ESTA Stock Analysis: Establishment Labs Holdings | NASDAQ

Medical Devices | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.252m USD | 12M Return: 96.6% | VGG312491084 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Breast Implants, Tissue Expanders, Aesthetic Surgery, Reconstructive Surgery
Total Rating 41
Safety 33
Buy Signal -0.10
Medical Devices
Industry Rotation: +5.5
Market Cap: 2.25B
Avg Turnover: 44.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility67.8%
VaR 5th Pctl11.1%
VaR vs Median-0.97%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.41
Rel. Str. IBD78.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group47.9
Character TTM
Beta0.924
Beta Downside0.435
Hurst Exponent0.446
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD64.09%
CAGR/Max DD0.17
CAGR/Mean DD0.41
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ESTA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.22, "2021-09": -0.61, "2021-12": -0.6, "2022-03": -0.24, "2022-06": -1.52, "2022-09": -0.76, "2022-12": -0.55, "2023-03": -0.48, "2023-06": -0.65, "2023-09": -1.12, "2023-12": -0.79, "2024-03": -0.58, "2024-06": -0.62, "2024-09": -0.59, "2024-12": -1.19, "2025-03": -0.7, "2025-06": -0.57, "2025-09": -0.38, "2025-12": -0.09, "2026-03": -0.4, "2026-06": -0.39,
Last SUE: -0.22
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ESTA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 31.994, 2021-09: 29.039, 2021-12: 35.313, 2022-03: 38.452, 2022-06: 41.19, 2022-09: 38.245, 2022-12: 43.813, 2023-03: 46.524, 2023-06: 48.561, 2023-09: 38.506, 2023-12: 31.56, 2024-03: 37.167, 2024-06: 44.117, 2024-09: 40.227, 2024-12: 44.514, 2025-03: 41.377, 2025-06: 51.3, 2025-09: 53.782, 2025-12: 64.617, 2026-03: 59.877, 2026-06: 67.542,
Rev. CAGR: 15.51%
Rev. Trend: 81.5%
Last SUE: 1.97
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 8 years of data

Jan -0.6% 11
Feb +15.5% 47
Mar -8.6% 23
Apr +0.1% 6
May +1.7% 6
Jun -0.2% 6
Jul +0.5% 2
Aug -0.6% 9
Sep -5.2% 41
Oct +1.6% 6
Nov +4.4% 21
Dec +2.9% 7

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ESTA Establishment Labs Holdings

Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: ESTA) is a medical technology company that designs, manufactures, and markets devices used in breast aesthetic and reconstructive plastic surgery. Its flagship offering is a line of silicone gel-filled breast implants sold globally under the Motiva Implants brand, supplemented by breast tissue expanders. The company distributes its products to physicians, hospitals, and clinics through both direct sales personnel and third-party distributors, with commercial reach spanning Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, Asia, and the United States.

The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas, and has traded on NASDAQ since its July 2018 IPO. It sits within the Health Care Supplies sub-industry, competing in the global breast implant and medical aesthetics market alongside larger peers such as Johnson & Johnson (Mentor) and AbbVie (Allergan/AbbVie Aesthetics). Its business model combines premium-priced differentiated implant technology with a mix of owned and partnered distribution channels, which is typical for capital-intensive medical device manufacturers seeking international scale.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Motiva FDA approval drives US revenue acceleration
  • Competition intensifies against Allergan and Mentor breast implants
  • International expansion fuels double-digit revenue growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: -38.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.83 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 74.52% < 20% (prev 83.66%; Δ -9.14% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -32.7m > Net Income -38.9m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 3.84 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.1m) vs 12m ago 2.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 70.49% > 18% (prev 67.24%; Δ 3.25% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 72.13% > 50% (prev 53.82%; Δ 18.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM -19.9m / Interest Expense TTM 27.6m)
Altman Z'' -1.73
A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 247.7m - Total Current Liabilities 64.6m) / Total Assets 351.9m
B: -1.48 (Retained Earnings -520.9m / Total Assets 351.9m)
C: -0.06 (EBIT TTM -19.9m / Avg Total Assets 340.8m)
D: 0.07 (Book Value of Equity 21.6m / Total Liabilities 330.3m)
Altman-Z'' = -1.73 = D
Beneish M -2.70
DSRI: 0.78 (Receivables 75.7m/70.1m, Revenue 245.8m/177.4m)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 67.24% / 70.49%)
AQI: 1.46 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 1.39 (Revenue 245.8m / 177.4m)
TATA: -0.02 (NI -38.9m - CFO -32.7m) / TA 351.9m)
Beneish M = -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ESTA shares?

As of August 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 75.22 with a total of 324,712 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.26%, over one month by -19.49%, over three months by +14.60% and over the past year by +96.64%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 69.70 (which is 7.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is ESTA a buy, sell or hold?

Establishment Labs Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ESTA.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ESTA price?
Analysts Target Price 102.4 36.2%
Establishment Labs Holdings (ESTA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.25b (2.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 9.163
P/B = 103.597
Revenue TTM = 245.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -19.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -6.69m USD
Long Term Debt = 261.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 265.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.97m
Net Debt = 194.5m USD (calculated: Debt 265.6m - CCE 71.2m)
Enterprise Value = 2.45b USD (2.25b + Debt 265.6m - CCE 71.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.72 (Ebit TTM -19.9m / Interest Expense TTM 27.6m)
EV/FCF = -58.18x (Enterprise Value 2.45b / FCF TTM -42.1m)
FCF Yield = -1.72% (FCF TTM -42.1m / Enterprise Value 2.45b)
FCF Margin = -17.11% (FCF TTM -42.1m / Revenue TTM 245.8m)
Net Margin = -15.82% (Net Income TTM -38.9m / Revenue TTM 245.8m)
Gross Margin = 70.49% ((Revenue TTM 245.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.64% (prev 70.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.95 (Enterprise Value 2.45b / Total Assets 351.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.38% (Interest Expense 27.6m / Debt 265.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -15.7m (EBIT -19.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.84 (Total Current Assets 247.7m / Total Current Liabilities 64.6m)
Debt / Equity = 12.29 (Debt 265.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.6m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -29.05 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 194.5m / EBITDA -6.69m)
 Debt / FCF = -4.62 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 194.5m / FCF TTM -42.1m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 19.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.41% (Net Income -38.9m / Total Assets 351.9m)
RoE = -203.9% (Net Income TTM -38.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 19.1m)
RoCE = -7.09% (EBIT -19.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 19.1m + L.T.Debt 261.7m))
 RoIC = -5.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -15.7m / Invested Capital 289.2m)
 WACC = 9.12% (E(2.25b)/V(2.52b) * Re(9.23%) + D(265.6m)/V(2.52b) * Rd(10.38%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 92.69 | Cagr: 3.65%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -42.1m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.50 | Revenue CAGR: 15.51% | SUE: 1.97 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.11 | Chg30d=-9.36% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+36.3% | GrowthRev=+28.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-33.33% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+104.5% | GrowthRev=+25.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)