(EXC) Exelon - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Transmission, Distribution
EXC EPS (Earnings per Share)
EXC Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.06 |
| Alpha | 20.61 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.532 |
| Beta | -0.004 |
| Beta Downside | 0.059 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.11% |
| Mean DD | 7.01% |
| Median DD | 6.81% |
Description: EXC Exelon September 29, 2025
Exelon Corporation (NASDAQ: EXC) is a U.S.-based utility holding company that operates regulated electricity and natural-gas businesses, including the wholesale purchase and retail sale of power and gas, as well as the transmission and distribution of electricity and the distribution of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, public-authority, electric-railroad, and transportation customers.
In FY 2023 Exelon reported total revenue of $13.9 billion and net income of $2.4 billion, translating to an operating margin of roughly 17 %-both metrics reflecting the stability typical of regulated utilities. The company’s generation fleet comprises about 31 GW of capacity, with roughly 55 % sourced from nuclear and natural-gas plants, and an expanding portfolio of wind and solar assets that now represent over 5 % of total output.
The utility’s performance is closely tied to three primary drivers: (1) regulated return-on-equity (ROE) frameworks that set earnings expectations; (2) natural-gas price volatility, which influences fuel costs for its gas-fired plants and the cost of electricity for retail customers; and (3) state-level decarbonization policies (e.g., Illinois’ Clean Energy Jobs Act) that accelerate the shift toward renewable generation and require capital investment in transmission upgrades.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of how these factors may impact EXC’s valuation and risk profile, you might find it useful to explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
EXC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 46,321m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1980-01-02 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 4.95% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.33 of 5 |
EXC Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.48% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.18% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.59% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 56.9% |
EXC Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 10.12% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.48 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.44 |
| Current Volume | 9104.3k |
| Average Volume | 7681.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (2.82b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.46b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.45% (prev 2.79%; Δ -5.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.44b > Net Income 2.82b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (47.48b) to EBITDA (8.94b) ratio: 5.31 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.01b) change vs 12m ago 0.90% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.48% (prev 40.72%; Δ 1.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 22.15% (prev 21.61%; Δ 0.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.60 (EBITDA TTM 8.94b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.85
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 9.23b - Total Current Liabilities 9.82b) / Total Assets 113.54b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.39b / Total Assets 113.54b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 5.31b / Avg Total Assets 109.80b |
| (D) 0.33 = Book Value of Equity 28.24b / Total Liabilities 85.43b |
| Total Rating: 0.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.01
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.70% = -0.85 |
| 3. FCF Margin -6.56% = -2.46 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.76 = 1.12 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.31 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.56)% = 3.20 |
| 7. RoE 10.23% = 0.85 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.29% = 4.90 |
| 9. EPS Trend 34.97% = 1.75 |
What is the price of EXC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.06%, over one month by -2.15%, over three months by +5.32% and over the past year by +21.36%.
Is Exelon a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EXC is around 48.52 USD . This means that EXC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.62%.
Is EXC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.9 | 8.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.9 | 8.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 51.6 | 12.4% |
EXC Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.466
P/E Forward = 16.2075
P/S = 1.9049
P/B = 1.6477
P/EG = 2.1037
Beta = 0.553
Revenue TTM = 24.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.31b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 46.67b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 49.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 47.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 93.80b USD (46.32b + Debt 49.53b - CCE 2.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.60 (Ebit TTM 5.31b / Interest Expense TTM 2.05b)
FCF Yield = -1.70% (FCF TTM -1.59b / Enterprise Value 93.80b)
FCF Margin = -6.56% (FCF TTM -1.59b / Revenue TTM 24.32b)
Net Margin = 11.60% (Net Income TTM 2.82b / Revenue TTM 24.32b)
Gross Margin = 42.48% ((Revenue TTM 24.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.07% (prev 40.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 93.80b / Total Assets 113.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 538.0m / Debt 49.53b)
Taxrate = 15.05% (155.0m / 1.03b)
NOPAT = 4.51b (EBIT 5.31b * (1 - 15.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 9.23b / Total Current Liabilities 9.82b)
Debt / Equity = 1.76 (Debt 49.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 28.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.31 (Net Debt 47.48b / EBITDA 8.94b)
Debt / FCF = -29.77 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 47.48b / FCF TTM -1.59b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.48% (Net Income 2.82b / Total Assets 113.54b)
RoE = 10.23% (Net Income TTM 2.82b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.57b)
RoCE = 7.16% (EBIT 5.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.57b + L.T.Debt 46.67b))
RoIC = 5.94% (NOPAT 4.51b / Invested Capital 75.99b)
WACC = 3.38% (E(46.32b)/V(95.85b) * Re(6.0%) + D(49.53b)/V(95.85b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 6.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.70%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.59b)
EPS Correlation: 34.97 | EPS CAGR: 28.67% | SUE: 3.61 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 65.29 | Revenue CAGR: 14.08% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EXC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle