FTAI Stock Analysis: FTAI Aviation | NASDAQ
Aerospace & Defense | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 22.562m USD | 12M Return: 108.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 269M
EPS Trend: 95.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
FTAI Aviation Ltd. operates a vertically integrated aviation business built around two segments: Aviation Leasing, which owns, leases, and manages commercial aircraft and engines for global customers, and Aerospace Products, which develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells engines and aftermarket components. The aircraft and engine leasing model is capital-intensive, generating recurring revenue through long-term lease agreements with airlines, freight operators, and other lessees. The Aerospace Products segment serves the commercial engine aftermarket, an industry segment that benefits from airlines extending the useful life of existing fleets through maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) activity rather than purchasing new aircraft. The company is headquartered in New York, was founded in 2011, and trades on the Nasdaq within the Industrials sector, classified under Trading Companies & Distributors.
The leasing portfolio is geographically diversified but includes exposure to Russia (eight aircraft and seventeen engines as of December 31, 2025), which has historically been a constrained market for Western lessees following sanctions imposed after 2022. Beyond its core aviation operations, the company also retains an offshore energy business involving vessels and equipment supporting oil and gas production, a segment more typical of the broader Trading Companies & Distributors category than of pure-play aviation lessors.
- CFM56 engine leasing demand supports Aviation Leasing segment margins
- Aerospace Products revenue grows as Module Factory production scales
- Capital allocation focuses on aviation asset acquisitions and dispositions
| Net Income: 536.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.31 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 73.90% < 20% (prev 72.64%; Δ 1.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.10 > 3% & CFO -444.9m > Net Income 536.6m |
| Net Debt (3.11b) to EBITDA (1.14b): 2.73 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.24 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.3m) vs 12m ago 1.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.05% > 18% (prev 34.50%; Δ -3.45% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.48% > 50% (prev 45.03%; Δ 19.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.63 > 6 (EBIT TTM 897.9m / Interest Expense TTM 247.1m) |
| A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 2.59b - Total Current Liabilities 494.3m) / Total Assets 4.53b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 375.7m / Total Assets 4.53b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 897.9m / Avg Total Assets 4.40b) |
| D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 431.7m / Total Liabilities 4.10b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.79 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.54 (Receivables 176.9m/223.5m, Revenue 2.84b/1.92b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 34.50% / 31.05%) |
| AQI: 5.69 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.48 (Revenue 2.84b / 1.92b) |
| TATA: 0.22 (NI 536.6m - CFO -444.9m) / TA 4.53b) |
| Beneish M = -0.16 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 228.02 with a total of 1,499,783 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.91%, over one month by -2.45%, over three months by -10.49% and over the past year by +108.12%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 206.50 (which is 9.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
FTAI Aviation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.54. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FTAI.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 350.6 | 53.8% |
P/E Trailing = 46.4989
P/E Forward = 34.1297
P/S = 7.9555
P/B = 59.0625
P/EG = 3.22
Revenue TTM = 2.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 897.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.1m
Net Debt = 3.11b USD (calculated: Debt 3.52b - CCE 412.2m)
Enterprise Value = 25.7b USD (22.6b + Debt 3.52b - CCE 412.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.63 (Ebit TTM 897.9m / Interest Expense TTM 247.1m)
EV/FCF = -18.46x (Enterprise Value 25.7b / FCF TTM -1.39b)
FCF Yield = -5.42% (FCF TTM -1.39b / Enterprise Value 25.7b)
FCF Margin = -49.03% (FCF TTM -1.39b / Revenue TTM 2.84b)
Net Margin = 18.92% (Net Income TTM 536.6m / Revenue TTM 2.84b)
Gross Margin = 31.05% ((Revenue TTM 2.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.77% (prev 28.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.67 (Enterprise Value 25.7b / Total Assets 4.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.01% (Interest Expense 247.1m / Debt 3.52b)
Taxrate = 17.55% (114.2m / 650.8m)
NOPAT = 740.3m (EBIT 897.9m * (1 - 17.55%))
Current Ratio = 5.24 (Total Current Assets 2.59b / Total Current Liabilities 494.3m)
Debt / Equity = 8.16 (Debt 3.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 431.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.73 (Net Debt 3.11b / EBITDA 1.14b)
Debt / FCF = -2.24 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.11b / FCF TTM -1.39b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 295.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.20% (Net Income 536.6m / Total Assets 4.53b)
RoE = 181.4% (Net Income TTM 536.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 295.8m)
RoCE = 23.96% (EBIT 897.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 295.8m + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 19.02% (NOPAT 740.3m / Invested Capital 3.89b)
WACC = 10.56% (E(22.6b)/V(26.1b) * Re(11.31%) + D(3.52b)/V(26.1b) * Rd(7.01%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 11.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.33 | Cagr: 1.49%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.39b)
EPS Correlation: 95.86 | EPS CAGR: 69.99% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 44.45% | SUE: 1.52 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.73 | Chg30d=-3.61% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=-2.82% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.37 | Chg30d=-3.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+57.5% | GrowthRev=+41.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.54 | Chg30d=+4.08% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+56.6% | GrowthRev=+42.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)