(EXAS) EXACT Sciences - Ratings and Ratios
Colorectal, Breast, Colon, Hereditary, Tumor, Monitoring
EXAS EPS (Earnings per Share)
EXAS Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 70.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.77 |
| Alpha | 20.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.427 |
| Beta | 0.911 |
| Beta Downside | 0.584 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.30% |
| Mean DD | 32.21% |
| Median DD | 36.65% |
Description: EXAS EXACT Sciences November 03, 2025
Exact Sciences Corp. (NASDAQ:EXAS) develops and commercializes non-invasive cancer screening and diagnostic tests, most notably Cologuard-a stool-based DNA and hemoglobin assay approved for colorectal cancer (CRC) detection and widely adopted in the U.S. screening pathway.
Beyond Cologuard, the firm offers a suite of genomic-based diagnostics, including the Oncotype DX series for breast, DCIS, and colon recurrence risk, the OncoExTra tumor-profiling panel for advanced cancers, and the RiskGuard hereditary cancer test. These products target high-margin, payer-reimbursed niches within oncology diagnostics.
Exact’s pipeline aims to expand into earlier-stage risk assessment, neoadjuvant treatment selection, and recurrence monitoring, leveraging partnerships with the Mayo Foundation and Johns Hopkins University to accelerate validation and market entry. The company’s pipeline breadth reduces reliance on any single product line, a key risk mitigant for investors.
Key metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $1.5 billion, driven by a ~15 % year-over-year increase in Cologuard sales, and the test now commands roughly 70 % of the U.S. stool-DNA market. The firm holds over $2 billion in cash and short-term investments, providing runway for pipeline development and potential acquisitions. Sector-wide, the aging U.S. population and expanding Medicare coverage for CRC screening underpin a multi-year growth tail for Exact’s core offerings.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s EXAS valuation model a useful next step.
EXAS Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 12,539m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 2001-02-01 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 14.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.54 of 5 |
EXAS Dividends
Currently no dividends paidEXAS Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 16.54% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.51 |
| Current Volume | 1734.8k |
| Average Volume | 2424.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-986.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 184.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.73pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 32.66% (prev 30.07%; Δ 2.59pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 386.8m > Net Income -986.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (189.3m) change vs 12m ago 2.42% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 67.36% (prev 72.10%; Δ -4.74pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 48.73% (prev 39.89%; Δ 8.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -25.24 (EBITDA TTM -870.4m / Interest Expense TTM 38.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.89
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 1.59b - Total Current Liabilities 584.3m) / Total Assets 5.90b |
| (B) -0.78 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -4.62b / Total Assets 5.90b |
| (C) -0.15 = EBIT TTM -968.7m / Avg Total Assets 6.32b |
| (D) -1.36 = Book Value of Equity -4.61b / Total Liabilities 3.40b |
| Total Rating: -3.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.38
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.76% = 0.88 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.02% = 2.00 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.01 = 2.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.01 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -26.20)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -40.39% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.67% = 7.18 |
| 9. EPS Trend 66.32% = 3.32 |
What is the price of EXAS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.28%, over one month by +10.68%, over three months by +48.99% and over the past year by +31.61%.
Is EXACT Sciences a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EXAS is around 62.91 USD . This means that EXAS is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.15%.
Is EXAS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 17
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXAS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 80.2 | 19.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 80.2 | 19.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 69.7 | 4% |
EXAS Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Forward = 90.9091
P/S = 4.0685
P/B = 4.3078
P/EG = -1.07
Beta = 1.472
Revenue TTM = 3.08b USD
EBIT TTM = -968.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -870.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.32b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 37.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.54b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.07b USD (12.54b + Debt 2.54b - CCE 1.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -25.24 (Ebit TTM -968.7m / Interest Expense TTM 38.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.76% (FCF TTM 247.1m / Enterprise Value 14.07b)
FCF Margin = 8.02% (FCF TTM 247.1m / Revenue TTM 3.08b)
Net Margin = -32.01% (Net Income TTM -986.6m / Revenue TTM 3.08b)
Gross Margin = 67.36% ((Revenue TTM 3.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.64% (prev 69.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.38 (Enterprise Value 14.07b / Total Assets 5.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.39% (Interest Expense 9.79m / Debt 2.54b)
Taxrate = 8.57% (-1.84m / -21.4m)
NOPAT = -885.6m (EBIT -968.7m * (1 - 8.57%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 1.59b / Total Current Liabilities 584.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 2.54b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.01 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.75b / EBITDA -870.4m)
Debt / FCF = 7.07 (Net Debt 1.75b / FCF TTM 247.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.72% (Net Income -986.6m / Total Assets 5.90b)
RoE = -40.39% (Net Income TTM -986.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.44b)
RoCE = -20.33% (EBIT -968.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.44b + L.T.Debt 2.32b))
RoIC = -18.34% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -885.6m / Invested Capital 4.83b)
WACC = 7.85% (E(12.54b)/V(15.07b) * Re(9.37%) + D(2.54b)/V(15.07b) * Rd(0.39%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 9.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.22%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.70% ; FCFE base≈187.6m ; Y1≈123.2m ; Y5≈56.3m
Fair Price DCF = 4.75 (DCF Value 899.7m / Shares Outstanding 189.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.32 | EPS CAGR: 277.6% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 95.67 | Revenue CAGR: 16.96% | SUE: 3.21 | # QB: 3
Additional Sources for EXAS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle