GRPN Stock Analysis: Groupon | NASDAQ
Internet Content & Information | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 901m USD | 12M Return: -27.6% | US3994732069 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 41.4M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -72.4%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) operates an online marketplace that connects consumers with merchants offering goods and services at discounted prices, with operations spanning North America and international markets. Its deal categories span beauty and wellness, food and drink, home and automotive services, online services, and travel (including discounted hotel, airfare, and package deals), as well as physical product lines such as electronics, sporting goods, jewelry, toys, household items, and apparel. The company distributes its offerings through websites, search engines, mobile apps and mobile websites, email and push notifications, affiliate channels, social and display advertising, and offline marketing. Groupon was incorporated in 2008, is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and trades on NASDAQ as a small-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS sub-industry: Broadline Retail), having gone public in November 2011.
The company is widely credited with pioneering the daily deals business model, in which merchants offer time-limited, heavily discounted vouchers to attract new customers, with Groupon typically retaining a percentage of each sale as commission. As a Broadline Retail name within Consumer Discretionary, its revenue is sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, merchant demand for customer acquisition, and competition from larger e-commerce platforms, search engines, and direct merchant-to-consumer marketing tools.
- Active customer count declines as deal demand softens
- Travel category recovery boosts gross billings growth
- International segment restructuring weighs on operating margins
| Net Income: -125.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.04 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -16.53% < 20% (prev -3.22%; Δ -13.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 44.3m > Net Income -125.7m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (39.0m) vs 12m ago -23.27% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.24% > 18% (prev 90.58%; Δ -0.34% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 79.77% > 50% (prev 75.34%; Δ 4.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -5.95 > 6 (EBIT TTM -84.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.1m) |
| A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 307.9m - Total Current Liabilities 390.1m) / Total Assets 599.7m |
| B: -2.68 (Retained Earnings -1.61b / Total Assets 599.7m) |
| C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -84.0m / Avg Total Assets 623.5m) |
| D: -0.11 (Book Value of Equity -72.2m / Total Liabilities 671.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -10.65 = D |
| DSRI: 0.73 (Receivables 23.7m/32.0m, Revenue 497.4m/487.7m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 90.58% / 90.24%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 497.4m / 487.7m) |
| TATA: -0.28 (NI -125.7m - CFO 44.3m) / TA 599.7m) |
| Beneish M = -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 21.98 with a total of 888,110 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.60%, over one month by -6.63%, over three months by +19.59% and over the past year by -27.55%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 16.80 (which is 23.6% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Groupon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GRPN.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 29.3 | 33.4% |
P/E Forward = 128.2051
P/S = 1.8109
P/B = 17.7667
P/EG = 14.657
Revenue TTM = 497.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -84.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -63.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 261.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 49.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 317.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.99m
Net Debt = 91.0m USD (calculated: Debt 317.3m - CCE 226.2m)
Enterprise Value = 991.8m USD (900.7m + Debt 317.3m - CCE 226.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -5.95 (Ebit TTM -84.0m / Interest Expense TTM 14.1m)
EV/FCF = 33.12x (Enterprise Value 991.8m / FCF TTM 29.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.02% (FCF TTM 29.9m / Enterprise Value 991.8m)
FCF Margin = 6.02% (FCF TTM 29.9m / Revenue TTM 497.4m)
Net Margin = -25.26% (Net Income TTM -125.7m / Revenue TTM 497.4m)
Gross Margin = 90.24% ((Revenue TTM 497.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 48.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.95% (prev 90.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.65 (Enterprise Value 991.8m / Total Assets 599.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.45% (Interest Expense 14.1m / Debt 317.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -66.4m (EBIT -84.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 307.9m / Total Current Liabilities 390.1m)
Debt / Equity = -4.40 (negative equity) (Debt 317.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -72.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.45 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 91.0m / EBITDA -63.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.04 (Net Debt 91.0m / FCF TTM 29.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -59.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -20.15% (Net Income -125.7m / Total Assets 599.7m)
RoE = 212.2% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -125.7m / Total Stockholder Equity -59.2m)
RoCE = -41.55% (EBIT -84.0m / Capital Employed (Equity -59.2m + L.T.Debt 261.4m))
RoIC = -28.39% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -66.4m / Invested Capital 233.7m)
WACC = 9.96% (E(900.7m)/V(1.22b) * Re(12.23%) + D(317.3m)/V(1.22b) * Rd(4.45%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -0.13 | Cagr: 1.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.32% ; FCFF base≈43.9m ; Y1≈38.5m ; Y5≈31.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.48 (EV 395.3m - Net Debt 91.0m = Equity 304.3m / Shares 40.7m; r=9.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -72.42 | Revenue CAGR: -1.92% | SUE: -0.87 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=-20.03% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+92.3% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-2.80% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+606.2% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -10% (up=3, down=4)