(DRVN) Driven Brands Holdings - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US26210V1026
Stock: Paint, Collision, Glass, Wash, Oil
Total Rating 32
Risk 44
Buy Signal 0.48
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.87% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.17 |
| Alpha | -8.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.724 |
| Beta Downside | 0.530 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.24 |
Description: DRVN Driven Brands Holdings January 11, 2026
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: DRVN) operates a network of automotive service and parts distribution brands-including CARSTAR, MAACO, Meineke, and Take 5-serving retail and commercial customers across the United States, Canada, and select international markets. Its business spans collision repair, paint, glass, oil-change, car-wash, and aftermarket parts distribution, complemented by training services for repair shops.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, a 7 % year-over-year increase, and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 6 %, driven by a 5 % same-store sales lift in Q2 2024. The company’s growth is anchored to macro trends such as the rising average age of the U.S. vehicle fleet (≈ 12.4 years) and a persistent shortage of skilled technicians, both of which boost demand for collision and maintenance services. However, inflation-sensitive discretionary spending and labor-cost pressures remain material uncertainties that could temper margin expansion.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -198.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.91% < 20% (prev 16.47%; Δ -19.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 269.1m > Net Income -198.0m |
| Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (165.1m) vs 12m ago 3.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.12% > 18% (prev 0.52%; Δ 5160 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 43.72% > 50% (prev 37.26%; Δ 6.46% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.23 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 15.0m / Interest Expense TTM 129.2m) |
Altman Z'' -1.30
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 585.1m - Total Current Liabilities 648.1m) / Total Assets 4.15b |
| B: -0.21 (Retained Earnings -888.7m / Total Assets 4.15b) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -159.1m / Avg Total Assets 4.96b) |
| D: -0.28 (Book Value of Equity -931.7m / Total Liabilities 3.36b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.30 = CCC |
Beneish M -2.85
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 204.2m/190.3m, Revenue 2.17b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 52.12% / 52.43%) |
| AQI: 1.39 (AQ_t 0.54 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 2.17b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -198.0m - CFO 269.1m) / TA 4.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of DRVN shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.06 with a total of 992,181 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.71%, over one month by +14.04%, over three months by +20.91% and over the past year by +3.71%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.71%, over one month by +14.04%, over three months by +20.91% and over the past year by +3.71%.
Is DRVN a buy, sell or hold?
Driven Brands Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy DRVN.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DRVN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.9 | 22.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.9 | 22.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17 | -0.3% |
DRVN Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.5945
P/S = 1.0787
P/B = 3.3161
Revenue TTM = 2.17b USD
EBIT TTM = -159.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.94b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 277.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.53b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.16b USD (2.63b + Debt 2.76b - CCE 226.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.23 (Ebit TTM -159.1m / Interest Expense TTM 129.2m)
EV/FCF = 124.9x (Enterprise Value 5.16b / FCF TTM 41.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.80% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Enterprise Value 5.16b)
FCF Margin = 1.91% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Revenue TTM 2.17b)
Net Margin = -9.14% (Net Income TTM -198.0m / Revenue TTM 2.17b)
Gross Margin = 52.12% ((Revenue TTM 2.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.37% (prev 51.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 5.16b / Total Assets 4.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 23.6m / Debt 2.76b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -125.7m (EBIT -159.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 585.1m / Total Current Liabilities 648.1m)
Debt / Equity = 3.47 (Debt 2.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 793.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 169.1 (Net Debt 2.53b / EBITDA 15.0m)
Debt / FCF = 61.20 (Net Debt 2.53b / FCF TTM 41.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 696.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.00% (Net Income -198.0m / Total Assets 4.15b)
RoE = -28.42% (Net Income TTM -198.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 696.9m)
RoCE = -6.04% (EBIT -159.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 696.9m + L.T.Debt 1.94b))
RoIC = -3.95% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -125.7m / Invested Capital 3.18b)
WACC = 4.54% (E(2.63b)/V(5.39b) * Re(8.58%) + D(2.76b)/V(5.39b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈41.3m ; Y1≈27.1m ; Y5≈12.4m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 394.4m - Net Debt 2.53b = -2.14b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -34.73 | EPS CAGR: -47.71% | SUE: -2.91 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 48.11 | Revenue CAGR: 8.69% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=-0.057 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+7.3%
P/S = 1.0787
P/B = 3.3161
Revenue TTM = 2.17b USD
EBIT TTM = -159.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 15.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.94b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 277.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.53b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.16b USD (2.63b + Debt 2.76b - CCE 226.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.23 (Ebit TTM -159.1m / Interest Expense TTM 129.2m)
EV/FCF = 124.9x (Enterprise Value 5.16b / FCF TTM 41.3m)
FCF Yield = 0.80% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Enterprise Value 5.16b)
FCF Margin = 1.91% (FCF TTM 41.3m / Revenue TTM 2.17b)
Net Margin = -9.14% (Net Income TTM -198.0m / Revenue TTM 2.17b)
Gross Margin = 52.12% ((Revenue TTM 2.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.37% (prev 51.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 5.16b / Total Assets 4.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 23.6m / Debt 2.76b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -125.7m (EBIT -159.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 585.1m / Total Current Liabilities 648.1m)
Debt / Equity = 3.47 (Debt 2.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 793.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 169.1 (Net Debt 2.53b / EBITDA 15.0m)
Debt / FCF = 61.20 (Net Debt 2.53b / FCF TTM 41.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 696.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.00% (Net Income -198.0m / Total Assets 4.15b)
RoE = -28.42% (Net Income TTM -198.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 696.9m)
RoCE = -6.04% (EBIT -159.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 696.9m + L.T.Debt 1.94b))
RoIC = -3.95% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -125.7m / Invested Capital 3.18b)
WACC = 4.54% (E(2.63b)/V(5.39b) * Re(8.58%) + D(2.76b)/V(5.39b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈41.3m ; Y1≈27.1m ; Y5≈12.4m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 394.4m - Net Debt 2.53b = -2.14b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -34.73 | EPS CAGR: -47.71% | SUE: -2.91 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 48.11 | Revenue CAGR: 8.69% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=-0.057 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+7.3%