(DLTR) Dollar Tree - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Discount Stores | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 22.327m USD | Total Return: 19.9% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 403M
EPS Trend: 7.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -94.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Dollar Tree, Inc. is a North American discount retailer operating under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada banners. Headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia, the company focuses on a high-turnover inventory mix consisting of consumables, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods. The business model relies on a fixed-price point strategy and supply chain efficiency to maintain margins within the low-price retail segment.
The company operates within the Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail sub-industry, a sector characterized by defensive demand patterns as consumers often pivot to discount channels during inflationary periods. Unlike traditional big-box retailers, extreme value stores like Dollar Tree utilize smaller store footprints to increase location density in both urban and rural markets. For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay. This operational structure allows the firm to capture frequent, small-basket shopping trips for everyday essential items.
- Multi-price point transition at Dollar Tree stores expands merchandise variety and margins
- Family Dollar segment restructuring and store closures impact long-term profitability outlook
- Rising freight costs and supply chain disruptions pressure consolidated gross margins
- SNAP benefit reductions and consumer inflation dampen discretionary variety merchandise demand
- Competitive pricing pressure from big-box retailers affects low-income consumer market share
| Net Income: 1.29b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.60% < 20% (prev 1.46%; Δ 1.14% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 > 3% & CFO 2.69b > Net Income 1.29b |
| Net Debt (3.65b) to EBITDA (2.34b): 1.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.16 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (197.4m) vs 12m ago -7.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.71% > 18% (prev 32.95%; Δ 3.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.0% > 50% (prev 134.4%; Δ -11.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 21.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.69b / Interest Expense TTM 79.1m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 3.70b - Total Current Liabilities 3.18b) / Total Assets 13.8b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 3.56b / Total Assets 13.8b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 1.69b / Avg Total Assets 16.1b) |
| D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 3.51b / Total Liabilities 10.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.15 = BBB |
As of June 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 109.39 with a total of 3,283,165 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.74%,
over one month by +16.31%,
over three months by -8.75% and
over the past year by +19.89%.
Dollar Tree has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DLTR.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 121.3 | 10.9% |
P/E Trailing = 18.6485
P/E Forward = 14.3472
P/S = 0.9617
P/B = 4.9717
P/EG = 1.196
Revenue TTM = 19.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.69b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.43b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.01b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.66b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 4.62b already included)
Net Debt = 3.65b USD (calculated: Debt 4.66b - CCE 1.01b)
Enterprise Value = 26.0b USD (22.3b + Debt 4.66b - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.33 (Ebit TTM 1.69b / Interest Expense TTM 79.1m)
EV/FCF = 16.67x (Enterprise Value 26.0b / FCF TTM 1.56b)
FCF Yield = 6.00% (FCF TTM 1.56b / Enterprise Value 26.0b)
FCF Margin = 7.89% (FCF TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 19.7b)
Net Margin = 6.51% (Net Income TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 19.7b)
Gross Margin = 36.71% ((Revenue TTM 19.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.87% (prev 39.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.88 (Enterprise Value 26.0b / Total Assets 13.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.70% (Interest Expense 79.1m / Debt 4.66b)
Taxrate = 24.55% (409.7m / 1.67b)
NOPAT = 1.27b (EBIT 1.69b * (1 - 24.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 3.70b / Total Current Liabilities 3.18b)
Debt / Equity = 1.33 (Debt 4.66b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.56 (Net Debt 3.65b / EBITDA 2.34b)
Debt / FCF = 2.34 (Net Debt 3.65b / FCF TTM 1.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.58b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.01% (Net Income 1.29b / Total Assets 13.8b)
RoE = 35.90% (Net Income TTM 1.29b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.58b)
RoCE = 28.05% (EBIT 1.69b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.58b + L.T.Debt 2.43b))
RoIC = 11.95% (NOPAT 1.27b / Invested Capital 10.7b)
WACC = 7.66% (E(22.3b)/V(27.0b) * Re(8.99%) + D(4.66b)/V(27.0b) * Rd(1.70%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.40 | Cagr: -4.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.30% ; FCFF base≈1.57b ; Y1≈1.56b ; Y5≈1.62b
[DCF] Fair Price = 112.5 (EV 25.3b - Net Debt 3.65b = Equity 21.6b / Shares 192.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -1.05% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 7.00 | EPS CAGR: 0.45% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -94.34 | Revenue CAGR: -16.80% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=+2.55% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.84 | Chg30d=+1.90% | Revisions=-64% | GrowthEPS=+18.9% | GrowthRev=+6.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=7.39 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=-64% | GrowthEPS=+8.1% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -64%