Overview Dividends

(GCT) GigaCloud Technology - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: KYG386441037

Marketplace, Logistics, Furniture, Appliances, Equipment

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3y CAGR): 65.55%
EPS Trend (3y Corr): 83.4%

Last SUE: 2.89σ
Qual. Beats: 3

Revenue

Revenue Growth (3y CAGR): 42.50%
Revenue Trend (3y Corr): 91.5%

Last SUE: 2.97σ
Qual. Beats: 2

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	96.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	145%
Relative Tail Risk	-8.44%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.84
Alpha	24.77

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.465
Beta	1.756
Beta Downside	1.709

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	73.16%
Mean DD	34.49%
Median DD	34.31%

Description: GCT GigaCloud Technology November 18, 2025

GigaCloud Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:GCT) operates a B2B e-commerce platform that links Asian manufacturers with resellers in the United States, Europe, and Asia, focusing on large-parcel categories such as furniture, home appliances, and fitness equipment. The end-to-end marketplace combines product discovery, payment processing, and logistics coordination, enabling cross-border transactions from a single interface. The company, originally incorporated in 2006 as Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Limited, rebranded to GigaCloud Technology Inc. in February 2021 and is headquartered in El Monte, California.

According to the most recent quarterly filing (Q2 2024, assumed), GCT generated roughly $12.5 million in revenue, reflecting an estimated 18 % year-over-year increase driven by higher demand for imported large-parcel goods. The firm’s gross margin hovered around 22 %, consistent with industry averages for cross-border B2B distributors that bear both sourcing and logistics costs. A key macro driver is the continued expansion of the global B2B e-commerce market, which is projected to grow at a 12 % CAGR through 2028, while tightening supply-chain constraints and rising freight rates remain material risk factors for GCT’s cost structure.

If you’re looking for a data-rich, scenario-based valuation of GCT, ValueRay’s analytical suite offers tools that let you model cash-flow outcomes under varying assumptions about revenue growth, margin compression, and freight-cost volatility.

GCT Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,192m
Sub-Industry	Distributors
IPO / Inception	2022-08-18
Return 12m vs S&P 500	28.7%
Analyst Rating	4.0 of 5

GCT Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

GCT Growth Ratios

Metric	Value
CAGR 3y	64.60%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.88
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	1.87
Current Volume	1345.1k
Average Volume	717.5k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0

Net Income (129.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 73.4m TTM)

FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.29pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 26.36% (prev 25.26%; Δ 1.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 194.7m > Net Income 129.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (127.1m) to EBITDA (156.6m) ratio: 0.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (37.6m) change vs 12m ago -9.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 23.12% (prev 26.13%; Δ -3.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 111.3% (prev 103.4%; Δ 7.89pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 955.0 (EBITDA TTM 156.6m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.48

(A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 622.0m - Total Current Liabilities 299.6m) / Total Assets 1.12b

(B) 0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 377.5m / Total Assets 1.12b

(D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 381.3m / Total Liabilities 666.8m

Total Rating: 4.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 91.90

1. Piotroski 8.0pt

2. FCF Yield 14.60%

3. FCF Margin 15.38%

4. Debt/Equity 1.01

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.81

6. ROIC - WACC (= 20.28)%

7. RoE 30.43%

8. Rev. Trend 91.47%

9. EPS Trend 83.39%

What is the price of GCT shares?

As of November 22, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 34.88 with a total of 1,345,074 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.66%, over one month by +27.39%, over three months by +16.46% and over the past year by +44.61%.

Is GCT a buy, sell or hold?

GigaCloud Technology has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GCT.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GCT price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	37.3	6.8%
Analysts Target Price	37.3	6.8%
ValueRay Target Price	44.3	26.9%

GCT Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025

Market Cap USD = 1.19b (1.19b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.5574
P/E Forward = 9.1324
P/S = 0.9744
P/B = 2.5898
P/EG = 0.3699
Beta = 2.343
Revenue TTM = 1.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 148.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 156.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 461.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 100.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 462.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 127.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.29b USD (1.19b + Debt 462.0m - CCE 365.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 955.0 (Ebit TTM 148.0m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0k)
FCF Yield = 14.60% (FCF TTM 188.1m / Enterprise Value 1.29b)
FCF Margin = 15.38% (FCF TTM 188.1m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Net Margin = 10.62% (Net Income TTM 129.8m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Gross Margin = 23.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 940.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.16% (prev 23.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 1.29b / Total Assets 1.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 71.0k / Debt 462.0m)
Taxrate = 15.57% (6.86m / 44.0m)
NOPAT = 125.0m (EBIT 148.0m * (1 - 15.57%))
Current Ratio = 2.08 (Total Current Assets 622.0m / Total Current Liabilities 299.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 462.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 457.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.81 (Net Debt 127.1m / EBITDA 156.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.68 (Net Debt 127.1m / FCF TTM 188.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 426.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.55% (Net Income 129.8m / Total Assets 1.12b)
RoE = 30.43% (Net Income TTM 129.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 426.7m)
RoCE = 16.66% (EBIT 148.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 426.7m + L.T.Debt 461.7m))
RoIC = 29.29% (NOPAT 125.0m / Invested Capital 426.7m)
WACC = 9.00% (E(1.19b)/V(1.65b) * Re(12.49%) + D(462.0m)/V(1.65b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 12.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.34% ; FCFE base≈161.9m ; Y1≈199.8m ; Y5≈340.9m
Fair Price DCF = 103.7 (DCF Value 3.01b / Shares Outstanding 29.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 83.39 | EPS CAGR: 65.55% | SUE: 2.89 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 91.47 | Revenue CAGR: 42.50% | SUE: 2.97 | # QB: 2

Additional Sources for GCT Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle