(FLNC) Fluence Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Energy Storage, Software Optimization, Grid Services
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 131% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 194% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.81 |
| Alpha | 10.90 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.04 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.562 |
| Beta | 1.950 |
| Beta Downside | 2.184 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 88.40% |
| Mean DD | 41.69% |
| Median DD | 38.47% |
Description: FLNC Fluence Energy November 12, 2025
Fluence Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FLNC) designs, manufactures, and services integrated energy-storage solutions that combine hardware, software, and digital intelligence. Its product portfolio spans large-scale front-of-the-meter systems (Gridstack Pro, Gridstack), DC-coupled solar-storage units (Sunstack), mid-size commercial/industrial packs (Edgestack), and high-reliability distribution-network modules (Ultrastack). The company also offers engineering, delivery, operations, and maintenance services to independent power producers, utilities, developers, and corporate customers across the Americas, EMEA, and APAC.
Recent filings show FLNC generated $247 million in revenue for FY 2023, up ~45 % YoY, driven by a 30 % increase in installed megawatt-hours and a growing backlog valued at roughly $1.2 billion. The firm’s gross margin improved to 22 % as software-licensing revenue (which carries higher profitability) rose to 38 % of total sales. Macro-drivers include the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits for stand-alone storage, accelerating global renewable-energy capacity additions (projected > 1 TW of new storage by 2030), and tightening grid reliability standards that favor modular, digital-first storage platforms.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of FLNC’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the ValueRay platform’s analytical toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income (-48.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 135.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -9.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 30.66% (prev 15.62%; Δ 15.04pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO -145.5m <= Net Income -48.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.51 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (184.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 13.07% (prev 12.64%; Δ 0.43pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 106.3% (prev 141.9%; Δ -35.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.74 (EBITDA TTM -12.1m / Interest Expense TTM 8.73m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.41
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 2.06b - Total Current Liabilities 1.37b) / Total Assets 2.36b |
| (B) -0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -199.8m / Total Assets 2.36b |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -41.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.13b |
| (D) -0.10 = Book Value of Equity -188.1m / Total Liabilities 1.81b |
| Total Rating: 1.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 34.02
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.80% |
| 3. FCF Margin -6.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.71 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 24.81 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -14.86)% |
| 7. RoE -11.02% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 50.37% |
| 9. EPS Trend 75.66% |
What is the price of FLNC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.39%, over one month by +15.51%, over three months by +217.00% and over the past year by +29.99%.
Is FLNC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the FLNC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16.2 | -26.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 16.2 | -26.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26 | 17% |
FLNC Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Forward = 93.4579
P/S = 1.9242
P/B = 7.2902
P/EG = 3.1449
Beta = 2.885
Revenue TTM = 2.26b USD
EBIT TTM = -41.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -12.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 390.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 390.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -300.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.05b USD (4.35b + Debt 390.8m - CCE 690.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.74 (Ebit TTM -41.4m / Interest Expense TTM 8.73m)
FCF Yield = -3.80% (FCF TTM -154.1m / Enterprise Value 4.05b)
FCF Margin = -6.81% (FCF TTM -154.1m / Revenue TTM 2.26b)
Net Margin = -2.14% (Net Income TTM -48.3m / Revenue TTM 2.26b)
Gross Margin = 13.07% ((Revenue TTM 2.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.72% (prev 14.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.72 (Enterprise Value 4.05b / Total Assets 2.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.86% (Interest Expense 3.38m / Debt 390.8m)
Taxrate = 47.82% (22.0m / 46.1m)
NOPAT = -21.6m (EBIT -41.4m * (1 - 47.82%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 2.06b / Total Current Liabilities 1.37b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 390.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 548.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 24.81 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -300.0m / EBITDA -12.1m)
Debt / FCF = 1.95 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -300.0m / FCF TTM -154.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 438.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.05% (Net Income -48.3m / Total Assets 2.36b)
RoE = -11.02% (Net Income TTM -48.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 438.5m)
RoCE = -5.00% (EBIT -41.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 438.5m + L.T.Debt 390.8m))
RoIC = -2.71% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -21.6m / Invested Capital 798.7m)
WACC = 12.15% (E(4.35b)/V(4.74b) * Re(13.20%) + D(390.8m)/V(4.74b) * Rd(0.86%) * (1-Tc(0.48)))
Discount Rate = 13.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 23.53%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -154.1m)
EPS Correlation: 75.66 | EPS CAGR: 57.36% | SUE: -1.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.37 | Revenue CAGR: 60.95% | SUE: -2.77 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=-0.074 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+44.7% | Growth Revenue=+48.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=0.25 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+435.2% | Growth Revenue=+21.0%
Additional Sources for FLNC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle