(DNUT) Krispy Kreme - Overview
Stock: Doughnuts, Coffee, Beverages, Merchandise, Franchise
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.78% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.17% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 700.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.93 |
| Alpha | -81.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.183 |
| Beta Downside | 0.898 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.87% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.42 |
Description: DNUT Krispy Kreme December 27, 2025
Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) manufactures and sells doughnuts across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, operating through three reporting segments: U.S., International, and Market Development. The firm distributes its products via company-owned and franchised retail shops, as well as through branded cabinets and merchandising units in grocery, convenience, drug-store, and quick-service locations, supplemented by digital channels and club memberships.
In FY 2023 the company reported net revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, driven by a 9 % year-over-year increase in same-store sales in the U.S. segment and a 12 % rise in international franchise royalty income, reflecting the effectiveness of its mixed-model expansion strategy.
Key economic and sector drivers include: (1) consumer discretionary spending trends-indulgent, low-price treats tend to perform well when disposable income rises; (2) inflationary pressure on input costs such as wheat and sugar, which the company mitigates through long-term commodity contracts; and (3) the growing “snack-at-home” culture that fuels demand for ready-to-eat bakery items in both retail and e-commerce channels.
For a deeper dive into Krispy Kreme’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might explore the detailed breakdown on ValueRay to see how these drivers translate into projected earnings.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -510.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.56 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -18.72% < 20% (prev -18.17%; Δ -0.54% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 15.9m > Net Income -510.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (171.2m) vs 12m ago -0.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 62.59% > 18% (prev 0.75%; Δ 6184 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.15% > 50% (prev 55.86%; Δ -1.71% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -7.32 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -337.5m / Interest Expense TTM 64.8m) |
Altman Z'' -3.29
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 161.8m - Total Current Liabilities 448.9m) / Total Assets 2.60b |
| B: -0.31 (Retained Earnings -793.6m / Total Assets 2.60b) |
| C: -0.17 (EBIT TTM -474.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.83b) |
| D: -0.42 (Book Value of Equity -801.2m / Total Liabilities 1.91b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.29 = D |
Beneish M -3.18
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 73.5m/81.4m, Revenue 1.53b/1.71b) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 62.59% / 75.26%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.65) |
| SGI: 0.90 (Revenue 1.53b / 1.71b) |
| TATA: -0.20 (NI -510.4m - CFO 15.9m) / TA 2.60b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.18 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of DNUT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.32%, over one month by -28.67%, over three months by -19.18% and over the past year by -64.16%.
Is DNUT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the DNUT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3.9 | 23.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3.9 | 23.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.4 | -23.1% |
DNUT Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/B = 0.7999
Revenue TTM = 1.53b USD
EBIT TTM = -474.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -337.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 495.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 121.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.41b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.95b USD (539.6m + Debt 1.44b - CCE 31.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.32 (Ebit TTM -474.6m / Interest Expense TTM 64.8m)
EV/FCF = -19.70x (Enterprise Value 1.95b / FCF TTM -98.8m)
FCF Yield = -5.08% (FCF TTM -98.8m / Enterprise Value 1.95b)
FCF Margin = -6.44% (FCF TTM -98.8m / Revenue TTM 1.53b)
Net Margin = -33.27% (Net Income TTM -510.4m / Revenue TTM 1.53b)
Gross Margin = 62.59% ((Revenue TTM 1.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 574.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.15% (prev 75.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 1.95b / Total Assets 2.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 16.4m / Debt 1.44b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -375.0m (EBIT -474.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 161.8m / Total Current Liabilities 448.9m)
Debt / Equity = 2.14 (Debt 1.44b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 672.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.17 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.41b / EBITDA -337.5m)
Debt / FCF = -14.24 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.41b / FCF TTM -98.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 900.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -18.01% (Net Income -510.4m / Total Assets 2.60b)
RoE = -56.69% (Net Income TTM -510.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 900.5m)
RoCE = -34.00% (EBIT -474.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 900.5m + L.T.Debt 495.7m))
RoIC = -23.41% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -375.0m / Invested Capital 1.60b)
WACC = 3.46% (E(539.6m)/V(1.98b) * Re(10.27%) + D(1.44b)/V(1.98b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.14%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -98.8m)
EPS Correlation: -39.73 | EPS CAGR: -0.82% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 12.29 | Revenue CAGR: 0.34% | SUE: -0.35 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=+0.017 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+53.2% | Growth Revenue=-2.2%