FRST Stock Analysis: Primis Financial | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 394m USD | 12M Return: 46.4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Deposits, Commercial Loans, Consumer Loans, Digital Banking
Total Rating 45
Safety 59
Buy Signal 0.07
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 394M
Avg Turnover: 3.86M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility33.4%
VaR 5th Pctl5.10%
VaR vs Median-6.44%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.29
Rel. Str. IBD79.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group84.5
Character TTM
Beta0.869
Beta Downside0.857
Hurst Exponent0.480
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD39.34%
CAGR/Max DD0.71
CAGR/Mean DD2.30
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FRST over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.42, "2021-09": 0.25, "2021-12": 0.29, "2022-03": 0.19, "2022-06": 0.24, "2022-09": 0.21, "2022-12": 0.03, "2023-03": 0.23, "2023-06": 0.04, "2023-09": 0.32, "2023-12": 0.35, "2024-03": 0.26, "2024-06": 0.32, "2024-09": 0.08, "2024-12": -0.65, "2025-03": 0.14, "2025-06": 0.11, "2025-09": 0.28, "2025-12": 0.1, "2026-03": 0.33,
Last SUE: 0.20
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FRST over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 29.049, 2021-09: 30.152, 2021-12: 31.21, 2022-03: 28.741, 2022-06: 30.562, 2022-09: 35.814, 2022-12: 49.551, 2023-03: 61.928, 2023-06: 59.137, 2023-09: 57.751, 2023-12: 57.307, 2024-03: 42.874, 2024-06: 42.116, 2024-09: 66.394, 2024-12: 16.256, 2025-03: 80.058, 2025-06: 58.207, 2025-09: 63.735, 2025-12: 103.342, 2026-03: 67.081,
Rev. CAGR: 8.50%
Rev. Trend: 45.4%
Last SUE: 0.49
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.7% 15
Feb -2.4% 18
Mar -2.7% 46
Apr -0.2% 5
May +0.0% 2
Jun +1.4% 27
Jul +0.8% 11
Aug -2.0% 34
Sep -3.8% 31
Oct +1.8% 12
Nov +4.5% 22
Dec -1.8% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FRST Primis Financial

Primis Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: FRST) is a small-cap U.S. regional bank holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia, that operates through its wholly owned subsidiary, Primis Bank. Founded in 2004 and formerly known as Southern National Bancorp of Virginia, the company provides a full suite of banking services to individuals and small-to-medium sized businesses, including deposit products (checking, savings, money market, and CDs), commercial lending (lines of credit, term loans, SBA loans, construction loans, and warehouse lending), and consumer lending (residential mortgages, home equity lines, and personal loans). It also offers ancillary services such as merchant services, remote deposit capture, mobile and online banking, and ATM access.

As a community-focused regional bank in the Financials sector, Primis generates revenue primarily through net interest income on its loan portfolio, supported by fee-based services like treasury management, payroll processing, and merchant services for its business clients.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as Fed cuts rates
  • Commercial real estate loan portfolio raises credit quality concerns
  • Mortgage warehouse lending volume declines with elevated rate volatility
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 46.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.33 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.15k% < 20% (prev -1.40k%; Δ 250.0% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -78.0m > Net Income 46.1m
Net Debt (430.6m) to EBITDA (68.8m): 6.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (24.7m) vs 12m ago -0.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 65.33% > 18% (prev 23.17%; Δ 42.17% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.35% > 50% (prev 5.54%; Δ 1.81% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 58.3m / Interest Expense TTM 89.1m)
Altman Z'' -4.89
A: -0.79 (Total Current Assets 27.4m - Total Current Liabilities 3.40b) / Total Assets 4.26b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 114.4m / Total Assets 4.26b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 58.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.98b)
D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 427.2m / Total Liabilities 3.83b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.89 = D
What is the price of FRST shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.74 with a total of 152,633 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.95%, over one month by +4.65%, over three months by +16.53% and over the past year by +46.35%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 14.60 (which is 7.2% or 2.8 ATR below the current price).

Is FRST a buy, sell or hold?

Primis Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FRST.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FRST price?
Analysts Target Price 17.9 13.6%
Primis Financial (FRST) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 393.6m (393.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.4599
P/E Forward = 5.988
P/S = 1.984
P/B = 0.9207
Revenue TTM = 292.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 58.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 68.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 313.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 253.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 438.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 60.8m
Net Debt = 430.6m USD (calculated: Debt 438.9m - CCE 8.36m)
Enterprise Value = 824.2m USD (393.6m + Debt 438.9m - CCE 8.36m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.65 (Ebit TTM 58.3m / Interest Expense TTM 89.1m)
EV/FCF = -10.34x (Enterprise Value 824.2m / FCF TTM -79.7m)
FCF Yield = -9.67% (FCF TTM -79.7m / Enterprise Value 824.2m)
FCF Margin = -27.27% (FCF TTM -79.7m / Revenue TTM 292.4m)
Net Margin = 15.77% (Net Income TTM 46.1m / Revenue TTM 292.4m)
Gross Margin = 65.33% ((Revenue TTM 292.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 101.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 65.71% (prev 75.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.19 (Enterprise Value 824.2m / Total Assets 4.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 20.30% (Interest Expense 89.1m / Debt 438.9m)
Taxrate = 20.88% (12.2m / 58.3m)
NOPAT = 46.1m (EBIT 58.3m * (1 - 20.88%))
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 27.4m / Total Current Liabilities 3.40b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 438.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 427.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.26 (Net Debt 430.6m / EBITDA 68.8m)
 Debt / FCF = -5.40 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 430.6m / FCF TTM -79.7m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 402.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.16% (Net Income 46.1m / Total Assets 4.26b)
RoE = 11.47% (Net Income TTM 46.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 402.2m)
RoCE = 8.14% (EBIT 58.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 402.2m + L.T.Debt 313.8m))
RoIC = 1.09% (NOPAT 46.1m / Invested Capital 4.25b)
WACC = 12.74% (E(393.6m)/V(832.5m) * Re(9.04%) + D(438.9m)/V(832.5m) * Rd(20.30%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 9.20 | Cagr: 0.06%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -79.7m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 45.43 | Revenue CAGR: 8.50% | SUE: 0.49 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=+7.04% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=+2.94% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.58 | Chg30d=-1.30% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+305.8% | GrowthRev=+24.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=-0.22% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+20.8% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=1, down=1)