(EOLS) Evolus - Ratings and Ratios
Botulinum Toxin, Hyaluronic Acid Injectables
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 77.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.81% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.52 |
| Alpha | -57.10 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.539 |
| Beta | 1.238 |
| Beta Downside | 1.354 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.01% |
| Mean DD | 25.81% |
| Median DD | 22.30% |
Description: EOLS Evolus December 26, 2025
Evolus, Inc. (NASDAQ:EOLS) is a cash-pay aesthetic-beauty company that markets its products in the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. Its flagship offering is Jeuveau, a 900-kilodalton purified botulinum toxin type A indicated for temporary reduction of moderate-to-severe glabellar lines, complemented by the Evolysse line of injectable hyaluronic-acid gels.
Key performance metrics from the most recent 10-Q (Q3 2024) show net sales of $84.3 million, a 12% year-over-year increase driven primarily by higher Jeuveau volume, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 22%, indicating a relatively high-margin business within the aesthetic sector.
The cash-pay aesthetic market is expanding at an estimated 7–9% CAGR globally, propelled by rising disposable income, increasing consumer acceptance of non-surgical cosmetic procedures, and a demographic shift toward younger adults seeking preventative treatments. Evolus’s reliance on a single proprietary neuromodulator makes product-line concentration a material risk that investors should monitor.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of Evolus’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful as a next step in your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-58.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 17.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.26 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -14.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 23.85% (prev 36.06%; Δ -12.21pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO -50.3m > Net Income -58.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (64.7m) change vs 12m ago 2.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 65.83% (prev 68.14%; Δ -2.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 127.4% (prev 108.2%; Δ 19.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.80 (EBITDA TTM -29.3m / Interest Expense TTM 20.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -11.70
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 134.9m - Total Current Liabilities 66.7m) / Total Assets 219.0m |
| (B) -3.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -661.2m / Total Assets 219.0m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -3.02 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.16 = EBIT TTM -36.5m / Avg Total Assets 224.3m |
| (D) -2.67 = Book Value of Equity -661.3m / Total Liabilities 247.8m |
| Total Rating: -11.70 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.86
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -10.15% |
| 3. FCF Margin -19.72% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -5.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -38.90)% |
| 7. RoE 483.0% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.72% |
| 9. EPS Trend 43.07% |
What is the price of EOLS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.37%, over one month by -2.35%, over three months by +8.47% and over the past year by -38.84%.
Is EOLS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EOLS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18.5 | 177.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18.5 | 177.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.2 | -7.4% |
EOLS Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025
P/E Forward = 19.5695
P/S = 1.5535
P/B = 53.7058
Beta = 0.873
Revenue TTM = 285.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -36.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -29.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 145.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.48m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 154.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 111.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 555.4m USD (444.0m + Debt 154.9m - CCE 43.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.80 (Ebit TTM -36.5m / Interest Expense TTM 20.3m)
FCF Yield = -10.15% (FCF TTM -56.4m / Enterprise Value 555.4m)
FCF Margin = -19.72% (FCF TTM -56.4m / Revenue TTM 285.8m)
Net Margin = -20.49% (Net Income TTM -58.6m / Revenue TTM 285.8m)
Gross Margin = 65.83% ((Revenue TTM 285.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 97.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.47% (prev 65.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 555.4m / Total Assets 219.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.64% (Interest Expense 4.09m / Debt 154.9m)
Taxrate = -1.07% (negative due to tax credits) (167.0k / -15.6m)
NOPAT = -36.9m (EBIT -36.5m * (1 - -1.07%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.02 (Total Current Assets 134.9m / Total Current Liabilities 66.7m)
Debt / Equity = -5.39 (negative equity) (Debt 154.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -28.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 111.4m / EBITDA -29.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.98 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 111.4m / FCF TTM -56.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -12.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -26.74% (Net Income -58.6m / Total Assets 219.0m)
RoE = 483.0% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -58.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -12.1m)
RoCE = -27.32% (EBIT -36.5m / Capital Employed (Equity -12.1m + L.T.Debt 145.8m))
RoIC = -30.37% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -36.9m / Invested Capital 121.5m)
WACC = 8.53% (E(444.0m)/V(598.9m) * Re(10.58%) + D(154.9m)/V(598.9m) * Rd(2.64%) * (1-Tc(-0.01)))
Discount Rate = 10.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.33%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -56.4m)
EPS Correlation: 43.07 | EPS CAGR: 19.49% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.72 | Revenue CAGR: 20.14% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=-0.043 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=-0.074 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+143.3% | Growth Revenue=+19.3%
Additional Sources for EOLS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle