DPZ Stock Analysis: Domino's Pizza Common Stock | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.416m USD | 12M Return: -33.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 282M
EPS Trend: 90.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Dominos Pizza, Inc. is a global pizza company headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan, founded in 1960 and publicly traded on NASDAQ under the ticker DPZ. The company operates through three business segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain, generating revenue primarily through a franchise-based model that spans both company-owned and franchised locations worldwide. In addition to its core pizza offerings, the menu includes bread products, wings, boneless chicken, pastas, oven-baked sandwiches, soft drinks, and desserts, along with specialty items such as parmesan stuffed crust pizza and various flavored bread bites.
As a member of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, Dominos operates in a highly competitive quick-service restaurant market. Its franchise-heavy structure is a defining feature of the business model, allowing the company to expand its global footprint with relatively low capital investment while deriving significant revenue from royalties and supply chain distribution to franchisees.
- US same-store sales growth drives domestic segment revenue
- International franchise expansion lifts royalty and ad fees
- Cheese and wheat costs pressure Supply Chain segment margins
| Net Income: 591.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.35 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.17% < 20% (prev -14.38%; Δ 21.55% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.42 > 3% & CFO 774.9m > Net Income 591.9m |
| Net Debt (5.16b) to EBITDA (1.00b): 5.14 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.8m) vs 12m ago -2.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.07% > 18% (prev 39.50%; Δ 0.57% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 267.5% > 50% (prev 252.1%; Δ 15.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM 908.9m / Interest Expense TTM 196.6m) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 949.0m - Total Current Liabilities 592.0m) / Total Assets 1.84b |
| B: -2.12 (Retained Earnings -3.90b / Total Assets 1.84b) |
| C: 0.49 (EBIT TTM 908.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.86b) |
| D: -0.68 (Book Value of Equity -3.91b / Total Liabilities 5.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -3.06 = D |
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 306.1m/302.8m, Revenue 4.98b/4.73b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 39.50% / 40.07%) |
| AQI: 1.48 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 4.98b / 4.73b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 591.9m - CFO 774.9m) / TA 1.84b) |
| Beneish M = -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 300.88 with a total of 671,992 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.08%, over one month by -4.71%, over three months by -18.90% and over the past year by -33.83%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 288.10 (which is 4.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Domino's Pizza Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DPZ.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 399.3 | 32.7% |
P/E Trailing = 17.602
P/E Forward = 16.1551
P/S = 2.0921
P/EG = 1.5129
Revenue TTM = 4.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 908.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.88b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 252.2m
Net Debt = 5.16b USD (calculated: Debt 5.39b - CCE 232.9m)
Enterprise Value = 15.6b USD (10.4b + Debt 5.39b - CCE 232.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.62 (Ebit TTM 908.9m / Interest Expense TTM 196.6m)
EV/FCF = 23.81x (Enterprise Value 15.6b / FCF TTM 654.1m)
FCF Yield = 4.20% (FCF TTM 654.1m / Enterprise Value 15.6b)
FCF Margin = 13.14% (FCF TTM 654.1m / Revenue TTM 4.98b)
Net Margin = 11.89% (Net Income TTM 591.9m / Revenue TTM 4.98b)
Gross Margin = 40.07% ((Revenue TTM 4.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.37% (prev 39.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.44 (Enterprise Value 15.6b / Total Assets 1.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.65% (Interest Expense 196.6m / Debt 5.39b)
Taxrate = 21.97% (166.6m / 758.5m)
NOPAT = 709.2m (EBIT 908.9m * (1 - 21.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 949.0m / Total Current Liabilities 592.0m)
Debt / Equity = -1.38 (negative equity) (Debt 5.39b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.14 (Net Debt 5.16b / EBITDA 1.00b)
Debt / FCF = 7.88 (Net Debt 5.16b / FCF TTM 654.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 31.80% (Net Income 591.9m / Total Assets 1.84b)
RoE = -15.04% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 591.9m / Total Stockholder Equity -3.94b)
RoCE = 96.69% (EBIT 908.9m / Capital Employed (Equity -3.94b + L.T.Debt 4.88b))
RoIC = 65.88% (NOPAT 709.2m / Invested Capital 1.08b)
WACC = 6.07% (E(10.4b)/V(15.8b) * Re(7.74%) + D(5.39b)/V(15.8b) * Rd(3.65%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -80.90 | Cagr: -1.70%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.84% ; FCFF base≈621.7m ; Y1≈707.5m ; Y5≈1.02b
[DCF] Fair Price = 308.1 (EV 15.4b - Net Debt 5.16b = Equity 10.2b / Shares 33.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 14.14% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 90.87 | EPS CAGR: 10.63% | SUE: -0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.10 | Revenue CAGR: 4.12% | SUE: -0.67 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=4.22 | Chg30d=-0.54% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.40 | Chg30d=-0.25% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.17 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+9.1% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=20.97 | Chg30d=-0.18% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+9.3% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -77% (up=0, down=10)