(FTAI) Fortress Transp & Infra Inv - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft, Engines, Components, Vessels, Equipment
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.96% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.42% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -1.35% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 64.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.96% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.80 |
| Alpha | 15.97 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.46 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.436 |
| Beta | 1.729 |
| Beta Downside | 2.594 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.11% |
| Mean DD | 9.89% |
| Median DD | 3.43% |
Description: FTAI Fortress Transp & Infra Inv December 19, 2025
Fortress Transp & Infra Inv (NASDAQ: FTAI) operates two distinct businesses: an Aviation Leasing segment that owns, leases, manages, and eventually sells commercial aircraft and engines, and an Aerospace Products segment that designs, manufactures, repairs, and sells aircraft engines, aftermarket components, and offshore-energy vessels.
As of 31 Dec 2024 the leasing arm held 421 aviation assets-109 commercial aircraft and 312 engines-including eight aircraft and 17 engines located in Russia, exposing the segment to geopolitical risk. Industry data suggests that a typical commercial-aircraft lease runs 8-12 years with an average utilization rate near 90 %; assuming FTAI’s fleet mirrors these benchmarks, its revenue should be relatively insulated from short-term demand swings, but any abrupt downturn in airline capacity could compress lease pricing.
The Aerospace Products division supplies new-engine builds, heavy-overhaul services, and aftermarket parts. Recent market reports estimate the global commercial-engine MRO market at roughly $80 billion annually, growing at 4-5 % CAGR, driven by an aging fleet and higher utilization. FTAI’s offshore-energy business adds exposure to oil-and-gas capex cycles; a 10 % rise in average Brent crude price historically lifts offshore-equipment demand by about 2-3 %.
Key performance indicators that analysts typically watch for a combined leasing-and-MRO firm include lease-rate EBITDA margins (often 12-15 % for top-tier lessors), the backlog of signed MRO contracts (a leading predictor of future cash flow), and the proportion of assets under management that are “green-field” versus “legacy” (which affects refurbishment costs). Public filings do not disclose FTAI’s exact margin profile, so any valuation must incorporate a range of plausible EBITDA multiples (e.g., 8-12×) to reflect this uncertainty.
For a deeper, data-driven look at how FTAI’s metrics compare to sector peers, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (487.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.29 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -18.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 71.71% (prev 36.62%; Δ 35.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO -173.5m <= Net Income 487.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.94b) to EBITDA (1.06b) ratio: 2.76 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (104.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.55% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.42% (prev 33.77%; Δ -2.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.95% (prev 41.83%; Δ 17.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.34 (EBITDA TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 247.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.29
| (A) 0.40 = (Total Current Assets 2.03b - Total Current Liabilities 348.2m) / Total Assets 4.24b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 277.9m / Total Assets 4.24b |
| (C) 0.21 = EBIT TTM 828.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.99b |
| (D) 0.07 = Book Value of Equity 278.9m / Total Liabilities 3.99b |
| Total Rating: 4.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.39
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin -51.89% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 13.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.76 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.71)% |
| 7. RoE 370.3% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 93.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend 87.73% |
What is the price of FTAI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.27%, over one month by +38.28%, over three months by +44.98% and over the past year by +50.12%.
Is FTAI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FTAI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 231.7 | -5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 231.7 | -5.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 351 | 43.5% |
FTAI Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 30.3951
P/S = 10.529
P/B = 97.3361
P/EG = 3.22
Beta = 1.599
Revenue TTM = 2.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 828.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.94b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 27.62b USD (24.68b + Debt 3.45b - CCE 509.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.34 (Ebit TTM 828.3m / Interest Expense TTM 247.7m)
EV/FCF = -22.63x (Enterprise Value 27.62b / FCF TTM -1.22b)
FCF Yield = -4.42% (FCF TTM -1.22b / Enterprise Value 27.62b)
FCF Margin = -51.89% (FCF TTM -1.22b / Revenue TTM 2.35b)
Net Margin = 20.75% (Net Income TTM 487.9m / Revenue TTM 2.35b)
Gross Margin = 31.42% ((Revenue TTM 2.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.45% (prev 31.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.51 (Enterprise Value 27.62b / Total Assets 4.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.76% (Interest Expense 60.8m / Debt 3.45b)
Taxrate = 18.28% (26.3m / 144.0m)
NOPAT = 676.9m (EBIT 828.3m * (1 - 18.28%))
Current Ratio = 5.84 (Total Current Assets 2.03b / Total Current Liabilities 348.2m)
Debt / Equity = 13.65 (Debt 3.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 252.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.76 (Net Debt 2.94b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = -2.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.94b / FCF TTM -1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 131.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.23% (Net Income 487.9m / Total Assets 4.24b)
RoE = 370.3% (Net Income TTM 487.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 131.8m)
RoCE = 23.15% (EBIT 828.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 131.8m + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 18.67% (NOPAT 676.9m / Invested Capital 3.63b)
WACC = 10.96% (E(24.68b)/V(28.13b) * Re(12.29%) + D(3.45b)/V(28.13b) * Rd(1.76%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 12.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.53%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.22b)
EPS Correlation: 87.73 | EPS CAGR: 27.26% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.09 | Revenue CAGR: 66.67% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=+0.043 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.79 | Chg30d=+0.050 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+40.2% | Growth Revenue=+24.3%
Additional Sources for FTAI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle