EXPE Stock Analysis: Expedia | NASDAQ
Travel Services | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 35.825m USD | 12M Return: 35% | US30212P3038 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 441M
EPS Trend: 98.3%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE) is a Seattle-based online travel company founded in 1996, operating in the United States and internationally through three reporting segments: B2C, B2B, and trivago. Its B2C segment encompasses a portfolio of consumer travel brands, including Brand Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo (focused on alternative accommodations), Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group, offering lodging, air, and other travel products and services directly to travelers. The B2B segment supplies travel technology, inventory, and rate/availability access to partners such as airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel managers, and financial institutions, while the trivago segment operates a hotel metasearch platform that monetizes traffic through referrals to online travel companies and travel providers.
The company supports its brands through a mix of online and offline advertising, loyalty programs, mobile apps, search engine marketing, metasearch, social media, and direct email communications. As a large-cap name within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS sub-industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines), Expedia Group operates in the online travel agency (OTA) industry, which typically generates revenue through commissions, merchant markups, and advertising fees on aggregated travel inventory rather than owning the underlying hotel, airline, or rental assets.
- Vrbo alternative accommodation bookings compete with Airbnb market share
- B2B partner solutions revenue grows on airline and retail integrations
- Trivago referrals decline as Google dominates hotel metasearch
| Net Income: 2.04b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -25.81% < 20% (prev -34.82%; Δ 9.01% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 5.22b > Net Income 2.04b |
| Net Debt (-1.22b) to EBITDA (3.92b): -0.31 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (123.8m) vs 12m ago -6.81% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.43% > 18% (prev 89.61%; Δ 0.83% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 56.03% > 50% (prev 51.96%; Δ 4.07% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.52 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.02b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m) |
| A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 16.3b - Total Current Liabilities 20.4b) / Total Assets 29.1b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 2.45b / Total Assets 29.1b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 3.02b / Avg Total Assets 28.0b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 1.21b / Total Liabilities 26.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.13 = B |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 5.83b/4.98b, Revenue 15.7b/14.0b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 89.61% / 90.43%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.35) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 15.7b / 14.0b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 2.04b - CFO 5.22b) / TA 29.1b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 289.01 with a total of 1,089,351 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.02%, over one month by +11.57%, over three months by +12.35% and over the past year by +35.01%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 264.90 (which is 8.3% or 2 ATR below the current price).
Expedia has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.84. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EXPE.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 20
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 334.9 | 15.9% |
P/E Trailing = 18.644
P/E Forward = 11.2867
P/S = 2.2818
P/B = 25.7153
P/EG = 0.6802
Revenue TTM = 15.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.02b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.92b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.69b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 226.0m
Net Debt = -1.22b USD (calculated: Debt 5.91b - CCE 7.13b)
Enterprise Value = 34.6b USD (35.8b + Debt 5.91b - CCE 7.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.52 (Ebit TTM 3.02b / Interest Expense TTM 355.0m)
EV/FCF = 7.76x (Enterprise Value 34.6b / FCF TTM 4.46b)
FCF Yield = 12.88% (FCF TTM 4.46b / Enterprise Value 34.6b)
FCF Margin = 28.40% (FCF TTM 4.46b / Revenue TTM 15.7b)
Net Margin = 12.97% (Net Income TTM 2.04b / Revenue TTM 15.7b)
Gross Margin = 90.43% ((Revenue TTM 15.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.66% (prev 89.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 34.6b / Total Assets 29.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.01% (Interest Expense 355.0m / Debt 5.91b)
Taxrate = 23.58% (629.0m / 2.67b)
NOPAT = 2.31b (EBIT 3.02b * (1 - 23.58%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 16.3b / Total Current Liabilities 20.4b)
Debt / Equity = 4.89 (Debt 5.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.31 (Net Debt -1.22b / EBITDA 3.92b)
Debt / FCF = -0.27 (Net Debt -1.22b / FCF TTM 4.46b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.27% (Net Income 2.04b / Total Assets 29.1b)
RoE = 184.8% (Net Income TTM 2.04b / Total Stockholder Equity 1.10b)
RoCE = 46.08% (EBIT 3.02b / Capital Employed (Equity 1.10b + L.T.Debt 5.46b))
RoIC = 24.03% (NOPAT 2.31b / Invested Capital 9.61b)
WACC = 8.59% (E(35.8b)/V(41.7b) * Re(9.25%) + D(5.91b)/V(41.7b) * Rd(6.01%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -87.96 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.20% ; FCFF base≈3.47b ; Y1≈3.98b ; Y5≈5.86b
[DCF] Fair Price = 749.8 (EV 84.6b - Net Debt -1.22b = Equity 85.9b / Shares 114.5m; r=8.59% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.29 | EPS CAGR: 26.16% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 98.71 | Revenue CAGR: 7.75% | SUE: 1.92 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=8.87 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=21.03 | Chg30d=+0.18% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+32.6% | GrowthRev=+10.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=24.58 | Chg30d=+0.45% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=9, down=3)