EXE Stock Analysis: Expand Energy | NASDAQ
Oil & Gas E&P | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 20.426m USD | 12M Return: -17.3% | US1651677353 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 297M
EPS Trend: 29.0%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 55.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 5.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: EXE) is a U.S.-based independent natural gas producer engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) properties. The companys core operations are concentrated in major shale plays, including the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania, the Marcellus and Utica Shales in Ohio and West Virginia, and the Haynesville and Bossier Shales in Louisiana and Texas. Originally founded in 1989 as Chesapeake Energy Corporation, the company rebranded to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
The company operates within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sub-industry of the Energy sector, focusing on upstream activities that involve locating and extracting hydrocarbon reserves from shale formations. As an independent producer, Expand Energy concentrates exclusively on exploration and production operations without involvement in downstream activities such as refining or retail distribution. Its geographic footprint in the Appalachian Basin and Haynesville/Bossier regions positions it within two of the most significant natural gas-producing regions in North America, areas known for their substantial shale gas reserves and established pipeline infrastructure.
- Natural gas production growth driven by Haynesville and Marcellus acreage
- Henry Hub gas prices decline amid warmer weather demand softness
- LNG export capacity expansion boosts Appalachian and Haynesville takeaway pricing
- Free cash flow supports debt reduction and shareholder returns
| Net Income: 2.78b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.92% < 20% (prev -7.65%; Δ 6.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 5.64b > Net Income 2.78b |
| Net Debt (2.40b) to EBITDA (6.63b): 0.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.96 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (238.4m) vs 12m ago -0.92% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 63.12% > 18% (prev 34.41%; Δ 28.71% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 47.92% > 50% (prev 30.71%; Δ 17.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.96 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.70b / Interest Expense TTM 218.0m) |
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 2.84b - Total Current Liabilities 2.96b) / Total Assets 28.0b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 5.63b / Total Assets 28.0b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 3.70b / Avg Total Assets 27.9b) |
| D: 2.25 (Book Value of Equity 19.4b / Total Liabilities 8.62b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.88 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.65 (Receivables 1.10b/1.07b, Revenue 13.4b/8.53b) |
| GMI: 0.55 (GM 34.41% / 63.12%) |
| AQI: 0.55 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.57 (Revenue 13.4b / 8.53b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 2.78b - CFO 5.64b) / TA 28.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.59 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 88.12 with a total of 2,058,081 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.79%, over one month by -10.26%, over three months by -1.02% and over the past year by -17.34%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 83.20 (which is 5.6% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Expand Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.46. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EXE.
- StrongBuy: 18
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 123.2 | 39.8% |
P/E Trailing = 7.4519
P/E Forward = 9.5877
P/S = 1.6137
P/B = 1.0381
P/EG = 0.8198
Revenue TTM = 13.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.70b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 43.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.77b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 43.0m
Net Debt = 2.40b USD (calculated: Debt 3.77b - CCE 1.37b)
Enterprise Value = 22.8b USD (20.4b + Debt 3.77b - CCE 1.37b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.96 (Ebit TTM 3.70b / Interest Expense TTM 218.0m)
EV/FCF = 8.98x (Enterprise Value 22.8b / FCF TTM 2.54b)
FCF Yield = 11.13% (FCF TTM 2.54b / Enterprise Value 22.8b)
FCF Margin = 19.01% (FCF TTM 2.54b / Revenue TTM 13.4b)
Net Margin = 20.80% (Net Income TTM 2.78b / Revenue TTM 13.4b)
Gross Margin = 63.12% ((Revenue TTM 13.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.93b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 78.58% (prev 53.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 22.8b / Total Assets 28.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.78% (Interest Expense 218.0m / Debt 3.77b)
Taxrate = 21.31% (753.0m / 3.53b)
NOPAT = 2.91b (EBIT 3.70b * (1 - 21.31%))
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 2.84b / Total Current Liabilities 2.96b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 3.77b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.36 (Net Debt 2.40b / EBITDA 6.63b)
Debt / FCF = 0.95 (Net Debt 2.40b / FCF TTM 2.54b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.97% (Net Income 2.78b / Total Assets 28.0b)
RoE = 14.70% (Net Income TTM 2.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.9b)
RoCE = 16.36% (EBIT 3.70b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.9b + L.T.Debt 3.69b))
RoIC = 11.91% (NOPAT 2.91b / Invested Capital 24.4b)
WACC = 6.02% (E(20.4b)/V(24.2b) * Re(6.29%) + D(3.77b)/V(24.2b) * Rd(5.78%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 81.36 | Cagr: 25.98%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.99b ; Y1≈2.28b ; Y5≈3.36b
[DCF] Fair Price = 207.9 (EV 50.5b - Net Debt 2.40b = Equity 48.1b / Shares 231.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 29.04 | EPS CAGR: 20.39% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 55.44 | Revenue CAGR: 32.13% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-4.96% | Revisions=-18% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.68 | Chg30d=-1.16% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+42.3% | GrowthRev=+13.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.30 | Chg30d=-4.66% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=-4.3% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=9, down=12)