(GRPN) Groupon - NASDAQ
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Internet Content & Information | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 659m USD | Total Return: -55.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 28.3M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -81.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Negative Equity with losses - insolvent profile
Interest Coverage Ratio -3.4 is critical
Altman Z'' -10.22 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) operates an online marketplace that connects consumers with merchants offering goods and services at discounted prices, with operations spanning North America and international markets. Its deal categories span beauty and wellness, food and drink, home and automotive services, online services, and travel (including discounted hotel, airfare, and package deals), as well as physical product lines such as electronics, sporting goods, jewelry, toys, household items, and apparel. The company distributes its offerings through websites, search engines, mobile apps and mobile websites, email and push notifications, affiliate channels, social and display advertising, and offline marketing. Groupon was incorporated in 2008, is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and trades on NASDAQ as a small-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS sub-industry: Broadline Retail), having gone public in November 2011.
The company is widely credited with pioneering the daily deals business model, in which merchants offer time-limited, heavily discounted vouchers to attract new customers, with Groupon typically retaining a percentage of each sale as commission. As a Broadline Retail name within Consumer Discretionary, its revenue is sensitive to discretionary consumer spending, merchant demand for customer acquisition, and competition from larger e-commerce platforms, search engines, and direct merchant-to-consumer marketing tools.
- Active customer count declines as deal demand softens
- Travel category recovery boosts gross billings growth
- International segment restructuring weighs on operating margins
| Net Income: -103.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.55 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -14.52% < 20% (prev -7.90%; Δ -6.62% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 54.6m > Net Income -103.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 0.81 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.5m) vs 12m ago -2.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 90.26% > 18% (prev 90.42%; Δ -0.16% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.80% > 50% (prev 80.02%; Δ 2.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.39 > 6 (EBIT TTM -48.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.3m) |
| A: -0.12 (Total Current Assets 302.0m - Total Current Liabilities 374.4m) / Total Assets 595.9m |
| B: -2.69 (Retained Earnings -1.61b / Total Assets 595.9m) |
| C: -0.08 (EBIT TTM -48.3m / Avg Total Assets 602.0m) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -62.6m / Total Liabilities 658.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -10.22 = D |
| DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 27.7m/34.4m, Revenue 498.4m/486.7m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 90.42% / 90.26%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.45) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 498.4m / 486.7m) |
| TATA: -0.27 (NI -103.6m - CFO 54.6m) / TA 595.9m) |
| Beneish M = -3.20 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.19 with a total of 1,409,000 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.03%,
over one month by -7.01%,
over three months by +47.45% and
over the past year by -55.57%.
Groupon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GRPN.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 26.3 | 62.6% |
P/E Forward = 96.1538
P/S = 1.3229
P/B = 17.7667
P/EG = 14.657
Revenue TTM = 498.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -48.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -31.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 262.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 49.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 320.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 5.95m
Net Debt = 94.6m USD (calculated: Debt 320.1m - CCE 225.5m)
Enterprise Value = 754.0m USD (659.4m + Debt 320.1m - CCE 225.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.39 (Ebit TTM -48.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.3m)
EV/FCF = 18.80x (Enterprise Value 754.0m / FCF TTM 40.1m)
FCF Yield = 5.32% (FCF TTM 40.1m / Enterprise Value 754.0m)
FCF Margin = 8.05% (FCF TTM 40.1m / Revenue TTM 498.4m)
Net Margin = -20.78% (Net Income TTM -103.6m / Revenue TTM 498.4m)
Gross Margin = 90.26% ((Revenue TTM 498.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 48.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.49% (prev 90.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 754.0m / Total Assets 595.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.46% (Interest Expense 14.3m / Debt 320.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -38.2m (EBIT -48.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 302.0m / Total Current Liabilities 374.4m)
Debt / Equity = -5.11 (negative equity) (Debt 320.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -62.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.04 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 94.6m / EBITDA -31.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.36 (Net Debt 94.6m / FCF TTM 40.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -28.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -17.20% (Net Income -103.6m / Total Assets 595.9m)
RoE = 364.9% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -103.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -28.4m)
RoCE = -20.65% (EBIT -48.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -28.4m + L.T.Debt 262.4m))
RoIC = -15.53% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -38.2m / Invested Capital 245.8m)
WACC = 9.68% (E(659.4m)/V(979.5m) * Re(12.67%) + D(320.1m)/V(979.5m) * Rd(4.46%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 24.44 | Cagr: 3.77%
[DCF] Terminal Value 68.29% ; FCFF base≈44.2m ; Y1≈38.8m ; Y5≈31.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 8.37 (EV 412.6m - Net Debt 94.6m = Equity 318.0m / Shares 38.0m; r=9.68% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -81.79 | Revenue CAGR: -2.94% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=-241.75% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.03 | Chg30d=-63.00% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=-149.98% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+93.6% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=+22.54% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+725.0% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%