FTAI Stock Analysis: FTAI Aviation | NASDAQ
Aerospace & Defense | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 20.026m USD | 12M Return: 18.9% | KYG3730V1059 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 247M
EPS Trend: 95.5%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.2 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
FTAI Aviation Ltd. operates a vertically integrated aviation business built around two segments: Aviation Leasing, which owns, leases, and manages commercial aircraft and engines for global customers, and Aerospace Products, which develops, manufactures, repairs, and sells engines and aftermarket components. The aircraft and engine leasing model is capital-intensive, generating recurring revenue through long-term lease agreements with airlines, freight operators, and other lessees. The Aerospace Products segment serves the commercial engine aftermarket, an industry segment that benefits from airlines extending the useful life of existing fleets through maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) activity rather than purchasing new aircraft. The company is headquartered in New York, was founded in 2011, and trades on the Nasdaq within the Industrials sector, classified under Trading Companies & Distributors.
The leasing portfolio is geographically diversified but includes exposure to Russia (eight aircraft and seventeen engines as of December 31, 2025), which has historically been a constrained market for Western lessees following sanctions imposed after 2022. Beyond its core aviation operations, the company also retains an offshore energy business involving vessels and equipment supporting oil and gas production, a segment more typical of the broader Trading Companies & Distributors category than of pure-play aviation lessors.
- CFM56 engine leasing demand supports Aviation Leasing segment margins
- Aerospace Products revenue grows as Module Factory production scales
- Capital allocation focuses on aviation asset acquisitions and dispositions
| Net Income: 496.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.96 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 66.17% < 20% (prev 65.49%; Δ 0.69% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.10 > 3% & CFO -439.8m > Net Income 496.3m |
| Net Debt (3.19b) to EBITDA (1.05b): 3.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.0m) vs 12m ago 0.86% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.39% > 18% (prev 35.47%; Δ -5.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.47% > 50% (prev 52.44%; Δ 20.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.36 > 6 (EBIT TTM 831.2m / Interest Expense TTM 247.3m) |
| A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 2.54b - Total Current Liabilities 481.2m) / Total Assets 4.49b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 402.9m / Total Assets 4.49b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 831.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.30b) |
| D: 0.10 (Book Value of Equity 404.0m / Total Liabilities 4.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.71 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.26 (Receivables 177.5m/477.0m, Revenue 3.11b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.17 (GM 35.47% / 30.39%) |
| AQI: 4.67 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.45 (Revenue 3.11b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: 0.21 (NI 496.3m - CFO -439.8m) / TA 4.49b) |
| Beneish M = -0.97 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of September 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 196.28 with a total of 1,050,274 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.67%, over one month by -9.03%, over three months by -14.64% and over the past year by +18.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 182.10 (which is 7.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
FTAI Aviation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.54. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FTAI.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 368.1 | 87.5% |
P/E Trailing = 42.5721
P/E Forward = 27.5482
P/S = 6.4332
P/B = 50.7076
P/EG = 3.22
Revenue TTM = 3.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 831.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.05b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.45b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 3.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.1m
Net Debt = 3.19b USD (calculated: Debt 3.53b - CCE 337.2m)
Enterprise Value = 23.2b USD (20.0b + Debt 3.53b - CCE 337.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.36 (Ebit TTM 831.2m / Interest Expense TTM 247.3m)
EV/FCF = -18.56x (Enterprise Value 23.2b / FCF TTM -1.25b)
FCF Yield = -5.39% (FCF TTM -1.25b / Enterprise Value 23.2b)
FCF Margin = -40.19% (FCF TTM -1.25b / Revenue TTM 3.11b)
Net Margin = 15.94% (Net Income TTM 496.3m / Revenue TTM 3.11b)
Gross Margin = 30.39% ((Revenue TTM 3.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.29% (prev 22.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.17 (Enterprise Value 23.2b / Total Assets 4.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.01% (Interest Expense 247.3m / Debt 3.53b)
Taxrate = 17.04% (102.0m / 598.2m)
NOPAT = 689.5m (EBIT 831.2m * (1 - 17.04%))
Current Ratio = 5.28 (Total Current Assets 2.54b / Total Current Liabilities 481.2m)
Debt / Equity = 8.73 (Debt 3.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 404.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.02 (Net Debt 3.19b / EBITDA 1.05b)
Debt / FCF = -2.55 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.19b / FCF TTM -1.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 355.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.55% (Net Income 496.3m / Total Assets 4.49b)
RoE = 139.6% (Net Income TTM 496.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 355.6m)
RoCE = 21.82% (EBIT 831.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 355.6m + L.T.Debt 3.45b))
RoIC = 17.90% (NOPAT 689.5m / Invested Capital 3.85b)
WACC = 11.12% (E(20.0b)/V(23.6b) * Re(12.05%) + D(3.53b)/V(23.6b) * Rd(7.01%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 12.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.00 | Cagr: 1.34%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.25b)
EPS Correlation: 95.47 | EPS CAGR: 53.13% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 99.60 | Revenue CAGR: 46.99% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=-26.86% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.69 | Chg30d=-22.82% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+21.6% | GrowthRev=+55.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=12.01 | Chg30d=+4.07% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+111.1% | GrowthRev=+64.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)