ERAS Stock Analysis: Erasca | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.914m USD | 12M Return: 543.3% | US29479A1088 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Precision Oncology, RAS Inhibitors, EGFR Antibodies, Cancer Therapies
Total Rating 43
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.32
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +8.9
Market Cap: 4.91B
Avg Turnover: 65.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility89.6%
VaR 5th Pctl14.5%
VaR vs Median-1.78%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio2.33
Rel. Str. IBD99.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group93.8 pctl
Character TTM
Beta1.494
Beta Downside0.348
Hurst Exponent0.550
Choppyness34.3%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD67.68%
CAGR/Max DD1.39
CAGR/Mean DD3.57
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ERAS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.46, "2021-12": -0.26, "2022-03": -0.31, "2022-06": -0.3, "2022-09": -0.29, "2022-12": -1.06, "2023-03": -0.22, "2023-06": -0.21, "2023-09": -0.2, "2023-12": -0.2, "2024-03": -0.23, "2024-06": -0.29, "2024-09": -0.11, "2024-12": -0.11, "2025-03": -0.11, "2025-06": -0.12, "2025-09": -0.11, "2025-12": -0.1, "2026-03": -0.6, "2026-06": -0.14,
Last SUE: -0.14
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ERAS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 5.58, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 4.196, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0, 2026-06: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 5.2 years of data

Jan -8.4% 0
Feb +7.4% 0
Mar -2.5% 0
Apr -0.3% 18
May +4.1% 39
Jun +3.2% 0
Jul +17.7% 30
Aug +5.9% 11
Sep -3.7% 25
Oct +9.3% 45
Nov +4.3% 0
Dec +0.0% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ERAS Erasca

Erasca, Inc. is a clinical-stage precision oncology company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies for patients with cancers driven by the RAS/MAPK pathway, a signaling cascade frequently implicated in tumor growth. The companys pipeline includes ERAS-0015, a pan-RAS molecular glue; ERAS-4001, a pan-KRAS inhibitor; and ERAS-12, an investigational EGFR D2/D3 biparatopic antibody.

To support its pipeline, Erasca maintains a network of license and collaboration agreements with multiple partners, including Guangzhou Joyo Pharmatech (pan-RAS inhibitors), Medshine Discovery (pan-KRAS inhibitors), Novartis Pharma AG (naporafenib), NiKang Therapeutics (ERAS-601), Asana BioSciences (ERAS-007), and Tango Therapeutics (a clinical trial collaboration for ERAS-0015).

Erasca was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in San Diego, California, and is listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker ERAS. As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, it has not yet commercialized any products, and its value is primarily derived from the development potential of its drug candidates rather than current revenue.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • ERAS-0015 pan-RAS molecular glue Phase 1 data readout
  • Naporafenib combination efficacy data from Novartis-partnered trial
  • Cash runway extension through pipeline prioritization and cost reduction
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.27 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.23 > 3% & CFO -98.0m > Net Income -287.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 8.29 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (311.3m) vs 12m ago 9.87% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.94%; Δ -0.94% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' -3.89
A: 0.56 (Total Current Assets 278.4m - Total Current Liabilities 33.6m) / Total Assets 435.1m
B: -2.57 (Retained Earnings -1.12b / Total Assets 435.1m)
C: -0.65 (EBIT TTM -287.2m / Avg Total Assets 440.2m)
D: 4.94 (Book Value of Equity 361.9m / Total Liabilities 73.2m)
Altman-Z'' = -3.89 = D
What is the price of ERAS shares?

As of November 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.41 with a total of 4,030,116 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.42%, over one month by +0.77%, over three months by -21.13% and over the past year by +543.30%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.70 (which is 11.9% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is ERAS a buy, sell or hold?

Erasca has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ERAS.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ERAS price?
Analysts Target Price 24.1 67.3%
Erasca (ERAS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.91b (4.91b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/B = 13.8506
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -287.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -284.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 39.3m USD (estimated: total debt 44.7m - short term 5.44m)
Short Term Debt = 5.44m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 44.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 44.7m already included)
Net Debt = -224.0m USD (calculated: Debt 44.7m - CCE 268.7m)
Enterprise Value = 4.69b USD (4.91b + Debt 44.7m - CCE 268.7m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -287.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -47.82x (Enterprise Value 4.69b / FCF TTM -98.1m)
FCF Yield = -2.09% (FCF TTM -98.1m / Enterprise Value 4.69b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.11m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 10.78 (Enterprise Value 4.69b / Total Assets 435.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 44.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -226.9m (EBIT -287.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 8.29 (Total Current Assets 278.4m / Total Current Liabilities 33.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 44.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 361.9m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 0.79 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -224.0m / EBITDA -284.3m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.28 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -224.0m / FCF TTM -98.1m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 357.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -65.25% (Net Income -287.2m / Total Assets 435.1m)
RoE = -80.43% (Net Income TTM -287.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 357.1m)
RoCE = -72.46% (EBIT -287.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 357.1m + L.T.Debt 39.3m))
 RoIC = -55.76% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -226.9m / Invested Capital 406.9m)
 WACC = 10.56% (E(4.91b)/V(4.96b) * Re(10.66%) + D(44.7m)/V(4.96b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 90.84 | Cagr: 52.24%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -98.1m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=-7.60% | Revisions=-30% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.98 | Chg30d=-2.22% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-121.9% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.62 | Chg30d=-11.80% | Revisions=-42% | GrowthEPS=+36.2% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -39% (up=7, down=18)