DORM Stock Analysis: Dorman Products | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.652m USD | 12M Return: -16.4% | US2582781009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 25.6M
EPS Trend: 95.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 97.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) is a U.S.-based supplier of replacement and upgrade parts for the motor vehicle aftermarket, operating both domestically and internationally through three segments: Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle. Its product portfolio spans engine, undercar, steering and suspension, body, electronics, and hardware categories, along with its branded OE FIX line of redesigned replacement parts that address common flaws or installation challenges in original equipment components. The company sells under multiple brands-including DORMAN, DORMAN OE FIX, HELP!, Conduct-Tite, Dayton Parts, and SuperATV-via aftermarket retailers, dealers, and wholesale distributors.
Founded in 1918 and headquartered in Colmar, Pennsylvania, Dorman has been publicly traded since its 1991 IPO and is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sectors Automotive Parts & Equipment sub-industry. The automotive aftermarket tends to be less cyclical than new vehicle manufacturing, as demand is largely driven by the size and age of the existing vehicle population, miles driven, and average vehicle age rather than new car sales.
- Aging US vehicle fleet lifts Light Duty aftermarket demand
- SuperATV and Specialty Vehicle segment revenue accelerates double digits
- Tariff and freight costs pressure gross margins
| Net Income: 219.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.93 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 52.04% < 20% (prev 43.46%; Δ 8.58% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 250.2m > Net Income 219.3m |
| Net Debt (484.0m) to EBITDA (378.3m): 1.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.0m) vs 12m ago -2.23% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.07% > 18% (prev 40.88%; Δ 1.20% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 86.69% > 50% (prev 84.41%; Δ 2.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.33 > 6 (EBIT TTM 322.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m) |
| A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 1.55b - Total Current Liabilities 431.8m) / Total Assets 2.50b |
| B: 0.55 (Retained Earnings 1.38b / Total Assets 2.50b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 322.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.49b) |
| D: 1.54 (Book Value of Equity 1.52b / Total Liabilities 985.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 7.23 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 554.1m/532.1m, Revenue 2.16b/2.09b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 40.88% / 42.07%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 2.16b / 2.09b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 219.3m - CFO 250.2m) / TA 2.50b) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 123.44 with a total of 285,186 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.22%, over one month by -4.15%, over three months by -11.87% and over the past year by -16.37%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 117.60 (which is 4.7% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).
Dorman Products has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DORM.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 161.6 | 30.9% |
P/E Trailing = 17.068
P/E Forward = 13.5318
P/S = 1.6946
P/B = 2.3687
P/EG = 1.1703
Revenue TTM = 2.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 322.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 378.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 440.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 616.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 87.8m
Net Debt = 484.0m USD (calculated: Debt 616.0m - CCE 132.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.14b USD (3.65b + Debt 616.0m - CCE 132.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.33 (Ebit TTM 322.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m)
EV/FCF = 19.31x (Enterprise Value 4.14b / FCF TTM 214.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.18% (FCF TTM 214.2m / Enterprise Value 4.14b)
FCF Margin = 9.94% (FCF TTM 214.2m / Revenue TTM 2.16b)
Net Margin = 10.18% (Net Income TTM 219.3m / Revenue TTM 2.16b)
Gross Margin = 42.07% ((Revenue TTM 2.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.13% (prev 35.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.65 (Enterprise Value 4.14b / Total Assets 2.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.25% (Interest Expense 26.2m / Debt 616.0m)
Taxrate = 25.97% (76.9m / 296.2m)
NOPAT = 238.7m (EBIT 322.4m * (1 - 25.97%))
Current Ratio = 3.60 (Total Current Assets 1.55b / Total Current Liabilities 431.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 616.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.28 (Net Debt 484.0m / EBITDA 378.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.26 (Net Debt 484.0m / FCF TTM 214.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.49b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.82% (Net Income 219.3m / Total Assets 2.50b)
RoE = 14.76% (Net Income TTM 219.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.49b)
RoCE = 16.74% (EBIT 322.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.49b + L.T.Debt 440.5m))
RoIC = 11.94% (NOPAT 238.7m / Invested Capital 2.00b)
WACC = 7.64% (E(3.65b)/V(4.27b) * Re(8.40%) + D(616.0m)/V(4.27b) * Rd(4.25%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -85.86 | Cagr: -1.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈184.2m ; Y1≈211.2m ; Y5≈310.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 141.3 (EV 4.68b - Net Debt 484.0m = Equity 4.19b / Shares 29.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.34 | EPS CAGR: 35.07% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.52 | Revenue CAGR: 4.95% | SUE: -1.96 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.00 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=-73% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.66 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=-2.4% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.20 | Chg30d=-1.00% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -10% (up=8, down=10)