(GDEN) Golden Entertainment - Ratings and Ratios
Casino, Resort, Tavern, Gaming
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.68% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.84% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -50.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 25.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 50.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.08 |
| Alpha | -22.69 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.624 |
| Beta | 0.714 |
| Beta Downside | 0.741 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.04% |
| Mean DD | 22.54% |
| Median DD | 23.94% |
Description: GDEN Golden Entertainment December 25, 2025
Golden Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:GDEN) operates a diversified U.S. entertainment platform focused on Nevada, split into three segments: Nevada Casino Resorts, Nevada Locals Casinos, and Nevada Taverns. The company, incorporated in 1998 and headquartered in Las Vegas, runs casino-resort properties and tavern venues across the state.
Recent quarterly filings (Q3 2024) show GDEN generated approximately $210 million in total revenue, with a 5 % year-over-year increase in gaming-related earnings driven by higher slot machine utilization and a modest rebound in hotel occupancy to 78 % of pre-pandemic levels. The Nevada locals-casino segment contributed roughly 45 % of net revenue, reflecting the sector’s relative resilience to macro-economic cycles, while the tavern segment posted a 3 % rise in beverage sales, benefiting from a 2 % uplift in tourism traffic linked to the states $2.4 billion annual gaming tax revenue.
For a deeper, data-driven view of GDEN’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (5.45m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 38.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.41% (prev 1.46%; Δ -0.06pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 95.4m > Net Income 5.45m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (450.7m) to EBITDA (128.3m) ratio: 3.51 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.10 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (26.2m) change vs 12m ago -11.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 53.94% (prev 51.07%; Δ 2.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 60.21% (prev 66.57%; Δ -6.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.23 (EBITDA TTM 128.3m / Interest Expense TTM 30.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.06
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 102.8m - Total Current Liabilities 93.8m) / Total Assets 1.04b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -47.3m / Total Assets 1.04b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 37.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.07b |
| (D) -0.08 = Book Value of Equity -47.1m / Total Liabilities 601.9m |
| Total Rating: 0.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.63
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.68% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.44% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.17 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.51 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.60)% |
| 7. RoE 1.20% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -91.50% |
| 9. EPS Trend -36.80% |
What is the price of GDEN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.08%, over one month by -6.16%, over three months by +16.36% and over the past year by -10.70%.
Is GDEN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GDEN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30.5 | 12.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30.5 | 12.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 28.9 | 6.1% |
GDEN Fundamental Data Overview December 28, 2025
P/E Trailing = 123.0455
P/E Forward = 31.25
P/S = 1.1011
P/B = 1.632
P/EG = 2.12
Beta = 1.527
Revenue TTM = 643.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 128.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 417.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 21.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 508.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 450.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.16b USD (708.5m + Debt 508.9m - CCE 58.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.23 (Ebit TTM 37.8m / Interest Expense TTM 30.8m)
FCF Yield = 4.68% (FCF TTM 54.3m / Enterprise Value 1.16b)
FCF Margin = 8.44% (FCF TTM 54.3m / Revenue TTM 643.5m)
Net Margin = 0.85% (Net Income TTM 5.45m / Revenue TTM 643.5m)
Gross Margin = 53.94% ((Revenue TTM 643.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 296.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.56% (prev 54.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 1.16b / Total Assets 1.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.56% (Interest Expense 7.94m / Debt 508.9m)
Taxrate = 34.01% (-2.40m / -7.06m)
NOPAT = 24.9m (EBIT 37.8m * (1 - 34.01%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 102.8m / Total Current Liabilities 93.8m)
Debt / Equity = 1.17 (Debt 508.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 434.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.51 (Net Debt 450.7m / EBITDA 128.3m)
Debt / FCF = 8.30 (Net Debt 450.7m / FCF TTM 54.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 453.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.53% (Net Income 5.45m / Total Assets 1.04b)
RoE = 1.20% (Net Income TTM 5.45m / Total Stockholder Equity 453.4m)
RoCE = 4.34% (EBIT 37.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 453.4m + L.T.Debt 417.3m))
RoIC = 2.86% (NOPAT 24.9m / Invested Capital 870.9m)
WACC = 5.46% (E(708.5m)/V(1.22b) * Re(8.64%) + D(508.9m)/V(1.22b) * Rd(1.56%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 8.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.80% ; FCFE base≈34.5m ; Y1≈22.7m ; Y5≈10.4m
Fair Price DCF = 7.05 (DCF Value 184.4m / Shares Outstanding 26.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -36.80 | EPS CAGR: -10.69% | SUE: -1.73 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.50 | Revenue CAGR: -14.77% | SUE: -0.41 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.23 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.86 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+133.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%
Additional Sources for GDEN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle