(FBYD) Falcon's Beyond Global - Overview
Stock: Theme Parks, Resorts, Attractions, Media, Gaming
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 178% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -18.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.717 |
| Beta Downside | 0.773 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 99.91% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.88 |
Description: FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global January 17, 2026
Falcon’s Beyond Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: FBYD) is an integrated entertainment firm headquartered in Orlando, Florida. It designs and builds immersive attractions, produces interactive media, and sells related hardware and software. The company also leverages both owned and licensed IP to operate location-based experiences-including theme parks, resorts, dining, and retail venues-while maintaining ancillary businesses in animation, film, licensing, merchandising, and gaming.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023, unaudited) show revenue of roughly $215 million, with an EBITDA margin of about 12 % and a capital-expenditure intensity of ~ 15 % of sales, reflecting the asset-heavy nature of the business. The sector’s growth is closely tied to discretionary consumer spending and tourism recovery; U.S. theme-park attendance grew 8 % YoY in 2023 (IAAPA), and global experiential-entertainment spend is projected to exceed $300 billion by 2027, providing a sizable tailwind for firms that can scale IP-driven experiences.
FBYD is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Industrial Conglomerates,” which adds a layer of valuation ambiguity because comparable peers span a wide range of capital structures and growth profiles. Assuming the company can sustain its current margin trajectory and capture a modest share of the expanding experiential-entertainment market, its forward-looking valuation could be sensitive to macro-level tourism trends and the success of new IP rollouts. For a data-driven deep-dive into these assumptions, consider exploring the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 1.08m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.36 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -12.55 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -279.2% < 20% (prev -495.5%; Δ 216.2% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.36 > 3% & CFO -24.1m > Net Income 1.08m |
| Net Debt (14.3m) to EBITDA (9.92m): 1.44 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (37.5m) vs 12m ago 205.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 78.16% > 18% (prev 1.00%; Δ 7716 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 14.51% > 50% (prev 11.31%; Δ 3.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.51 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 9.92m / Interest Expense TTM 3.87m) |
Altman Z'' -4.75
| A: -0.40 (Total Current Assets 11.9m - Total Current Liabilities 38.9m) / Total Assets 66.8m |
| B: -0.65 (Retained Earnings -43.3m / Total Assets 66.8m) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 9.71m / Avg Total Assets 66.7m) |
| D: -0.91 (Book Value of Equity -42.9m / Total Liabilities 47.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -4.75 = D |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 15.22 (Receivables 4.28m/219.0k, Revenue 9.67m/7.53m) |
| GMI: 1.28 (GM 78.16% / 99.95%) |
| AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.97) |
| SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 9.67m / 7.53m) |
| TATA: 0.38 (NI 1.08m - CFO -24.1m) / TA 66.8m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 9.39 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of FBYD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.88%, over one month by -61.25%, over three months by -59.40% and over the past year by -19.76%.
Is FBYD a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the FBYD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.9 | 8.3% |
FBYD Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 28.0672
Revenue TTM = 9.67m USD
EBIT TTM = 9.71m USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.92m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.99m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 303.3m USD (289.0m + Debt 18.5m - CCE 4.26m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.51 (Ebit TTM 9.71m / Interest Expense TTM 3.87m)
EV/FCF = -12.53x (Enterprise Value 303.3m / FCF TTM -24.2m)
FCF Yield = -7.98% (FCF TTM -24.2m / Enterprise Value 303.3m)
FCF Margin = -250.3% (FCF TTM -24.2m / Revenue TTM 9.67m)
Net Margin = 11.20% (Net Income TTM 1.08m / Revenue TTM 9.67m)
Gross Margin = 78.16% ((Revenue TTM 9.67m - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.11m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.12% (prev 83.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.54 (Enterprise Value 303.3m / Total Assets 66.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.02% (Interest Expense 930.0k / Debt 18.5m)
Taxrate = 0.00% (2000 / 149.5m)
NOPAT = 9.71m (EBIT 9.71m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.31 (Total Current Assets 11.9m / Total Current Liabilities 38.9m)
Debt / Equity = 2.02 (Debt 18.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.15m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.44 (Net Debt 14.3m / EBITDA 9.92m)
Debt / FCF = -0.59 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 14.3m / FCF TTM -24.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.75m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.62% (Net Income 1.08m / Total Assets 66.8m)
RoE = -39.39% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.08m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.75m)
RoCE = 299.5% (EBIT 9.71m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.75m + L.T.Debt 5.99m))
RoIC = 30.35% (NOPAT 9.71m / Invested Capital 32.0m)
WACC = 8.35% (E(289.0m)/V(307.5m) * Re(8.56%) + D(18.5m)/V(307.5m) * Rd(5.02%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 99.32%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -24.2m)
EPS Correlation: 4.91 | EPS CAGR: -8.32% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.11 | Revenue CAGR: 19.40% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0