilities 260.0m) / Total Assets 3.27b |
| B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -130.7m / Total Assets 3.27b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 73.5m / Avg Total Assets 3.24b) |
| D: 0.92 (Book Value of Equity 1.57b / Total Liabilities 1.70b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.19 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 175.4m/174.9m, Revenue 1.88b/1.63b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 18.61% / 21.17%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 1.88b / 1.63b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 7.14m - CFO 341.9m) / TA 3.27b) |
| Beneish M = -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 96.46 with a total of 500,883 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.58%, over one month by +9.49%, over three months by +15.60% and over the past year by -13.84%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 92.00 (which is 4.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Casella Waste Systems has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.27. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CWST.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 111.2 | 15.3% |
P/E Trailing = 880.1818
P/E Forward = 76.9231
P/S = 3.281
P/B = 3.927
P/EG = 3.2875
Revenue TTM = 1.88b USD
EBIT TTM = 73.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 406.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.32b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 85.4m
Net Debt = 1.20b USD (calculated: Debt 1.32b - CCE 126.9m)
Enterprise Value = 7.35b USD (6.16b + Debt 1.32b - CCE 126.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.20 (Ebit TTM 73.5m / Interest Expense TTM 61.2m)
EV/FCF = 71.87x (Enterprise Value 7.35b / FCF TTM 102.3m)
FCF Yield = 1.39% (FCF TTM 102.3m / Enterprise Value 7.35b)
FCF Margin = 5.45% (FCF TTM 102.3m / Revenue TTM 1.88b)
Net Margin = 0.38% (Net Income TTM 7.14m / Revenue TTM 1.88b)
Gross Margin = 21.17% ((Revenue TTM 1.88b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.40% (prev 16.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 7.35b / Total Assets 3.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.63% (Interest Expense 61.2m / Debt 1.32b)
Taxrate = 42.23% (5.22m / 12.4m)
NOPAT = 42.5m (EBIT 73.5m * (1 - 42.23%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 359.7m / Total Current Liabilities 260.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.84 (Debt 1.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.94 (Net Debt 1.20b / EBITDA 406.0m)
Debt / FCF = 11.68 (Net Debt 1.20b / FCF TTM 102.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.22% (Net Income 7.14m / Total Assets 3.27b)
RoE = 0.46% (Net Income TTM 7.14m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.56b)
RoCE = 2.73% (EBIT 73.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.56b + L.T.Debt 1.13b))
RoIC = 1.44% (NOPAT 42.5m / Invested Capital 2.95b)
WACC = 5.33% (E(6.16b)/V(7.48b) * Re(5.90%) + D(1.32b)/V(7.48b) * Rd(4.63%) * (1-Tc(0.42)))
Discount Rate = 5.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.79 | Cagr: 4.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.36% ; FCFF base≈99.5m ; Y1≈106.0m ; Y5≈126.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 11.91 (EV 1.94b - Net Debt 1.20b = Equity 746.1m / Shares 62.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 7.32% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 51.54 | EPS CAGR: 15.68% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.25 | Revenue CAGR: 21.33% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-2.75% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-2.35% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=-1.45% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-8.8% | GrowthRev=+12.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.51 | Chg30d=+0.67% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+30.4% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)