FER Stock Analysis: Ferrovial SE | NASDAQ
Engineering & Construction | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 38.625m USD | 12M Return: -15.9% | NL0015001FS8 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 99.2M
Rev. Trend: 97.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Ferrovial SE (NASDAQ: FER) is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company that develops, constructs, and operates highways and airports, with operations spanning the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. Founded in 1952 and headquartered in Amsterdam, the company operates through four segments: Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy. Its activities include toll road development and financing, public and private infrastructure construction, airport investment and operations, energy transmission and renewable generation projects, energy efficiency services, and waste management plant operations. Ferrovial listed on NASDAQ in 2023 and is classified within the Construction & Engineering sub-industry of the Industrials sector. The company is notable as one of the largest publicly listed global infrastructure operators, often participating in public-private partnerships (PPPs) and concession agreements that generate long-term, contractually-backed revenue streams from transportation assets.
- US toll road traffic and revenue growth accelerates
- Heathrow airport stake drives Airports segment EBITDA
- US Infrastructure Bill contract wins boost Construction backlog
| Net Income: 977.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.73% < 20% (prev -2.41%; Δ 10.14% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 3.45b > Net Income 977.0m |
| Net Debt (7.13b) to EBITDA (2.41b): 2.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (720.6m) vs 12m ago 0.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.88% > 18% (prev 35.76%; Δ -0.88% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.06% > 50% (prev 52.80%; Δ 1.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.83 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.68b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 6.81b - Total Current Liabilities 5.69b) / Total Assets 27.2b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.61b / Total Assets 27.2b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.68b / Avg Total Assets 26.9b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 5.72b / Total Liabilities 19.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.31 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 2.31b/2.19b, Revenue 14.5b/14.0b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 35.76% / 34.88%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.75) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 14.5b / 14.0b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 977.0m - CFO 3.45b) / TA 27.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.29 with a total of 2,748,404 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.01%, over one month by -13.28%, over three months by -21.81% and over the past year by -15.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 49.20 (which is 2.2% or 0.9 ATR below the current price).
Ferrovial SE has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold FER.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 73.1 | 45.4% |
Market Cap EUR = 34.5b (38.6b USD * 0.89279997348785 USD.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 57.0638
P/E Forward = 42.735
P/S = 3.9178
P/B = 6.0695
P/EG = 10.0924
Revenue TTM = 14.5b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.68b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 2.41b EUR
Long Term Debt = 10.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 381.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 333.0m
Net Debt = 7.13b EUR (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Enterprise Value = 41.6b EUR (34.5b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.83 (Ebit TTM 1.68b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
EV/FCF = 13.85x (Enterprise Value 41.6b / FCF TTM 3.00b)
FCF Yield = 7.22% (FCF TTM 3.00b / Enterprise Value 41.6b)
FCF Margin = 20.67% (FCF TTM 3.00b / Revenue TTM 14.5b)
Net Margin = 6.72% (Net Income TTM 977.0m / Revenue TTM 14.5b)
Gross Margin = 34.88% ((Revenue TTM 14.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.44% (prev 86.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.53 (Enterprise Value 41.6b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.99% (Interest Expense 438.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 10.68% (47.0m / 440.0m)
NOPAT = 1.50b (EBIT 1.68b * (1 - 10.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 6.81b / Total Current Liabilities 5.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.92 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.96 (Net Debt 7.13b / EBITDA 2.41b)
Debt / FCF = 2.37 (Net Debt 7.13b / FCF TTM 3.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.63% (Net Income 977.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 16.80% (Net Income TTM 977.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.82b)
RoCE = 10.58% (EBIT 1.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.82b + L.T.Debt 10.0b))
RoIC = 7.07% (NOPAT 1.50b / Invested Capital 21.2b)
WACC = 7.65% (E(34.5b)/V(45.5b) * Re(8.95%) + D(11.0b)/V(45.5b) * Rd(3.99%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -76.65 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.36b ; Y1≈2.70b ; Y5≈3.98b
[DCF] Fair Price = 73.24 (EV 59.9b - Net Debt 7.13b = Equity 52.7b / Shares 720.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.08 | Revenue CAGR: 6.01% | SUE: 2.96 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2025-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=+19.04% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-36.2% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-9.07% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)