FTAI Stock Analysis: FTAI Aviation | NASDAQ

Aviation Leasing, Aircraft Engines, Aftermarket Parts, Offshore Vessels

Total Rating 31

Safety 36

Buy Signal -0.54

Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +10.0

Market Cap: 20.3B
Avg Turnover: 340M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility62.7%

VaR 5^th Pctl10.3%

VaR vs Median-0.10%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.98

Rel. Str. IBD36.1

Rel. Str. Peer Group26.6

Character TTM

Beta1.738

Beta Downside1.523

Hurst Exponent0.550

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD52.11%

CAGR/Max DD1.67

CAGR/Mean DD6.77

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 53.13%
EPS Trend: 95.5%

Last SUE: -1.02
Qual. Beats: -2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 46.99%
Rev. Trend: 99.6%

Last SUE: 0.77
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.2 years of data

Jan -0.4% 0

Feb +1.3% 2

Mar -2.5% 11

Apr -5.0% 49

May +0.6% 8

Jun +0.8% 8

Jul +0.5% 14

Aug +2.1% 15

Sep -0.2% 5

Oct -2.5% 25

Nov +4.6% 15

Dec +3.3% 31

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: FTAI FTAI Aviation

FTAI Aviation Ltd. operates a vertically integrated aviation business built around two segments: Aviation Leasing, which owns, leases, and manages commercial aircraft and engines for global customers, and Aerospace Products, which develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells engines and aftermarket components. The aircraft and engine leasing model is capital-intensive, generating recurring revenue through long-term lease agreements with airlines, freight operators, and other lessees. The Aerospace Products segment serves the commercial engine aftermarket, an industry segment that benefits from airlines extending the useful life of existing fleets through maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) activity rather than purchasing new aircraft. The company is headquartered in New York, was founded in 2011, and trades on the Nasdaq within the Industrials sector, classified under Trading Companies & Distributors.

The leasing portfolio is geographically diversified but includes exposure to Russia (eight aircraft and seventeen engines as of December 31, 2025), which has historically been a constrained market for Western lessees following sanctions imposed after 2022. Beyond its core aviation operations, the company also retains an offshore energy business involving vessels and equipment supporting oil and gas production, a segment more typical of the broader Trading Companies & Distributors category than of pure-play aviation lessors.

Headlines to Watch Out For

CFM56 engine leasing demand supports Aviation Leasing segment margins
Aerospace Products revenue grows as Module Factory production scales
Capital allocation focuses on aviation asset acquisitions and dispositions

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0

Net Income: 485.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.31 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.41 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 67.33% < 20% (prev 64.91%; Δ 2.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.10 > 3% & CFO -444.9m > Net Income 485.1m
Net Debt (3.11b) to EBITDA (806.1m): 3.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 5.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.3m) vs 12m ago 1.06% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.16% > 18% (prev 35.47%; Δ -1.31% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 70.77% > 50% (prev 50.39%; Δ 20.38% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.58 > 6 (EBIT TTM 583.3m / Interest Expense TTM 370.1m)

Altman Z'' 4.31

A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 2.59b - Total Current Liabilities 494.3m) / Total Assets 4.53b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 375.7m / Total Assets 4.53b)
C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 583.3m / Avg Total Assets 4.40b)
D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 431.7m / Total Liabilities 4.10b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.31 = AA

Beneish M -0.24

DSRI: 0.55 (Receivables 176.9m/223.5m, Revenue 3.11b/2.15b)
GMI: 1.04 (GM 35.47% / 34.16%)
AQI: 5.69 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 3.11b / 2.15b)
TATA: 0.21 (NI 485.1m - CFO -444.9m) / TA 4.53b)
Beneish M = -0.24 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of FTAI shares?

As of August 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 216.24 with a total of 1,283,011 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.97%, over one month by -4.97%, over three months by -20.52% and over the past year by +57.83%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 196.50 (which is 9.1% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is FTAI a buy, sell or hold?

FTAI Aviation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.54. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FTAI.

StrongBuy: 8
Buy: 4
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FTAI price?

Analysts Target Price	383.6	77.4%

FTAI Aviation (FTAI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 20.3b (20.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 42.9348
P/E Forward = 27.1739
P/S = 6.5112
P/B = 49.9861
P/EG = 3.22
Revenue TTM = 3.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 583.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 806.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.1m
Net Debt = 3.11b USD (calculated: Debt 3.52b - CCE 412.2m)
Enterprise Value = 23.4b USD (20.3b + Debt 3.52b - CCE 412.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.58 (Ebit TTM 583.3m / Interest Expense TTM 370.1m)
EV/FCF = -16.81x (Enterprise Value 23.4b / FCF TTM -1.39b)
FCF Yield = -5.95% (FCF TTM -1.39b / Enterprise Value 23.4b)
FCF Margin = -44.67% (FCF TTM -1.39b / Revenue TTM 3.11b)
Net Margin = 15.58% (Net Income TTM 485.1m / Revenue TTM 3.11b)
Gross Margin = 34.16% ((Revenue TTM 3.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.60% (prev 22.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.16 (Enterprise Value 23.4b / Total Assets 4.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.50% (Interest Expense 370.1m / Debt 3.52b)
Taxrate = 17.04% (102.0m / 598.2m)
NOPAT = 483.8m (EBIT 583.3m * (1 - 17.04%))
Current Ratio = 5.24 (Total Current Assets 2.59b / Total Current Liabilities 494.3m)
Debt / Equity = 8.16 (Debt 3.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 431.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.86 (Net Debt 3.11b / EBITDA 806.1m)
Debt / FCF = -2.24 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.11b / FCF TTM -1.39b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 295.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.03% (Net Income 485.1m / Total Assets 4.53b)
RoE = 164.0% (Net Income TTM 485.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 295.8m)
RoCE = 15.57% (EBIT 583.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 295.8m + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 12.47% (NOPAT 483.8m / Invested Capital 3.88b)
WACC = 11.60% (E(20.3b)/V(23.8b) * Re(12.10%) + D(3.52b)/V(23.8b) * Rd(10.50%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 12.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.00 | Cagr: 1.34%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.39b)
EPS Correlation: 95.47 | EPS CAGR: 53.13% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 99.60 | Revenue CAGR: 46.99% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=-1.24% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.27 | Chg30d=-14.96% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+34.0% | GrowthRev=+51.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=14.09 | Chg30d=+22.04% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+124.7% | GrowthRev=+56.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=0, down=3)