GLAD Stock Analysis: Gladstone Capital | NASDAQ

Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 445m USD | 12M Return: 13.1% | US3765358789 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Senior Lending, Mezzanine Financing, Private Equity, Growth Capital
Total Rating 33
Safety 42
Buy Signal -0.47
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: +6.5
Market Cap: 445M
Avg Turnover: 3.14M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility19.8%
VaR 5th Pctl3.70%
VaR vs Median13.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.47
Rel. Str. IBD66.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group75.3 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.406
Beta Downside0.315
Hurst Exponent0.489
Choppyness69.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD39.59%
CAGR/Max DD0.23
CAGR/Mean DD0.66
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GLAD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.4, "2021-12": 0.54, "2022-03": 0.5, "2022-06": 0.4, "2022-09": 0.44, "2022-12": 0.5, "2023-03": 0.52, "2023-06": 0.62, "2023-09": 0.56, "2023-12": 0.54, "2024-03": 0.25, "2024-06": 0.57, "2024-09": 0.5, "2024-12": 0.5, "2025-03": 0.5, "2025-06": 0.5, "2025-09": 0.52, "2025-12": 0.5, "2026-03": 0.52, "2026-06": 0.49,
EPS CAGR: -1.32%
EPS Trend: -20.0%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GLAD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 36.377, 2021-12: 14.499, 2022-03: 12.418, 2022-06: -2.842, 2022-09: 8.952, 2022-12: 11.257, 2023-03: 17.609, 2023-06: 17.006, 2023-09: 19.957, 2023-12: 25.059, 2024-03: 30.752, 2024-06: 25.905, 2024-09: 38.548, 2024-12: 31.626, 2025-03: 13.464, 2025-06: 12.112, 2025-09: 20.427, 2025-12: 12.561, 2026-03: 25.422, 2026-06: 20.802,
Rev. CAGR: -6.04%
Rev. Trend: -23.2%
Last SUE: -0.18
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.1% 10
Feb -3.0% 35
Mar -1.1% 18
Apr +2.1% 40
May -0.1% 5
Jun -0.5% 5
Jul +0.9% 20
Aug -0.5% 10
Sep -4.0% 33
Oct -0.8% 0
Nov +6.8% 34
Dec -1.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GLAD Gladstone Capital

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) is a Business Development Company (BDC) that provides private equity and debt financing to lower middle-market companies in the United States. The firm invests through a range of instruments, including senior term loans, revolving loans, first and second lien term loans, unitranche loans, mezzanine debt, and equity securities such as common and preferred stock, LLC interests, and warrants. It typically invests $8 million to $40 million in debt into companies with $20 million to $150 million in sales and $3 million to $25 million in EBITDA, preferring minority stakes and exiting investments via strategic acquisitions, IPOs, or other capital market transactions.

As a BDC, Gladstone Capital operates under the Investment Company Act of 1940, which requires it to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders, making it a pass-through entity for tax purposes. The firm is part of The Gladstone Companies ecosystem, a group of affiliated public investment advisors managed by Gladstone Management Corporation, and focuses on industry-agnostic opportunities across sectors such as business services, healthcare, manufacturing, specialty chemicals, aerospace and defense, and consumer products.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses on floating-rate loan repricings
  • Non-accruals rise as lower middle market borrowers face stress
  • New investment origination volume drives portfolio growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 50.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -25.43 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -8.23% < 20% (prev 7.03%; Δ -15.27% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.16 > 3% & CFO -150.8m > Net Income 50.3m
Net Debt (427.5m) to EBITDA (59.1m): 7.24 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.26 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (28.4m) vs 12m ago 27.03% < -2%
Gross Margin: 68.66% > 18% (prev 79.47%; Δ -10.81% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 9.05% > 50% (prev 12.27%; Δ -3.22% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.30 > 6 (EBIT TTM 56.8m / Interest Expense TTM 24.7m)
Altman Z'' 1.61
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.35m - Total Current Liabilities 8.87m) / Total Assets 970.1m
B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -16.0m / Total Assets 970.1m)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 56.8m / Avg Total Assets 875.2m)
D: 1.21 (Book Value of Equity 530.7m / Total Liabilities 438.8m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.61 = BB
What is the price of GLAD shares?

As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 19.75 with a total of 137,216 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.13%, over one month by +4.46%, over three months by +4.77% and over the past year by +13.08%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 19.00 (which is 3.8% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is GLAD a buy, sell or hold?

Gladstone Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.20. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GLAD.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GLAD price?
Analysts Target Price 22 11.4%
Gladstone Capital (GLAD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 444.6m (444.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.2394
P/E Forward = 10.661
P/S = 4.4942
P/B = 0.8931
P/EG = 2.3116
Revenue TTM = 79.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 56.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 59.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 177.5m USD (estimated: total debt 429.9m - short term 252.4m)
Short Term Debt = 252.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 429.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 427.5m USD (calculated: Debt 429.9m - CCE 2.35m)
Enterprise Value = 872.2m USD (444.6m + Debt 429.9m - CCE 2.35m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.30 (Ebit TTM 56.8m / Interest Expense TTM 24.7m)
EV/FCF = -5.79x (Enterprise Value 872.2m / FCF TTM -150.8m)
FCF Yield = -17.29% (FCF TTM -150.8m / Enterprise Value 872.2m)
 FCF Margin = -190.3% (FCF TTM -150.8m / Revenue TTM 79.2m)
 Net Margin = 63.44% (Net Income TTM 50.3m / Revenue TTM 79.2m)
Gross Margin = 68.66% ((Revenue TTM 79.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.95% (prev 73.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 872.2m / Total Assets 970.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.74% (Interest Expense 24.7m / Debt 429.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 44.8m (EBIT 56.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.26 (Total Current Assets 2.35m / Total Current Liabilities 8.87m)
Debt / Equity = 0.81 (Debt 429.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 530.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.24 (Net Debt 427.5m / EBITDA 59.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -2.84 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 427.5m / FCF TTM -150.8m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 493.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.74% (Net Income 50.3m / Total Assets 970.1m)
RoE = 10.19% (Net Income TTM 50.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 493.2m)
RoCE = 8.46% (EBIT 56.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 493.2m + L.T.Debt 177.5m))
RoIC = 3.70% (NOPAT 44.8m / Invested Capital 1.21b)
WACC = 5.79% (E(444.6m)/V(874.5m) * Re(7.01%) + D(429.9m)/V(874.5m) * Rd(5.74%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 87.79 | Cagr: 12.52%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -150.8m)
 EPS Correlation: -20.00 | EPS CAGR: -1.32% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -23.20 | Revenue CAGR: -6.04% | SUE: -0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=1.97 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=-2.4% | GrowthRev=+13.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=1.98 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+0.3% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)