GCMG Stock Analysis: GCM Grosvenor | NASDAQ
Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 743m USD | 12M Return: 19.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 6.34M
EPS Trend: 97.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 95.2%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 7.4 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GCM Grosvenor Inc. (NASDAQ: GCMG) is a global alternative asset management firm founded in 1971 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. The company serves a diverse client base that includes pooled investment vehicles, investment companies, high-net-worth individuals, pension and profit-sharing plans, and state or municipal government entities.
The firm invests across multiple alternative asset classes, including hedge funds, private equity, real estate, infrastructure, credit, and absolute return strategies. Its investment approach spans multi-strategy, credit-focused, equity-focused, macro-focused, and commodity-focused portfolios, and includes primary fund investments, secondary fund investments, and co-investments across stages ranging from early venture to buyouts and distressed debt.
GCM Grosvenor employs both fundamental and quantitative analysis, prefers majority stakes in portfolio companies, and focuses on sectors such as aerospace and defense, advanced electronics, information technology, biosciences, and advanced materials. As an alternative asset manager, the firm typically earns revenue through management fees on assets under management combined with performance-based incentive fees, a common structure in the alternative investment industry.
The company went public in November 2020 and operates as a subsidiary of Grosvenor Capital Management Holdings, LLLP, with offices across North America, Asia, Australia, and Europe. It is classified within the Financials sector under the Asset Management & Custody Banks sub-industry.
- Private markets fundraising accelerates alternative AUM growth
- Fee-related earnings expand on diversified alternatives platform
- Capital return continues through buybacks and dividends
| Net Income: 50.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.85 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.73% < 20% (prev 12.51%; Δ 10.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 202.0m > Net Income 50.4m |
| Net Debt (301.6m) to EBITDA (192.7m): 1.57 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (204.8m) vs 12m ago 7.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 86.64% > 50% (prev 92.33%; Δ -5.69% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 188.4m / Interest Expense TTM 15.0m) |
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 222.1m - Total Current Liabilities 97.2m) / Total Assets 688.8m |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -19.4m / Total Assets 688.8m) |
| C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 188.4m / Avg Total Assets 634.3m) |
| D: 0.04 (Book Value of Equity 25.5m / Total Liabilities 566.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.14 = A |
| DSRI: 0.89 (Receivables 57.7m/62.9m, Revenue 549.5m/535.4m) |
| GMI: 0.44 (GM 43.95% / 99.21%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 549.5m / 535.4m) |
| TATA: -0.22 (NI 50.4m - CFO 202.0m) / TA 688.8m) |
| Beneish M = -3.67 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.36 with a total of 311,356 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.60%, over one month by +23.13%, over three months by +42.23% and over the past year by +19.52%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.80 (which is 4.2% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
GCM Grosvenor has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GCMG.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 14.3 | 6.7% |
P/E Trailing = 24.6
P/E Forward = 14.1243
P/S = 1.3434
P/B = 29.1115
Revenue TTM = 549.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 188.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 192.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 362.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.29m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 466.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 51.5m
Net Debt = 301.6m USD (calculated: Debt 466.0m - CCE 164.4m)
Enterprise Value = 1.04b USD (742.7m + Debt 466.0m - CCE 164.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.53 (Ebit TTM 188.4m / Interest Expense TTM 15.0m)
EV/FCF = 5.47x (Enterprise Value 1.04b / FCF TTM 190.8m)
FCF Yield = 18.27% (FCF TTM 190.8m / Enterprise Value 1.04b)
FCF Margin = 34.72% (FCF TTM 190.8m / Revenue TTM 549.5m)
Net Margin = 9.17% (Net Income TTM 50.4m / Revenue TTM 549.5m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 549.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.33m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.52 (Enterprise Value 1.04b / Total Assets 688.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.23% (Interest Expense 15.0m / Debt 466.0m)
Taxrate = 7.18% (12.4m / 173.3m)
NOPAT = 174.8m (EBIT 188.4m * (1 - 7.18%))
Current Ratio = 2.28 (Total Current Assets 222.1m / Total Current Liabilities 97.2m)
Debt / Equity = 18.28 (Debt 466.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 25.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.57 (Net Debt 301.6m / EBITDA 192.7m)
Debt / FCF = 1.58 (Net Debt 301.6m / FCF TTM 190.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.20m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.94% (Net Income 50.4m / Total Assets 688.8m)
RoE = 614.2% (Net Income TTM 50.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.20m)
RoCE = 50.75% (EBIT 188.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 8.20m + L.T.Debt 362.9m))
RoIC = 30.81% (NOPAT 174.8m / Invested Capital 567.4m)
WACC = 6.24% (E(742.7m)/V(1.21b) * Re(8.28%) + D(466.0m)/V(1.21b) * Rd(3.23%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.67 | Cagr: 3.99%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈172.1m ; Y1≈197.3m ; Y5≈290.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 67.38 (EV 4.37b - Net Debt 301.6m = Equity 4.07b / Shares 60.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.02 | EPS CAGR: 22.51% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.19 | Revenue CAGR: 10.28% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=-8.00% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-2.78% | Revisions=-50% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.86 | Chg30d=-3.15% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+2.6% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-0.38% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+22.0% | GrowthRev=+14.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -65% (up=2, down=15)