(FSLR) First Solar - Ratings and Ratios
Thin-Film Modules, System Sales, O&M Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.05% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.70 |
| Alpha | 9.32 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.303 |
| Beta | 1.083 |
| Beta Downside | 0.876 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.97% |
| Mean DD | 27.62% |
| Median DD | 27.94% |
Description: FSLR First Solar December 17, 2025
First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) is a U.S.-based solar technology firm that designs, manufactures, and sells thin-film cadmium-telluride (CdTe) photovoltaic modules, positioning itself as a lower-carbon alternative to conventional crystalline-silicon panels.
The company operates globally, with project development, O&M services, and power-sale activities in the United States, France, India, Chile and other markets, serving utilities, independent power producers, and commercial-industrial customers.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $3.3 billion, driven by a record ~12 GW of module shipments; the backlog of contracted projects exceeded $5 billion, indicating strong forward-order flow. A primary sector catalyst is the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, which expands tax-credit eligibility for utility-scale solar and directly benefits First Solar’s cost-competitive CdTe technology.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of First Solar’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.40b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 303.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.74pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 55.67% (prev 52.87%; Δ 2.80pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.63b > Net Income 1.40b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.10b) to EBITDA (2.03b) ratio: -0.54 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (107.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.05% (prev 46.54%; Δ -6.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.57% (prev 33.67%; Δ 6.90pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 34.76 (EBITDA TTM 2.03b / Interest Expense TTM 43.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.15
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 5.90b - Total Current Liabilities 3.09b) / Total Assets 13.46b |
| (B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.27b / Total Assets 13.46b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 1.52b / Avg Total Assets 12.45b |
| (D) 1.38 = Book Value of Equity 6.12b / Total Liabilities 4.44b |
| Total Rating: 5.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.60
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.46% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.17% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.10 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.82)% |
| 7. RoE 16.61% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 68.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend 65.24% |
What is the price of FSLR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.07%, over one month by -14.36%, over three months by +7.44% and over the past year by +32.81%.
Is FSLR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 19
- Buy: 11
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the FSLR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 281.7 | 15.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 281.7 | 15.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 277.3 | 13.8% |
FSLR Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Forward = 10.6838
P/S = 5.1765
P/B = 2.9
P/EG = 0.3789
Revenue TTM = 5.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.52b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 282.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 484.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 891.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 25.00b USD (26.14b + Debt 891.9m - CCE 2.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.76 (Ebit TTM 1.52b / Interest Expense TTM 43.7m)
EV/FCF = 40.68x (Enterprise Value 25.00b / FCF TTM 614.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.46% (FCF TTM 614.5m / Enterprise Value 25.00b)
FCF Margin = 12.17% (FCF TTM 614.5m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Net Margin = 27.73% (Net Income TTM 1.40b / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Gross Margin = 40.05% ((Revenue TTM 5.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.29% (prev 45.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.86 (Enterprise Value 25.00b / Total Assets 13.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 14.1m / Debt 891.9m)
Taxrate = 0.96% (4.40m / 460.3m)
NOPAT = 1.51b (EBIT 1.52b * (1 - 0.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 5.90b / Total Current Liabilities 3.09b)
Debt / Equity = 0.10 (Debt 891.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.54 (Net Debt -1.10b / EBITDA 2.03b)
Debt / FCF = -1.79 (Net Debt -1.10b / FCF TTM 614.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.25% (Net Income 1.40b / Total Assets 13.46b)
RoE = 16.61% (Net Income TTM 1.40b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.43b)
RoCE = 17.44% (EBIT 1.52b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.43b + L.T.Debt 282.6m))
RoIC = 16.46% (NOPAT 1.51b / Invested Capital 9.15b)
WACC = 9.63% (E(26.14b)/V(27.04b) * Re(9.91%) + D(891.9m)/V(27.04b) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.81% ; FCFF base≈614.5m ; Y1≈596.7m ; Y5≈595.8m
Fair Price DCF = 84.84 (EV 8.00b - Net Debt -1.10b = Equity 9.10b / Shares 107.3m; r=9.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -4.01% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 65.24 | EPS CAGR: 28.92% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.75 | Revenue CAGR: 16.23% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.33 | Chg30d=-0.114 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=19
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=22.62 | Chg30d=+0.069 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+54.8% | Growth Revenue=+20.1%
Additional Sources for FSLR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle