DORM Stock Analysis: Dorman Products | NASDAQ

Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.417m USD | 12M Return: -2.5% | US2582781009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Aftermarket Parts, Engine, Suspension, Electronics
Total Rating 63
Safety 90
Buy Signal -0.11
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +3.4
Market Cap: 4.42B
Avg Turnover: 39.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility52.7%
VaR 5th Pctl8.04%
VaR vs Median-6.39%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.01
Rel. Str. IBD40
Rel. Str. Peer Group57.4
Character TTM
Beta0.722
Beta Downside0.830
Hurst Exponent0.419
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD39.58%
CAGR/Max DD0.44
CAGR/Mean DD1.40
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of DORM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.1, "2021-09": 1.18, "2021-12": 1.33, "2022-03": 1.29, "2022-06": 1.29, "2022-09": 1.17, "2022-12": 1.01, "2023-03": 0.56, "2023-06": 1.01, "2023-09": 1.4, "2023-12": 1.57, "2024-03": 1.31, "2024-06": 1.67, "2024-09": 1.96, "2024-12": 2.2, "2025-03": 2.02, "2025-06": 2.06, "2025-09": 2.62, "2025-12": 2.17, "2026-03": 1.57, "2026-06": 3.08,
EPS CAGR: 35.07%
EPS Trend: 95.3%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of DORM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 310.635, 2021-09: 348.426, 2021-12: 398.176, 2022-03: 401.579, 2022-06: 417.419, 2022-09: 413.47, 2022-12: 501.281, 2023-03: 466.738, 2023-06: 480.568, 2023-09: 488.186, 2023-12: 494.296, 2024-03: 468.701, 2024-06: 502.951, 2024-09: 503.773, 2024-12: 533.772, 2025-03: 507.692, 2025-06: 540.959, 2025-09: 543.736, 2025-12: 537.932, 2026-03: 528.77, 2026-06: 544.598,
Rev. CAGR: 4.95%
Rev. Trend: 97.5%
Last SUE: -1.96
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 5
Feb -0.9% 19
Mar -1.1% 8
Apr -0.7% 5
May +1.0% 21
Jun +0.6% 8
Jul -0.5% 7
Aug +0.2% 2
Sep -1.7% 31
Oct -3.3% 40
Nov +6.5% 59
Dec -2.6% 38

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: DORM Dorman Products

Dorman Products (NASDAQ: DORM) is a U.S.-based supplier of replacement and upgrade parts for the motor vehicle aftermarket, founded in 1918 and headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania. The company operates through three segments-Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle-offering a broad catalog spanning engine, undercar, steering and suspension, body, electronics, and hardware products to aftermarket retailers, dealers, and wholesale distributors in the U.S. and abroad.

Dormans parts are sold under multiple brands, including DORMAN, DORMAN OE FIX, HELP!, Conduct-Tite, Dayton Parts, SuperATV, and Keller Performance Products. A key element of its offering is the OE FIX line of upgraded replacement designs-covering items such as exhaust manifolds, aluminum oil filter housings, and metal heater hose connectors-intended to address common shortcomings in original-equipment parts. As a pure-play aftermarket supplier, the companys revenue is tied to the repair and maintenance of vehicles already in service rather than new-vehicle production.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Aging US vehicle parc drives Light Duty replacement parts demand
  • Tariff exposure on overseas sourcing pressures product gross margins
  • SuperATV and Specialty Vehicle segment outpaces core Light Duty growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 219.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.93 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 52.04% < 20% (prev 43.46%; Δ 8.58% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 250.2m > Net Income 219.3m
Net Debt (489.5m) to EBITDA (424.6m): 1.15 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.60 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.0m) vs 12m ago -2.23% < -2%
Gross Margin: 42.07% > 18% (prev 40.88%; Δ 1.20% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 86.69% > 50% (prev 84.41%; Δ 2.28% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 368.9m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m)
Altman Z'' 7.35
A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 1.55b - Total Current Liabilities 431.8m) / Total Assets 2.50b
B: 0.55 (Retained Earnings 1.38b / Total Assets 2.50b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 368.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.49b)
D: 1.54 (Book Value of Equity 1.52b / Total Liabilities 985.1m)
Altman-Z'' = 7.35 = AAA
Beneish M -3.10
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 554.1m/532.1m, Revenue 2.16b/2.09b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 40.88% / 42.07%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.31)
SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 2.16b / 2.09b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 219.3m - CFO 250.2m) / TA 2.50b)
Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of DORM shares?

As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 137.58 with a total of 289,850 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.30%, over one month by -1.78%, over three months by +12.21% and over the past year by -2.49%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 125.00 (which is 9.1% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is DORM a buy, sell or hold?

Dorman Products has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DORM.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DORM price?
Analysts Target Price 154.1 12%
Dorman Products (DORM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.42b (4.42b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.8003
P/E Forward = 16.2338
P/S = 2.0529
P/B = 2.713
P/EG = 1.1703
Revenue TTM = 2.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 368.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 424.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 402.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 37.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 621.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 93.2m
Net Debt = 489.5m USD (calculated: Debt 621.5m - CCE 132.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.91b USD (4.42b + Debt 621.5m - CCE 132.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.10 (Ebit TTM 368.9m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m)
EV/FCF = 22.91x (Enterprise Value 4.91b / FCF TTM 214.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.37% (FCF TTM 214.2m / Enterprise Value 4.91b)
FCF Margin = 9.94% (FCF TTM 214.2m / Revenue TTM 2.16b)
Net Margin = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 219.3m / Revenue TTM 2.16b)
Gross Margin = 42.07% ((Revenue TTM 2.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.13% (prev 35.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 4.91b / Total Assets 2.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.21% (Interest Expense 26.2m / Debt 621.5m)
Taxrate = 25.97% (76.9m / 296.2m)
NOPAT = 273.1m (EBIT 368.9m * (1 - 25.97%))
Current Ratio = 3.60 (Total Current Assets 1.55b / Total Current Liabilities 431.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 621.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 489.5m / EBITDA 424.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.29 (Net Debt 489.5m / FCF TTM 214.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.82% (Net Income 219.3m / Total Assets 2.50b)
RoE = 14.76% (Net Income TTM 219.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.49b)
RoCE = 19.54% (EBIT 368.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.49b + L.T.Debt 402.4m))
RoIC = 13.67% (NOPAT 273.1m / Invested Capital 2.00b)
WACC = 7.85% (E(4.42b)/V(5.04b) * Re(8.52%) + D(621.5m)/V(5.04b) * Rd(4.21%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.86 | Cagr: -1.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈184.2m ; Y1≈211.2m ; Y5≈310.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 140.1 (EV 4.68b - Net Debt 489.5m = Equity 4.19b / Shares 29.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.34 | EPS CAGR: 35.07% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.52 | Revenue CAGR: 4.95% | SUE: -1.96 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.28 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=-6.7% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.38 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=11, down=6)