Overview Dividends

(DLTR) Dollar Tree - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US2567461080

Consumables, Variety, Seasonal

Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Market Cap in USD: 26,754m

IPO / Inception: 1995-03-06
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 57.5%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -12.66%
EPS Trend: -45.0%

Last SUE: -0.48
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -10.09%
Rev. Trend: -61.0%

Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	41.0%
Value at Risk 5%th	55.6%
Relative Tail Risk	-17.58%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.55
Alpha	71.90
CAGR/Max DD	-0.06

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.587
Beta	0.637
Beta Downside	0.930

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	61.91%
Mean DD	30.40%
Median DD	30.36%

Description: DLTR Dollar Tree December 19, 2025

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) operates discount retail stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada banners across the United States and Canada, selling a mix of consumable, variety, and seasonal merchandise ranging from household essentials to holiday décor. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.

Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show total revenue of approximately $8.4 billion, with comparable-store sales growth of about 4.5 % YoY and an operating margin near 7 %. The discount-retail sector tends to benefit from higher inflation, as price-sensitive consumers shift toward low-price formats, but it remains exposed to rising minimum-wage costs and potential supply-chain disruptions that could compress margins. Dollar Tree’s inventory turnover of roughly 5.2 times per year suggests efficient stock management, yet the company’s reliance on a narrow price point (most items at $1.25) limits pricing flexibility in a tightening credit environment.

For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore Dollar Tree’s metrics on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (-2.95b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.14b TTM)

FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -0.84% (prev 0.79%; Δ -1.63pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.37b > Net Income -2.95b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (4.63b) to EBITDA (1.73b) ratio: 2.67 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (203.8m) change vs 12m ago -5.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 35.94% (prev 31.79%; Δ 4.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 102.5% (prev 119.0%; Δ -16.43pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 11.15 (EBITDA TTM 1.73b / Interest Expense TTM 94.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.50

(A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 3.73b - Total Current Liabilities 3.89b) / Total Assets 13.66b

(B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.52b / Total Assets 13.66b

(D) 0.34 = Book Value of Equity 3.46b / Total Liabilities 10.19b

Total Rating: 1.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.32

1. Piotroski 7.0pt

2. FCF Yield 5.23%

3. FCF Margin 8.66%

4. Debt/Equity 1.51

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.67

6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.53)%

7. RoE -78.98%

8. Rev. Trend -60.97%

9. EPS Trend -44.98%

What is the price of DLTR shares?

As of December 21, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 127.84 with a total of 6,133,530 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.56%, over one month by +27.90%, over three months by +34.20% and over the past year by +85.11%.

Is DLTR a buy, sell or hold?

Dollar Tree has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefor, it is recommend to hold DLTR.

Strong Buy: 8
Buy: 2
Hold: 16
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DLTR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	115.7	-9.5%
Analysts Target Price	115.7	-9.5%
ValueRay Target Price	157.2	22.9%

DLTR Fundamental Data Overview December 17, 2025

Market Cap USD = 26.75b (26.75b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.7958
P/E Forward = 19.5313
P/S = 1.411
P/B = 7.4538
P/EG = 1.1156
Beta = 0.752
Revenue TTM = 18.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.05b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.43b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.60b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.23b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.63b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 31.39b USD (26.75b + Debt 5.23b - CCE 594.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.15 (Ebit TTM 1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 94.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.23% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Enterprise Value 31.39b)
FCF Margin = 8.66% (FCF TTM 1.64b / Revenue TTM 18.96b)
Net Margin = -15.57% (Net Income TTM -2.95b / Revenue TTM 18.96b)
Gross Margin = 35.94% ((Revenue TTM 18.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.15b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.89% (prev 34.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.30 (Enterprise Value 31.39b / Total Assets 13.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.42% (Interest Expense 21.9m / Debt 5.23b)
Taxrate = 23.87% (76.7m / 321.3m)
NOPAT = 798.5m (EBIT 1.05b * (1 - 23.87%))
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 3.73b / Total Current Liabilities 3.89b)
Debt / Equity = 1.51 (Debt 5.23b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.67 (Net Debt 4.63b / EBITDA 1.73b)
Debt / FCF = 2.82 (Net Debt 4.63b / FCF TTM 1.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.62% (Net Income -2.95b / Total Assets 13.66b)
RoE = -78.98% (Net Income TTM -2.95b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.74b)
RoCE = 17.00% (EBIT 1.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.74b + L.T.Debt 2.43b))
RoIC = 11.58% (NOPAT 798.5m / Invested Capital 6.90b)
WACC = 7.05% (E(26.75b)/V(31.98b) * Re(8.36%) + D(5.23b)/V(31.98b) * Rd(0.42%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.58%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.42% ; FCFE base≈1.33b ; Y1≈1.64b ; Y5≈2.79b
Fair Price DCF = 224.8 (DCF Value 44.70b / Shares Outstanding 198.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -44.98 | EPS CAGR: -12.66% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.97 | Revenue CAGR: -10.09% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+0.006 | Revisions Net=+7 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=+0.302 | Revisions Net=+23 | Growth EPS=+16.9% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%

Additional Sources for DLTR Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle