(FTRE) Fortrea Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Clinical,Solutions,Development,Testing,Consulting
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 89.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 134% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.20% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.20 |
| Alpha | -61.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.404 |
| Beta | 1.809 |
| Beta Downside | 2.520 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 89.92% |
| Mean DD | 45.01% |
| Median DD | 44.39% |
Description: FTRE Fortrea Holdings September 11, 2025
Fortrea Holdings Inc. (FTRE) operates as a contract research organization (CRO) that supplies end‑to‑end development solutions for biopharmaceutical products and medical devices. Its service portfolio spans the full clinical development continuum—from early‑stage pharmacology and Phase I through Phase IV trials—offering both consulting expertise and trial execution. Clients can select from full‑service engagements, functional‑service provider arrangements, or hybrid models that blend the two, allowing flexibility in cost allocation and risk sharing.
The firm’s revenue engine is anchored to three primary drivers: (1) the volume of outsourced clinical trials, which is closely tied to pharmaceutical and biotech pipeline intensity; (2) the complexity of trials (e.g., adaptive designs, decentralized trials) that command higher pricing; and (3) ancillary consulting services such as regulatory strategy and pharmacokinetic modeling, which generate higher-margin recurring fees. Industry data suggest that global CRO spending is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7‑8 % through 2028, driven by increasing R&D spend, pressure to shorten time‑to‑market, and a shift toward outsourcing non‑core functions.
Fortrea recently announced a strategic collaboration with Emery Pharma to provide rapid lot‑by‑lot testing of 1‑methyl‑4‑nitrosopiperazine (MNP) in rifampin batches. This service addresses a niche but critical regulatory requirement—verifying that impurity levels stay below the FDA’s Acceptable Intake Limit for drug‑drug interaction studies. By positioning itself as a specialist in this compliance niche, Fortrea can capture premium pricing and lock in repeat business from sponsors conducting multiple interaction studies.
Key economic and operational metrics for CROs that will likely apply to Fortrea include: (i) backlog of signed trial contracts (a leading indicator of future revenue); (ii) average trial size measured in patient‑years (larger trials yield higher gross margins); (iii) utilization rates of clinical sites and central labs (capacity constraints can limit scalability); and (iv) operating expense ratio (OPEX / Revenue), where efficient cost control is essential for profitability given the labor‑intensive nature of the business. Public filings to date do not disclose these KPIs for Fortrea, so any valuation must treat them as uncertain variables.
Founded in 2023 and headquartered in Durham, North Carolina, Fortrea is a relatively new entrant in a fragmented market dominated by legacy players such as IQVIA, Labcorp Drug Development, and Charles River. Its competitive advantage will hinge on the ability to scale service delivery, maintain high regulatory compliance standards, and deepen strategic partnerships that lock in high‑margin, repeatable work streams. Macro‑level factors—including FDA guidance updates, biotech funding cycles, and the broader macroeconomic environment influencing pharma R&D budgets—will materially affect Fortrea’s growth trajectory.
FTRE Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,007m |
| Sub-Industry | Life Sciences Tools & Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2023-07-03 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -50.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
FTRE Dividends
Currently no dividends paidFTRE Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -34.23% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.38 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.76 |
| Current Volume | 942.8k |
| Average Volume | 1125.2k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (-1.01b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 165.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.15% (prev 5.09%; Δ -4.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.50m > Net Income -1.01b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.00 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (91.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.33% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.19% (prev 18.49%; Δ -1.30pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 86.17% (prev 75.74%; Δ 10.43pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -10.36 (EBITDA TTM -852.8m / Interest Expense TTM 90.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.29
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 918.5m - Total Current Liabilities 914.4m) / Total Assets 2.74b |
| (B) -0.49 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.35b / Total Assets 2.74b |
| (C) -0.29 = EBIT TTM -932.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.20b |
| (D) -0.70 = Book Value of Equity -1.52b / Total Liabilities 2.16b |
| Total Rating: -4.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.45
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.47% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.24 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -32.11)% |
| 7. RoE -119.7% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 30.97% |
| 9. EPS Trend -31.75% |
What is the price of FTRE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.71%, over one month by +4.91%, over three months by +40.74% and over the past year by -44.10%.
Is FTRE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the FTRE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.2 | 2.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.2 | 2.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.3 | -15.1% |
FTRE Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Forward = 11.0254
P/S = 0.3649
P/B = 1.5957
P/EG = 0.6804
Beta = 1.85
Revenue TTM = 2.76b USD
EBIT TTM = -932.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -852.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 83.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.06b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.06b USD (1.01b + Debt 1.19b - CCE 131.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.36 (Ebit TTM -932.3m / Interest Expense TTM 90.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.63% (FCF TTM -13.0m / Enterprise Value 2.06b)
FCF Margin = -0.47% (FCF TTM -13.0m / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Net Margin = -36.77% (Net Income TTM -1.01b / Revenue TTM 2.76b)
Gross Margin = 17.19% ((Revenue TTM 2.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.70% (prev 16.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.75 (Enterprise Value 2.06b / Total Assets 2.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.90% (Interest Expense 22.6m / Debt 1.19b)
Taxrate = 44.60% (-12.8m / -28.7m)
NOPAT = -516.5m (EBIT -932.3m * (1 - 44.60%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.00 (Total Current Assets 918.5m / Total Current Liabilities 914.4m)
Debt / Equity = 2.04 (Debt 1.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 580.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.24 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 1.06b / EBITDA -852.8m)
Debt / FCF = -81.23 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.06b / FCF TTM -13.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 847.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -37.01% (Net Income -1.01b / Total Assets 2.74b)
RoE = -119.7% (Net Income TTM -1.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 847.8m)
RoCE = -49.07% (EBIT -932.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 847.8m + L.T.Debt 1.05b))
RoIC = -25.72% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -516.5m / Invested Capital 2.01b)
WACC = 6.39% (E(1.01b)/V(2.19b) * Re(12.68%) + D(1.19b)/V(2.19b) * Rd(1.90%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 12.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.91%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -13.0m)
EPS Correlation: -31.75 | EPS CAGR: -41.27% | SUE: -2.64 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 30.97 | Revenue CAGR: 12.88% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for FTRE Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle