DNUT Stock Analysis: Krispy Kreme | NASDAQ
Grocery Stores | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 572m USD | 12M Return: 7.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.3M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -70.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Krispy Kreme, Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) is a global doughnut producer and retailer headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, founded in 1937 and renamed from Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. in May 2021. The company manufactures and sells doughnuts across the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, Canada, Japan, and other international markets, operating through three reportable segments: U.S., International, and Market Development.
The business operates a hybrid model common to the restaurant sector, combining company-owned retail shops, franchised locations, and branded distribution partnerships. Its branded cabinets and merchandising units supply fresh doughnuts daily to grocery stores, convenience stores, quick service restaurants, club memberships, drug stores, and digital delivery platforms, extending reach beyond its brick-and-mortar footprint. Signature retail formats such as the hot light theater - where customers can watch doughnuts being made and finished - are a key element of the brands experiential positioning within the consumer discretionary restaurants sub-industry.
- International segment expansion drives franchise unit growth
- U.S. hub-and-spoke model faces consumer spending pressure
- Input cost inflation squeezes doughnut margins
| Net Income: -510.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -17.11% < 20% (prev -18.24%; Δ 1.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 74.9m > Net Income -510.7m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.42 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (172.0m) vs 12m ago 1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.08% > 18% (prev 75.41%; Δ -27.33% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.31% > 50% (prev 51.72%; Δ 3.59% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -7.00 > 6 (EBIT TTM -456.8m / Interest Expense TTM 65.2m) |
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 186.9m - Total Current Liabilities 446.0m) / Total Assets 2.39b |
| B: -0.35 (Retained Earnings -844.2m / Total Assets 2.39b) |
| C: -0.17 (EBIT TTM -456.8m / Avg Total Assets 2.74b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 631.8m / Total Liabilities 1.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.61 = D |
| DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 64.4m/86.2m, Revenue 1.51b/1.60b) |
| GMI: 1.57 (GM 75.41% / 48.08%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.64) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 1.51b / 1.60b) |
| TATA: -0.25 (NI -510.7m - CFO 74.9m) / TA 2.39b) |
| Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.47 with a total of 1,892,274 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.29%, over one month by -13.03%, over three months by +4.83% and over the past year by +7.76%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.10 (which is 10.7% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Krispy Kreme has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.22. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DNUT.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 4.4 | 25.4% |
P/S = 0.3779
P/B = 0.9578
Revenue TTM = 1.51b USD
EBIT TTM = -456.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -321.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 829.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 103.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.32b USD (corrected: LT Debt 829.7m + ST Debt 103.5m) + Leases 386.0m
Net Debt = 1.24b USD (calculated: Debt 1.32b - CCE 74.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.82b USD (572.4m + Debt 1.32b - CCE 74.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.00 (Ebit TTM -456.8m / Interest Expense TTM 65.2m)
EV/FCF = -308.4x (Enterprise Value 1.82b / FCF TTM -5.89m)
FCF Yield = -0.32% (FCF TTM -5.89m / Enterprise Value 1.82b)
FCF Margin = -0.39% (FCF TTM -5.89m / Revenue TTM 1.51b)
Net Margin = -33.72% (Net Income TTM -510.7m / Revenue TTM 1.51b)
Gross Margin = 48.08% ((Revenue TTM 1.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 786.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.93% (prev 76.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 1.82b / Total Assets 2.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.94% (Interest Expense 65.2m / Debt 1.32b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -360.8m (EBIT -456.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.42 (Total Current Assets 186.9m / Total Current Liabilities 446.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.09 (Debt 1.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 631.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.87 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.24b / EBITDA -321.5m)
Debt / FCF = -211.3 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 1.24b / FCF TTM -5.89m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 663.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -18.65% (Net Income -510.7m / Total Assets 2.39b)
RoE = -76.98% (Net Income TTM -510.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 663.4m)
RoCE = -30.59% (EBIT -456.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 663.4m + L.T.Debt 829.7m))
RoIC = -18.32% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -360.8m / Invested Capital 1.97b)
WACC = 5.65% (E(572.4m)/V(1.89b) * Re(9.67%) + D(1.32b)/V(1.89b) * Rd(4.94%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 60.0 | Cagr: 0.35%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -5.89m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -70.49 | Revenue CAGR: -3.85% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.02 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.01 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=+152.36% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+121.1% | GrowthRev=-12.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+153.5% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)