Overview Dividends

(GEVO) Gevo - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US3743964062

Aviation Fuel, Renewable Gas, Motor Fuels, Specialty Chemicals

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Market Cap in USD: 485m
IPO / Inception: 2011-02-09
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -27.2%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of GEVO over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": -0.14, "2021-03": -0.05, "2021-06": -0.07, "2021-09": -0.07, "2021-12": -0.08, "2022-03": -0.08, "2022-06": -0.06, "2022-09": -0.19, "2022-12": -0.11, "2023-03": -0.07, "2023-06": -0.06, "2023-09": -0.07, "2023-12": -0.08, "2024-03": -0.08, "2024-06": -0.09, "2024-09": -0.09, "2024-12": -0.09, "2025-03": -0.09, "2025-06": 0.01, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": 0,
EPS CAGR: 14.80%
EPS Trend: 56.0%
Last SUE: 1.58
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Revenue of GEVO over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 0.421, 2021-03: 0.093, 2021-06: 0.346, 2021-09: 0.12, 2021-12: 0.054, 2022-03: 0.232, 2022-06: 0.089, 2022-09: 0.309, 2022-12: 0.545, 2023-03: 4.06, 2023-06: 4.238, 2023-09: 4.528, 2023-12: 4.374, 2024-03: 3.99, 2024-06: 5.26, 2024-09: 1.965, 2024-12: 5.7, 2025-03: 29.109, 2025-06: 43.413, 2025-09: 42.71, 2025-12: null,
Rev. CAGR: 492.70%
Rev. Trend: 91.6%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 79.3%
Value at Risk 5%th 113%
Relative Tail Risk -13.51%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.16
Alpha -43.10
CAGR/Max DD -0.02
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.523
Beta 1.375
Beta Downside 1.189
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 77.36%
Mean DD 47.16%
Median DD 48.64%

Description: GEVO Gevo December 30, 2025

Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO) positions itself as a carbon-abatement company operating three business lines-Gevo, GevoFuels, and GevoRNG-focused on producing renewable aviation fuel, motor fuels, specialty chemicals, and renewable natural gas (RNG) from low-carbon feedstocks.

Key operational metrics (as of FY 2023) include a production capacity of roughly 30 million gallons of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) per year and an RNG output of ~1.2 billion cubic feet, with the Verity platform providing third-party-verified lifecycle-analysis data to support ESG claims.

The company’s growth hinges on three macro drivers: (1) the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act’s 40 % tax credit for SAF, (2) increasing airline commitments to net-zero emissions, and (3) state-level RNG incentives that boost demand for methane-capture projects. A sensitivity analysis suggests that a 10 % reduction in the SAF tax credit would cut projected FY 2025 revenue by roughly $45 million, underscoring the policy-risk exposure.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GEVO’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, you may find the ValueRay research hub useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (-45.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.26m TTM)
FCFTA -0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.15pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 53.79% (prev 1334 %; Δ -1280 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO -52.2m <= Net Income -45.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 1.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (232.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.82% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 40.20% (prev 24.89%; Δ 15.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 18.76% (prev 2.58%; Δ 16.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -2.17 (EBITDA TTM -3.95m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -7.75

(A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 136.7m - Total Current Liabilities 71.7m) / Total Assets 685.2m
(B) -1.21 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -827.8m / Total Assets 685.2m
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.21 — check mapping/units
(C) -0.05 = EBIT TTM -30.3m / Avg Total Assets 644.5m
(D) -3.92 = Book Value of Equity -825.4m / Total Liabilities 210.4m
Total Rating: -7.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 30.52

1. Piotroski 2.50pt
2. FCF Yield -14.79%
3. FCF Margin -70.89%
4. Debt/Equity 0.36
5. Debt/Ebitda -24.09
6. ROIC - WACC (= -12.66)%
7. RoE -9.49%
8. Rev. Trend 91.57%
9. EPS Trend 56.01%

What is the price of GEVO shares?

As of January 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1.99 with a total of 2,684,647 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.40%, over one month by -11.56%, over three months by -12.33% and over the past year by -11.95%.

Is GEVO a buy, sell or hold?

Gevo has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefor, it is recommend to hold GEVO.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GEVO price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 5.3 166.8%
Analysts Target Price 5.3 166.8%
ValueRay Target Price 2 -2%

GEVO Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026

P/S = 4.0074
P/B = 1.0336
P/EG = -0.01
Beta = 1.447
Revenue TTM = 120.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -30.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.95m USD
Long Term Debt = 134.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 31.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 167.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 95.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 579.8m USD (484.6m + Debt 167.8m - CCE 72.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.17 (Ebit TTM -30.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0m)
FCF Yield = -14.79% (FCF TTM -85.7m / Enterprise Value 579.8m)
FCF Margin = -70.89% (FCF TTM -85.7m / Revenue TTM 120.9m)
Net Margin = -37.33% (Net Income TTM -45.1m / Revenue TTM 120.9m)
Gross Margin = 40.20% ((Revenue TTM 120.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 72.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.38% (prev 60.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 579.8m / Total Assets 685.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.10% (Interest Expense 5.21m / Debt 167.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -23.9m (EBIT -30.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 136.7m / Total Current Liabilities 71.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 167.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 468.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -24.09 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 95.2m / EBITDA -3.95m)
Debt / FCF = -1.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 95.2m / FCF TTM -85.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 475.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.00% (Net Income -45.1m / Total Assets 685.2m)
RoE = -9.49% (Net Income TTM -45.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 475.6m)
RoCE = -4.96% (EBIT -30.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 475.6m + L.T.Debt 134.2m))
RoIC = -3.87% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -23.9m / Invested Capital 617.1m)
WACC = 8.79% (E(484.6m)/V(652.4m) * Re(10.98%) + D(167.8m)/V(652.4m) * Rd(3.10%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.64%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -85.7m)
EPS Correlation: 56.01 | EPS CAGR: 14.80% | SUE: 1.58 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 91.57 | Revenue CAGR: 492.7% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.026 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=+0.034 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-12.6% | Growth Revenue=+30.7%

Additional Sources for GEVO Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle