ELVR Stock Analysis: Sayona Mining American | NASDAQ

Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.263m USD | 12M Return: 177.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lithium, Graphite, Gold
Total Rating 39
Safety 23
Buy Signal 0.46
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -2.2
Market Cap: 1.26B
Avg Turnover: 8.14M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility91.7%
VaR 5th Pctl16.1%
VaR vs Median6.82%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.71
Rel. Str. IBD93
Rel. Str. Peer Group92.9
Character TTM
Beta1.045
Beta Downside0.839
Hurst Exponent0.445
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.80%
CAGR/Max DD5.89
CAGR/Mean DD18.72

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 0.8 years of data

Jan - -
Feb - -
Mar - -
Apr - -
May - -
Jun - -
Jul - -
Aug - -
Sep - -
Oct - -
Nov - -
Dec - -

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ELVR Sayona Mining American

Elevra Lithium Limited (NASDAQ: ELVR), formerly known as Sayona Mining Limited until its August 2025 rebranding, is an Australia-based mineral exploration and development company headquartered in Brisbane. Founded in 2000, the company identifies, acquires, explores, and develops mineral assets across Australia and Canada, with a primary focus on lithium, alongside secondary interests in graphite and gold deposits.

The companys flagship asset is the North American Lithium project in Quebec, Canada, comprising 41 claims and one mining lease covering approximately 1,493 hectares. The company is classified within the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry of the Materials sector, reflecting its exposure to minerals that are critical inputs for the rechargeable battery supply chain, particularly lithium which is essential for electric vehicle and energy storage applications. The company began trading on NASDAQ in early September 2025.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Lithium spot prices decline pressuring NAL profit margins
  • NAL production ramp accelerates with Quebec regulatory support
  • US IRA tax credits enhance North American lithium project economics
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.5
Net Income: -294.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.86 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 42.67% < 20% (prev 64.37%; Δ -21.70% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -14.8m > Net Income -294.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.67 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last fiscal year (10.8m) vs prev 57.32% < -2%
Gross Margin: 65.80% > 18% (prev 88.76%; Δ -22.95% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 22.28% > 50% (prev 21.09%; Δ 1.19% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -84.95 > 6 (EBIT TTM -380.3m / Interest Expense TTM 4.48m)
Altman Z'' 1.45
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 236.8m - Total Current Liabilities 141.5m) / Total Assets 1.05b
B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -295.5m / Total Assets 1.05b)
C: -0.38 (EBIT TTM -380.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.00b)
D: 4.11 (Book Value of Equity 846.7m / Total Liabilities 205.8m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.45 = BB
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 37.9m/27.5m, Revenue 223.4m/200.9m)
GMI: 1.35 (GM 88.76% / 65.80%)
AQI: 57.32 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.00)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 223.4m / 200.9m)
TATA: -0.27 (NI -294.3m - CFO -14.8m) / TA 1.05b)
Beneish M = 30.93 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of ELVR shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 62.63 with a total of 157,493 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.10%, over one month by -13.17%, over three months by +0.35% and over the past year by +177.37%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 52.00 (which is 17% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is ELVR a buy, sell or hold?

Sayona Mining American has no consensus analysts rating.

Sayona Mining American (ELVR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.26b (1.26b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap AUD = 1.82b (1.26b USD * 1.4378 USD.AUD)
P/E Forward = 6.0314
P/S = 8.1414
P/B = 1.9869
Revenue TTM = 223.4m AUD
EBIT TTM = -380.3m AUD
EBITDA TTM = -341.7m AUD
Long Term Debt = 14.8m AUD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 62.8m AUD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 77.6m AUD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 10.2k
Net Debt = -44.1m AUD (calculated: Debt 77.6m - CCE 121.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.77b AUD (1.82b + Debt 77.6m - CCE 121.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -84.95 (Ebit TTM -380.3m / Interest Expense TTM 4.48m)
EV/FCF = -10.24x (Enterprise Value 1.77b / FCF TTM -173.0m)
FCF Yield = -9.77% (FCF TTM -173.0m / Enterprise Value 1.77b)
FCF Margin = -77.45% (FCF TTM -173.0m / Revenue TTM 223.4m)
Net Margin = -131.8% (Net Income TTM -294.3m / Revenue TTM 223.4m)
Gross Margin = 65.80% ((Revenue TTM 223.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.68 (Enterprise Value 1.77b / Total Assets 1.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.77% (Interest Expense 4.48m / Debt 77.6m)
Taxrate = 0.85% (951k / 111.9m)
NOPAT = -377.0m (EBIT -380.3m * (1 - 0.85%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.67 (Total Current Assets 236.8m / Total Current Liabilities 141.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 77.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 846.7m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.13 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -44.1m / EBITDA -341.7m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.25 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -44.1m / FCF TTM -173.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 420.2m (last fiscal year from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -29.36% (Net Income -294.3m / Total Assets 1.05b)
RoE = -70.03% (Net Income TTM -294.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 420.2m)
RoCE = -87.42% (EBIT -380.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 420.2m + L.T.Debt 14.8m))
 RoIC = -39.17% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -377.0m / Invested Capital 962.6m)
 WACC = 9.50% (E(1.82b)/V(1.89b) * Re(9.66%) + D(77.6m)/V(1.89b) * Rd(5.77%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 9.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -173.0m)
 Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+59.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+240.0% | GrowthRev=+63.0%