(CWST) Casella Waste Systems - Overview
Stock: Collection, Disposal, Recycling, Transfer, Organics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.12% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.14 |
| Alpha | -13.52 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.424 |
| Beta Downside | 0.297 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.18% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.30 |
Description: CWST Casella Waste Systems January 08, 2026
Casella Waste Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:CWST) is a vertically integrated solid-waste services firm operating across the United States. Through its subsidiaries it provides collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and organics processing for residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial clients, and it markets recovered materials such as cardboard, plastics, glass, and metals. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.
Key performance indicators from the most recent 10-K (FY 2024) show revenue of $1.05 billion, a 6 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by higher volume in the recycling segment, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 22 %. The firm operates over 1,200 collection trucks and manages 12 transfer stations, giving it a sizable asset base that supports stable cash flows.
Sector-wide, solid-waste services are influenced by population growth, stricter state-level recycling mandates, and rising landfill tipping fees, all of which tend to boost demand for integrated waste-management solutions. Additionally, the transition toward circular-economy models is increasing the premium placed on material recovery and organics processing, benefitting companies with diversified service lines like Casella.
For a deeper quantitative analysis of CWST’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s data tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 15.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.44% < 20% (prev 30.33%; Δ -21.90% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 343.0m > Net Income 15.3m |
| Net Debt (1.04b) to EBITDA (387.8m): 2.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (63.5m) vs 12m ago 8.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.39% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1720 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.03% > 50% (prev 47.69%; Δ 8.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.36 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 387.8m / Interest Expense TTM 56.5m) |
Altman Z'' 0.27
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 448.0m - Total Current Liabilities 296.5m) / Total Assets 3.29b |
| B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -122.6m / Total Assets 3.29b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 76.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.20b) |
| D: -0.07 (Book Value of Equity -125.6m / Total Liabilities 1.72b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.27 = B |
Beneish M -2.85
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 198.8m/173.1m, Revenue 1.80b/1.49b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 17.39% / 19.16%) |
| AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.44 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.21 (Revenue 1.80b / 1.49b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 15.3m - CFO 343.0m) / TA 3.29b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of CWST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.74%, over one month by +1.31%, over three months by +18.50% and over the past year by -3.57%.
Is CWST a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CWST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 115.3 | 10.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 115.3 | 10.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 110.6 | 5.7% |
CWST Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 104.1667
P/S = 3.5678
P/B = 4.1846
P/EG = 7.52
Revenue TTM = 1.80b USD
EBIT TTM = 76.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 387.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 36.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.45b USD (6.41b + Debt 1.23b - CCE 192.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.36 (Ebit TTM 76.8m / Interest Expense TTM 56.5m)
EV/FCF = 95.09x (Enterprise Value 7.45b / FCF TTM 78.3m)
FCF Yield = 1.05% (FCF TTM 78.3m / Enterprise Value 7.45b)
FCF Margin = 4.36% (FCF TTM 78.3m / Revenue TTM 1.80b)
Net Margin = 0.85% (Net Income TTM 15.3m / Revenue TTM 1.80b)
Gross Margin = 17.39% ((Revenue TTM 1.80b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.80% (prev 17.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.27 (Enterprise Value 7.45b / Total Assets 3.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.13% (Interest Expense 13.9m / Debt 1.23b)
Taxrate = 37.17% (5.91m / 15.9m)
NOPAT = 48.3m (EBIT 76.8m * (1 - 37.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 448.0m / Total Current Liabilities 296.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 1.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.68 (Net Debt 1.04b / EBITDA 387.8m)
Debt / FCF = 13.29 (Net Debt 1.04b / FCF TTM 78.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.48% (Net Income 15.3m / Total Assets 3.29b)
RoE = 0.98% (Net Income TTM 15.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 2.87% (EBIT 76.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 1.12b))
RoIC = 1.79% (NOPAT 48.3m / Invested Capital 2.69b)
WACC = 6.39% (E(6.41b)/V(7.64b) * Re(7.48%) + D(1.23b)/V(7.64b) * Rd(1.13%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 7.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.69%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.26% ; FCFF base≈69.4m ; Y1≈75.6m ; Y5≈95.2m
Fair Price DCF = 22.02 (EV 2.42b - Net Debt 1.04b = Equity 1.38b / Shares 62.5m; r=6.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.28% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -2.87 | EPS CAGR: -31.75% | SUE: -2.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.29 | Revenue CAGR: 20.41% | SUE: 1.24 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=+0.066 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%