Overview Dividends

(GRPN) Groupon - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US3994732069

Daily Deals, Local Coupons, Travel Packages, Goods Marketplace

GRPN EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 35.35%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 71.0%

GRPN Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -4.92%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -63.0%

Description: GRPN Groupon August 13, 2025

Groupon Inc, listed on NASDAQ under the ticker symbol GRPN, operates in the broadline retail sub-industry. The companys quarterly tax provision is a critical aspect of its financial reporting, influencing its overall profitability and cash flow.

To understand the implications of Groupons tax provision, its essential to examine the companys key economic drivers, such as revenue growth, customer acquisition costs, and operating margins. Groupons business model, focused on offering local experiences and products at discounted rates, relies heavily on its ability to manage these drivers effectively.

Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for Groupon include metrics such as billings, revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. Billings, in particular, are crucial as they reflect the total value of goods and services sold through Groupons platform. The companys ability to maintain or increase billings while controlling customer acquisition costs is vital for its long-term sustainability.

Groupons financial health is also reflected in its market capitalization of approximately $1.49 billion. The companys forward P/E ratio of 370.37 suggests that investors have high expectations for future earnings growth, despite the current negative return on equity of -20.75%. This indicates a potential risk for investors, as the company needs to significantly improve its profitability to justify its current valuation.

To drive growth, Groupon must focus on optimizing its business model, potentially by expanding its offerings beyond local deals to more diverse e-commerce products, enhancing its customer retention strategies, and improving operational efficiency. By doing so, the company can work towards achieving a more favorable tax position and improving its overall financial performance.

GRPN Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	819m
Sub-Industry	Broadline Retail
IPO / Inception	2011-11-04

GRPN Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	60.3%
Fundamental	53.0%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	63.6%
Analyst Rating	4.0 of 5

GRPN Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

GRPN Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-94.3%
Growth Correlation 12m	77.7%
Growth Correlation 5y	-32.7%
CAGR 5y	42.99%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.61
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	1.56
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.38
Alpha	89.19
Beta	0.500
Volatility	86.90%
Current Volume	1542.2k
Average Volume 20d	1115.6k
Stop Loss	19.3 (-6.5%)
Signal	0.13

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (-9.21m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 29.3m TTM)

FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -3.22% (prev -3.63%; Δ 0.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 79.1m > Net Income -9.21m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-7.64m) to EBITDA (51.8m) ratio: -0.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.96 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (50.8m) change vs 12m ago 28.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 90.58% (prev 89.12%; Δ 1.46pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 79.94% (prev 89.36%; Δ -9.42pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 2.29 (EBITDA TTM 51.8m / Interest Expense TTM 12.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -9.92

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 343.8m - Total Current Liabilities 359.5m) / Total Assets 647.4m

(B) -2.29 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.48b / Total Assets 647.4m

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -2.29 — check mapping/units

(D) -2.49 = Book Value of Equity -1.48b / Total Liabilities 596.1m

Total Rating: -9.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.99

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield 8.00% = 4.00

3. FCF Margin 13.32% = 3.33

4. Debt/Equity 4.98 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.15 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.27)% = 0.34

7. RoE -20.75% = -2.50

8. Rev. Trend -62.98% = -4.72

9. EPS Trend 70.95% = 3.55

What is the price of GRPN shares?

As of October 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 20.64 with a total of 1,542,170 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.46%, over one month by -11.23%, over three months by -34.33% and over the past year by +95.64%.

Is Groupon a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Groupon is currently (October 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 52.99 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GRPN is around 19.59 USD . This means that GRPN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.09%.

Is GRPN a buy, sell or hold?

Groupon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GRPN.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 1
Hold: 0
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GRPN price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	38.3	85.7%
Analysts Target Price	38.3	85.7%
ValueRay Target Price	21.4	3.7%

GRPN Fundamental Data Overview October 20, 2025

Market Cap USD = 819.4m (819.4m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 1.68
P/B = 17.7667
P/EG = 14.657
Beta = 0.5
Revenue TTM = 487.7m USD
EBIT TTM = 28.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 213.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 37.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 254.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -7.64m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 811.8m USD (819.4m + Debt 254.9m - CCE 262.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.29 (Ebit TTM 28.5m / Interest Expense TTM 12.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.00% (FCF TTM 65.0m / Enterprise Value 811.8m)
FCF Margin = 13.32% (FCF TTM 65.0m / Revenue TTM 487.7m)
Net Margin = -1.89% (Net Income TTM -9.21m / Revenue TTM 487.7m)
Gross Margin = 90.58% ((Revenue TTM 487.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 45.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 91.03% (prev 90.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 811.8m / Total Assets 647.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.52% (Interest Expense 3.88m / Debt 254.9m)
Taxrate = 34.67% (10.9m / 31.5m)
NOPAT = 18.6m (EBIT 28.5m * (1 - 34.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.96 (Total Current Assets 343.8m / Total Current Liabilities 359.5m)
Debt / Equity = 4.98 (Debt 254.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 51.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.15 (Net Debt -7.64m / EBITDA 51.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.12 (Net Debt -7.64m / FCF TTM 65.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.42% (Net Income -9.21m / Total Assets 647.4m)
RoE = -20.75% (Net Income TTM -9.21m / Total Stockholder Equity 44.4m)
RoCE = 11.04% (EBIT 28.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 44.4m + L.T.Debt 213.4m))
RoIC = 6.50% (NOPAT 18.6m / Invested Capital 286.1m)
WACC = 6.23% (E(819.4m)/V(1.07b) * Re(7.86%) + D(254.9m)/V(1.07b) * Rd(1.52%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 7.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 16.69%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.99% ; FCFE base≈50.0m ; Y1≈36.9m ; Y5≈21.3m
Fair Price DCF = 10.02 (DCF Value 405.0m / Shares Outstanding 40.4m; 5y FCF grow -30.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 70.95 | EPS CAGR: 35.35% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -62.98 | Revenue CAGR: -4.92% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1

Additional Sources for GRPN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle