(FAST) Fastenal - Ratings and Ratios
Fasteners, Bolts, Nuts, Screws, Washers
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.91% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.74% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 81.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.21% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.45 |
| Alpha | 1.75 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.421 |
| Beta | 0.606 |
| Beta Downside | 0.340 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.90% |
| Mean DD | 6.21% |
| Median DD | 4.10% |
Description: FAST Fastenal December 02, 2025
Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) distributes industrial and construction supplies across North America and select international markets, offering a broad catalog that includes fasteners (bolts, nuts, screws, studs, washers) and ancillary hardware such as concrete anchors, wire ropes, and metal framing systems.
In FY 2023 the company generated roughly $5.1 billion in revenue, with an operating margin near 12% and an inventory turnover of about 5.3×, reflecting its “just-in-time” vending and on-site supply model that drives high asset efficiency.
Key demand drivers include U.S. construction spending (which rose 5.6% YoY in Q3 2024), the manufacturing sector’s PMI trends, and capital-intensive industries like oil & gas and mining that are sensitive to commodity price cycles and interest-rate environments.
For a deeper, data-rich view of FAST’s valuation dynamics, you might find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (1.23b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 479.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 33.93% (prev 33.67%; Δ 0.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.21b <= Net Income 1.23b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (229.2m) to EBITDA (1.80b) ratio: 0.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.26 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.15b) change vs 12m ago 0.23% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.15% (prev 45.23%; Δ -0.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 162.3% (prev 157.9%; Δ 4.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 225.1 (EBITDA TTM 1.80b / Interest Expense TTM 7.20m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 11.38
| (A) 0.53 = (Total Current Assets 3.55b - Total Current Liabilities 832.7m) / Total Assets 5.12b |
| (B) 0.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.83b / Total Assets 5.12b |
| (C) 0.33 = EBIT TTM 1.62b / Avg Total Assets 4.93b |
| (D) 3.10 = Book Value of Equity 3.78b / Total Liabilities 1.22b |
| Total Rating: 11.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.51
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.00% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.07% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.13 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 23.01)% |
| 7. RoE 32.69% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 85.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend -67.27% |
What is the price of FAST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.87%, over one month by +3.13%, over three months by -14.22% and over the past year by +14.06%.
Is FAST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FAST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44 | 5.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44 | 5.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.6 | 14.5% |
FAST Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 39.4623
P/E Forward = 34.6021
P/S = 6.0046
P/B = 12.2984
P/EG = 3.2237
Beta = 0.884
Revenue TTM = 8.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.62b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.80b USD
Long Term Debt = 100.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 201.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 517.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 229.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 48.25b USD (48.02b + Debt 517.3m - CCE 288.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 225.1 (Ebit TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 7.20m)
FCF Yield = 2.00% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Enterprise Value 48.25b)
FCF Margin = 12.07% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Revenue TTM 8.00b)
Net Margin = 15.34% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 8.00b)
Gross Margin = 45.15% ((Revenue TTM 8.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.27% (prev 45.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.43 (Enterprise Value 48.25b / Total Assets 5.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.31% (Interest Expense 1.60m / Debt 517.3m)
Taxrate = 23.85% (105.1m / 440.6m)
NOPAT = 1.23b (EBIT 1.62b * (1 - 23.85%))
Current Ratio = 4.26 (Total Current Assets 3.55b / Total Current Liabilities 832.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 517.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.13 (Net Debt 229.2m / EBITDA 1.80b)
Debt / FCF = 0.24 (Net Debt 229.2m / FCF TTM 965.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.97% (Net Income 1.23b / Total Assets 5.12b)
RoE = 32.69% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.75b)
RoCE = 42.07% (EBIT 1.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.75b + L.T.Debt 100.0m))
RoIC = 31.18% (NOPAT 1.23b / Invested Capital 3.96b)
WACC = 8.16% (E(48.02b)/V(48.54b) * Re(8.25%) + D(517.3m)/V(48.54b) * Rd(0.31%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.37% ; FCFE base≈995.8m ; Y1≈1.13b ; Y5≈1.56b
Fair Price DCF = 22.54 (DCF Value 25.87b / Shares Outstanding 1.15b; 5y FCF grow 16.06% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -67.27 | EPS CAGR: -8.22% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.05 | Revenue CAGR: 9.23% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=11
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.22 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+10.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.1%
Additional Sources for FAST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle