(EXC) Exelon - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Transmission, Distribution
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.40% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.20% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 56.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.90 |
| Alpha | 19.18 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.455 |
| Beta | 0.005 |
| Beta Downside | 0.063 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.11% |
| Mean DD | 7.20% |
| Median DD | 6.91% |
Description: EXC Exelon December 03, 2025
Exelon Corporation (NASDAQ:EXC) is a Chicago-based utility holding company that operates regulated electricity and natural-gas businesses, handling the purchase, transmission, distribution, and retail sale of power and gas to a broad customer base that includes residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, public-authority, electric-railroad, and transportation users.
In its most recent fiscal year, Exelon reported adjusted earnings per share of roughly $3.20 and a dividend yield near 4.5%, reflecting its stable cash-flow profile; the company’s regulated rate base sits at approximately $70 billion, underpinning its capacity to fund capital projects and maintain a strong credit rating.
Key economic drivers for Exelon include the ongoing shift toward decarbonization, which is prompting increased investment in renewable generation and grid modernization, as well as interest-rate trends that affect the cost of financing its extensive infrastructure portfolio; sector-wide, demand growth for reliable, low-carbon electricity remains a tailwind for regulated utilities.
For a deeper dive into EXC’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, see ValueRay’s analyst toolkit.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (2.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.46b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.45% (prev 2.79%; Δ -5.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.44b > Net Income 2.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (47.48b) to EBITDA (8.94b) ratio: 5.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.01b) change vs 12m ago 0.90% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.48% (prev 40.72%; Δ 1.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.15% (prev 21.61%; Δ 0.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.60 (EBITDA TTM 8.94b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.85
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 9.23b - Total Current Liabilities 9.82b) / Total Assets 113.54b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.39b / Total Assets 113.54b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 5.31b / Avg Total Assets 109.80b |
| (D) 0.33 = Book Value of Equity 28.24b / Total Liabilities 85.43b |
| Total Rating: 0.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.71
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.74% |
| 3. FCF Margin -6.56% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.76 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.61)% |
| 7. RoE 10.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.31% |
| 9. EPS Trend 6.16% |
What is the price of EXC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.73%, over one month by -5.80%, over three months by +1.22% and over the past year by +20.90%.
Is EXC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.3 | 13.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.3 | 13.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.3 | 8.7% |
EXC Fundamental Data Overview December 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 15.6487
P/E Forward = 15.3139
P/S = 1.8134
P/B = 1.5659
P/EG = 1.9895
Beta = 0.55
Revenue TTM = 24.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 46.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 49.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 47.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 91.58b USD (44.10b + Debt 49.53b - CCE 2.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 5.31b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05b)
FCF Yield = -1.74% (FCF TTM -1.59b / Enterprise Value 91.58b)
FCF Margin = -6.56% (FCF TTM -1.59b / Revenue TTM 24.32b)
Net Margin = 11.60% (Net Income TTM 2.82b / Revenue TTM 24.32b)
Gross Margin = 42.48% ((Revenue TTM 24.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.07% (prev 40.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 91.58b / Total Assets 113.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 538.0m / Debt 49.53b)
Taxrate = 15.05% (155.0m / 1.03b)
NOPAT = 4.51b (EBIT 5.31b * (1 - 15.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 9.23b / Total Current Liabilities 9.82b)
Debt / Equity = 1.76 (Debt 49.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 28.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.31 (Net Debt 47.48b / EBITDA 8.94b)
Debt / FCF = -29.77 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 47.48b / FCF TTM -1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.48% (Net Income 2.82b / Total Assets 113.54b)
RoE = 10.23% (Net Income TTM 2.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.57b)
RoCE = 7.16% (EBIT 5.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.57b + L.T.Debt 46.67b))
RoIC = 5.94% (NOPAT 4.51b / Invested Capital 75.99b)
WACC = 3.33% (E(44.10b)/V(93.63b) * Re(6.03%) + D(49.53b)/V(93.63b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 6.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.81%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.59b)
EPS Correlation: 6.16 | EPS CAGR: -1.21% | SUE: 3.61 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 13.31 | Revenue CAGR: -9.21% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.84 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+5.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%
Additional Sources for EXC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle