(GCMG) GCM Grosvenor - Overview
Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Asset Management | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 650m USD | Total Return: -12.1% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 3.73M
EPS Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Choppy Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) is a Chicago-based alternative asset management firm specializing in private equity, infrastructure, real estate, credit, and absolute return strategies. The firm provides customized investment solutions to institutional clients, including pension plans and sovereign wealth funds, as well as high-net-worth individuals. Its investment approach encompasses primary fund commitments, secondary market transactions, and direct co-investments across global markets.
The company operates within the alternative asset management sector, a business model characterized by long-term locked-up capital and a fee structure typically composed of management fees based on assets under management (AUM) and performance-based carried interest. Unlike traditional long-only managers, alternative asset firms like GCM Grosvenor often target alpha through middle-market buyouts and specialized seed investments in emerging managers.
GCM Grosvenor employs a combination of fundamental and quantitative analysis to manage diversified portfolios across sectors such as aerospace, information technology, and biosciences. Investors looking for a deeper dive into these performance metrics may find ValueRay a useful tool for further analysis. The firms global footprint includes offices in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia, reflecting its mandate to capture regionally-focused opportunities in both developed and emerging markets.
- Asset management fee growth depends on institutional capital commitments to private markets
- Performance fee realization hinges on alternative investment returns and exit market liquidity
- Expansion into infrastructure and private credit strategies diversifies management fee revenue
- Operating margin expansion relies on scaling assets under management against fixed costs
- Shifts in pension fund allocations to alternative assets impact long-term capital inflows
| Net Income: 50.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.32% < 20% (prev 12.51%; Δ -10.19% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 202.0m > Net Income 50.4m |
| Net Debt (319.1m) to EBITDA (198.3m): 1.61 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.09 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (204.8m) vs 12m ago 7.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 68.95% > 18% (prev 0.44%; Δ 6.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 87.89% > 50% (prev 92.33%; Δ -4.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.82 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 198.3m / Interest Expense TTM 22.0m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 164.4m - Total Current Liabilities 151.5m) / Total Assets 688.8m |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -19.4m / Total Assets 688.8m) |
| C: 0.31 (EBIT TTM 193.9m / Avg Total Assets 634.3m) |
| D: -0.04 (Book Value of Equity -20.1m / Total Liabilities 566.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.05 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 57.7m/62.9m, Revenue 557.5m/535.4m) |
| GMI: 0.64 (GM 68.95% / 43.95%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 557.5m / 535.4m) |
| TATA: -0.22 (NI 50.4m - CFO 202.0m) / TA 688.8m) |
| Beneish M = -3.61 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.65 with a total of 352,280 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.85%,
over one month by -2.31%,
over three months by -6.97% and
over the past year by -12.11%.
GCM Grosvenor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GCMG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 14.1 | 32.7% |
P/E Forward = 12.3609
P/S = 1.1763
P/B = 25.4873
Revenue TTM = 557.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 193.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 198.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 428.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.29m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 483.5m USD (corrected: LT Debt 428.4m + ST Debt 3.29m) + Leases 51.8m
Net Debt = 319.1m USD (calculated: Debt 483.5m - CCE 164.4m)
Enterprise Value = 969.4m USD (650.3m + Debt 483.5m - CCE 164.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.82 (Ebit TTM 193.9m / Interest Expense TTM 22.0m)
EV/FCF = 6.35x (Enterprise Value 969.4m / FCF TTM 152.7m)
FCF Yield = 15.75% (FCF TTM 152.7m / Enterprise Value 969.4m)
FCF Margin = 27.39% (FCF TTM 152.7m / Revenue TTM 557.5m)
Net Margin = 9.04% (Net Income TTM 50.4m / Revenue TTM 557.5m)
Gross Margin = 68.95% ((Revenue TTM 557.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 173.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 45.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 969.4m / Total Assets 688.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.55% (Interest Expense 22.0m / Debt 483.5m)
Taxrate = 15.02% (3.14m / 20.9m)
NOPAT = 164.8m (EBIT 193.9m * (1 - 15.02%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 164.4m / Total Current Liabilities 206.0m)
Debt / Equity = 18.97 (Debt 483.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 25.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.61 (Net Debt 319.1m / EBITDA 198.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.09 (Net Debt 319.1m / FCF TTM 152.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.20m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.94% (Net Income 50.4m / Total Assets 688.8m)
RoE = 182.3% (Net Income TTM 50.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 27.6m)
RoCE = 42.52% (EBIT 193.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 27.6m + L.T.Debt 428.4m))
RoIC = 30.28% (NOPAT 164.8m / Invested Capital 544.3m)
WACC = 6.76% (E(650.3m)/V(1.13b) * Re(8.91%) + D(483.5m)/V(1.13b) * Rd(4.55%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 8.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈126.7m ; Y1≈145.2m ; Y5≈213.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 47.98 (EV 3.22b - Net Debt 319.1m = Equity 2.90b / Shares 60.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.36 | EPS CAGR: 25.05% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.77 | Revenue CAGR: 10.93% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-9.31% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-5.68% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-6.52% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=-0.9% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.01 | Chg30d=-4.17% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+21.6% | GrowthRev=+14.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%