FOXF Stock Analysis: Fox Factory Holding | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 633m USD | 12M Return: -28.1% | US35138V1026 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 15.6M
EPS Trend: -88.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 15.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets performance-defining products for vehicles and sports equipment, with operations spanning North America, Europe, and Asia.
The business is organized into three segments: Powered Vehicles Group (PVG), Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG), and Specialty Sports Group (SSG). This structure reflects a dual-channel model common in the automotive components industry, combining OEM supply with the typically higher-margin aftermarket and direct-to-consumer sales.
Its product range covers suspension systems and shocks for off-road vehicles, trucks, motorcycles, and snowmobiles, along with mountain and gravel bike components, and baseball and softball equipment. The company distributes through dealers, distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels under an extensive brand portfolio that includes FOX, Marzocchi, Race Face, Easton Cycling, Marucci, BDS Suspension, Zone Offroad, and Method Race Wheels.
Fox Factory is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Automotive Parts & Equipment sub-industry, a segment whose demand is closely tied to consumer spending on recreational vehicles, performance upgrades, and sporting goods.
- Off-road vehicle demand fuels Powered Vehicles segment revenue
- Marucci baseball and bike sales boost Specialty Sports Group
- Tariff exposure on imported components pressures product margins
| Net Income: -298.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 35.38% < 20% (prev 34.72%; Δ 0.66% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 36.6m > Net Income -298.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 3.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.3m) vs 12m ago 0.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.14% > 18% (prev 30.25%; Δ -1.11% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 81.31% > 50% (prev 73.38%; Δ 7.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -5.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM -277.6m / Interest Expense TTM 50.2m) |
| A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 764.1m - Total Current Liabilities 246.1m) / Total Assets 1.64b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 319.9m / Total Assets 1.64b) |
| C: -0.15 (EBIT TTM -277.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.80b) |
| D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 667.0m / Total Liabilities 969.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.40 = A |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 198.8m/185.4m, Revenue 1.46b/1.44b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 30.25% / 29.14%) |
| AQI: 0.80 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.46b / 1.44b) |
| TATA: -0.20 (NI -298.6m - CFO 36.6m) / TA 1.64b) |
| Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of November 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.26 with a total of 2,035,410 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.39%, over one month by -12.82%, over three months by -13.19% and over the past year by -28.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.90 (which is 8.4% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Fox Factory Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold FOXF.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 18.3 | 12.7% |
P/E Forward = 10.3413
P/S = 0.4326
P/B = 1.2183
P/EG = 1.8472
Revenue TTM = 1.46b USD
EBIT TTM = -277.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -187.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 640.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 39.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 692.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 12.5m
Net Debt = 631.3m USD (calculated: Debt 692.6m - CCE 61.3m)
Enterprise Value = 1.26b USD (633.4m + Debt 692.6m - CCE 61.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.53 (Ebit TTM -277.6m / Interest Expense TTM 50.2m)
EV/FCF = 100.6x (Enterprise Value 1.26b / FCF TTM 12.6m)
FCF Yield = 0.99% (FCF TTM 12.6m / Enterprise Value 1.26b)
FCF Margin = 0.86% (FCF TTM 12.6m / Revenue TTM 1.46b)
Net Margin = -20.39% (Net Income TTM -298.6m / Revenue TTM 1.46b)
Gross Margin = 29.14% ((Revenue TTM 1.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.63% (prev 27.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 1.26b / Total Assets 1.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.24% (Interest Expense 50.2m / Debt 692.6m)
Taxrate = 36.05% (2.27m / 6.31m)
NOPAT = -177.5m (EBIT -277.6m * (1 - 36.05%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.10 (Total Current Assets 764.1m / Total Current Liabilities 246.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 692.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 667.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.36 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 631.3m / EBITDA -187.8m)
Debt / FCF = 50.21 (Net Debt 631.3m / FCF TTM 12.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 738.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.58% (Net Income -298.6m / Total Assets 1.64b)
RoE = -40.46% (Net Income TTM -298.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 738.0m)
RoCE = -20.13% (EBIT -277.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 738.0m + L.T.Debt 640.8m))
RoIC = -12.97% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -177.5m / Invested Capital 1.37b)
WACC = 7.26% (E(633.4m)/V(1.33b) * Re(10.13%) + D(692.6m)/V(1.33b) * Rd(7.24%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 10.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 78.90 | Cagr: 0.66%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈44.1m ; Y1≈38.7m ; Y5≈31.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 501.3m - Net Debt 631.3m = -130.0m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -87.95 | EPS CAGR: -40.62% | SUE: 1.55 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 15.19 | Revenue CAGR: 0.63% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=-27.27% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-33.16% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-1.1% | GrowthRev=-6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.31 | Chg30d=-29.87% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+24.6% | GrowthRev=-5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)