(GCT) GigaCloud Technology - Ratings and Ratios
Furniture, Appliances, Decor, Fixtures
GCT EPS (Earnings per Share)
GCT Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 102% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 153% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.76 |
| Alpha | 8.45 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.525 |
| Beta | 1.765 |
| Beta Downside | 1.708 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.16% |
| Mean DD | 34.33% |
| Median DD | 34.31% |
Description: GCT GigaCloud Technology August 27, 2025
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (NASDAQ:GCT) is a common stock listed on the NASDAQ exchange, operating in the Distributors GICS Sub Industry. The companys market capitalization stands at approximately $1.186 billion USD, indicating a mid-cap status.
Key performance indicators suggest a robust financial position, with a Return on Equity (RoE) of 32.33%, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity. The stocks Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 9.52, while the forward P/E is 11.42, suggesting moderate growth expectations.
Economic drivers influencing GCTs performance likely include overall demand for distributed products, competition within the distributors industry, and macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates. The companys operational efficiency, cost management, and ability to navigate supply chain disruptions will also be crucial in determining its financial health.
From a trading perspective, GCTs beta of 2.356 indicates high volatility relative to the broader market, suggesting that the stock is sensitive to market fluctuations. This, combined with an Average True Range (ATR) of 1.52 (5.41% of the last price), highlights the potential for significant price movements, making it a stock that requires close monitoring.
To further evaluate GCTs potential, it would be essential to analyze its revenue growth, gross margin, operating expenses, and cash flow generation, as well as industry trends and competitor activity. A comprehensive analysis of these factors will help determine whether the current valuation is justified and if the stock presents a viable trading opportunity.
GCT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,227m |
| Sub-Industry | Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 2022-08-18 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 27.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
GCT Dividends
Currently no dividends paidGCT Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 73.05% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.00 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.13 |
| Current Volume | 534.4k |
| Average Volume | 562k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (129.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 73.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 26.36% (prev 25.26%; Δ 1.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 194.7m > Net Income 129.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (126.8m) to EBITDA (150.9m) ratio: 0.84 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (37.6m) change vs 12m ago -9.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.12% (prev 26.13%; Δ -3.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 111.3% (prev 103.4%; Δ 7.89pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 670.5 (EBITDA TTM 150.9m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.85
| (A) 0.29 = (Total Current Assets 622.0m - Total Current Liabilities 299.6m) / Total Assets 1.12b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 298.9m / Total Assets 1.12b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 103.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.10b |
| (D) 0.45 = Book Value of Equity 296.8m / Total Liabilities 666.8m |
| Total Rating: 3.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 92.00
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 13.89% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.38% = 3.84 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.01 = 2.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.84 = 1.97 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 19.74)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 30.43% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.47% = 6.86 |
| 9. EPS Trend 86.09% = 4.30 |
What is the price of GCT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.12%, over one month by +11.22%, over three months by -4.73% and over the past year by +46.25%.
Is GigaCloud Technology a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GCT is around 35.05 USD . This means that GCT is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +15.22% (Margin of Safety).
Is GCT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GCT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 36 | 18.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 36 | 18.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.3 | 29.2% |
GCT Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.003
P/E Forward = 8.658
P/S = 1.0033
P/B = 2.3738
P/EG = 0.3699
Beta = 2.343
Revenue TTM = 1.22b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 150.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 484.3m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 99.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 461.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 126.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.35b USD (1.23b + Debt 461.7m - CCE 334.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 670.5 (Ebit TTM 103.9m / Interest Expense TTM 155.0k)
FCF Yield = 13.89% (FCF TTM 188.1m / Enterprise Value 1.35b)
FCF Margin = 15.38% (FCF TTM 188.1m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Net Margin = 10.62% (Net Income TTM 129.8m / Revenue TTM 1.22b)
Gross Margin = 23.12% ((Revenue TTM 1.22b - Cost of Revenue TTM 940.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.16% (prev 23.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 1.35b / Total Assets 1.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 71.0k / Debt 461.7m)
Taxrate = -15.57% (negative due to tax credits) (-6.86m / 44.0m)
NOPAT = 120.1m (EBIT 103.9m * (1 - -15.57%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.08 (Total Current Assets 622.0m / Total Current Liabilities 299.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.01 (Debt 461.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 457.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.84 (Net Debt 126.8m / EBITDA 150.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.67 (Net Debt 126.8m / FCF TTM 188.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 426.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.55% (Net Income 129.8m / Total Assets 1.12b)
RoE = 30.43% (Net Income TTM 129.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 426.7m)
RoCE = 11.41% (EBIT 103.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 426.7m + L.T.Debt 484.3m))
RoIC = 28.84% (NOPAT 120.1m / Invested Capital 416.5m)
WACC = 9.10% (E(1.23b)/V(1.69b) * Re(12.52%) + D(461.7m)/V(1.69b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(-0.16)))
Discount Rate = 12.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.26% ; FCFE base≈161.9m ; Y1≈199.7m ; Y5≈340.8m
Fair Price DCF = 103.3 (DCF Value 2.99b / Shares Outstanding 29.0m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 86.09 | EPS CAGR: 65.55% | SUE: 2.23 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 91.47 | Revenue CAGR: 42.50% | SUE: 2.97 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for GCT Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle