(FOSL) Fossil - Overview

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US34988V1061

Stock: Watches, Jewelry, Leather Goods, Accessories

Total Rating 48

Risk 59

Buy Signal -0.72

Footwear & Accessories -1.8
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods +1.3

Market Cap: 113m
Avg Trading Vol: 2.54M USD

ATR: 7.26%
Peers RS (IBD): 98.1

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	90.5%
Relative Tail Risk	-19.0%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.47
Alpha	156.16

Character TTM
Beta	2.251
Beta Downside	3.883

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	78.39%
CAGR/Max DD	0.06

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 13.63%
EPS Trend: 3.6%

Last SUE: -0.19
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -19.31%
Rev. Trend: -79.9%

Qual. Beats: 0

Risks

Technicals: choppy

Description: FOSL Fossil March 04, 2026

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) designs, develops, markets, and distributes fashion accessories globally. Product categories include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, and small leather goods.

The company operates a hybrid business model, offering products under its own brands (e.g., FOSSIL, SKAGEN) and licensed brands (e.g., MICHAEL KORS, EMPORIO ARMANI). This dual approach is common in the fashion accessories sector, allowing companies to leverage established brand recognition while building their own portfolio.

Distribution channels are diverse, encompassing company-owned stores, department stores, e-commerce, and licensed retail. The fashion accessories market is highly competitive, driven by trends and consumer discretionary spending.

For more detailed financial insights, consider exploring ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income: -67.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.76 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 15.78% < 20% (prev 21.11%; Δ -5.32% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.06 > 3% & CFO -42.6m > Net Income -67.3m
Net Debt (256.1m) to EBITDA (20.0m): 12.84 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (52.4m) vs 12m ago -1.57% < -2%
Gross Margin: 55.74% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 5524 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 140.9% > 50% (prev 150.7%; Δ -9.76% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.11 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 20.0m / Interest Expense TTM 17.9m)

Altman Z'' 0.89

A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 471.1m - Total Current Liabilities 302.8m) / Total Assets 701.0m
B: -0.21 (Retained Earnings -144.0m / Total Assets 701.0m)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 37.7m / Avg Total Assets 756.7m)
D: -0.34 (Book Value of Equity -204.1m / Total Liabilities 604.9m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.89 = B

Beneish M -2.90

DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 162.5m/173.7m, Revenue 1.07b/1.22b)
GMI: 0.90 (GM 55.74% / 49.97%)
AQI: 1.49 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 0.87 (Revenue 1.07b / 1.22b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI -67.3m - CFO -42.6m) / TA 701.0m)
Beneish M-Score: -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of FOSL shares?

As of March 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.04 with a total of 709,617 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.68%, over one month by +18.48%, over three months by +7.73% and over the past year by +192.75%.

Is FOSL a buy, sell or hold?

Fossil has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the FOSL price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	5	23.8%
Analysts Target Price	5	23.8%

FOSL Fundamental Data Overview March 02, 2026

P/S = 0.2475
P/B = 2.3485
P/EG = -4.34
Revenue TTM = 1.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 37.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 20.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 169.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 62.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 339.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 256.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 369.1m USD (112.9m + Debt 339.7m - CCE 83.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.11 (Ebit TTM 37.7m / Interest Expense TTM 17.9m)
EV/FCF = -8.02x (Enterprise Value 369.1m / FCF TTM -46.0m)
FCF Yield = -12.48% (FCF TTM -46.0m / Enterprise Value 369.1m)
FCF Margin = -4.32% (FCF TTM -46.0m / Revenue TTM 1.07b)
Net Margin = -6.31% (Net Income TTM -67.3m / Revenue TTM 1.07b)
Gross Margin = 55.74% ((Revenue TTM 1.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 471.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.01% (prev 57.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 369.1m / Total Assets 701.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 4.17m / Debt 339.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 29.8m (EBIT 37.7m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 471.1m / Total Current Liabilities 302.8m)
Debt / Equity = 3.02 (Debt 339.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 112.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 12.84 (Net Debt 256.1m / EBITDA 20.0m)
Debt / FCF = -5.56 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 256.1m / FCF TTM -46.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 138.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.89% (Net Income -67.3m / Total Assets 701.0m)
RoE = -48.75% (Net Income TTM -67.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 138.0m)
RoCE = 12.27% (EBIT 37.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 138.0m + L.T.Debt 169.1m))
RoIC = 9.52% (NOPAT 29.8m / Invested Capital 312.9m)
WACC = 4.27% (E(112.9m)/V(452.6m) * Re(14.21%) + D(339.7m)/V(452.6m) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.13%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -46.0m)
EPS Correlation: 3.64 | EPS CAGR: 13.63% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -79.89 | Revenue CAGR: -19.31% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg7d=+0.030 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+94.8% | Growth Revenue=-18.3%

Additional Sources for FOSL Stock

Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle