(EXPD) Expeditors International of - Ratings and Ratios
Airfreight, Ocean, Customs Brokerage, Warehousing, Logistics
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.02% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.82% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 37.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.81 |
| Alpha | 14.82 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.322 |
| Beta | 0.709 |
| Beta Downside | 0.643 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.26% |
| Mean DD | 7.51% |
| Median DD | 7.56% |
Description: EXPD Expeditors International of October 30, 2025
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPD) is a global logistics provider operating across the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, and the Middle East-Africa-India-Russia (MAIR) region. Its service portfolio spans air-freight consolidation and forwarding, ocean-freight management, customs brokerage, ground transportation, warehousing, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, and end-to-end supply-chain optimization for retailers, electronics, healthcare, technology, and industrial manufacturers.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show revenue of approximately $9.2 billion, an operating margin near 12 %, and a cash conversion cycle that consistently outperforms the industry average, reflecting strong pricing power and efficient working-capital management.
Macro-level drivers for EXPD include global trade volumes, which have been rising at a 3-4 % annual rate post-pandemic, and persistent freight-rate inflation driven by limited container capacity and higher fuel costs-both factors that can boost pricing leverage for freight forwarders.
Sector-specific trends such as the acceleration of e-commerce fulfillment and the shift toward near-shoring in North America are expanding demand for integrated, technology-enabled logistics solutions, a niche where Expeditors has invested heavily in digital platforms and data analytics.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of EXPD, you may find ValueRay’s free analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (845.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 670.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.57% (prev 17.20%; Δ -2.64pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 (>3.0%) and CFO 972.9m > Net Income 845.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-629.8m) to EBITDA (1.18b) ratio: -0.53 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.79 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (136.8m) change vs 12m ago -3.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 14.49% (prev 12.46%; Δ 2.03pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 224.5% (prev 191.9%; Δ 32.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -49.80 (EBITDA TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM -22.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.39
| (A) 0.34 = (Total Current Assets 3.67b - Total Current Liabilities 2.05b) / Total Assets 4.78b |
| (B) 0.52 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.47b / Total Assets 4.78b |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 1.12b / Avg Total Assets 4.98b |
| (D) 0.91 = Book Value of Equity 2.28b / Total Liabilities 2.50b |
| Total Rating: 6.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.68
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.79% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.26% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.25 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.53 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 29.19)% |
| 7. RoE 37.64% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -63.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.29% |
What is the price of EXPD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.65%, over one month by +10.40%, over three months by +25.94% and over the past year by +27.29%.
Is EXPD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 3
- Strong Sell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXPD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 127.3 | -15.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 127.3 | -15.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 166 | 9.6% |
EXPD Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.8518
P/E Forward = 24.4499
P/S = 1.7798
P/B = 8.6334
P/EG = 5.1195
Beta = 1.162
Revenue TTM = 11.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 568.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 111.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 560.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -629.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.25b USD (19.88b + Debt 560.4m - CCE 1.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -49.80 (Ebit TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM -22.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.79% (FCF TTM 922.7m / Enterprise Value 19.25b)
FCF Margin = 8.26% (FCF TTM 922.7m / Revenue TTM 11.17b)
Net Margin = 7.57% (Net Income TTM 845.5m / Revenue TTM 11.17b)
Gross Margin = 14.49% ((Revenue TTM 11.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.05% (prev 15.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.03 (Enterprise Value 19.25b / Total Assets 4.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.03% (Interest Expense 159.0k / Debt 560.4m)
Taxrate = 25.19% (75.1m / 298.2m)
NOPAT = 840.0m (EBIT 1.12b * (1 - 25.19%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 3.67b / Total Current Liabilities 2.05b)
Debt / Equity = 0.25 (Debt 560.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.53 (Net Debt -629.8m / EBITDA 1.18b)
Debt / FCF = -0.68 (Net Debt -629.8m / FCF TTM 922.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.69% (Net Income 845.5m / Total Assets 4.78b)
RoE = 37.64% (Net Income TTM 845.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.25b)
RoCE = 39.88% (EBIT 1.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.25b + L.T.Debt 568.9m))
RoIC = 37.59% (NOPAT 840.0m / Invested Capital 2.23b)
WACC = 8.39% (E(19.88b)/V(20.44b) * Re(8.63%) + D(560.4m)/V(20.44b) * Rd(0.03%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.17%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.58% ; FCFE base≈790.0m ; Y1≈717.6m ; Y5≈628.1m
Fair Price DCF = 76.00 (DCF Value 10.19b / Shares Outstanding 134.0m; 5y FCF grow -11.42% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -39.29 | EPS CAGR: -12.10% | SUE: 1.90 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -63.89 | Revenue CAGR: -15.30% | SUE: 0.82 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.34 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.96 | Chg30d=+0.391 | Revisions Net=+12 | Growth EPS=+1.5% | Growth Revenue=-0.4%
Additional Sources for EXPD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle