(DSGR) Distribution Solutions - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US5207761058

MRO Supplies, Test Equipment, Fasteners, Safety Products, Power Tools

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 36.6%
Value at Risk 5%th 56.2%
Relative Tail Risk -6.58%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.76
Alpha -39.87
CAGR/Max DD 0.43
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.382
Beta 0.971
Beta Downside 0.886
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 40.83%
Mean DD 13.80%
Median DD 10.14%

Description: DSGR Distribution Solutions November 12, 2025

Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DSGR) is a specialty distributor that serves MRO, OEM, and industrial-technology markets through four operating segments-Lawson, Gexpro Services, TestEquity, and the Canada Branch Division-providing everything from VMI and kitting to test-equipment and safety supplies across North America, Europe, the Pacific Rim and Latin America.

In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $1.2 billion in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 7 %, reflecting strong demand for its supply-chain-managed services in the renewable-energy and aerospace sectors. A key macro driver is the rebound in U.S. industrial production (IP index up ~4 % YoY) which fuels MRO spend, while tighter global logistics continue to elevate the value of DSGR’s VMI and kitting solutions. The Canada Branch Division contributed ~15 % of total sales, benefitting from higher construction activity and government infrastructure programs in Canada.

For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers a detailed breakdown of DSGR’s valuation metrics and peer comparisons.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (-11.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 118.7m TTM)
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 23.27% (prev 28.72%; Δ -5.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 112.6m > Net Income -11.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (752.0m) to EBITDA (148.6m) ratio: 5.06 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 2.50 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (46.6m) change vs 12m ago -2.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 32.98% (prev 32.99%; Δ -0.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 111.4% (prev 96.86%; Δ 14.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 1.52 (EBITDA TTM 148.6m / Interest Expense TTM 57.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.00

(A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 766.4m - Total Current Liabilities 306.0m) / Total Assets 1.77b
(B) -0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -27.3m / Total Assets 1.77b
(C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 87.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.78b
(D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 10.1m / Total Liabilities 1.11b
Total Rating: 2.00 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.25

1. Piotroski 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield 3.71%
3. FCF Margin 3.82%
4. Debt/Equity 1.26
5. Debt/Ebitda 5.06
6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.44)%
7. RoE -1.74%
8. Rev. Trend 77.47%
9. EPS Trend -40.88%

What is the price of DSGR shares?

As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 29.14 with a total of 64,596 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.12%, over one month by +7.53%, over three months by -6.27% and over the past year by -25.36%.

Is DSGR a buy, sell or hold?

Distribution Solutions has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DSGR.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DSGR price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 38.5 32.1%
Analysts Target Price 38.5 32.1%
ValueRay Target Price 29.4 0.9%

DSGR Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 1.28b (1.28b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 15.674
P/S = 0.6483
P/B = 1.9403
P/EG = 3.19
Beta = 0.458
Revenue TTM = 1.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 87.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 148.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 665.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 62.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 821.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 752.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.04b USD (1.28b + Debt 821.2m - CCE 69.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.52 (Ebit TTM 87.7m / Interest Expense TTM 57.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.71% (FCF TTM 75.6m / Enterprise Value 2.04b)
FCF Margin = 3.82% (FCF TTM 75.6m / Revenue TTM 1.98b)
Net Margin = -0.57% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Revenue TTM 1.98b)
Gross Margin = 32.98% ((Revenue TTM 1.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.88% (prev 31.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 2.04b / Total Assets 1.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.70% (Interest Expense 14.0m / Debt 821.2m)
Taxrate = 23.02% (1.93m / 8.38m)
NOPAT = 67.5m (EBIT 87.7m * (1 - 23.02%))
Current Ratio = 2.50 (Total Current Assets 766.4m / Total Current Liabilities 306.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 821.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 653.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.06 (Net Debt 752.0m / EBITDA 148.6m)
Debt / FCF = 9.95 (Net Debt 752.0m / FCF TTM 75.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 645.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.63% (Net Income -11.2m / Total Assets 1.77b)
RoE = -1.74% (Net Income TTM -11.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 645.1m)
RoCE = 6.69% (EBIT 87.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 645.1m + L.T.Debt 665.5m))
RoIC = 4.92% (NOPAT 67.5m / Invested Capital 1.37b)
WACC = 6.36% (E(1.28b)/V(2.10b) * Re(9.59%) + D(821.2m)/V(2.10b) * Rd(1.70%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.26%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.80% ; FCFE base≈55.0m ; Y1≈36.1m ; Y5≈16.5m
Fair Price DCF = 5.54 (DCF Value 255.9m / Shares Outstanding 46.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -40.88 | EPS CAGR: -6.76% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 77.47 | Revenue CAGR: 54.21% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-0.025 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.70 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+23.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.2%

Additional Sources for DSGR Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle