Overview Dividends

(DLTR) Dollar Tree - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US2567461080

Consumables, Variety, Seasonal, Housewares, Crafts

Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
Market Cap in USD: 21,249m

IPO / Inception: 1995-03-06
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 35.4%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -5.71%
EPS Trend: -30.8%

Last SUE: 2.73
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -8.65%
Rev. Trend: -49.1%

Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	47.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	67.0%
Relative Tail Risk	-14.57%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.23
Alpha	47.46
CAGR/Max DD	-0.16

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.553
Beta	0.618
Beta Downside	0.938

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	61.91%
Mean DD	30.12%
Median DD	30.20%

Description: DLTR Dollar Tree October 16, 2025

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) operates a network of discount retail stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada banners across the United States and Canada. Its merchandise mix is split into three categories: consumables (e.g., household paper, food, personal-care items), variety goods (e.g., toys, housewares, stationery), and seasonal products (e.g., holiday décor). Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, the firm positions itself as a one-price-point retailer, primarily offering items at $1.25 or less in the U.S. market.

Key recent metrics: FY2023 revenue reached approximately $8.6 billion, with comparable-store sales (same-store sales growth) expanding 5.2% year-over-year, driven by resilient low-income consumer spending amid elevated inflation. The company’s operating margin held steady around 7.5%, reflecting efficient cost control despite rising freight and labor expenses. A sector-wide driver is the macro-economic trend of “price-sensitive” shoppers shifting toward discount formats when discretionary income is constrained, which has historically bolstered Dollar Tree’s traffic and sales.

For a deeper, data-rich analysis of Dollar Tree’s valuation dynamics and scenario modeling, you may find ValueRay’s research platform worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (-2.96b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.31b TTM)

FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 10.53pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 0.58% (prev 0.34%; Δ 0.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.50b > Net Income -2.96b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (4.25b) to EBITDA (1.98b) ratio: 2.14 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (207.8m) change vs 12m ago -3.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 34.22% (prev 31.48%; Δ 2.74pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 121.0% (prev 121.6%; Δ -0.62pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 13.17 (EBITDA TTM 1.98b / Interest Expense TTM 99.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.83

(A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 3.61b - Total Current Liabilities 3.49b) / Total Assets 13.38b

(B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.66b / Total Assets 13.38b

(D) 0.37 = Book Value of Equity 3.61b / Total Liabilities 9.78b

Total Rating: 1.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.59

1. Piotroski 6.0pt

2. FCF Yield 6.60%

3. FCF Margin 7.73%

4. Debt/Equity 1.36

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.14

6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.38)%

7. RoE -61.99%

8. Rev. Trend -49.10%

9. EPS Trend -30.81%

What is the price of DLTR shares?

As of November 29, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 110.81 with a total of 2,147,736 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.83%, over one month by +7.90%, over three months by -1.50% and over the past year by +55.48%.

Is DLTR a buy, sell or hold?

Dollar Tree has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefor, it is recommend to hold DLTR.

Strong Buy: 8
Buy: 2
Hold: 16
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DLTR price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	108.6	-2%
Analysts Target Price	108.6	-2%
ValueRay Target Price	117.3	5.8%

DLTR Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025

Market Cap USD = 21.25b (21.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.7326
P/E Forward = 15.7729
P/S = 1.1455
P/B = 5.7607
P/EG = 1.1156
Beta = 0.764
Revenue TTM = 21.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.98b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.43b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.28b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 25.50b USD (21.25b + Debt 4.91b - CCE 666.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.17 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM 99.7m)
FCF Yield = 6.60% (FCF TTM 1.68b / Enterprise Value 25.50b)
FCF Margin = 7.73% (FCF TTM 1.68b / Revenue TTM 21.78b)
Net Margin = -13.61% (Net Income TTM -2.96b / Revenue TTM 21.78b)
Gross Margin = 34.22% ((Revenue TTM 21.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.32b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.43% (prev 35.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.90 (Enterprise Value 25.50b / Total Assets 13.38b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.46% (Interest Expense 22.8m / Debt 4.91b)
Taxrate = 25.46% (53.1m / 208.6m)
NOPAT = 978.9m (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 25.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 3.61b / Total Current Liabilities 3.49b)
Debt / Equity = 1.36 (Debt 4.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.14 (Net Debt 4.25b / EBITDA 1.98b)
Debt / FCF = 2.52 (Net Debt 4.25b / FCF TTM 1.68b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.78b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -22.14% (Net Income -2.96b / Total Assets 13.38b)
RoE = -61.99% (Net Income TTM -2.96b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.78b)
RoCE = 18.21% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.78b + L.T.Debt 2.43b))
RoIC = 12.18% (NOPAT 978.9m / Invested Capital 8.04b)
WACC = 6.80% (E(21.25b)/V(26.16b) * Re(8.29%) + D(4.91b)/V(26.16b) * Rd(0.46%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.64%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.65% ; FCFE base≈1.19b ; Y1≈1.47b ; Y5≈2.51b
Fair Price DCF = 199.7 (DCF Value 40.74b / Shares Outstanding 204.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -30.81 | EPS CAGR: -5.71% | SUE: 2.73 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -49.10 | Revenue CAGR: -8.65% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for DLTR Stock

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