(FSLR) First Solar - Ratings and Ratios
Solar Modules, Thin Film, Cadmium Telluride, PV
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 77.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.73 |
| Alpha | 20.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.302 |
| Beta | 1.004 |
| Beta Downside | 0.922 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.97% |
| Mean DD | 27.28% |
| Median DD | 27.94% |
Description: FSLR First Solar October 14, 2025
First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) is a U.S.-based solar-technology firm that designs, manufactures, and sells thin-film photovoltaic (PV) modules, primarily using cadmium telluride (CdTe) semiconductor material, and provides end-to-end solar-energy solutions across the United States, France, India, Chile, and other international markets.
The company’s CdTe thin-film modules offer a lower-carbon footprint and a cost-per-watt advantage over conventional crystalline-silicon panels, positioning First Solar as a differentiated supplier for utility-scale, commercial, and industrial solar projects.
Beyond module sales, First Solar operates a “residual business” that includes project development, operations & maintenance (O&M) services, and the sale of turnkey PV power systems to developers, independent power producers, utilities, and corporate off-takers.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of approximately $3.2 billion, module shipments of ~15 GW, and a backlog of roughly $12 billion, reflecting strong demand for utility-scale solar in the wake of the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act and expanding renewable-energy mandates in Europe and Asia. A primary sector driver is the ongoing decline in CdTe module levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), now estimated to be 5-7 % lower than comparable silicon-based offerings, which underpins competitive bidding in large-scale procurements.
Given First Solar’s exposure to policy-driven growth and its expanding global footprint, a deeper dive into its capital-allocation strategy and O&M margin trends could be worthwhile; the ValueRay platform provides a structured framework for that analysis.
FSLR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 27,534m |
| Sub-Industry | Semiconductors |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-11-17 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 22.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.27 of 5 |
FSLR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidFSLR Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 14.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.25 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.54 |
| Current Volume | 1922.9k |
| Average Volume | 2338.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.40b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 303.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.74pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 55.67% (prev 52.87%; Δ 2.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.63b > Net Income 1.40b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.10b) to EBITDA (2.03b) ratio: -0.54 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (107.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.05% (prev 46.54%; Δ -6.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.57% (prev 33.67%; Δ 6.90pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 34.76 (EBITDA TTM 2.03b / Interest Expense TTM 43.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.15
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 5.90b - Total Current Liabilities 3.09b) / Total Assets 13.46b |
| (B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.27b / Total Assets 13.46b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 1.52b / Avg Total Assets 12.45b |
| (D) 1.38 = Book Value of Equity 6.12b / Total Liabilities 4.44b |
| Total Rating: 5.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.72
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.33% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.10 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.99)% |
| 7. RoE 16.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 60.99% |
| 9. EPS Trend 76.41% |
What is the price of FSLR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.25%, over one month by +10.17%, over three months by +30.16% and over the past year by +37.35%.
Is FSLR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 19
- Buy: 11
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the FSLR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 270 | 8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 270 | 8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 281.5 | 12.7% |
FSLR Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 19.6923
P/E Forward = 11.7371
P/S = 5.4516
P/B = 3.1843
P/EG = 0.4161
Beta = 1.59
Revenue TTM = 5.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.52b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 282.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 484.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 891.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.39b USD (27.53b + Debt 891.9m - CCE 2.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.76 (Ebit TTM 1.52b / Interest Expense TTM 43.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.33% (FCF TTM 614.5m / Enterprise Value 26.39b)
FCF Margin = 12.17% (FCF TTM 614.5m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Net Margin = 27.73% (Net Income TTM 1.40b / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Gross Margin = 40.05% ((Revenue TTM 5.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.29% (prev 45.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 26.39b / Total Assets 13.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 14.1m / Debt 891.9m)
Taxrate = 0.96% (4.40m / 460.3m)
NOPAT = 1.51b (EBIT 1.52b * (1 - 0.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.90b / Total Current Liabilities 3.09b)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 891.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.54 (Net Debt -1.10b / EBITDA 2.03b)
Debt / FCF = -1.79 (Net Debt -1.10b / FCF TTM 614.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.41% (Net Income 1.40b / Total Assets 13.46b)
RoE = 16.61% (Net Income TTM 1.40b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.43b)
RoCE = 17.44% (EBIT 1.52b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.43b + L.T.Debt 282.6m))
RoIC = 16.46% (NOPAT 1.51b / Invested Capital 9.15b)
WACC = 9.46% (E(27.53b)/V(28.43b) * Re(9.72%) + D(891.9m)/V(28.43b) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 9.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.87% ; FCFE base≈614.5m ; Y1≈596.8m ; Y5≈597.3m
Fair Price DCF = 74.65 (DCF Value 8.01b / Shares Outstanding 107.3m; 5y FCF grow -4.01% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.41 | EPS CAGR: 179.8% | SUE: -0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.99 | Revenue CAGR: 18.40% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FSLR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle