FER Stock Analysis: Ferrovial SE | NASDAQ

Engineering & Construction | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 46.077m USD | 12M Return: 17.4% | NL0015001FS8 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Toll Roads, Airports, Construction, Energy Infrastructure
Total Rating 38
Safety 79
Buy Signal -0.82
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: +3.5
Market Cap: 46.1B
Avg Turnover: 92.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility65.3%
VaR 5th Pctl4.42%
VaR vs Median-31.0%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Rel. Str. IBD17
Rel. Str. Peer Group31.4
Character TTM
Beta0.836
Beta Downside0.569
Hurst Exponent0.548
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD17.13%
CAGR/Max DD1.81
CAGR/Mean DD7.53
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FER over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.1492, "2021-09": 0.1243, "2021-12": 2.0349, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": null, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": null, "2023-03": null, "2023-06": null, "2023-09": null, "2023-12": null, "2024-03": null, "2024-06": null, "2024-09": null, "2024-12": 3.9, "2025-03": null, "2025-06": 0.73, "2025-09": null, "2025-12": null, "2026-03": null, "2026-06": null,
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FER over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1770, 2021-09: 1842, 2021-12: 1971, 2022-03: 1767, 2022-06: 1767, 2022-09: 2008.5, 2022-12: 2008.5, 2023-03: 1970, 2023-06: 1970, 2023-09: 2287, 2023-12: 2288, 2024-03: 2133.5, 2024-06: 2133.5, 2024-09: 2440.5, 2024-12: 2440.5, 2025-03: 2234.5, 2025-06: 2234.5, 2025-09: 2579, 2025-12: 2579, 2026-03: 2350.5, 2026-06: 2350.5,
Rev. CAGR: 6.34%
Rev. Trend: 99.0%
Last SUE: -0.63
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout
Choppy
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.3% 7
Feb +1.4% 11
Mar -1.5% 35
Apr +4.5% 21
May +1.0% 28
Jun -0.8% 8
Jul -0.1% 5
Aug +1.6% 13
Sep +0.2% 13
Oct -1.6% 0
Nov +0.4% 2
Dec -0.3% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FER Ferrovial SE

Ferrovial SE is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company founded in 1952 and headquartered in Amsterdam, with shares listed on NASDAQ under the ticker FER following its 2023 IPO. It operates across four segments - Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy - with activities spanning the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. Its core business model centers on long-term infrastructure concessions, particularly toll roads and airports, alongside public and private construction projects and a growing portfolio in energy transmission, renewable generation, energy efficiency services, and waste management. Within the Industrials sector (GICS sub-industry: Construction & Engineering), Ferrovial competes alongside other global infrastructure operators that rely on public-private partnerships and long-duration concession contracts as their primary revenue model.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US managed lane toll revenue accelerates in Texas
  • Heathrow stake valuation rises on travel recovery
  • Energy infrastructure backlog expands on renewables push
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 606.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 11.40% < 20% (prev -3.61%; Δ 15.02% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.81b > Net Income 606.0m
Net Debt (7.13b) to EBITDA (1.55b): 4.60 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (716.7m) vs 12m ago -0.46% < -2%
Gross Margin: 87.14% > 18% (prev 87.03%; Δ 0.11% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 36.66% > 50% (prev 35.20%; Δ 1.46% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.58 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.17
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 6.81b - Total Current Liabilities 5.69b) / Total Assets 27.2b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 2.61b / Total Assets 27.2b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Avg Total Assets 26.9b)
D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 5.72b / Total Liabilities 19.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.17 = BB
Beneish M -3.03
DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 2.31b/2.19b, Revenue 9.86b/9.35b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 87.03% / 87.14%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.75)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 9.86b / 9.35b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 606.0m - CFO 2.81b) / TA 27.2b)
Beneish M = -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of FER shares?

As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 62.84 with a total of 1,156,712 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.02%, over one month by -0.73%, over three months by -9.46% and over the past year by +17.35%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 61.80 (which is 1.7% or 0.9 ATR below the current price).

Is FER a buy, sell or hold?

Ferrovial SE has no consensus analysts rating.

Ferrovial SE (FER) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 19 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 46.1b (46.1b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap EUR = 39.4b (46.1b USD * 0.8557 USD.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 67.2842
P/E Forward = 52.9101
P/S = 4.6736
P/B = 7.0095
P/EG = 4.4538
Revenue TTM = 9.86b EUR
EBIT TTM = 1.13b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 1.55b EUR
Long Term Debt = 10.0b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 381.0m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 333.0m
Net Debt = 7.13b EUR (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Enterprise Value = 46.6b EUR (39.4b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.58 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 438.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.60x (Enterprise Value 46.6b / FCF TTM 2.26b)
FCF Yield = 4.85% (FCF TTM 2.26b / Enterprise Value 46.6b)
FCF Margin = 22.92% (FCF TTM 2.26b / Revenue TTM 9.86b)
Net Margin = 6.15% (Net Income TTM 606.0m / Revenue TTM 9.86b)
Gross Margin = 87.14% ((Revenue TTM 9.86b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 87.62% (prev 87.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.71 (Enterprise Value 46.6b / Total Assets 27.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.99% (Interest Expense 438.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 14.42% (122.0m / 846.0m)
NOPAT = 966.2m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 14.42%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 6.81b / Total Current Liabilities 5.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.92 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.60 (Net Debt 7.13b / EBITDA 1.55b)
Debt / FCF = 3.15 (Net Debt 7.13b / FCF TTM 2.26b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.25% (Net Income 606.0m / Total Assets 27.2b)
RoE = 10.42% (Net Income TTM 606.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.82b)
RoCE = 7.12% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.82b + L.T.Debt 10.0b))
RoIC = 4.51% (NOPAT 966.2m / Invested Capital 21.4b)
WACC = 7.72% (E(39.4b)/V(50.4b) * Re(8.92%) + D(11.0b)/V(50.4b) * Rd(3.99%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.71 | Cagr: -0.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.73b ; Y1≈1.98b ; Y5≈2.91b
[DCF] Fair Price = 50.90 (EV 43.8b - Net Debt 7.13b = Equity 36.7b / Shares 720.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.04 | Revenue CAGR: 6.34% | SUE: -0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2025-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=0.99 | Chg30d=+19.04% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-36.2% | GrowthRev=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=+2.51% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+22.3% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)