(ELVA) Electrovaya Common Shares - Ratings and Ratios
Lithium-Ion Batteries, Battery Management Systems, Energy Storage, Electric Transportation, Industrial Applications
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 74.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 97.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.15 |
| Alpha | 283.67 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.50 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.456 |
| Beta | 0.702 |
| Beta Downside | 0.560 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.19% |
| Mean DD | 35.99% |
| Median DD | 39.51% |
Description: ELVA Electrovaya Common Shares January 17, 2026
Electrovaya Inc. (NASDAQ: ELVA) designs, develops, manufactures, and sells lithium-ion batteries, battery-management systems, and related products for energy-storage, clean-transport, and specialty markets across North America.
The firm’s product portfolio spans low- and high-voltage “infinity” battery systems, solid-state battery prototypes, and turnkey solutions for material-handling equipment (e.g., forklift batteries), robotics, defense, construction, and heavy-duty electric vehicles such as buses and trucks.
Key recent metrics (Q4 2023): revenue of $12.4 million, a 22 % YoY increase driven by higher demand for industrial energy-storage contracts; cash on hand of $28 million, providing ~18 months of runway at current burn rates; and a gross margin of 18 % after scaling up its high-voltage module line.
Sector drivers that directly impact ELVA include the accelerating adoption of electrified material-handling fleets (projected CAGR ≈ 15 % through 2028) and the tightening global lithium-ion supply chain, which has pushed lithium carbonate prices up ~30 % YoY, favoring vertically integrated manufacturers.
Analysts note that ELVA’s ability to commercialize solid-state cells remains a high-risk, high-reward catalyst; success would markedly improve energy density and safety, potentially unlocking new defense and aerospace contracts.
For a deeper, data-driven look at ELVA’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers transparent models you can explore at your own pace.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (3.36m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.81m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -17.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 50.14% (prev 1.98%; Δ 48.16pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 836.2k <= Net Income 3.36m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (16.2m) to EBITDA (5.59m) ratio: 2.90 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.16 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (42.1m) change vs 12m ago 23.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.62% (prev 29.30%; Δ 1.33pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 123.0% (prev 113.7%; Δ 9.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.41 (EBITDA TTM 5.59m / Interest Expense TTM 2.88m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.14
| (A) 0.50 = (Total Current Assets 42.0m - Total Current Liabilities 10.1m) / Total Assets 63.9m |
| (B) -1.97 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -125.9m / Total Assets 63.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.97 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 4.07m / Avg Total Assets 51.7m |
| (D) 0.45 = Book Value of Equity 14.9m / Total Liabilities 32.8m |
| Total Rating: -2.14 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.34
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.46% |
| 3. FCF Margin -15.67% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.72 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.90 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.27)% |
| 7. RoE 14.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 64.12% |
| 9. EPS Trend 73.40% |
What is the price of ELVA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.96%, over one month by +49.92%, over three months by +44.62% and over the past year by +294.38%.
Is ELVA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ELVA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.2 | -16.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.2 | -16.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.8 | -0.1% |
ELVA Fundamental Data Overview January 14, 2026
P/E Forward = 53.7634
P/S = 6.1038
P/B = 12.5159
P/EG = 0.9649
Revenue TTM = 63.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 4.07m USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.59m USD
Long Term Debt = 20.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 715.7k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 405.1m USD (389.6m + Debt 22.6m - CCE 7.01m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.41 (Ebit TTM 4.07m / Interest Expense TTM 2.88m)
EV/FCF = -40.66x (Enterprise Value 405.1m / FCF TTM -9.96m)
FCF Yield = -2.46% (FCF TTM -9.96m / Enterprise Value 405.1m)
FCF Margin = -15.67% (FCF TTM -9.96m / Revenue TTM 63.6m)
Net Margin = 5.29% (Net Income TTM 3.36m / Revenue TTM 63.6m)
Gross Margin = 30.62% ((Revenue TTM 63.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.17% (prev 30.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.34 (Enterprise Value 405.1m / Total Assets 63.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.28% (Interest Expense 965.2k / Debt 22.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 3.21m (EBIT 4.07m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 4.16 (Total Current Assets 42.0m / Total Current Liabilities 10.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.72 (Debt 22.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 31.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.90 (Net Debt 16.2m / EBITDA 5.59m)
Debt / FCF = -1.63 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 16.2m / FCF TTM -9.96m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.50% (Net Income 3.36m / Total Assets 63.9m)
RoE = 14.20% (Net Income TTM 3.36m / Total Stockholder Equity 23.7m)
RoCE = 9.15% (EBIT 4.07m / Capital Employed (Equity 23.7m + L.T.Debt 20.7m))
RoIC = 7.90% (NOPAT 3.21m / Invested Capital 40.6m)
WACC = 8.17% (E(389.6m)/V(412.1m) * Re(8.45%) + D(22.6m)/V(412.1m) * Rd(4.28%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.56%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -9.96m)
EPS Correlation: 73.40 | EPS CAGR: 42.39% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 64.12 | Revenue CAGR: 110.2% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=-0.015 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-0.099 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+68.8% | Growth Revenue=+32.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-0.126 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+169.6% | Growth Revenue=+47.5%
Additional Sources for ELVA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle