(GRPN) Groupon - Ratings and Ratios
Deals, Services, Experiences, Travel, Goods
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 98.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 129% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.04 |
| Alpha | 81.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.282 |
| Beta | 1.135 |
| Beta Downside | 1.060 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 68.24% |
| Mean DD | 26.89% |
| Median DD | 26.65% |
Description: GRPN Groupon November 13, 2025
Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ:GRPN) runs a digital marketplace that links consumers with merchants by offering discounted goods, services, and experiences across categories such as beauty, dining, travel, electronics, and apparel. Deal discovery is delivered through its website, mobile apps, email, push notifications, affiliate networks, and paid media, allowing users to browse, purchase, and redeem offers on-the-go.
As of Q4 2023, Groupon reported $1.07 billion in total revenue, reflecting a 5 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by higher merchant acquisition fees and a 3 % rise in gross merchandise volume (GMV). The company’s active merchant count grew to roughly 350 k, while the repeat-purchase rate for consumers hovered around 22 %, indicating modest but improving customer stickiness. Key macro drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends, the shift toward mobile-first coupon adoption, and broader retail-sector pressure from inflation-sensitive shoppers.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Groupon’s valuation dynamics and peer comparison, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
GRPN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 756m |
| Sub-Industry | Broadline Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 2011-11-04 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 58.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
GRPN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidGRPN Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 25.53% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.37 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.95 |
| Current Volume | 1518.3k |
| Average Volume | 1440.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-141.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 29.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -4.50% (prev -3.53%; Δ -0.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 74.9m > Net Income -141.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (40.6m) change vs 12m ago -9.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 90.38% (prev 89.70%; Δ 0.67pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 85.82% (prev 91.22%; Δ -5.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -6.09 (EBITDA TTM -62.9m / Interest Expense TTM 13.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -12.31
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 314.2m - Total Current Liabilities 336.5m) / Total Assets 608.2m |
| (B) -2.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.60b / Total Assets 608.2m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.63 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.14 = EBIT TTM -83.6m / Avg Total Assets 578.1m |
| (D) -2.41 = Book Value of Equity -1.61b / Total Liabilities 667.6m |
| Total Rating: -12.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.27
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.16% = 3.58 |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.11% = 3.03 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -5.90 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.33 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -42.49)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -726.3% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -51.56% = -3.87 |
| 9. EPS Trend 60.67% = 3.03 |
What is the price of GRPN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -15.70%, over one month by -24.53%, over three months by -42.40% and over the past year by +80.18%.
Is GRPN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GRPN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 35.3 | 120.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 35.3 | 120.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.8 | 4.7% |
GRPN Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/E Forward = 17.9856
P/S = 1.5231
P/B = 17.7667
P/EG = 14.657
Beta = 0.054
Revenue TTM = 496.1m USD
EBIT TTM = -83.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -62.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 310.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 351.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 83.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 839.0m USD (755.6m + Debt 351.2m - CCE 267.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -6.09 (Ebit TTM -83.6m / Interest Expense TTM 13.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.16% (FCF TTM 60.1m / Enterprise Value 839.0m)
FCF Margin = 12.11% (FCF TTM 60.1m / Revenue TTM 496.1m)
Net Margin = -28.52% (Net Income TTM -141.5m / Revenue TTM 496.1m)
Gross Margin = 90.38% ((Revenue TTM 496.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 47.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.10% (prev 91.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.38 (Enterprise Value 839.0m / Total Assets 608.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.96% (Interest Expense 3.39m / Debt 351.2m)
Taxrate = -22.01% (negative due to tax credits) (21.2m / -96.5m)
NOPAT = -102.0m (EBIT -83.6m * (1 - -22.01%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 314.2m / Total Current Liabilities 336.5m)
Debt / Equity = -5.90 (negative equity) (Debt 351.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -59.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 83.4m / EBITDA -62.9m)
Debt / FCF = 1.39 (Net Debt 83.4m / FCF TTM 60.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -23.27% (Net Income -141.5m / Total Assets 608.2m)
RoE = -726.3% (Net Income TTM -141.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 19.5m)
RoCE = -25.38% (EBIT -83.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 19.5m + L.T.Debt 310.1m))
RoIC = -35.16% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -102.0m / Invested Capital 290.2m)
WACC = 7.34% (E(755.6m)/V(1.11b) * Re(10.20%) + D(351.2m)/V(1.11b) * Rd(0.96%) * (1-Tc(-0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 14.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.36% ; FCFE base≈47.0m ; Y1≈34.7m ; Y5≈20.0m
Fair Price DCF = 6.72 (DCF Value 274.0m / Shares Outstanding 40.8m; 5y FCF grow -30.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 60.67 | EPS CAGR: 17.79% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -51.56 | Revenue CAGR: -6.59% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GRPN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle