DPZ Stock Analysis: Domino's Pizza Common Stock | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.019m USD | 12M Return: -23.7% | US25754A2015 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 221M
EPS Trend: 91.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dominos Pizza, Inc. (NASDAQ: DPZ) is a global pizza company headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan, founded in 1960 and publicly traded since its 2004 IPO. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain, distributing its products primarily through a franchise-based model alongside company-owned locations.
Beyond its core pizza offerings, Dominos menu includes bread products, wings, boneless chicken, pastas, oven-baked sandwiches, soft drinks, and desserts, with signature items such as parmesan stuffed crust pizza, garlic and cinnamon bread bites, and chocolate volcano pizzas. As a member of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Restaurants sub-industry, Dominos operates in the highly competitive quick-service restaurant (QSR) segment, where its asset-light, franchise-driven structure is typical of leading global pizza chains.
- International franchise comp sales accelerate across global markets
- Cheese and wheat cost inflation pressures restaurant margins
- Share repurchase program continues to boost earnings per share
| Net Income: 596.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.37 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.21 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.30% < 20% (prev -14.24%; Δ 20.54% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.44 > 3% & CFO 777.8m > Net Income 596.5m |
| Net Debt (5.20b) to EBITDA (1.01b): 5.17 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.54 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.3m) vs 12m ago -3.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.02% > 18% (prev 39.61%; Δ 0.41% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 281.3% > 50% (prev 264.0%; Δ 17.34% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.63 > 6 (EBIT TTM 917.3m / Interest Expense TTM 198.0m) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 905.4m - Total Current Liabilities 588.7m) / Total Assets 1.76b |
| B: -2.26 (Retained Earnings -3.98b / Total Assets 1.76b) |
| C: 0.51 (EBIT TTM 917.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.79b) |
| D: -0.69 (Book Value of Equity -3.98b / Total Liabilities 5.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.45 = D |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 303.2m/284.6m, Revenue 5.03b/4.78b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 39.61% / 40.02%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.16) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 5.03b / 4.78b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 596.5m - CFO 777.8m) / TA 1.76b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 308.65 with a total of 916,737 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.63%, over one month by -7.41%, over three months by +2.71% and over the past year by -23.74%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 293.90 (which is 4.8% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Domino's Pizza Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.87. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DPZ.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 373.4 | 21% |
P/E Trailing = 17.1695
P/E Forward = 14.1844
P/S = 1.9928
P/EG = 1.354
Revenue TTM = 5.03b USD
EBIT TTM = 917.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.01b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.88b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 53.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.36b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 239.2m
Net Debt = 5.20b USD (calculated: Debt 5.36b - CCE 164.8m)
Enterprise Value = 15.2b USD (10.0b + Debt 5.36b - CCE 164.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.63 (Ebit TTM 917.3m / Interest Expense TTM 198.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.29x (Enterprise Value 15.2b / FCF TTM 653.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.29% (FCF TTM 653.5m / Enterprise Value 15.2b)
FCF Margin = 13.00% (FCF TTM 653.5m / Revenue TTM 5.03b)
Net Margin = 11.86% (Net Income TTM 596.5m / Revenue TTM 5.03b)
Gross Margin = 40.02% ((Revenue TTM 5.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.04% (prev 40.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.63 (Enterprise Value 15.2b / Total Assets 1.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.69% (Interest Expense 198.0m / Debt 5.36b)
Taxrate = 22.07% (169.0m / 765.5m)
NOPAT = 714.8m (EBIT 917.3m * (1 - 22.07%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 905.4m / Total Current Liabilities 588.7m)
Debt / Equity = -1.35 (negative equity) (Debt 5.36b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.17 (Net Debt 5.20b / EBITDA 1.01b)
Debt / FCF = 7.95 (Net Debt 5.20b / FCF TTM 653.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 33.38% (Net Income 596.5m / Total Assets 1.76b)
RoE = -15.15% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 596.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -3.94b)
RoCE = 97.78% (EBIT 917.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -3.94b + L.T.Debt 4.88b))
RoIC = 67.23% (NOPAT 714.8m / Invested Capital 1.06b)
WACC = 5.71% (E(10.0b)/V(15.4b) * Re(7.22%) + D(5.36b)/V(15.4b) * Rd(3.69%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.80 | Cagr: -2.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.27% ; FCFF base≈637.4m ; Y1≈674.8m ; Y5≈794.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 212.5 (EV 12.2b - Net Debt 5.20b = Equity 7.03b / Shares 33.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.57% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.22 | EPS CAGR: 7.78% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.59 | Revenue CAGR: 4.53% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.39 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.04 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=20.90 | Chg30d=-0.11% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.8% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)