(GBDC) Golub Capital BDC - Overview
Stock: Senior Debt, Unitranche, Mezzanine, Warrants
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 10.82% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 17.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.46% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 104.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 15.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.38% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.25 |
| Alpha | -16.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.648 |
| Beta Downside | 0.716 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.01% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
Description: GBDC Golub Capital BDC January 10, 2026
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC) is an externally managed, closed-end business development company that provides first-lien senior debt, unitranche, mezzanine and minority-equity capital to U.S. middle-market firms, many of which are backed by private-equity sponsors. Its portfolio spans diversified consumer services, automotive, health-care technology and equipment, hotels and leisure, IT services, and specialty retail.
As of the most recent quarterly filing, GBDC reported roughly $1.5 billion in assets under management and a portfolio weighted-average credit rating of B- (indicative of sub-investment-grade risk). The company’s dividend yield hovered near 8.5 % and its net interest margin was about 5.2 %, reflecting a focus on higher-yielding senior secured loans. Key macro drivers include the Fed’s interest-rate trajectory-higher rates compress loan spreads-and the health of private-equity deal flow, which fuels new investment opportunities in the middle-market segment.
For a deeper, data-driven view of GBDC’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analytics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 376.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.22 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.63% < 20% (prev 31.36%; Δ -12.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -113.6m > Net Income 376.6m |
| Net Debt (-100.8m) to EBITDA (449.2m): -0.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (266.3m) vs 12m ago 0.72% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 75.25% > 18% (prev 0.57%; Δ 7468 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 7.92% > 50% (prev 5.46%; Δ 2.46% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.59 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 449.2m / Interest Expense TTM 283.1m) |
Altman Z'' 0.41
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 168.8m - Total Current Liabilities 38.3m) / Total Assets 8.98b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -48.8m / Total Assets 8.98b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 449.2m / Avg Total Assets 8.84b) |
| D: -0.01 (Book Value of Equity -48.5m / Total Liabilities 5.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.41 = B |
What is the price of GBDC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.95%, over one month by +0.37%, over three months by -1.05% and over the past year by -2.51%.
Is GBDC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GBDC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 15 | 10.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 15 | 10.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.2 | 19.3% |
GBDC Fundamental Data Overview January 25, 2026
P/E Forward = 9.2421
P/S = 4.1848
P/B = 0.905
P/EG = 1.51
Revenue TTM = 700.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 449.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 449.2m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 4.90b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -100.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.44b USD (3.64b + Debt 4.90b - CCE 100.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.59 (Ebit TTM 449.2m / Interest Expense TTM 283.1m)
EV/FCF = -74.34x (Enterprise Value 8.44b / FCF TTM -113.6m)
FCF Yield = -1.35% (FCF TTM -113.6m / Enterprise Value 8.44b)
FCF Margin = -16.21% (FCF TTM -113.6m / Revenue TTM 700.6m)
Net Margin = 53.76% (Net Income TTM 376.6m / Revenue TTM 700.6m)
Gross Margin = 75.25% ((Revenue TTM 700.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 173.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 58.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 8.44b / Total Assets 8.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.44% (Interest Expense 70.4m / Debt 4.90b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 354.8m (EBIT 449.2m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 4.41 (Total Current Assets 168.8m / Total Current Liabilities 38.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 4.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.22 (Net Debt -100.8m / EBITDA 449.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.89 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -100.8m / FCF TTM -113.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.26% (Net Income 376.6m / Total Assets 8.98b)
RoE = 9.39% (Net Income TTM 376.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.01b)
RoCE = 5.02% (EBIT 449.2m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 8.98b - Current Liab 38.3m))
RoIC = 3.97% (NOPAT 354.8m / Invested Capital 8.94b)
WACC = 4.19% (E(3.64b)/V(8.54b) * Re(8.30%) + D(4.90b)/V(8.54b) * Rd(1.44%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 25.30%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -113.6m)
EPS Correlation: 8.68 | EPS CAGR: -47.74% | SUE: -2.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 66.17 | Revenue CAGR: 23.15% | SUE: -0.66 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-4.8% | Growth Revenue=-8.2%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-9.7% | Growth Revenue=-5.7%