FOXF Stock Analysis: Fox Factory Holding | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 713m USD | 12M Return: -41.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.7M
EPS Trend: -91.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -27.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) is a U.S.-based manufacturer and marketer of performance products for powered vehicles, aftermarket vehicle applications, and specialty sports. The company operates through three segments: Powered Vehicles Group (PVG), Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG), and Specialty Sports Group (SSG), selling through OEMs, dealers, distributors, and direct-to-consumer channels across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its product range spans off-road and on-road suspension systems, shock absorbers, lift kits, superchargers, and truck accessories, as well as bicycle components (forks, wheels, cranks) and baseball/softball equipment (bats, gloves, apparel).
The company markets under a broad portfolio of brand names including FOX, Marzocchi, Race Face, Easton Cycling, Marucci, BDS Suspension, Method Race Wheels, Fox Factory Vehicles, and Shelby American, reflecting a multi-brand strategy that targets distinct enthusiast sub-markets. Fox Factory is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Automotive Parts & Equipment sub-industry) and operates as a small-cap, diversified manufacturer combining automotive aftermarket exposure with adjacent sporting goods businesses (cycling and baseball/softball), which provides some cross-segment revenue diversification.
- Off-road demand recovery drives PVG segment revenue growth
- Tariff exposure pressures margins on imported components
- Marucci baseball business benefits from spring sports demand
| Net Income: -299.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 34.33% < 20% (prev 34.59%; Δ -0.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 44.2m > Net Income -299.9m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.9m) vs 12m ago 0.36% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.30% > 18% (prev 30.39%; Δ -1.08% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.27% > 50% (prev 73.02%; Δ 9.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -5.24 > 6 (EBIT TTM -275.9m / Interest Expense TTM 52.7m) |
| A: 0.31 (Total Current Assets 764.3m - Total Current Liabilities 255.9m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 315.8m / Total Assets 1.66b) |
| C: -0.15 (EBIT TTM -275.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.80b) |
| D: 0.66 (Book Value of Equity 658.8m / Total Liabilities 1.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.29 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 209.1m/177.7m, Revenue 1.48b/1.42b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 30.39% / 29.30%) |
| AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.45) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 1.48b / 1.42b) |
| TATA: -0.21 (NI -299.9m - CFO 44.2m) / TA 1.66b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.99 with a total of 299,973 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.91%, over one month by -3.74%, over three months by +0.95% and over the past year by -41.29%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.90 (which is 12.3% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Fox Factory Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold FOXF.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 21.7 | 27.5% |
P/E Forward = 12.3609
P/S = 0.4814
P/B = 1.051
P/EG = 1.8472
Revenue TTM = 1.48b USD
EBIT TTM = -275.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -185.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 661.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 714.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 13.1m
Net Debt = 660.6m USD (calculated: Debt 714.5m - CCE 53.9m)
Enterprise Value = 1.37b USD (712.9m + Debt 714.5m - CCE 53.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.24 (Ebit TTM -275.9m / Interest Expense TTM 52.7m)
EV/FCF = 114.7x (Enterprise Value 1.37b / FCF TTM 12.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.87% (FCF TTM 12.0m / Enterprise Value 1.37b)
FCF Margin = 0.81% (FCF TTM 12.0m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Net Margin = -20.25% (Net Income TTM -299.9m / Revenue TTM 1.48b)
Gross Margin = 29.30% ((Revenue TTM 1.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.23% (prev 28.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 1.37b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.37% (Interest Expense 52.7m / Debt 714.5m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -217.9m (EBIT -275.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.99 (Total Current Assets 764.3m / Total Current Liabilities 255.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.08 (Debt 714.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 658.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.57 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 660.6m / EBITDA -185.0m)
Debt / FCF = 55.15 (Net Debt 660.6m / FCF TTM 12.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 810.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.66% (Net Income -299.9m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = -36.98% (Net Income TTM -299.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 810.9m)
RoCE = -18.74% (EBIT -275.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 810.9m + L.T.Debt 661.3m))
RoIC = -15.66% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -217.9m / Invested Capital 1.39b)
WACC = 9.13% (E(712.9m)/V(1.43b) * Re(12.44%) + D(714.5m)/V(1.43b) * Rd(7.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 33.33 | Cagr: -0.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.23% ; FCFF base≈40.1m ; Y1≈35.1m ; Y5≈28.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 403.8m - Net Debt 660.6m = -256.7m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -91.18 | EPS CAGR: -46.00% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.66 | Revenue CAGR: -1.55% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-3.10% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-6.25% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.40 | Chg30d=-5.01% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+31.9% | GrowthRev=-4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.74 | Chg30d=-1.04% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+24.7% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)