FFIN Stock Analysis: First Financial Bankshares | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 4.998m USD | 12M Return: -4.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Securities Brokerage, Consumer Lending
Total Rating 38
Safety 58
Buy Signal 0.20
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 5.00B
Avg Turnover: 34.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility30.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.75%
VaR vs Median-4.01%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Rel. Str. IBD42.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group11.8
Character TTM
Beta0.703
Beta Downside0.808
Hurst Exponent0.428
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD31.38%
CAGR/Max DD0.29
CAGR/Mean DD0.62
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FFIN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.39, "2021-09": 0.41, "2021-12": 0.39, "2022-03": 0.39, "2022-06": 0.42, "2022-09": 0.41, "2022-12": 0.41, "2023-03": 0.37, "2023-06": 0.36, "2023-09": 0.35, "2023-12": 0.32, "2024-03": 0.28, "2024-06": 0.37, "2024-09": 0.39, "2024-12": 0.43, "2025-03": 0.43, "2025-06": 0.47, "2025-09": 0.36, "2025-12": 0.51, "2026-03": 0.5,
EPS CAGR: 9.99%
EPS Trend: 73.0%
Last SUE: 0.58
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FFIN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 123.976, 2021-09: 131.728, 2021-12: 127.427, 2022-03: 128.672, 2022-06: 135.82, 2022-09: 140.393, 2022-12: 146.382, 2023-03: 146.101, 2023-06: 155.51, 2023-09: 159.925, 2023-12: 160.773, 2024-03: 175.58, 2024-06: 181.466, 2024-09: 188.848, 2024-12: 193.321, 2025-03: 193.674, 2025-06: 205.683, 2025-09: 210.224, 2025-12: 216.218, 2026-03: 215.041,
Rev. CAGR: 14.75%
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Last SUE: 0.77
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.6% 30
Feb +0.3% 16
Mar -5.4% 31
Apr -0.9% 5
May +0.7% 2
Jun +0.0% 2
Jul +2.7% 20
Aug -5.2% 40
Sep -3.8% 10
Oct -2.2% 10
Nov +3.6% 22
Dec -2.5% 38

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FFIN First Financial Bankshares

First Financial Bankshares, Inc. (FFIN) is a Texas-based bank holding company founded in 1890 and headquartered in Abilene, operating through subsidiaries to provide a comprehensive suite of commercial and personal banking services across the United States. Its core offerings span traditional depository products (checking, savings, and time deposits), lending solutions (commercial, agricultural, construction, residential, and consumer loans), digital and branch-based banking (ATMs, internet and mobile banking, remote deposit capture), as well as securities brokerage and personal trust services including wealth management, estate administration, and property management. The company also provides advisory and specialized services related to lending, investing, marketing, and technology.

As a regional bank operating primarily in Texas, FFIN benefits from a community banking model that emphasizes local relationship-based lending and deposit gathering, a sector that has historically generated stable net interest margins through exposure to commercial real estate and agricultural lending in its core Texas markets. The company is listed on the NASDAQ and carries a mid-cap valuation within the Financials sector.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as Fed cuts rates
  • Texas commercial loan growth outpaces national peers
  • Wealth management fees expand with new Texas markets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 263.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.47k% < 20% (prev -1.21k%; Δ -260.8% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 321.2m > Net Income 263.8m
Net Debt (-830.7m) to EBITDA (336.0m): -2.47 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.07 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (143.6m) vs 12m ago 0.18% < -2%
Gross Margin: 72.70% > 18% (prev 71.24%; Δ 1.46% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 5.70% > 50% (prev 5.29%; Δ 0.41% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM 322.3m / Interest Expense TTM 201.4m)
Altman Z'' -4.67
A: -0.81 (Total Current Assets 920.9m - Total Current Liabilities 13.3b) / Total Assets 15.4b
B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 1.53b / Total Assets 15.4b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 322.3m / Avg Total Assets 14.8b)
D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 1.94b / Total Liabilities 13.4b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.67 = D
What is the price of FFIN shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.67 with a total of 726,053 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.55%, over one month by +6.79%, over three months by +14.35% and over the past year by -4.81%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.70 (which is 2.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is FFIN a buy, sell or hold?

First Financial Bankshares has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold FFIN.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FFIN price?
Analysts Target Price 34.8 0.4%
First Financial Bankshares (FFIN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.00b (5.00b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.9565
P/E Forward = 22.0264
P/S = 8.0336
P/B = 2.571
P/EG = 2.55
Revenue TTM = 847.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 322.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 336.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 21.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 69.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 90.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -830.7m USD (calculated: Debt 90.3m - CCE 920.9m)
Enterprise Value = 4.17b USD (5.00b + Debt 90.3m - CCE 920.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.60 (Ebit TTM 322.3m / Interest Expense TTM 201.4m)
EV/FCF = 13.63x (Enterprise Value 4.17b / FCF TTM 305.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.34% (FCF TTM 305.7m / Enterprise Value 4.17b)
FCF Margin = 36.09% (FCF TTM 305.7m / Revenue TTM 847.2m)
Net Margin = 31.14% (Net Income TTM 263.8m / Revenue TTM 847.2m)
Gross Margin = 72.70% ((Revenue TTM 847.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 231.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.54% (prev 76.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.27 (Enterprise Value 4.17b / Total Assets 15.4b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 223.2% (Interest Expense 201.4m / Debt 90.3m)
 Taxrate = 18.15% (58.5m / 322.3m)
NOPAT = 263.8m (EBIT 322.3m * (1 - 18.15%))
Current Ratio = 0.07 (Total Current Assets 920.9m / Total Current Liabilities 13.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 90.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.47 (Net Debt -830.7m / EBITDA 336.0m)
Debt / FCF = -2.72 (Net Debt -830.7m / FCF TTM 305.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.86b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.78% (Net Income 263.8m / Total Assets 15.4b)
RoE = 14.20% (Net Income TTM 263.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.86b)
RoCE = 17.16% (EBIT 322.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.86b + L.T.Debt 21.1m))
RoIC = 12.73% (NOPAT 263.8m / Invested Capital 2.07b)
WACC = 8.31% (E(5.00b)/V(5.09b) * Re(8.46%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 70.47 | Cagr: 0.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.87% ; FCFF base≈301.8m ; Y1≈311.4m ; Y5≈348.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 43.40 (EV 5.39b - Net Debt -830.7m = Equity 6.22b / Shares 143.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 3.32% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 72.98 | EPS CAGR: 9.99% | SUE: 0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.66 | Revenue CAGR: 14.75% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=+0.40% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=+0.19% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=+0.15% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+15.1% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.14 | Chg30d=+0.21% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+5.1% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +58% (up=8, down=1)