(FAST) Fastenal - Ratings and Ratios
Fasteners, Bolts, Nuts, Hardware, Industrial
FAST EPS (Earnings per Share)
FAST Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.34% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -11.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.518 |
| Beta | 0.625 |
| Beta Downside | 0.385 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.36% |
| Mean DD | 5.86% |
| Median DD | % |
Description: FAST Fastenal September 26, 2025
Fastenal Company (NASDAQ: FAST) is a U.S.-based wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies, operating across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and a growing international footprint. Founded in 1967 and headquartered in Winona, Minnesota, the firm trades under the GICS sub-industry “Trading Companies & Distributors.”
The core catalogue centers on fasteners-threaded bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and washers-used in manufacturing, construction, and equipment maintenance. Complementary offerings include pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire ropes, strut products, rivets, and assorted hardware accessories.
Fastenal serves a broad customer base: original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), maintenance-repair-operations (MRO) clients, non-residential construction firms, agricultural and transportation operators, mining and rail companies, educational institutions, retail trades, oil-and-gas exploration and production entities, as well as federal, state, and local governments.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of $5.9 billion, a 5 % YoY increase driven largely by a 7 % rise in same-store sales, and an operating margin of 13.2 %. Inventory turnover improved to 5.8×, reflecting tighter supply-chain management-a critical factor given ongoing global logistics constraints. Economic drivers that materially affect Fastenal include U.S. construction spending (which grew ~4 % YoY in Q2 2024), manufacturing PMI trends (currently hovering around 51), and labor-market tightness that sustains demand for MRO services. The company’s performance is therefore closely tied to macro-level industrial activity and the pace of infrastructure investment.
For a deeper, data-rich view of Fastenal’s valuation dynamics, you might find ValueRay’s analytical platform useful as a next step in your research.
FAST Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 47,471m |
| Sub-Industry | Trading Companies & Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 1990-03-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -12.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.06 of 5 |
FAST Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.09% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.74% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 81.8% |
FAST Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 19.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.96 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.35 |
| Current Volume | 8162k |
| Average Volume | 6111.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (1.23b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 479.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 33.93% (prev 33.67%; Δ 0.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.21b <= Net Income 1.23b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (229.2m) to EBITDA (1.80b) ratio: 0.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.26 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.15b) change vs 12m ago 0.23% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.15% (prev 45.23%; Δ -0.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 162.3% (prev 157.9%; Δ 4.45pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 225.0 (EBITDA TTM 1.80b / Interest Expense TTM 7.20m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 11.38
| (A) 0.53 = (Total Current Assets 3.55b - Total Current Liabilities 832.7m) / Total Assets 5.12b |
| (B) 0.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.83b / Total Assets 5.12b |
| (C) 0.33 = EBIT TTM 1.62b / Avg Total Assets 4.93b |
| (D) 3.10 = Book Value of Equity 3.78b / Total Liabilities 1.22b |
| Total Rating: 11.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.64
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.02% = 1.01 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.07% = 3.02 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.13 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.13 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 22.34)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 32.69% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.61% = 5.97 |
| 9. EPS Trend -76.73% = -3.84 |
What is the price of FAST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.05%, over one month by -3.23%, over three months by -16.76% and over the past year by -0.46%.
Is Fastenal a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FAST is around 39.18 USD . This means that FAST is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.85%.
Is FAST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FAST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44.1 | 8.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44.1 | 8.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.9 | 7.8% |
FAST Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 38.6449
P/E Forward = 40.3226
P/S = 5.9357
P/B = 14.5195
P/EG = 3.9832
Beta = 0.882
Revenue TTM = 8.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.62b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.80b USD
Long Term Debt = 125.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 201.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 517.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 229.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 47.70b USD (47.47b + Debt 517.3m - CCE 288.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 225.0 (Ebit TTM 1.62b / Interest Expense TTM 7.20m)
FCF Yield = 2.02% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Enterprise Value 47.70b)
FCF Margin = 12.07% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Revenue TTM 8.00b)
Net Margin = 15.34% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 8.00b)
Gross Margin = 45.15% ((Revenue TTM 8.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.27% (prev 45.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.32 (Enterprise Value 47.70b / Total Assets 5.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.31% (Interest Expense 1.60m / Debt 517.3m)
Taxrate = 23.85% (105.1m / 440.6m)
NOPAT = 1.23b (EBIT 1.62b * (1 - 23.85%))
Current Ratio = 4.26 (Total Current Assets 3.55b / Total Current Liabilities 832.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 517.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.13 (Net Debt 229.2m / EBITDA 1.80b)
Debt / FCF = 0.24 (Net Debt 229.2m / FCF TTM 965.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.97% (Net Income 1.23b / Total Assets 5.12b)
RoE = 32.69% (Net Income TTM 1.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.75b)
RoCE = 41.78% (EBIT 1.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.75b + L.T.Debt 125.0m))
RoIC = 31.51% (NOPAT 1.23b / Invested Capital 3.91b)
WACC = 9.17% (E(47.47b)/V(47.99b) * Re(9.27%) + D(517.3m)/V(47.99b) * Rd(0.31%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.96% ; FCFE base≈995.8m ; Y1≈1.13b ; Y5≈1.56b
Fair Price DCF = 18.81 (DCF Value 21.60b / Shares Outstanding 1.15b; 5y FCF grow 16.06% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -76.73 | EPS CAGR: -13.35% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.61 | Revenue CAGR: 8.71% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FAST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle