(EXE) Expand Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids
EXE EPS (Earnings per Share)
EXE Revenue
Description: EXE Expand Energy
Expand Energy Corporation is an independent natural gas production company operating in the United States, focusing on acquiring, exploring, and developing properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company has significant interests in major shale plays, including the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania, Marcellus and Utica Shales in Ohio and West Virginia, and Haynesville and Bossier Shales in Louisiana.
To evaluate the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as production growth rate, reserve replacement ratio, and operating cash flow margin are crucial. Given its assets in prolific shale basins, Expand Energys production growth rate is likely driven by its drilling activities in these areas. The companys ability to maintain a healthy reserve replacement ratio indicates its capacity to sustain production over time.
From a financial perspective, Expand Energys market capitalization stands at approximately $24.3 billion, with a forward P/E ratio of 17.61, suggesting the market expects earnings growth. However, the current return on equity (ROE) is negative at -7.15%, indicating that the company is currently not generating profits for its shareholders. To improve ROE, the company may need to focus on optimizing its operational efficiency, reducing costs, and improving its pricing strategy to capitalize on favorable market conditions.
Key metrics to monitor for Expand Energy include its daily production volumes, average realized prices for its oil, gas, and NGLs, and its debt-to-equity ratio. As the company operates in a capital-intensive industry, its ability to manage debt and maintain a healthy balance sheet is crucial. Additionally, its operational metrics, such as drilling costs and well productivity, will be essential in assessing its ability to generate cash flows and drive profitability.
EXE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 24,341m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-02-10 |
EXE Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 82.9% |
| Fundamental | 46.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 56.3% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 15.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.48 of 5 |
EXE Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.88% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 21.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 60.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.3% |
EXE Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -90.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 68.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 79.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 24.40% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.82 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.49 |
| Alpha | 22.59 |
| Beta | 0.944 |
| Volatility | 31.91% |
| Current Volume | 1385.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2661.6k |
| Stop Loss | 93.7 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | -0.73 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (206.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 525.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.63pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.44% (prev 22.53%; Δ -29.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.22b > Net Income 206.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-731.0m) to EBITDA (3.00b) ratio: -0.24 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.78 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (240.6m) change vs 12m ago 83.40% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 58.38% (prev 46.08%; Δ 12.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 42.37% (prev 35.29%; Δ 7.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.63 (EBITDA TTM 3.00b / Interest Expense TTM 203.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.97
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 2.27b - Total Current Liabilities 2.92b) / Total Assets 27.77b |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.22b / Total Assets 27.77b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 533.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.69b |
| (D) 0.43 = Book Value of Equity 4.22b / Total Liabilities 9.83b |
| Total Rating: 0.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 45.98
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.04% = 2.02 |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.28% = 3.32 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.29 = 2.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73 = 0.52 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -5.91% = -7.38 |
| 7. RoE 1.31% = 0.11 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -26.89% = -1.34 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -4.54% = -0.76 |
| 10. EPS Trend -68.05% = -1.70 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -14.12% = -1.76 |
What is the price of EXE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.24%, over one month by -1.10%, over three months by -15.05% and over the past year by +35.08%.
Is Expand Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EXE is around 100.33 USD . This means that EXE is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 3.67%.
Is EXE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 10
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 118.8 | 22.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 118.8 | 22.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 111.4 | 15.1% |
Last update: 2025-08-26 04:36
EXE Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 731.0m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 64.6196
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 7.3964
P/B = 2.3892
P/EG = 17.6211
Beta = 0.508
Revenue TTM = 8.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 533.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 67.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.19b USD (Calculated: Short Term 67.0m + Long Term 5.12b)
Net Debt = -731.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 28.80b USD (24.34b + Debt 5.19b - CCE 731.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.63 (Ebit TTM 533.0m / Interest Expense TTM 203.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.04% (FCF TTM 1.16b / Enterprise Value 28.80b)
FCF Margin = 13.28% (FCF TTM 1.16b / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Net Margin = 2.35% (Net Income TTM 206.0m / Revenue TTM 8.77b)
Gross Margin = 58.38% ((Revenue TTM 8.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.65b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.82 (Enterprise Value 28.80b / Book Value Of Equity 4.22b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 60.0m / Debt 5.19b)
Taxrate = 21.17% (from quarterly Income Tax Expense: 260.0m / 1.23b)
NOPAT = 420.1m (EBIT 533.0m * (1 - 21.17%))
Current Ratio = 0.78 (Total Current Assets 2.27b / Total Current Liabilities 2.92b)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 5.19b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 17.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt -731.0m / EBITDA 3.00b)
Debt / FCF = 4.46 (Debt 5.19b / FCF TTM 1.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.72b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 0.74% (Net Income 206.0m, Total Assets 27.77b )
RoE = 1.31% (Net Income TTM 206.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 15.72b)
RoCE = 2.56% (Ebit 533.0m / (Equity 15.72b + L.T.Debt 5.12b))
RoIC = 2.08% (NOPAT 420.1m / Invested Capital 20.24b)
WACC = 7.98% (E(24.34b)/V(29.53b) * Re(9.49%)) + (D(5.19b)/V(29.53b) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 90.0 | Cagr: 19.51%
Discount Rate = 9.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.15% ; FCFE base≈783.2m ; Y1≈635.0m ; Y5≈442.8m
Fair Price DCF = 27.95 (DCF Value 6.46b / Shares Outstanding 231.1m; 5y FCF grow -22.72% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -26.89 | Revenue CAGR: -4.54%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 130.3
EPS Correlation: -68.05 | EPS CAGR: -14.12%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 108.9
Additional Sources for EXE Stock
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