EXPE Stock Analysis: Expedia | NASDAQ
Travel Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 32.258m USD | 12M Return: 44.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 410M
EPS Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a U.S.-headquartered online travel company founded in 1996 and based in Seattle, Washington. It operates through three segments: B2C, B2B, and trivago. The B2C segment houses a portfolio of consumer travel brands, including Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo (focused on alternative accommodations), Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group. The B2B segment supplies travel technology, inventory, and rates to partners such as airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel managers, and financial institutions. The trivago segment operates hotel metasearch websites that refer users to online travel companies and travel service providers. Beyond its core booking platforms, the company also earns revenue through brand advertising, loyalty programs, mobile apps, search engine marketing, and direct traveler communications via email and social media. The company was renamed Expedia Group, Inc. from Expedia, Inc. in March 2018.
Expedia operates within the online travel agency (OTA) industry, a segment of the broader Consumer Discretionary sector that includes hotels, resorts, and cruise lines. Its business model combines merchant and agency models across multiple consumer brands and a B2B platform, and it competes alongside other major OTAs and alternative accommodation marketplaces. The company is listed on NASDAQ and has been publicly traded since its 1999 IPO.
- Vrbo alternative accommodations growth outpaces legacy OTA brands
- Trivago referral revenue pressured by Google hotel search competition
- Search engine marketing costs continue to pressure operating margins
- Travel demand softness and macro headwinds weigh on gross bookings
| Net Income: 1.49b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.42 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -34.34% < 20% (prev -36.16%; Δ 1.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 4.86b > Net Income 1.49b |
| Net Debt (-3.10b) to EBITDA (3.08b): -1.01 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.73 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (121.8m) vs 12m ago -5.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.27% > 18% (prev 89.54%; Δ 0.73% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 57.71% > 50% (prev 52.81%; Δ 4.91% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 352.0m) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 14.2b - Total Current Liabilities 19.4b) / Total Assets 26.5b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 1.63b / Total Assets 26.5b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 2.19b / Avg Total Assets 26.3b) |
| D: 0.02 (Book Value of Equity 576.0m / Total Liabilities 24.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.51 = B |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 5.20b/4.51b, Revenue 15.2b/13.8b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 89.54% / 90.27%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.38) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 15.2b / 13.8b) |
| TATA: -0.13 (NI 1.49b - CFO 4.86b) / TA 26.5b) |
| Beneish M = -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 265.08 with a total of 1,606,861 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.21%, over one month by +11.37%, over three months by -2.78% and over the past year by +44.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 243.20 (which is 8.3% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Expedia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EXPE.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 20
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 287.9 | 8.6% |
P/E Trailing = 23.7429
P/E Forward = 13.6426
P/S = 2.1263
P/B = 56.0041
P/EG = 0.8802
Revenue TTM = 15.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 236.0m
Net Debt = -3.10b USD (calculated: Debt 4.94b - CCE 8.04b)
Enterprise Value = 29.2b USD (32.3b + Debt 4.94b - CCE 8.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.21 (Ebit TTM 2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 352.0m)
EV/FCF = 6.22x (Enterprise Value 29.2b / FCF TTM 4.69b)
FCF Yield = 16.07% (FCF TTM 4.69b / Enterprise Value 29.2b)
FCF Margin = 30.89% (FCF TTM 4.69b / Revenue TTM 15.2b)
Net Margin = 9.81% (Net Income TTM 1.49b / Revenue TTM 15.2b)
Gross Margin = 90.27% ((Revenue TTM 15.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.00% (prev 90.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.10 (Enterprise Value 29.2b / Total Assets 26.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.12% (Interest Expense 352.0m / Debt 4.94b)
Taxrate = 18.93% (347.0m / 1.83b)
NOPAT = 1.77b (EBIT 2.19b * (1 - 18.93%))
Current Ratio = 0.73 (Total Current Assets 14.2b / Total Current Liabilities 19.4b)
Debt / Equity = 8.58 (Debt 4.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 576.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.01 (Net Debt -3.10b / EBITDA 3.08b)
Debt / FCF = -0.66 (Net Debt -3.10b / FCF TTM 4.69b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.66% (Net Income 1.49b / Total Assets 26.5b)
RoE = 147.6% (Net Income TTM 1.49b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.01b)
RoCE = 39.88% (EBIT 2.19b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.01b + L.T.Debt 4.47b))
RoIC = 22.06% (NOPAT 1.77b / Invested Capital 8.03b)
WACC = 10.58% (E(32.3b)/V(37.2b) * Re(11.32%) + D(4.94b)/V(37.2b) * Rd(7.12%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 11.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -88.79 | Cagr: -7.30%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.10% ; FCFF base≈3.99b ; Y1≈4.57b ; Y5≈6.73b
[DCF] Fair Price = 661.3 (EV 72.6b - Net Debt -3.10b = Equity 75.7b / Shares 114.5m; r=10.58% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.30 | EPS CAGR: 26.13% | SUE: 2.72 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 99.32 | Revenue CAGR: 7.32% | SUE: 0.98 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=5.28 | Chg30d=+1.68% | Revisions=+41% | Analysts=25
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=8.60 | Chg30d=+0.97% | Revisions=-32% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.94 | Chg30d=+0.85% | Revisions=+41% | GrowthEPS=+25.7% | GrowthRev=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=23.02 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +24% (up=55, down=33)