(GRPN) Groupon - Overview

Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Internet Content & Information | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 663m USD | Total Return: -34.3% in 12m

Digital Coupons, Local Services, Travel Deals, Consumer Goods
Total Rating 33
Safety 38
Buy Signal -0.60
Internet Content & Information
Industry Rotation: -12.3
Market Cap: 663M
Avg Turnover: 30.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility86.3%
VaR 5th Pctl12.8%
VaR vs Median-12.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Rel. Str. IBD36.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group63.9
Character TTM
Beta1.870
Beta Downside1.168
Hurst Exponent0.408
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD74.20%
CAGR/Max DD0.79
CAGR/Mean DD1.97
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GRPN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.25, "2021-06": 0.33, "2021-09": 0.38, "2021-12": 0.18, "2022-03": -0.8, "2022-06": -0.34, "2022-09": -0.68, "2022-12": -0.38, "2023-03": -0.65, "2023-06": -0.1, "2023-09": -0.12, "2023-12": 0.3, "2024-03": -0.33, "2024-06": -0.02, "2024-09": 0.151, "2024-12": 0.0784, "2025-03": 0.3426, "2025-06": 0.46, "2025-09": -2.92, "2025-12": 0.2833, "2026-03": -0.32,
EPS CAGR: 0.20%
EPS Trend: 12.9%
Last SUE: -0.25
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GRPN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 263.817, 2021-06: 265.958, 2021-09: 214.171, 2021-12: 223.162, 2022-03: 153.32, 2022-06: 153.216, 2022-09: 144.39, 2022-12: 148.159, 2023-03: 121.611, 2023-06: 129.109, 2023-09: 126.474, 2023-12: 137.716, 2024-03: 123.084, 2024-06: 124.615, 2024-09: 114.479, 2024-12: 130.379, 2025-03: 117.187, 2025-06: 125.702, 2025-09: 122.825, 2025-12: 132.708, 2026-03: 117.2,
Rev. CAGR: -6.90%
Rev. Trend: -64.9%
Last SUE: -0.16
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Negative Equity with losses - insolvent profile

Interest Coverage Ratio -3.4 is critical

Altman Z'' -12.68 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Fakeout

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: GRPN Groupon

Grouon, Inc. (GRPN) operates a global e-commerce marketplace that facilitates transactions between local merchants and consumers through discounted goods and services. The company’s platform spans categories such as beauty, wellness, dining, travel, and consumer electronics, utilizing a multi-channel distribution strategy including mobile applications, search engine marketing, and direct email notifications.

As a participant in the Broadline Retail sub-industry, Groupon relies on a performance-based marketing model where it typically retains a percentage of each voucher sold in exchange for providing merchants with increased customer foot traffic. This sector is characterized by high competition from both niche local service aggregators and large-scale digital advertising platforms.

Investors can further evaluate these market dynamics and company performance metrics by visiting ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Local merchant service demand directly impacts core marketplace gross billings growth
  • Aggressive cost-cutting initiatives and workforce reductions drive adjusted EBITDA margin expansion
  • Active customer retention rates influence long-term marketing spend and revenue stability
  • Consumer discretionary spending shifts dictate volume in high-margin beauty and wellness categories
  • International market performance and currency fluctuations affect consolidated top-line growth figures
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: -103.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.55 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -14.52% < 20% (prev -7.90%; Δ -6.62% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 54.6m > Net Income -103.6m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.81 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.5m) vs 12m ago -2.85% < -2%
Gross Margin: 90.26% > 18% (prev 0.90%; Δ 8.94k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 82.80% > 50% (prev 80.02%; Δ 2.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.36 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -30.8m / Interest Expense TTM 14.3m)
Altman Z'' -12.68
A: -0.12 (Total Current Assets 302.0m - Total Current Liabilities 374.4m) / Total Assets 595.9m
B: -2.69 (Retained Earnings -1.61b / Total Assets 595.9m)
C: -0.08 (EBIT TTM -47.9m / Avg Total Assets 602.0m)
D: -2.44 (Book Value of Equity -1.61b / Total Liabilities 658.3m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -12.68 = D
Beneish M -3.45
DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 27.7m/34.4m, Revenue 498.4m/486.7m)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 90.26% / 90.42%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.45)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 498.4m / 486.7m)
TATA: -0.27 (NI -103.6m - CFO 54.6m) / TA 595.9m)
Beneish M-Score: -3.45 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GRPN shares? As of May 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 17.41 with a total of 1,997,689 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.06%, over one month by +16.45%, over three months by +34.34% and over the past year by -34.25%.
Is GRPN a buy, sell or hold? Groupon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GRPN.
  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GRPN price?
Analysts Target Price 24.3 39.7%
Groupon (GRPN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 May 2026
P/E Forward = 52.356
P/S = 1.3306
P/B = 17.7667
P/EG = 14.657
Revenue TTM = 498.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -47.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -30.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 262.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 49.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 314.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 751.9m USD (663.2m + Debt 314.2m - CCE 225.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.36 (Ebit TTM -47.9m / Interest Expense TTM 14.3m)
EV/FCF = 18.74x (Enterprise Value 751.9m / FCF TTM 40.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.34% (FCF TTM 40.1m / Enterprise Value 751.9m)
FCF Margin = 8.05% (FCF TTM 40.1m / Revenue TTM 498.4m)
Net Margin = -20.78% (Net Income TTM -103.6m / Revenue TTM 498.4m)
Gross Margin = 90.26% ((Revenue TTM 498.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 48.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.49% (prev 90.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.26 (Enterprise Value 751.9m / Total Assets 595.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.27% (Interest Expense 3.99m / Debt 314.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -37.9m (EBIT -47.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 302.0m / Total Current Liabilities 374.4m)
 Debt / Equity = -5.02 (negative equity) (Debt 314.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -62.6m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -2.88 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 88.7m / EBITDA -30.8m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.21 (Net Debt 88.7m / FCF TTM 40.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -28.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -17.20% (Net Income -103.6m / Total Assets 595.9m)
 RoE = 364.9% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -103.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -28.4m)
 RoCE = -20.48% (EBIT -47.9m / Capital Employed (Equity -28.4m + L.T.Debt 262.4m))
 RoIC = -13.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -37.9m / Invested Capital 282.0m)
 WACC = 8.85% (E(663.2m)/V(977.4m) * Re(12.56%) + D(314.2m)/V(977.4m) * Rd(1.27%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 24.44 | Cagr: 3.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.46% ; FCFF base≈44.2m ; Y1≈32.4m ; Y5≈18.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 5.71 (EV 305.6m - Net Debt 88.7m = Equity 217.0m / Shares 38.0m; r=8.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.62% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 12.89 | EPS CAGR: 0.20% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -64.94 | Revenue CAGR: -6.90% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=-91.75% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-7.44% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=-110.01% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+98.7% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.72 | Chg30d=+6.37% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+2812.2% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%