(GBDC) Golub Capital BDC - NASDAQ

Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Asset Management | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 3.472m USD | Total Return: -2.6% in 12m

Senior Debt, Unitranche Loans, Junior Debt, Equity Investments
Total Rating 32
Safety 29
Buy Signal -1.04
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: -5.8
Market Cap: 3.47B
Avg Turnover: 12.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility17.2%
VaR 5th Pctl3.09%
VaR vs Median9.02%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Rel. Str. IBD36.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group54.2
Character TTM
Beta0.528
Beta Downside0.598
Hurst Exponent0.434
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD18.20%
CAGR/Max DD0.58
CAGR/Mean DD1.93
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GBDC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.25, "2021-09": 0.42, "2021-12": 0.27, "2022-03": 0.25, "2022-06": 0.32, "2022-09": 0.32, "2022-12": 0.36, "2023-03": 0.41, "2023-06": 0.43, "2023-09": 0.6, "2023-12": 0.49, "2024-03": 0.51, "2024-06": 0.46, "2024-09": 0.45, "2024-12": 0.37, "2025-03": 0.37, "2025-06": 0.38, "2025-09": 0.38, "2025-12": 0.37, "2026-03": 0.33,
EPS CAGR: -7.87%
EPS Trend: -58.2%
Last SUE: -1.25
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of GBDC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 101.299, 2021-09: 90.483, 2021-12: 105.35, 2022-03: 109.491, 2022-06: 57.582, 2022-09: 73.857, 2022-12: 100.549, 2023-03: 146.953, 2023-06: 153.847, 2023-09: 171.183, 2023-12: 156.375, 2024-03: 172.27, 2024-06: 58.849, 2024-09: 195.895, 2024-12: 238.965, 2025-03: 192.313, 2025-06: 205.691, 2025-09: 172.263, 2025-12: 207.007, 2026-03: 176.425,
Rev. CAGR: 17.72%
Rev. Trend: 86.5%
Last SUE: -0.43
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GBDC Golub Capital BDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is an externally managed business development company (BDC) that focuses on providing financing solutions to middle-market companies in the United States. The firm primarily targets investments in businesses backed by private equity sponsors, concentrating on first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans.

The BDC model allows retail investors to access private credit markets, which traditionally require high minimum capital commitments. GBDC maintains a diversified portfolio across sectors including healthcare technology, insurance, and IT services to mitigate industry-specific concentration risk. As a regulated investment company, it is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders annually.

Investors can further analyze these portfolio distributions and risk metrics by visiting ValueRay. This capital structure typically prioritizes senior secured positions to provide a higher degree of principal protection within the middle-market lending space.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Floating rate senior secured loan portfolio benefits from elevated interest rates
  • Merger with GBDC III increases scale and lowers management fee structure
  • Middle-market credit performance determines net asset value and dividend coverage
  • Private equity deal flow volume drives new investment and origination income
  • Credit spread compression impacts net interest margins across core debt holdings
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 204.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.33 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -98.07% < 20% (prev 18.13%; Δ -116.2% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 313.3m > Net Income 204.9m
Net Debt (4.57b) to EBITDA (436.0m): 10.49 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (262.7m) vs 12m ago -1.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 75.36% > 18% (prev 74.73%; Δ 0.62% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 8.71% > 50% (prev 7.67%; Δ 1.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM 434.9m / Interest Expense TTM 266.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.50
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 202.4m - Total Current Liabilities 949.1m) / Total Assets 8.53b
B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -219.6m / Total Assets 8.53b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 434.9m / Avg Total Assets 8.74b)
D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 3.75b / Total Liabilities 4.78b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.50 = B
What is the price of GBDC shares?

As of June 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.29 with a total of 996,375 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.92%, over one month by +0.99%, over three months by +12.63% and over the past year by -2.64%.

Is GBDC a buy, sell or hold?

Golub Capital BDC has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GBDC.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GBDC price?
Analysts Target Price 13.8 3.5%
Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.47b (3.47b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.3117
P/E Forward = 10.2775
P/S = 4.1769
P/B = 0.9181
P/EG = 1.395
Revenue TTM = 761.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 434.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 436.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.75b USD (estimated: total debt 4.70b - short term 949.1m)
Short Term Debt = 949.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.57b USD (calculated: Debt 4.70b - CCE 128.4m)
Enterprise Value = 8.05b USD (3.47b + Debt 4.70b - CCE 128.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.64 (Ebit TTM 434.9m / Interest Expense TTM 266.0m)
EV/FCF = 25.68x (Enterprise Value 8.05b / FCF TTM 313.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.89% (FCF TTM 313.3m / Enterprise Value 8.05b)
FCF Margin = 41.15% (FCF TTM 313.3m / Revenue TTM 761.4m)
Net Margin = 26.91% (Net Income TTM 204.9m / Revenue TTM 761.4m)
Gross Margin = 75.36% ((Revenue TTM 761.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 187.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.60% (prev 80.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 8.05b / Total Assets 8.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.66% (Interest Expense 266.0m / Debt 4.70b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 343.6m (EBIT 434.9m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.21 (Total Current Assets 202.4m / Total Current Liabilities 949.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.25 (Debt 4.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.49 (Net Debt 4.57b / EBITDA 436.0m)
Debt / FCF = 14.60 (Net Debt 4.57b / FCF TTM 313.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.34% (Net Income 204.9m / Total Assets 8.53b)
RoE = 5.24% (Net Income TTM 204.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.91b)
RoCE = 5.68% (EBIT 434.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.91b + L.T.Debt 3.75b))
RoIC = 4.05% (NOPAT 343.6m / Invested Capital 8.49b)
WACC = 5.90% (E(3.47b)/V(8.17b) * Re(7.84%) + D(4.70b)/V(8.17b) * Rd(5.66%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 46.67 | Cagr: 21.45%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈313.3m ; Y1≈314.6m ; Y5≈333.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.34 (EV 5.18b - Net Debt 4.57b = Equity 609.9m / Shares 260.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -58.21 | EPS CAGR: -7.87% | SUE: -1.25 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 86.51 | Revenue CAGR: 17.72% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=-6.25% | Revisions=-43% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=-3.89% | Revisions=-56% | GrowthEPS=-9.3% | GrowthRev=-11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=-2.65% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-7.2% | GrowthRev=-4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -56%