(DSGR) Distribution Solutions - Ratings and Ratios
MRO Supplies, Test Equipment, Fasteners, Safety Products, Power Tools
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 56.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.58% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.76 |
| Alpha | -39.87 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.43 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.382 |
| Beta | 0.971 |
| Beta Downside | 0.886 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 40.83% |
| Mean DD | 13.80% |
| Median DD | 10.14% |
Description: DSGR Distribution Solutions November 12, 2025
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DSGR) is a specialty distributor that serves MRO, OEM, and industrial-technology markets through four operating segments-Lawson, Gexpro Services, TestEquity, and the Canada Branch Division-providing everything from VMI and kitting to test-equipment and safety supplies across North America, Europe, the Pacific Rim and Latin America.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $1.2 billion in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 7 %, reflecting strong demand for its supply-chain-managed services in the renewable-energy and aerospace sectors. A key macro driver is the rebound in U.S. industrial production (IP index up ~4 % YoY) which fuels MRO spend, while tighter global logistics continue to elevate the value of DSGR’s VMI and kitting solutions. The Canada Branch Division contributed ~15 % of total sales, benefitting from higher construction activity and government infrastructure programs in Canada.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers a detailed breakdown of DSGR’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (-11.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 118.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.27% (prev 28.72%; Δ -5.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 112.6m > Net Income -11.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (752.0m) to EBITDA (148.6m) ratio: 5.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.50 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 32.98% (prev 32.99%; Δ -0.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.4% (prev 96.86%; Δ 14.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.52 (EBITDA TTM 148.6m / Interest Expense TTM 57.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.00
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 766.4m - Total Current Liabilities 306.0m) / Total Assets 1.77b |
| (B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -27.3m / Total Assets 1.77b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 87.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.78b |
| (D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 10.1m / Total Liabilities 1.11b |
| Total Rating: 2.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.25
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.71% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.82% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.06 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.44)% |
| 7. RoE -1.74% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend -40.88% |
What is the price of DSGR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.12%, over one month by +7.53%, over three months by -6.27% and over the past year by -25.36%.
Is DSGR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DSGR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.5 | 32.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.5 | 32.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 29.4 | 0.9% |
DSGR Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 15.674
P/S = 0.6483
P/B = 1.9403
P/EG = 3.19
Beta = 0.458
Revenue TTM = 1.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 87.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 148.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 665.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 62.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 821.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 752.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.04b USD (1.28b + Debt 821.2m - CCE 69.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.52 (Ebit TTM 87.7m / Interest Expense TTM 57.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.71% (FCF TTM 75.6m / Enterprise Value 2.04b)
FCF Margin = 3.82% (FCF TTM 75.6m / Revenue TTM 1.98b)
Net Margin = -0.57% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Revenue TTM 1.98b)
Gross Margin = 32.98% ((Revenue TTM 1.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.88% (prev 31.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 2.04b / Total Assets 1.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.70% (Interest Expense 14.0m / Debt 821.2m)
Taxrate = 23.02% (1.93m / 8.38m)
NOPAT = 67.5m (EBIT 87.7m * (1 - 23.02%))
Current Ratio = 2.50 (Total Current Assets 766.4m / Total Current Liabilities 306.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 821.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 653.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.06 (Net Debt 752.0m / EBITDA 148.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.95 (Net Debt 752.0m / FCF TTM 75.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 645.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.63% (Net Income -11.2m / Total Assets 1.77b)
RoE = -1.74% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 645.1m)
RoCE = 6.69% (EBIT 87.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 645.1m + L.T.Debt 665.5m))
RoIC = 4.92% (NOPAT 67.5m / Invested Capital 1.37b)
WACC = 6.36% (E(1.28b)/V(2.10b) * Re(9.59%) + D(821.2m)/V(2.10b) * Rd(1.70%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.80% ; FCFE base≈55.0m ; Y1≈36.1m ; Y5≈16.5m
Fair Price DCF = 5.54 (DCF Value 255.9m / Shares Outstanding 46.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -40.88 | EPS CAGR: -6.76% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 77.47 | Revenue CAGR: 54.21% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-0.025 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+23.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%
Additional Sources for DSGR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle