Overview Dividends

(GRPN) Groupon - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US3994732069

Deals, Services, Experiences, Travel, Goods

GRPN EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 17.79%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 60.7%

GRPN Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -6.59%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -51.6%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	98.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	129%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	0.90
Alpha Jensen	68.36

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.243
Beta	0.054

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	68.24%
Mean DD	26.57%

Description: GRPN Groupon November 13, 2025

Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ:GRPN) runs a digital marketplace that links consumers with merchants by offering discounted goods, services, and experiences across categories such as beauty, dining, travel, electronics, and apparel. Deal discovery is delivered through its website, mobile apps, email, push notifications, affiliate networks, and paid media, allowing users to browse, purchase, and redeem offers on-the-go.

As of Q4 2023, Groupon reported $1.07 billion in total revenue, reflecting a 5 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by higher merchant acquisition fees and a 3 % rise in gross merchandise volume (GMV). The company’s active merchant count grew to roughly 350 k, while the repeat-purchase rate for consumers hovered around 22 %, indicating modest but improving customer stickiness. Key macro drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends, the shift toward mobile-first coupon adoption, and broader retail-sector pressure from inflation-sensitive shoppers.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Groupon’s valuation dynamics and peer comparison, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.

GRPN Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	732m
Sub-Industry	Broadline Retail
IPO / Inception	2011-11-04
Return 12m vs S&P 500	44.7%
Analyst Rating	4.0 of 5

GRPN Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

GRPN Growth Ratios

CAGR	30.77%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.45
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	1.16
Current Volume	1223.6k
Average Volume	1236.8k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (-141.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 29.8m TTM)

FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -4.50% (prev -3.53%; Δ -0.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 95.4m > Net Income -141.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (109.1m) to EBITDA (28.1m) ratio: 3.88 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (40.6m) change vs 12m ago -9.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 90.86% (prev 89.70%; Δ 1.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 85.82% (prev 91.22%; Δ -5.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.92 (EBITDA TTM 28.1m / Interest Expense TTM 10.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -11.23

(A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 314.2m - Total Current Liabilities 336.5m) / Total Assets 608.2m

(B) -2.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.60b / Total Assets 608.2m

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.63 — check mapping/units

(D) -2.41 = Book Value of Equity -1.61b / Total Liabilities 667.6m

Total Rating: -11.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.60

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50

2. FCF Yield 10.07% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 17.06% = 4.27

4. Debt/Equity -5.84 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.88 = -2.49

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.67)% = -0.84

7. RoE -726.3% = -2.50

8. Rev. Trend -51.56% = -3.87

9. EPS Trend 60.67% = 3.03

What is the price of GRPN shares?

As of November 13, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 18.98 with a total of 1,223,588 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.28%, over one month by -10.39%, over three months by -37.44% and over the past year by +67.67%.

Is Groupon a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Groupon (NASDAQ:GRPN) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 49.60 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GRPN is around 18.00 USD . This means that GRPN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.16%.

Is GRPN a buy, sell or hold?

Groupon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GRPN.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 1
Hold: 0
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GRPN price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	36	89.7%
Analysts Target Price	36	89.7%
ValueRay Target Price	19.4	2.1%

GRPN Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 731.5m (731.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 1.4746
P/B = 17.7667
P/EG = 14.657
Beta = 0.054
Revenue TTM = 496.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 9.52m USD
EBITDA TTM = 28.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 246.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.32m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 347.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 109.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 840.6m USD (731.5m + Debt 347.5m - CCE 238.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.92 (Ebit TTM 9.52m / Interest Expense TTM 10.3m)
FCF Yield = 10.07% (FCF TTM 84.7m / Enterprise Value 840.6m)
FCF Margin = 17.06% (FCF TTM 84.7m / Revenue TTM 496.1m)
Net Margin = -28.52% (Net Income TTM -141.5m / Revenue TTM 496.1m)
Gross Margin = 90.86% ((Revenue TTM 496.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 45.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.05% (prev 91.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.38 (Enterprise Value 840.6m / Total Assets 608.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 3.88m / Debt 347.5m)
Taxrate = -22.01% (negative due to tax credits) (21.2m / -96.5m)
NOPAT = 11.6m (EBIT 9.52m * (1 - -22.01%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 314.2m / Total Current Liabilities 336.5m)
Debt / Equity = -5.84 (negative equity) (Debt 347.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -59.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.88 (Net Debt 109.1m / EBITDA 28.1m)
Debt / FCF = 1.29 (Net Debt 109.1m / FCF TTM 84.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -23.27% (Net Income -141.5m / Total Assets 608.2m)
RoE = -726.3% (Net Income TTM -141.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 19.5m)
RoCE = 3.58% (EBIT 9.52m / Capital Employed (Equity 19.5m + L.T.Debt 246.0m))
RoIC = 3.97% (NOPAT 11.6m / Invested Capital 292.3m)
WACC = 4.65% (E(731.5m)/V(1.08b) * Re(6.21%) + D(347.5m)/V(1.08b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(-0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 4.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.99% ; FCFE base≈61.7m ; Y1≈45.6m ; Y5≈26.3m
Fair Price DCF = 12.25 (DCF Value 499.4m / Shares Outstanding 40.8m; 5y FCF grow -30.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 60.67 | EPS CAGR: 17.79% | SUE: -0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -51.56 | Revenue CAGR: -6.59% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for GRPN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle