(FTAI) Fortress Transp & Infra Inv - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft Engines, Aircraft Leasing, Engine Components, Marine Equipment
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.66% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -2.35% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 74.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.34% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.59 |
| Alpha | -2.27 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.341 |
| Beta | 1.672 |
| Beta Downside | 2.512 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.11% |
| Mean DD | 9.80% |
| Median DD | 3.34% |
Description: FTAI Fortress Transp & Infra Inv October 16, 2025
Fortress Transportation & Infrastructure Investors (NASDAQ: FTAI) is a New-York-based holding company that owns, acquires, and sells aviation equipment worldwide through two operating segments: Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products.
The Aviation Leasing segment managed 421 assets at year-end 2024-109 commercial aircraft and 312 engines, including eight aircraft and 17 engines located in Russia. Recent industry data shows that the global aircraft leasing market grew ~6 % YoY in 2023, driven by airlines’ preference for off-balance-sheet financing; the average lease rate for narrow-body jets is currently around 4.5 % of the aircraft’s list price, implying a potential revenue runway of roughly $1.2 billion for a portfolio of this size if utilization remains above 85 %.
The Aerospace Products segment supplies new, repaired, and refurbished engines and aftermarket components, and also operates an offshore energy business that provides vessels and equipment for oil-and-gas production. The commercial engine MRO market is projected to reach $115 billion by 2027, with a 3-4 % CAGR, reflecting rising demand for life-extension services as airlines defer new-engine purchases amid tight capital markets. A key driver for FTAI’s aftermarket exposure is the aging fleet of first-generation narrow-body jets, which are expected to require an average of 1.8 % of their operating cost in engine overhaul each year.
Given the sensitivity of leasing cash flows to interest-rate movements and the offshore segment’s exposure to commodity price volatility, a scenario-based stress test is advisable before allocating capital.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed cash-flow model and scenario analysis useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (487.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.29 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -18.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 71.71% (prev 36.62%; Δ 35.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO -173.5m <= Net Income 487.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.94b) to EBITDA (1.06b) ratio: 2.76 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.84 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (104.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.55% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.42% (prev 33.77%; Δ -2.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.95% (prev 41.83%; Δ 17.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.34 (EBITDA TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 247.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.29
| (A) 0.40 = (Total Current Assets 2.03b - Total Current Liabilities 348.2m) / Total Assets 4.24b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 277.9m / Total Assets 4.24b |
| (C) 0.21 = EBIT TTM 828.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.99b |
| (D) 0.07 = Book Value of Equity 278.9m / Total Liabilities 3.99b |
| Total Rating: 4.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.29
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -6.02% |
| 3. FCF Margin -51.89% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 13.65 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.76 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.27)% |
| 7. RoE 370.3% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 93.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend 87.73% |
What is the price of FTAI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.06%, over one month by +15.20%, over three months by +3.28% and over the past year by +32.27%.
Is FTAI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FTAI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 227.1 | 28.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 227.1 | 28.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 246.9 | 39.5% |
FTAI Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 38.8005
P/E Forward = 21.4592
P/S = 7.4022
P/B = 68.7501
P/EG = 3.22
Beta = 1.616
Revenue TTM = 2.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 828.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.45b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.94b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.29b USD (17.35b + Debt 3.45b - CCE 509.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.34 (Ebit TTM 828.3m / Interest Expense TTM 247.7m)
FCF Yield = -6.02% (FCF TTM -1.22b / Enterprise Value 20.29b)
FCF Margin = -51.89% (FCF TTM -1.22b / Revenue TTM 2.35b)
Net Margin = 20.75% (Net Income TTM 487.9m / Revenue TTM 2.35b)
Gross Margin = 31.42% ((Revenue TTM 2.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.45% (prev 31.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.78 (Enterprise Value 20.29b / Total Assets 4.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.76% (Interest Expense 60.8m / Debt 3.45b)
Taxrate = 18.28% (26.3m / 144.0m)
NOPAT = 676.9m (EBIT 828.3m * (1 - 18.28%))
Current Ratio = 5.84 (Total Current Assets 2.03b / Total Current Liabilities 348.2m)
Debt / Equity = 13.65 (Debt 3.45b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 252.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.76 (Net Debt 2.94b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = -2.41 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.94b / FCF TTM -1.22b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 131.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.51% (Net Income 487.9m / Total Assets 4.24b)
RoE = 370.3% (Net Income TTM 487.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 131.8m)
RoCE = 23.15% (EBIT 828.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 131.8m + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 18.67% (NOPAT 676.9m / Invested Capital 3.63b)
WACC = 10.40% (E(17.35b)/V(20.80b) * Re(12.18%) + D(3.45b)/V(20.80b) * Rd(1.76%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 12.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.53%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.22b)
EPS Correlation: 87.73 | EPS CAGR: 27.26% | SUE: -0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 93.09 | Revenue CAGR: 66.67% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=-0.142 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.75 | Chg30d=-0.063 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+39.1% | Growth Revenue=+24.3%
Additional Sources for FTAI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle