FTAI Stock Analysis: FTAI Aviation | NASDAQ
Aerospace & Defense | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 17.155m USD | 12M Return: 3.1% | KYG3730V1059 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 236M
EPS Trend: 95.5%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
FTAI Aviation Ltd. (NASDAQ: FTAI) operates a diversified industrial business across two main segments: Aviation Leasing, which owns, leases, manages, and sells aircraft and aircraft engines, and Aerospace Products, which develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells aircraft engines and aftermarket components for commercial aviation. As of December 31, 2025, the Aviation Leasing segment owned and managed 290 aviation assets, including 47 commercial aircraft and 243 engines. The company also maintains an offshore energy business supporting oil and gas activities and holds a strategic collaboration with Aeronautical Engineers, Inc. Founded in 2011 and headquartered in New York, FTAI trades on NASDAQ and is classified within the Industrials sector under the Trading Companies & Distributors sub-industry, reflecting its hybrid model that combines asset ownership/leasing with manufacturing and aftermarket services. The aviation leasing model typically generates recurring rental income from long-term contracts with airlines and cargo operators, while the aerospace products segment is positioned to benefit from the higher-margin aftermarket parts and engine repair market.
- Aviation Leasing revenue grows with global air traffic recovery
- Aerospace Products margins expand on rising engine MRO demand
- Russia asset exposure creates sanctions and recovery risk
| Net Income: 496.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 66.17% < 20% (prev 65.49%; Δ 0.69% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.10 > 3% & CFO -439.8m > Net Income 496.3m |
| Net Debt (3.19b) to EBITDA (1.05b): 3.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.0m) vs 12m ago 0.86% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.39% > 18% (prev 35.47%; Δ -5.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.47% > 50% (prev 52.44%; Δ 20.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.36 > 6 (EBIT TTM 831.2m / Interest Expense TTM 247.3m) |
| A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 2.54b - Total Current Liabilities 481.2m) / Total Assets 4.49b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 402.9m / Total Assets 4.49b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 831.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.30b) |
| D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 404.0m / Total Liabilities 4.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.71 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.26 (Receivables 177.5m/477.0m, Revenue 3.11b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.17 (GM 35.47% / 30.39%) |
| AQI: 4.67 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 3.11b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: 0.21 (NI 496.3m - CFO -439.8m) / TA 4.49b) |
| Beneish M = -0.97 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 174.83 with a total of 1,695,679 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.67%, over one month by -11.11%, over three months by -23.00% and over the past year by +3.11%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 163.90 (which is 6.3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
FTAI Aviation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.54. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FTAI.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 364.1 | 108.3% |
P/E Trailing = 36.4694
P/E Forward = 13.459
P/S = 5.511
P/B = 47.2791
P/EG = 3.22
Revenue TTM = 3.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 831.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.05b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.1m
Net Debt = 3.19b USD (calculated: Debt 3.53b - CCE 337.2m)
Enterprise Value = 20.3b USD (17.2b + Debt 3.53b - CCE 337.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 831.2m / Interest Expense TTM 247.3m)
EV/FCF = -16.26x (Enterprise Value 20.3b / FCF TTM -1.25b)
FCF Yield = -6.15% (FCF TTM -1.25b / Enterprise Value 20.3b)
FCF Margin = -40.19% (FCF TTM -1.25b / Revenue TTM 3.11b)
Net Margin = 15.94% (Net Income TTM 496.3m / Revenue TTM 3.11b)
Gross Margin = 30.39% ((Revenue TTM 3.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.29% (prev 22.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.53 (Enterprise Value 20.3b / Total Assets 4.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.01% (Interest Expense 247.3m / Debt 3.53b)
Taxrate = 17.04% (102.0m / 598.2m)
NOPAT = 689.5m (EBIT 831.2m * (1 - 17.04%))
Current Ratio = 5.28 (Total Current Assets 2.54b / Total Current Liabilities 481.2m)
Debt / Equity = 8.73 (Debt 3.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 404.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.02 (Net Debt 3.19b / EBITDA 1.05b)
Debt / FCF = -2.55 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.19b / FCF TTM -1.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 355.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.55% (Net Income 496.3m / Total Assets 4.49b)
RoE = 139.6% (Net Income TTM 496.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 355.6m)
RoCE = 21.82% (EBIT 831.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 355.6m + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 17.90% (NOPAT 689.5m / Invested Capital 3.85b)
WACC = 10.85% (E(17.2b)/V(20.7b) * Re(11.89%) + D(3.53b)/V(20.7b) * Rd(7.01%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 11.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.00 | Cagr: 1.34%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.25b)
EPS Correlation: 95.47 | EPS CAGR: 53.13% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 99.60 | Revenue CAGR: 46.99% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.45 | Chg30d=+4.33% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.83 | Chg30d=+2.46% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+24.6% | GrowthRev=+55.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.62 | Chg30d=+5.01% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+116.4% | GrowthRev=+69.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)