(FOSL) Fossil - Ratings and Ratios
Watches, Leather Goods, Jewelry
FOSL EPS (Earnings per Share)
FOSL Revenue
Description: FOSL Fossil
Fossil Group Inc (NASDAQ:FOSL) is a US-based company operating in the Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sub-industry. The companys quarterly Income Tax Expense is a critical aspect to examine, as it directly impacts their net income and overall financial health.
To better understand FOSLs financial situation, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating expenses should be analyzed. A declining revenue trend, potentially driven by increased competition in the luxury goods market, could be a concern. Additionally, the companys ability to manage its operating expenses will be crucial in determining its path to profitability.
Economic drivers that may impact FOSLs performance include consumer spending habits, particularly in the luxury goods segment, as well as global economic trends. The companys reliance on brand recognition and its ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences will be essential in maintaining a competitive edge. Furthermore, the ongoing shift towards e-commerce and digital marketing may require FOSL to invest in these areas to remain competitive.
Given the negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -27.74, it is clear that FOSL is currently facing significant challenges. To turn the company around, management may need to focus on improving operational efficiency, optimizing their product portfolio, and investing in strategic initiatives to drive growth. The companys Market Cap of $126.04M USD suggests that there may be opportunities for investors, but a thorough analysis of the companys financials and industry trends is necessary to make an informed decision.
FOSL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 155m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-04-08 |
FOSL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -13.9% |
| Fundamental | 43.1% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 134% |
| Analyst Rating | - |
FOSL Dividends
Currently no dividends paidFOSL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 87.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 37.9% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -87% |
| CAGR 5y | -13.87% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.14 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.34 |
| Alpha | 163.44 |
| Beta | 0.629 |
| Volatility | 77.31% |
| Current Volume | 326.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 499.5k |
| Stop Loss | 2.8 (-8.5%) |
| Signal | 1.30 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (-59.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 65.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 12.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 20.65% (prev 20.52%; Δ 0.13pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.21 (>3.0%) and CFO -43.2m > Net Income -59.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (53.6m) change vs 12m ago 1.27% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 55.04% (prev 49.38%; Δ 5.66pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 217.5% (prev 163.0%; Δ 54.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.30 (EBITDA TTM -28.8m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.41
| (A) 1.06 = (Total Current Assets 493.6m - Total Current Liabilities 269.8m) / Total Assets 210.9m |
| (B) -0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -104.1m / Total Assets 210.9m |
| (C) -0.09 = EBIT TTM -42.8m / Avg Total Assets 498.3m |
| (D) -0.35 = Book Value of Equity -104.1m / Total Liabilities 300.8m |
| Total Rating: 4.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.09
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 17.78% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.68% = 0.92 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.44 = 2.40 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -6.22 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC data missing |
| 7. RoE -27.74% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -78.10% = -3.91 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -21.99% = -2.50 |
| 10. EPS Trend 6.85% = 0.17 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -37.09% = -2.50 |
What is the price of FOSL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.79%, over one month by +73.86%, over three months by +105.37% and over the past year by +173.21%.
Is Fossil a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of FOSL is around 2.96 USD . This means that FOSL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.27%.
Is FOSL a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the FOSL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5 | 63.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | 63.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.3 | 7.5% |
Last update: 2025-08-27 02:49
FOSL Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 109.9m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 0.1434
P/B = 1.0451
P/EG = -4.34
Beta = 2.543
Revenue TTM = 1.08b USD
EBIT TTM = -42.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = -28.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 165.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 179.0m USD (Calculated: Short Term 13.4m + Long Term 165.6m)
Net Debt = 180.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 224.6m USD (155.4m + Debt 179.0m - CCE 109.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.30 (Ebit TTM -42.8m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
FCF Yield = 17.78% (FCF TTM 39.9m / Enterprise Value 224.6m)
FCF Margin = 3.68% (FCF TTM 39.9m / Revenue TTM 1.08b)
Net Margin = -5.49% (Net Income TTM -59.5m / Revenue TTM 1.08b)
Gross Margin = 55.04% ((Revenue TTM 1.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 487.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -2.16 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 224.6m / Book Value Of Equity -104.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.41% (Interest Expense 4.32m / Debt 179.0m)
Taxrate = 150.9% (set to none) (from quarterly Income Tax Expense: 6.23m / 4.13m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.83 (Total Current Assets 493.6m / Total Current Liabilities 269.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 179.0m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 403.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -6.22 (Net Debt 180.6m / EBITDA -28.8m)
Debt / FCF = 4.48 (Debt 179.0m / FCF TTM 39.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 214.3m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -28.19% (Net Income -59.5m, Total Assets 210.9m )
RoE = -27.74% (Net Income TTM -59.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 214.3m)
RoCE = -11.26% (Ebit -42.8m / (Equity 214.3m + L.T.Debt 165.6m))
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT none, Invested Capital 325.7m, Ebit -42.8m)
WACC = unknown (E(155.4m)/V(334.5m) * Re(8.33%)) + (D(179.0m)/V(334.5m) * Rd(2.41%) * (1-Tc(none)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 70.0 | Cagr: 0.33%
Discount Rate = 8.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.18% ; FCFE base≈45.6m ; Y1≈29.9m ; Y5≈13.7m
Fair Price DCF = 4.76 (DCF Value 256.1m / Shares Outstanding 53.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -78.10 | Revenue CAGR: -21.99%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 4.96
EPS Correlation: 6.85 | EPS CAGR: -37.09%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: 171.2
Additional Sources for FOSL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle