(FIVE) Five Below - Overview
Stock: Socks, Jewelry, Toys, Candy, Décor
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.44 |
| Alpha | 71.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.771 |
| Beta Downside | 1.962 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.03 |
Description: FIVE Five Below January 06, 2026
Five Below, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVE) is a U.S. specialty value retailer that targets teens and young adults with a curated assortment of low-price, trend-forward merchandise. Its product mix spans fashion accessories (socks, jewelry, loungewear), personal-care items, home décor (lamps, blankets, novelty furniture), sports and fitness gear, toys, tech accessories, arts-craft supplies, school essentials, party goods, and a range of candy and snack items, including seasonal and chilled beverages. The company operates under a “$5-and-under” pricing model and has grown from its 2002 rebranding (formerly Cheap Holdings) to a national footprint headquartered in Philadelphia.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $2.5 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase; comparable-store sales rose 11% driven by strong demand for affordable “fun-forward” products amid persistent inflation. The chain’s expansion strategy focuses on 100-plus-square-foot stores in high-traffic, lower-rent locations, supporting a 20% increase in total store count over the past two years. Macro drivers include resilient discretionary spending among Gen Z consumers, a modest shift toward off-price retail, and modest e-commerce growth (≈5% of total sales) that complements its brick-and-mortar model.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for benchmarking Five Below’s valuation and growth assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 307.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.98% < 20% (prev 8.81%; Δ 6.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 509.1m > Net Income 307.9m |
| Net Debt (1.66b) to EBITDA (593.3m): 2.80 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.60 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (55.6m) vs 12m ago 0.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.44% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3309 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 98.65% > 50% (prev 91.35%; Δ 7.29% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -41.96 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 593.3m / Interest Expense TTM -9.64m) |
Altman Z'' 3.38
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 1.76b - Total Current Liabilities 1.10b) / Total Assets 4.79b |
| B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 1.78b / Total Assets 4.79b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 404.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.49b) |
| D: 0.63 (Book Value of Equity 1.78b / Total Liabilities 2.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.38 = A |
Beneish M -3.32
| DSRI: 0.20 (Receivables 4.65m/20.3m, Revenue 4.43b/3.82b) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 33.44% / 35.18%) |
| AQI: 1.42 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.00) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 4.43b / 3.82b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 307.9m - CFO 509.1m) / TA 4.79b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.32 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of FIVE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.54%, over one month by -0.36%, over three months by +16.60% and over the past year by +98.35%.
Is FIVE a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FIVE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 216.6 | 15% |
| Analysts Target Price | 216.6 | 15% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 237.2 | 25.9% |
FIVE Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 33.2226
P/S = 2.3721
P/B = 5.407
P/EG = 1.3297
Revenue TTM = 4.43b USD
EBIT TTM = 404.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 593.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.01b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 335.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.01b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.66b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.99b USD (10.50b + Debt 2.01b - CCE 524.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -41.96 (Ebit TTM 404.6m / Interest Expense TTM -9.64m)
EV/FCF = 37.12x (Enterprise Value 11.99b / FCF TTM 323.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.69% (FCF TTM 323.0m / Enterprise Value 11.99b)
FCF Margin = 7.30% (FCF TTM 323.0m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Net Margin = 6.96% (Net Income TTM 307.9m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Gross Margin = 33.44% ((Revenue TTM 4.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.14% (prev 28.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.50 (Enterprise Value 11.99b / Total Assets 4.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 3.65m / Debt 2.01b)
Taxrate = 25.68% (12.6m / 49.1m)
NOPAT = 300.7m (EBIT 404.6m * (1 - 25.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 1.76b / Total Current Liabilities 1.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 2.01b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.80 (Net Debt 1.66b / EBITDA 593.3m)
Debt / FCF = 5.15 (Net Debt 1.66b / FCF TTM 323.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.86% (Net Income 307.9m / Total Assets 4.79b)
RoE = 16.37% (Net Income TTM 307.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.88b)
RoCE = 10.39% (EBIT 404.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.88b + L.T.Debt 2.01b))
RoIC = 15.99% (NOPAT 300.7m / Invested Capital 1.88b)
WACC = 10.46% (E(10.50b)/V(12.51b) * Re(12.44%) + D(2.01b)/V(12.51b) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 12.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.71% ; FCFF base≈233.7m ; Y1≈262.9m ; Y5≈352.2m
Fair Price DCF = 43.55 (EV 4.07b - Net Debt 1.66b = Equity 2.40b / Shares 55.2m; r=10.46% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.50% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -3.93 | EPS CAGR: -29.26% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 50.00 | Revenue CAGR: 1.11% | SUE: 2.63 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg30d=+0.099 | Revisions Net=+10 | Analysts=17
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.82 | Chg30d=+0.551 | Revisions Net=+18 | Growth EPS=+7.3% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%