(GRWG) GrowGeneration - Ratings and Ratios
Hydroponic, Nutrients, Lighting, Irrigation, Storage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 82.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 111% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.11% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
| Alpha | -30.01 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.375 |
| Beta | 0.884 |
| Beta Downside | 0.989 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.65% |
| Mean DD | 59.06% |
| Median DD | 62.28% |
Description: GRWG GrowGeneration December 31, 2025
GrowGeneration Corp. (NASDAQ:GRWG) operates a nationwide chain of retail hydroponic and organic-gardening stores, complemented by an e-commerce platform (growgeneration.com) and a wholesale distribution network. The business is organized into two segments-Cultivation & Gardening and Storage Solutions-and sells a broad portfolio that includes nutrients, lighting, growing media, and proprietary brands such as Charcoir, Drip Hydro, Power Si, Ion lights, and The Harvest Company. In addition to product sales, the firm offers design-and-install services (site surveys, floor-plan design, permitting, seismic calculations) and a range of storage accessories under the Mobile Media/MMI brand, serving customers across agriculture, retail, hospitality, and other verticals.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue topped $1.0 billion, with same-store sales rising ~10 % YoY and gross margins stabilizing near 38 %; the company ended 2023 with roughly $150 million of cash and marketable securities. Primary growth catalysts include continued U.S. cannabis legalization-driving demand for indoor-cultivation equipment-and a broader DIY gardening trend that has been reinforced by pandemic-era home-improvement spending. A sector-wide tailwind is the shift toward sustainable, low-water-use agriculture, which positions hydroponic retailers to capture a larger share of the $10 billion U.S. indoor-farming market.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GRWG’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analyst tools on ValueRay useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-40.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.68m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 51.11% (prev 48.80%; Δ 2.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO -6.17m > Net Income -40.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.81 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (59.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.87% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.97% (prev 24.51%; Δ 0.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 89.83% (prev 100.6%; Δ -10.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -569.4 (EBITDA TTM -23.8m / Interest Expense TTM 70.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -8.87
| (A) 0.52 = (Total Current Assets 111.8m - Total Current Liabilities 29.3m) / Total Assets 159.6m |
| (B) -1.71 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -272.3m / Total Assets 159.6m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.71 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.22 = EBIT TTM -39.9m / Avg Total Assets 179.6m |
| (D) -4.96 = Book Value of Equity -272.2m / Total Liabilities 54.9m |
| Total Rating: -8.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 18.77
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -8.85% |
| 3. FCF Margin -4.16% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -42.99)% |
| 7. RoE -36.11% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -89.83% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.81% |
What is the price of GRWG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.67%, over one month by +12.14%, over three months by -10.80% and over the past year by -9.77%.
Is GRWG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GRWG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2 | 27.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2 | 27.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.2 | -22.9% |
GRWG Fundamental Data Overview December 31, 2025
P/E Forward = 42.735
P/S = 0.5712
P/B = 0.9202
Beta = 2.411
Revenue TTM = 161.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -39.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -23.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 31.9m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.78m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.56m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 75.8m USD (92.2m + Debt 31.9m - CCE 48.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -569.4 (Ebit TTM -39.9m / Interest Expense TTM 70.0k)
FCF Yield = -8.85% (FCF TTM -6.71m / Enterprise Value 75.8m)
FCF Margin = -4.16% (FCF TTM -6.71m / Revenue TTM 161.4m)
Net Margin = -24.77% (Net Income TTM -40.0m / Revenue TTM 161.4m)
Gross Margin = 24.97% ((Revenue TTM 161.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 121.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.21% (prev 28.30%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 75.8m / Total Assets 159.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.22% (Interest Expense 70.0k / Debt 31.9m)
Taxrate = -0.08% (negative due to tax credits) (2000 / -2.44m)
NOPAT = -39.9m (EBIT -39.9m * (1 - -0.08%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.81 (Total Current Assets 111.8m / Total Current Liabilities 29.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 31.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 104.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.19 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 4.56m / EBITDA -23.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.68 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 4.56m / FCF TTM -6.71m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 110.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -25.04% (Net Income -40.0m / Total Assets 159.6m)
RoE = -36.11% (Net Income TTM -40.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 110.7m)
RoCE = -27.95% (EBIT -39.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 110.7m + L.T.Debt 31.9m))
RoIC = -36.04% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -39.9m / Invested Capital 110.7m)
WACC = 6.94% (E(92.2m)/V(124.1m) * Re(9.27%) + D(31.9m)/V(124.1m) * Rd(0.22%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 9.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.31%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.71m)
EPS Correlation: 10.81 | EPS CAGR: 6.10% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.83 | Revenue CAGR: -15.93% | SUE: 2.41 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+0.050 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+51.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%
Additional Sources for GRWG Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle