(FIVE) Five Below - Ratings and Ratios
Socks, Jewelry, Toys, Candy, Décor
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.38 |
| Alpha | 68.43 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.02 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.344 |
| Beta | 1.705 |
| Beta Downside | 1.943 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.33% |
| Mean DD | 32.09% |
| Median DD | 30.01% |
Description: FIVE Five Below January 06, 2026
Five Below, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVE) is a U.S. specialty value retailer that targets teens and young adults with a curated assortment of low-price, trend-forward merchandise. Its product mix spans fashion accessories (socks, jewelry, loungewear), personal-care items, home décor (lamps, blankets, novelty furniture), sports and fitness gear, toys, tech accessories, arts-craft supplies, school essentials, party goods, and a range of candy and snack items, including seasonal and chilled beverages. The company operates under a “$5-and-under” pricing model and has grown from its 2002 rebranding (formerly Cheap Holdings) to a national footprint headquartered in Philadelphia.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $2.5 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year increase; comparable-store sales rose 11% driven by strong demand for affordable “fun-forward” products amid persistent inflation. The chain’s expansion strategy focuses on 100-plus-square-foot stores in high-traffic, lower-rent locations, supporting a 20% increase in total store count over the past two years. Macro drivers include resilient discretionary spending among Gen Z consumers, a modest shift toward off-price retail, and modest e-commerce growth (≈5% of total sales) that complements its brick-and-mortar model.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful for benchmarking Five Below’s valuation and growth assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (307.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 265.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.98% (prev 8.81%; Δ 6.17pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 509.1m > Net Income 307.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.66b) to EBITDA (593.3m) ratio: 2.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (55.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.84% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.44% (prev 35.18%; Δ -1.73pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 98.65% (prev 91.35%; Δ 7.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -41.96 (EBITDA TTM 593.3m / Interest Expense TTM -9.64m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.38
| (A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 1.76b - Total Current Liabilities 1.10b) / Total Assets 4.79b |
| (B) 0.37 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.78b / Total Assets 4.79b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 404.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.49b |
| (D) 0.63 = Book Value of Equity 1.78b / Total Liabilities 2.84b |
| Total Rating: 3.38 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.61
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.66% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.03 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.62)% |
| 7. RoE 16.37% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 50.00% |
| 9. EPS Trend -3.93% |
What is the price of FIVE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.36%, over one month by +13.39%, over three months by +28.78% and over the past year by +98.97%.
Is FIVE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FIVE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 186.2 | -5.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 186.2 | -5.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 251.7 | 27.1% |
FIVE Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Trailing = 34.7307
P/E Forward = 33.67
P/S = 2.4105
P/B = 5.4712
P/EG = 1.3455
Beta = 1.168
Revenue TTM = 4.43b USD
EBIT TTM = 404.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 593.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.01b USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 335.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.01b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.66b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.16b USD (10.67b + Debt 2.01b - CCE 524.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -41.96 (Ebit TTM 404.6m / Interest Expense TTM -9.64m)
FCF Yield = 2.66% (FCF TTM 323.0m / Enterprise Value 12.16b)
FCF Margin = 7.30% (FCF TTM 323.0m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Net Margin = 6.96% (Net Income TTM 307.9m / Revenue TTM 4.43b)
Gross Margin = 33.44% ((Revenue TTM 4.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.14% (prev 28.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 12.16b / Total Assets 4.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 3.65m / Debt 2.01b)
Taxrate = 25.68% (12.6m / 49.1m)
NOPAT = 300.7m (EBIT 404.6m * (1 - 25.68%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 1.76b / Total Current Liabilities 1.10b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 2.01b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.80 (Net Debt 1.66b / EBITDA 593.3m)
Debt / FCF = 5.15 (Net Debt 1.66b / FCF TTM 323.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.43% (Net Income 307.9m / Total Assets 4.79b)
RoE = 16.37% (Net Income TTM 307.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.88b)
RoCE = 10.39% (EBIT 404.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.88b + L.T.Debt 2.01b))
RoIC = 15.99% (NOPAT 300.7m / Invested Capital 1.88b)
WACC = 10.37% (E(10.67b)/V(12.68b) * Re(12.30%) + D(2.01b)/V(12.68b) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 12.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.62% ; FCFE base≈233.7m ; Y1≈262.9m ; Y5≈353.1m
Fair Price DCF = 59.58 (DCF Value 3.29b / Shares Outstanding 55.2m; 5y FCF grow 14.50% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -3.93 | EPS CAGR: -29.26% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 50.00 | Revenue CAGR: 1.11% | SUE: 2.63 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.80 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=6.26 | Chg30d=+0.599 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+6.5% | Growth Revenue=+9.3%
Additional Sources for FIVE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle