DORM Stock Analysis: Dorman Products | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.078m USD | 12M Return: 11.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 38.5M
EPS Trend: 96.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dorman Products (NASDAQ: DORM) is a U.S.-based supplier of replacement and upgrade parts for the motor vehicle aftermarket, founded in 1918 and headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania. The company operates through three segments-Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle-offering a broad catalog spanning engine, undercar, steering and suspension, body, electronics, and hardware products to aftermarket retailers, dealers, and wholesale distributors in the U.S. and abroad.
Dormans parts are sold under multiple brands, including DORMAN, DORMAN OE FIX, HELP!, Conduct-Tite, Dayton Parts, SuperATV, and Keller Performance Products. A key element of its offering is the OE FIX line of upgraded replacement designs-covering items such as exhaust manifolds, aluminum oil filter housings, and metal heater hose connectors-intended to address common shortcomings in original-equipment parts. As a pure-play aftermarket supplier, the companys revenue is tied to the repair and maintenance of vehicles already in service rather than new-vehicle production.
- Aging US vehicle parc drives Light Duty replacement parts demand
- Tariff exposure on overseas sourcing pressures product gross margins
- SuperATV and Specialty Vehicle segment outpaces core Light Duty growth
| Net Income: 190.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 47.75% < 20% (prev 41.49%; Δ 6.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 106.2m > Net Income 190.2m |
| Net Debt (598.4m) to EBITDA (340.5m): 1.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.29 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.4m) vs 12m ago -1.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.67% > 18% (prev 40.65%; Δ 0.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.48% > 50% (prev 84.37%; Δ 4.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 284.6m / Interest Expense TTM 27.0m) |
| A: 0.42 (Total Current Assets 1.48b - Total Current Liabilities 448.1m) / Total Assets 2.44b |
| B: 0.55 (Retained Earnings 1.34b / Total Assets 2.44b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 284.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.43b) |
| D: 1.51 (Book Value of Equity 1.47b / Total Liabilities 968.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.93 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 503.0m/555.1m, Revenue 2.15b/2.05b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 40.65% / 40.67%) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 2.15b / 2.05b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 190.2m - CFO 106.2m) / TA 2.44b) |
| Beneish M = -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 139.64 with a total of 259,317 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.34%, over one month by +8.83%, over three months by +37.93% and over the past year by +11.81%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 134.50 (which is 3.7% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Dorman Products has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.75. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DORM.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 152.3 | 9% |
P/E Trailing = 22.0081
P/E Forward = 16.6389
P/S = 1.8953
P/B = 2.78
P/EG = 1.1703
Revenue TTM = 2.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 284.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 340.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 402.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 52.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 641.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 93.2m
Net Debt = 598.4m USD (calculated: Debt 641.5m - CCE 43.1m)
Enterprise Value = 4.68b USD (4.08b + Debt 641.5m - CCE 43.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.53 (Ebit TTM 284.6m / Interest Expense TTM 27.0m)
EV/FCF = 66.12x (Enterprise Value 4.68b / FCF TTM 70.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.51% (FCF TTM 70.7m / Enterprise Value 4.68b)
FCF Margin = 3.29% (FCF TTM 70.7m / Revenue TTM 2.15b)
Net Margin = 8.84% (Net Income TTM 190.2m / Revenue TTM 2.15b)
Gross Margin = 40.67% ((Revenue TTM 2.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.96% (prev 41.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.92 (Enterprise Value 4.68b / Total Assets 2.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.21% (Interest Expense 27.0m / Debt 641.5m)
Taxrate = 26.15% (67.3m / 257.6m)
NOPAT = 210.2m (EBIT 284.6m * (1 - 26.15%))
Current Ratio = 3.29 (Total Current Assets 1.48b / Total Current Liabilities 448.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 641.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.76 (Net Debt 598.4m / EBITDA 340.5m)
Debt / FCF = 8.46 (Net Debt 598.4m / FCF TTM 70.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.82% (Net Income 190.2m / Total Assets 2.44b)
RoE = 13.06% (Net Income TTM 190.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.46b)
RoCE = 15.31% (EBIT 284.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.46b + L.T.Debt 402.5m))
RoIC = 10.53% (NOPAT 210.2m / Invested Capital 2.00b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(4.08b)/V(4.72b) * Re(8.06%) + D(641.5m)/V(4.72b) * Rd(4.21%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -64.44 | Cagr: -1.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈118.7m ; Y1≈104.1m ; Y5≈84.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 25.15 (EV 1.35b - Net Debt 598.4m = Equity 751.5m / Shares 29.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.48 | EPS CAGR: 39.81% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.92 | Revenue CAGR: 5.27% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=-1.05% | Revisions=-10% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=+44% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.28 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-22% | GrowthEPS=-6.7% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.37 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+13.2% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +15% (up=14, down=10)