(EYE) National Vision Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Glasses, Exams, Contacts, Sunglasses, Accessories
EYE EPS (Earnings per Share)
EYE Revenue
Description: EYE National Vision Holdings
National Vision Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:EYE) is a US-based company operating in the Other Specialty Retail sub-industry, primarily involved in the retail of eyewear and vision care services. The companys business model is centered around providing affordable eyecare and eyewear to customers through various retail channels.
To evaluate the companys performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as same-store sales growth, gross margin, and operating margin are crucial. A closer look at these metrics can reveal the companys ability to drive revenue growth, maintain profitability, and manage costs. Additionally, metrics like store count growth, average ticket price, and customer acquisition costs can provide insights into the companys expansion strategy and customer acquisition efficiency.
Economic drivers that impact National Vision Holdings Incs business include consumer spending on discretionary items, demographic trends such as an aging population and increasing awareness of eye health, and competition in the eyewear retail market. The companys ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences, technological advancements in eyewear, and shifting market dynamics will be essential to its long-term success.
From a financial perspective, the companys quarterly Income Tax Expense is an important aspect to consider, as it can significantly impact net income. Analyzing the companys tax rate, tax provisions, and potential tax liabilities can provide a more comprehensive understanding of its financial health and potential areas for improvement.
To further assess the companys investment potential, it is essential to examine its valuation multiples, such as the forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.04, and compare them to industry peers. Additionally, analyzing the companys return on equity (ROE) of -3.12% and its implications on shareholder value can provide valuable insights into the companys financial performance and managements effectiveness.
EYE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,805m |
| Sub-Industry | Other Specialty Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-10-26 |
EYE Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 2.52% |
| Fundamental | 41.1% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 80.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.09 of 5 |
EYE Dividends
Currently no dividends paidEYE Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -8.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 90.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -85.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -12.47% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.16 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.22 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.15 |
| Alpha | 121.55 |
| Beta | 0.270 |
| Volatility | 48.29% |
| Current Volume | 1279.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1967.9k |
| Stop Loss | 21.9 (-4.7%) |
| Signal | -0.34 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-14.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 113.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -10.64% (prev -14.70%; Δ 4.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 144.7m > Net Income -14.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (670.9m) to EBITDA (108.5m) ratio: 6.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.52 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (80.1m) change vs 12m ago 1.89% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 58.61% (prev 50.24%; Δ 8.37pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 91.65% (prev 94.72%; Δ -3.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.52 (EBITDA TTM 108.5m / Interest Expense TTM 17.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.01
| (A) -0.10 = (Total Current Assets 217.7m - Total Current Liabilities 418.2m) / Total Assets 1.97b |
| (B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 249.0m / Total Assets 1.97b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 9.02m / Avg Total Assets 2.06b |
| (D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 249.9m / Total Liabilities 1.12b |
| Total Rating: 0.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.14
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.66% = 1.33 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.01% = 0.75 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.44 = 2.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.45 = -2.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -5.39% = -6.74 |
| 7. RoE -1.69% = -0.28 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -38.87% = -1.94 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -0.94% = -0.16 |
| 10. EPS Trend 1.84% = 0.05 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of EYE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.39%, over one month by +0.17%, over three months by +2.86% and over the past year by +113.27%.
Is National Vision Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EYE is around 21.21 USD . This means that EYE is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.74%.
Is EYE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EYE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.9 | 25.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.9 | 25.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 23.1 | 0.5% |
Last update: 2025-09-04 04:37
EYE Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 48.5m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 28.7356
P/S = 0.9572
P/B = 2.0428
Beta = 1.278
Revenue TTM = 1.89b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.02m USD
EBITDA TTM = 108.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 255.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 119.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 374.6m USD (Calculated: Short Term 119.0m + Long Term 255.6m)
Net Debt = 670.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.13b USD (1.80b + Debt 374.6m - CCE 48.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.52 (Ebit TTM 9.02m / Interest Expense TTM 17.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.66% (FCF TTM 56.7m / Enterprise Value 2.13b)
FCF Margin = 3.01% (FCF TTM 56.7m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Net Margin = -0.75% (Net Income TTM -14.1m / Revenue TTM 1.89b)
Gross Margin = 58.61% ((Revenue TTM 1.89b - Cost of Revenue TTM 780.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.53 (Enterprise Value 2.13b / Book Value Of Equity 249.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 4.21m / Debt 374.6m)
Taxrate = 28.71% (3.51m / 12.2m)
NOPAT = 6.43m (EBIT 9.02m * (1 - 28.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.52 (Total Current Assets 217.7m / Total Current Liabilities 418.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 374.6m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 850.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.45 (Net Debt 670.9m / EBITDA 108.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.60 (Debt 374.6m / FCF TTM 56.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 835.8m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.72% (Net Income -14.1m, Total Assets 1.97b )
RoE = -1.69% (Net Income TTM -14.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 835.8m)
RoCE = 0.83% (Ebit 9.02m / (Equity 835.8m + L.T.Debt 255.6m))
RoIC = 0.55% (NOPAT 6.43m / Invested Capital 1.16b)
WACC = 5.94% (E(1.80b)/V(2.18b) * Re(7.01%)) + (D(374.6m)/V(2.18b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 9.09 | Cagr: 0.09%
Discount Rate = 7.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.76% ; FCFE base≈48.3m ; Y1≈35.2m ; Y5≈19.9m
Fair Price DCF = 4.78 (DCF Value 378.7m / Shares Outstanding 79.2m; 5y FCF grow -31.89% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -38.87 | Revenue CAGR: -0.94%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -4.61
EPS Correlation: 1.84 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 160.3
Additional Sources for EYE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle