(GSM) Ferroglobe - Ratings and Ratios
Silicon Metal, Ferroalloys, Silicon Chemicals
GSM EPS (Earnings per Share)
GSM Revenue
Description: GSM Ferroglobe
Ferroglobe PLC is a leading global producer of silicon metal and silicon and manganese-based ferroalloys, serving a diverse range of industries including aluminum, steel, and electronics. The companys products are used in various applications, from personal care items and construction materials to healthcare products and renewable energy technologies. With a presence in the United States, Europe, and internationally, Ferroglobe PLC has established itself as a key player in the global metallurgical industry.
The companys product portfolio includes silicomanganese, ferromanganese, ferrosilicon, and calcium silicon, which are used in steel production, as well as foundry products such as nodularizers and inoculants. Additionally, Ferroglobe PLC produces silica fume, a by-product of its electrometallurgical process, and operates quartz mines, low-ash metallurgical coal mines, and a charcoal production facility. This diversified production base enables the company to supply a wide range of customers, including silicone chemical producers, aluminum and steel manufacturers, and concrete producers.
From a technical analysis perspective, Ferroglobe PLCs stock (GSM) is currently trading at $3.70, with a 20-day SMA of $3.85 and a 50-day SMA of $3.69. The stocks ATR is 0.17, indicating a daily price volatility of 4.60%. Given the current price action and the fact that the stock is trading below its 200-day SMA of $3.96, it may be approaching a buying opportunity. Furthermore, the P/E Forward of 9.17 suggests that the stock may be undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth.
Considering the fundamental data, Ferroglobe PLCs Market Cap stands at $780.10M USD, and the company has a negative RoE of -7.51%. However, the P/E Forward suggests that investors are expecting a recovery in earnings. By combining the technical and fundamental analysis, we can forecast that Ferroglobe PLCs stock may experience a short-term bounce, potentially reaching $4.20, driven by a combination of oversold conditions and expected improvements in earnings. However, this forecast is contingent on the companys ability to address its current operational challenges and capitalize on the growing demand for its products in the renewable energy and infrastructure sectors.
GSM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 786m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| IPO / Inception | 2009-07-30 |
GSM Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 22.7% |
| Fundamental | 27.1% |
| Dividend Rating | 57.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -18.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
GSM Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.67% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 14.47% |
| Annual Growth 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 55.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.6% |
GSM Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 58.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -33.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -9.1% |
| CAGR 5y | 54.78% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.81 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.34 |
| Alpha | -16.61 |
| Beta | 0.585 |
| Volatility | 52.56% |
| Current Volume | 611.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1386.7k |
| Stop Loss | 3.8 (-8%) |
| Signal | -1.18 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (-104.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 89.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -15.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 20.95% (prev 21.28%; Δ -0.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 76.3m > Net Income -104.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (84.5m) to EBITDA (29.8m) ratio: 2.83 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (188.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.50% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 25.03% (prev 35.56%; Δ -10.53pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 89.75% (prev 97.91%; Δ -8.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -3.66 (EBITDA TTM 29.8m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.87
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 872.0m - Total Current Liabilities 558.8m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 23.5m / Total Assets 1.66b |
| (C) -0.03 = EBIT TTM -43.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.67b |
| (D) 0.73 = Book Value of Equity 616.5m / Total Liabilities 848.2m |
| Total Rating: 1.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 27.08
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.04% = 0.52 |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.55% = 0.14 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.19 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.21 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -25.25% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -13.54% = -2.26 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -61.87% = -3.09 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -13.28% = -2.21 |
| 10. EPS Trend data missing |
| 11. EPS CAGR -28.21% = -2.50 |
What is the price of GSM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.59%, over one month by -9.63%, over three months by +7.94% and over the past year by -5.72%.
Is Ferroglobe a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GSM is around 3.59 USD . This means that GSM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -13.08%.
Is GSM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GSM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8 | 93.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8 | 93.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4 | -4.4% |
Last update: 2025-08-19 02:48
GSM Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 148.1m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 5.9296
P/E Forward = 9.1743
P/S = 0.5255
P/B = 1.1242
P/EG = 9.51
Beta = 1.621
Revenue TTM = 1.50b USD
EBIT TTM = -43.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 29.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 45.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 109.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 155.2m USD (Calculated: Short Term 109.2m + Long Term 45.9m)
Net Debt = 84.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 792.8m USD (785.7m + Debt 155.2m - CCE 148.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.66 (Ebit TTM -43.9m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.04% (FCF TTM 8.28m / Enterprise Value 792.8m)
FCF Margin = 0.55% (FCF TTM 8.28m / Revenue TTM 1.50b)
Net Margin = -6.99% (Net Income TTM -104.5m / Revenue TTM 1.50b)
Gross Margin = 25.03% ((Revenue TTM 1.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.29 (Enterprise Value 792.8m / Book Value Of Equity 616.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.20% (Interest Expense 4.97m / Debt 155.2m)
Taxrate = 43.86% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 16.3m / 37.1m)
NOPAT = -43.9m (EBIT -43.9m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 872.0m / Total Current Liabilities 558.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 155.2m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 812.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.21 (Net Debt 84.5m / EBITDA 29.8m)
Debt / FCF = 18.75 (Debt 155.2m / FCF TTM 8.28m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 772.4m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -6.29% (Net Income -104.5m, Total Assets 1.66b )
RoE = -13.54% (Net Income TTM -104.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 772.4m)
RoCE = -5.37% (Ebit -43.9m / (Equity 772.4m + L.T.Debt 45.9m))
RoIC = -18.13% (NOPAT -43.9m / Invested Capital 242.3m)
WACC = 7.12% (E(785.7m)/V(940.9m) * Re(8.17%)) + (D(155.2m)/V(940.9m) * Rd(3.20%) * (1-Tc(0.44)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -50.0 | Cagr: -0.05%
Discount Rate = 8.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.21% ; FCFE base≈109.6m ; Y1≈98.9m ; Y5≈85.3m
Fair Price DCF = 8.07 (DCF Value 1.51b / Shares Outstanding 186.6m; 5y FCF grow -12.20% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -61.87 | Revenue CAGR: -13.28%
Revenue Growth Correlation: 9.23%
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: -28.21%
EPS Growth Correlation: 46.28%
Additional Sources for GSM Stock
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