FIVE Stock Analysis: Five Below | NASDAQ

Specialty Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 12.255m USD | 12M Return: 41.9% | US33829M1018 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Candy, Apparel, Cosmetics, Toys
Total Rating 61
Safety 56
Buy Signal 1.09
Specialty Retail
Industry Rotation: +13.2
Market Cap: 12.3B
Avg Turnover: 288M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility43.4%
VaR 5th Pctl6.82%
VaR vs Median-4.10%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.97
Rel. Str. IBD78.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group90.6
Character TTM
Beta1.561
Beta Downside1.503
Hurst Exponent0.429
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD74.13%
CAGR/Max DD0.15
CAGR/Mean DD0.37
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FIVE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-10": 0.43, "2022-01": 2.49, "2022-04": 0.59, "2022-07": 0.74, "2022-10": 0.29, "2023-01": 3.07, "2023-04": 0.67, "2023-07": 0.84, "2023-10": 0.26, "2024-01": 3.65, "2024-04": 0.6, "2024-07": 0.54, "2024-10": 0.42, "2025-01": 3.48, "2025-04": 0.86, "2025-07": 0.81, "2025-10": 0.68, "2026-01": 4.31, "2026-04": 2.22, "2026-07": 0.81,
EPS CAGR: 17.59%
EPS Trend: 83.9%
Last SUE: -2.83
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of FIVE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-10: 607.645, 2022-01: 996.332, 2022-04: 639.596, 2022-07: 668.927, 2022-10: 645.034, 2023-01: 1122.751, 2023-04: 726.247, 2023-07: 758.981, 2023-10: 736.405, 2024-01: 1337.736, 2024-04: 811.863, 2024-07: 830.069, 2024-10: 843.71, 2025-01: 1390.885, 2025-04: 970.527, 2025-07: 1026.847, 2025-10: 1038.293, 2026-01: 1728.48, 2026-04: 1285.602, 2026-07: 1261.493,
Rev. CAGR: 17.26%
Rev. Trend: 98.1%
Last SUE: 1.87
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -3.0% 29
Feb -0.9% 18
Mar -3.2% 23
Apr -1.0% 10
May -5.6% 33
Jun -0.0% 7
Jul -0.1% 5
Aug +1.2% 20
Sep +5.6% 26
Oct +1.8% 18
Nov +1.1% 17
Dec +6.3% 35

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FIVE Five Below

Five Below, Inc. (NASDAQ: FIVE) is a U.S. specialty value retailer offering a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including candy and snacks, apparel and accessories, personal care, beauty, party goods, home décor, arts and crafts, tech accessories, sporting goods, toys, and seasonal items. The company emphasizes low-priced, trend-oriented products geared toward teen and pre-teen customers, with a heavy focus on seasonally relevant merchandise tied to occasions such as Holiday, Easter, Halloween, Summer, and Back to School. Originally incorporated in 2002 as Cheap Holdings, Inc., the company rebranded to Five Below, Inc. that same year and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. As a constituent of the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Other Specialty Retail sub-industry, Five Below competes alongside other off-price and value-oriented chains, though its teen-focused product mix and five-and-under pricing model distinguish it within the broader specialty retail landscape.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Tariff costs pressure merchandise margins on imported goods
  • Aggressive new store openings fuel revenue expansion
  • Discretionary teen spending weakens on inflation pressure
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 619.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.86 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 23.13% < 20% (prev 15.60%; Δ 7.53% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 803.5m > Net Income 619.2m
Net Debt (850.7m) to EBITDA (1.02b): 0.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (55.5m) vs 12m ago 0.15% < -2%
Gross Margin: 38.38% > 18% (prev 35.06%; Δ 3.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 107.5% > 50% (prev 91.87%; Δ 15.65% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 5.03
A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 2.24b - Total Current Liabilities 1.01b) / Total Assets 5.28b
B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 2.36b / Total Assets 5.28b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 819.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.94b)
D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 2.48b / Total Liabilities 2.80b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.03 = AAA
What is the price of FIVE shares?

As of October 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 219.57 with a total of 1,073,548 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.45%, over one month by -11.05%, over three months by +22.13% and over the past year by +41.93%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 200.20 (which is 8.8% or 2 ATR below the current price).

Is FIVE a buy, sell or hold?

Five Below has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.20. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FIVE.

  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FIVE price?
Analysts Target Price 311 41.6%
Five Below (FIVE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 28 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 12.3b (12.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.9641
P/E Forward = 22.0751
P/S = 2.3062
P/B = 5.0578
P/EG = 0.9842
Revenue TTM = 5.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 819.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.73b USD (estimated: total debt 2.04b - short term 307.6m)
Short Term Debt = 307.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 2.04b already included)
Net Debt = 850.7m USD (calculated: Debt 2.04b - CCE 1.19b)
Enterprise Value = 13.1b USD (12.3b + Debt 2.04b - CCE 1.19b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 819.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 21.87x (Enterprise Value 13.1b / FCF TTM 599.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.57% (FCF TTM 599.2m / Enterprise Value 13.1b)
FCF Margin = 11.28% (FCF TTM 599.2m / Revenue TTM 5.31b)
Net Margin = 11.65% (Net Income TTM 619.2m / Revenue TTM 5.31b)
Gross Margin = 38.38% ((Revenue TTM 5.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.55% (prev 33.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.48 (Enterprise Value 13.1b / Total Assets 5.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 2.04b)
Taxrate = 24.42% (200.1m / 819.2m)
NOPAT = 619.2m (EBIT 819.2m * (1 - 24.42%))
Current Ratio = 2.22 (Total Current Assets 2.24b / Total Current Liabilities 1.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 2.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.83 (Net Debt 850.7m / EBITDA 1.02b)
Debt / FCF = 1.42 (Net Debt 850.7m / FCF TTM 599.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.23b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.53% (Net Income 619.2m / Total Assets 5.28b)
RoE = 27.73% (Net Income TTM 619.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.23b)
RoCE = 20.67% (EBIT 819.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.23b + L.T.Debt 1.73b))
RoIC = 14.35% (NOPAT 619.2m / Invested Capital 4.31b)
WACC = 9.83% (E(12.3b)/V(14.3b) * Re(11.47%) + D(2.04b)/V(14.3b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 84.02 | Cagr: 0.18%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.32% ; FCFF base≈497.6m ; Y1≈570.4m ; Y5≈839.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 166.4 (EV 10.0b - Net Debt 850.7m = Equity 9.16b / Shares 55.1m; r=9.83% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.94 | EPS CAGR: 17.59% | SUE: -2.83 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.06 | Revenue CAGR: 17.26% | SUE: 1.87 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.14 | Chg30d=+33.70% | Revisions=+79% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=10.25 | Chg30d=+11.65% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+53.6% | GrowthRev=+19.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=11.06 | Chg30d=+11.40% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+9.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +93% (up=66, down=1)