(EXPE) Expedia - Ratings and Ratios
Flights, Hotels, Car Rentals, Vacation Packages, Metasearch
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.63% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.30% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 59.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 10.9% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 55.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.05% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.83 |
| Alpha | 19.08 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.287 |
| Beta | 1.449 |
| Beta Downside | 1.426 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.70% |
| Mean DD | 11.92% |
| Median DD | 11.97% |
Description: EXPE Expedia October 14, 2025
Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a global online travel platform that operates through three primary segments: B2C, B2B, and trivago. The B2C segment aggregates consumer-facing brands such as Expedia.com, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Orbitz, Travelocity, Wotif, ebookers, CheapTickets, Hotwire, and CarRentals.com, offering a full suite of travel booking services. The B2B segment licenses Expedia’s technology and inventory to airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel managers, and financial institutions, allowing partners to sell Expedia-sourced rates and availability under their own brands. The trivago segment runs a hotel-metasearch business that drives referral traffic to online travel agencies and other travel service providers.
Beyond booking services, Expedia monetizes its extensive traveler data through brand advertising, loyalty programs, mobile applications, search-engine marketing, and personalized communications across web, email, and social channels. The company, founded in 1996 and headquartered in Seattle, rebranded from Expedia, Inc. to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018.
Key recent performance indicators (FY 2023): Revenue of approximately $9.0 billion, Gross Booking Value (GBV) of $28 billion (up 8 % YoY), and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %. Vrbo now accounts for roughly 15 % of total bookings, while the B2B platform contributes about 20 % of revenue, reflecting a strategic shift toward higher-margin technology licensing.
Macro-economic drivers that materially affect Expedia’s outlook include: (1) the rebound in discretionary travel spending as pandemic-related restrictions ease; (2) inflation-driven price sensitivity that can compress average transaction values; and (3) interest-rate-induced changes in consumer credit availability, which influence both leisure and corporate travel budgets. Sector-level data show that the U.S. online travel agency market remains concentrated, with Expedia holding roughly 12 % market share, second only to Booking Holdings.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of EXPE’s valuation metrics, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (1.39b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 862.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -30.70% (prev -29.53%; Δ -1.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.77b > Net Income 1.39b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-784.0m) to EBITDA (2.79b) ratio: -0.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (131.0m) change vs 12m ago -3.48% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 89.94% (prev 89.19%; Δ 0.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 59.24% (prev 57.23%; Δ 2.01pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.97 (EBITDA TTM 2.79b / Interest Expense TTM 240.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.13
| (A) -0.18 = (Total Current Assets 12.85b - Total Current Liabilities 17.26b) / Total Assets 25.11b |
| (B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.54b / Total Assets 25.11b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.91b / Avg Total Assets 24.26b |
| (D) -0.67 = Book Value of Equity -15.11b / Total Liabilities 22.52b |
| Total Rating: -1.13 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.33
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 12.83% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.93% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.85 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.51)% |
| 7. RoE 115.6% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.28% |
| 9. EPS Trend 43.83% |
What is the price of EXPE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.31%, over one month by +13.68%, over three months by +19.28% and over the past year by +39.61%.
Is EXPE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 20
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EXPE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 270.1 | 5.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 270.1 | 5.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 281.3 | 10% |
EXPE Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.0846
P/E Forward = 13.4953
P/S = 2.0212
P/B = 21.9917
P/EG = 0.6782
Beta = 1.457
Revenue TTM = 14.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.91b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.75b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.48b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -784.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 27.92b USD (29.04b + Debt 6.48b - CCE 7.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 1.91b / Interest Expense TTM 240.0m)
FCF Yield = 12.83% (FCF TTM 3.58b / Enterprise Value 27.92b)
FCF Margin = 24.93% (FCF TTM 3.58b / Revenue TTM 14.37b)
Net Margin = 9.66% (Net Income TTM 1.39b / Revenue TTM 14.37b)
Gross Margin = 89.94% ((Revenue TTM 14.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.45b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.48% (prev 90.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 27.92b / Total Assets 25.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 62.0m / Debt 6.48b)
Taxrate = 14.77% (167.0m / 1.13b)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 1.91b * (1 - 14.77%))
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 12.85b / Total Current Liabilities 17.26b)
Debt / Equity = 4.85 (Debt 6.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.28 (Net Debt -784.0m / EBITDA 2.79b)
Debt / FCF = -0.22 (Net Debt -784.0m / FCF TTM 3.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.53% (Net Income 1.39b / Total Assets 25.11b)
RoE = 115.6% (Net Income TTM 1.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.20b)
RoCE = 33.73% (EBIT 1.91b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.20b + L.T.Debt 4.47b))
RoIC = 21.94% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 7.43b)
WACC = 9.43% (E(29.04b)/V(35.52b) * Re(11.35%) + D(6.48b)/V(35.52b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 11.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.77%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.12% ; FCFE base≈3.14b ; Y1≈2.85b ; Y5≈2.48b
Fair Price DCF = 234.7 (DCF Value 27.46b / Shares Outstanding 117.0m; 5y FCF grow -11.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 43.83 | EPS CAGR: 68.92% | SUE: 3.13 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 65.28 | Revenue CAGR: 19.26% | SUE: 2.59 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for EXPE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle