EXPE Stock Analysis: Expedia | NASDAQ
Travel Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 38.908m USD | 12M Return: 60.2% | US30212P3038 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 482M
EPS Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a U.S.-headquartered online travel company founded in 1996 and based in Seattle, Washington. It operates through three segments: B2C, B2B, and trivago. The B2C segment houses a portfolio of consumer travel brands, including Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo (focused on alternative accommodations), Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group. The B2B segment supplies travel technology, inventory, and rates to partners such as airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel managers, and financial institutions. The trivago segment operates hotel metasearch websites that refer users to online travel companies and travel service providers. Beyond its core booking platforms, the company also earns revenue through brand advertising, loyalty programs, mobile apps, search engine marketing, and direct traveler communications via email and social media. The company was renamed Expedia Group, Inc. from Expedia, Inc. in March 2018.
Expedia operates within the online travel agency (OTA) industry, a segment of the broader Consumer Discretionary sector that includes hotels, resorts, and cruise lines. Its business model combines merchant and agency models across multiple consumer brands and a B2B platform, and it competes alongside other major OTAs and alternative accommodation marketplaces. The company is listed on NASDAQ and has been publicly traded since its 1999 IPO.
- Vrbo alternative accommodations growth outpaces legacy OTA brands
- Trivago referral revenue pressured by Google hotel search competition
- Search engine marketing costs continue to pressure operating margins
- Travel demand softness and macro headwinds weigh on gross bookings
| Net Income: 2.04b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.86 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -25.81% < 20% (prev -34.82%; Δ 9.01% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 5.22b > Net Income 2.04b |
| Net Debt (-1.22b) to EBITDA (3.92b): -0.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (123.8m) vs 12m ago -6.81% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.43% > 18% (prev 89.61%; Δ 0.83% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.03% > 50% (prev 51.96%; Δ 4.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.02b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m) |
| A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 16.3b - Total Current Liabilities 20.4b) / Total Assets 29.1b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 2.45b / Total Assets 29.1b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 3.02b / Avg Total Assets 28.0b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 1.21b / Total Liabilities 26.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.13 = B |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 5.83b/4.98b, Revenue 15.7b/14.0b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 89.61% / 90.43%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 15.7b / 14.0b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 2.04b - CFO 5.22b) / TA 29.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 339.13 with a total of 1,562,298 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.48%, over one month by +30.46%, over three months by +52.42% and over the past year by +60.20%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 323.80 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Expedia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.76. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EXPE.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 20
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 336.2 | -0.9% |
P/E Trailing = 20.5301
P/E Forward = 16.7785
P/S = 2.4782
P/B = 32.3893
P/EG = 1.0111
Revenue TTM = 15.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.02b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.92b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 226.0m
Net Debt = -1.22b USD (calculated: Debt 5.91b - CCE 7.13b)
Enterprise Value = 37.7b USD (38.9b + Debt 5.91b - CCE 7.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.52 (Ebit TTM 3.02b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m)
EV/FCF = 7.47x (Enterprise Value 37.7b / FCF TTM 5.04b)
FCF Yield = 13.38% (FCF TTM 5.04b / Enterprise Value 37.7b)
FCF Margin = 32.13% (FCF TTM 5.04b / Revenue TTM 15.7b)
Net Margin = 12.97% (Net Income TTM 2.04b / Revenue TTM 15.7b)
Gross Margin = 90.43% ((Revenue TTM 15.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.66% (prev 89.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 37.7b / Total Assets 29.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.01% (Interest Expense 355.0m / Debt 5.91b)
Taxrate = 23.58% (629.0m / 2.67b)
NOPAT = 2.31b (EBIT 3.02b * (1 - 23.58%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 16.3b / Total Current Liabilities 20.4b)
Debt / Equity = 4.89 (Debt 5.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.31 (Net Debt -1.22b / EBITDA 3.92b)
Debt / FCF = -0.24 (Net Debt -1.22b / FCF TTM 5.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.27% (Net Income 2.04b / Total Assets 29.1b)
RoE = 184.8% (Net Income TTM 2.04b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.10b)
RoCE = 46.08% (EBIT 3.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.10b + L.T.Debt 5.46b))
RoIC = 24.03% (NOPAT 2.31b / Invested Capital 9.61b)
WACC = 9.47% (E(38.9b)/V(44.8b) * Re(10.21%) + D(5.91b)/V(44.8b) * Rd(6.01%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.96 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.43% ; FCFF base≈4.05b ; Y1≈4.64b ; Y5≈6.83b
[DCF] Fair Price = 761.0 (EV 85.9b - Net Debt -1.22b = Equity 87.1b / Shares 114.5m; r=9.47% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.29 | EPS CAGR: 26.16% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 98.71 | Revenue CAGR: 7.75% | SUE: 1.92 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=8.72 | Chg30d=+2.78% | Revisions=+19% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=20.87 | Chg30d=+5.85% | Revisions=+42% | GrowthEPS=+31.6% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=24.19 | Chg30d=+5.35% | Revisions=+27% | GrowthEPS=+15.9% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33% (up=43, down=21)