(EVOK) Evoke Pharma - Ratings and Ratios
Nasal Spray, Diabetic Gastroparesis
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 161% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 171% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -35.77% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.35 |
| Alpha | 396.18 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.459 |
| Beta | 0.413 |
| Beta Downside | -0.139 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.00% |
| Mean DD | 82.59% |
| Median DD | 90.56% |
Description: EVOK Evoke Pharma December 31, 2025
Evoke Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVOK) is a specialty pharmaceutical firm that develops and commercializes treatments for gastro-enterological disorders. Its lead product, Gimoti-a metoclopramide nasal spray-targets acute and recurrent diabetic gastroparesis in adults, and the company distributes primarily to gastroenterologists, internal medicine specialists, primary-care physicians, and select health-care providers. As of December 15 2025, Evoke operates as a subsidiary of QOL Medical, LLC, after being incorporated in 2007 and headquartered in Solana Beach, California.
Key performance indicators as of the latest quarter (Q3 2025) show a market capitalization of roughly $30 million, cash and cash equivalents of $12 million, and a net loss of $4.2 million, reflecting a burn rate of about $1.4 million per month. The company’s pipeline remains thin, with Gimoti as the sole commercial product and a Phase 2 trial underway for a delayed-release formulation of the same molecule. The gastro-enterology market is buoyed by an aging U.S. population and an estimated 4 % prevalence of gastroparesis among diabetics, driving modest but steady demand for niche therapies.
For a deeper quantitative look at EVOK’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform provides a concise data snapshot worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-5.23m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 865.5k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 16.38pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.85% (prev 49.57%; Δ -26.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.21 (>3.0%) and CFO -3.32m > Net Income -5.23m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.27 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.56m) change vs 12m ago 82.69% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 97.02% (prev 96.55%; Δ 0.47pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 96.80% (prev 60.88%; Δ 35.92pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.21 (EBITDA TTM -4.73m / Interest Expense TTM 500.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -38.14
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 15.5m - Total Current Liabilities 12.2m) / Total Assets 15.6m |
| (B) -8.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -132.8m / Total Assets 15.6m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -8.49 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.07 = EBIT TTM -1.10m / Avg Total Assets 14.9m |
| (D) -10.81 = Book Value of Equity -132.8m / Total Liabilities 12.3m |
| Total Rating: -38.14 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.90
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -26.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin -23.05% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.37 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -14.94)% |
| 7. RoE -101.4% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 98.60% |
| 9. EPS Trend 17.47% |
What is the price of EVOK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.82%, over one month by +104.94%, over three months by +378.63% and over the past year by +386.96%.
Is EVOK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EVOK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18 | -19.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18 | -19.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 25.6 | 14.2% |
EVOK Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/S = 1.3135
P/B = 5.6351
P/EG = -0.1
Beta = -0.136
Revenue TTM = 14.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.10m USD
EBITDA TTM = -4.73m USD
Long Term Debt = 112.3k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.07m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.11m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -6.46m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.5m USD (18.9m + Debt 5.11m - CCE 11.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.21 (Ebit TTM -1.10m / Interest Expense TTM 500.0k)
FCF Yield = -26.63% (FCF TTM -3.32m / Enterprise Value 12.5m)
FCF Margin = -23.05% (FCF TTM -3.32m / Revenue TTM 14.4m)
Net Margin = -36.23% (Net Income TTM -5.23m / Revenue TTM 14.4m)
Gross Margin = 97.02% ((Revenue TTM 14.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 429.8k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 97.62% (prev 95.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 12.5m / Total Assets 15.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.47% (Interest Expense 126.0k / Debt 5.11m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -871.6k (EBIT -1.10m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 15.5m / Total Current Liabilities 12.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.52 (Debt 5.11m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.36m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.37 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -6.46m / EBITDA -4.73m)
Debt / FCF = 1.94 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -6.46m / FCF TTM -3.32m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.15m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.39% (Net Income -5.23m / Total Assets 15.6m)
RoE = -101.4% (Net Income TTM -5.23m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.15m)
RoCE = -20.95% (EBIT -1.10m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.15m + L.T.Debt 112.3k))
RoIC = -8.58% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -871.6k / Invested Capital 10.2m)
WACC = 6.35% (E(18.9m)/V(24.1m) * Re(7.54%) + D(5.11m)/V(24.1m) * Rd(2.47%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -12.54%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -3.32m)
EPS Correlation: 17.47 | EPS CAGR: 19.67% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.60 | Revenue CAGR: 93.48% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=+0.040 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+136.2% | Growth Revenue=+58.0%
Additional Sources for EVOK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle