GT Stock Analysis: Goodyear Tire & Rubber | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.281m USD | 12M Return: -47% | US3825501014 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 37.6M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -99.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (NASDAQ: GT) is a global tire manufacturer that develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells tires and related products and services across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. The company markets tires for a wide range of vehicles-including automobiles, trucks, buses, aircraft, motorcycles, and farm equipment-under a portfolio of brands that includes Goodyear, Cooper, Kelly, Mastercraft, Debica, Sava, Fulda, Mickey Thompson, and Avon, alongside private-label offerings.
Beyond tire manufacturing, Goodyear operates an integrated business model spanning retreading services for truck and aviation tires, automotive maintenance and repair (under the Goodyear and Just Tires names), and fleet services including mechanical service, preventive maintenance, and roadside assistance. The company runs approximately 750 retail outlets and sells directly to consumers and commercial customers through its websites and a network of independent dealers, regional distributors, and retailers. Goodyear was incorporated in 1898 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
The tire industry is characterized by high barriers to entry due to significant capital requirements for manufacturing facilities, complex raw material sourcing (notably natural rubber and petroleum-based synthetic rubber), and the importance of established brand reputation and dealer networks. Replacement tires typically account for the majority of industry demand, making the business relatively defensive and tied to overall vehicle miles driven rather than new vehicle sales.
- Natural rubber and raw material costs pressure tire margins
- Replacement tire demand softens amid weak consumer spending
- Commercial truck tire volumes track freight and OE truck cycle
| Net Income: -587.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.99% < 20% (prev 10.45%; Δ -5.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 748.0m > Net Income -587.0m |
| Net Debt (8.84b) to EBITDA (1.07b): 8.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (-820k) vs 12m ago -100.3% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.23% > 18% (prev 18.20%; Δ -2.97% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.84% > 50% (prev 90.54%; Δ 0.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM 27.0m / Interest Expense TTM 415.0m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 7.94b - Total Current Liabilities 7.06b) / Total Assets 18.5b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 2.67b / Total Assets 18.5b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 27.0m / Avg Total Assets 19.4b) |
| D: 0.18 (Book Value of Equity 2.79b / Total Liabilities 15.7b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.98 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 3.08b/3.16b, Revenue 17.6b/18.3b) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 18.20% / 15.23%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 17.6b / 18.3b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -587.0m - CFO 748.0m) / TA 18.5b) |
| Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.02 with a total of 12,999,428 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.46%, over one month by -10.47%, over three months by -33.33% and over the past year by -46.97%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.70 (which is 8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Goodyear Tire & Rubber has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.30. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GT.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 6.4 | 60% |
P/E Forward = 6.3211
P/S = 0.0724
P/B = 0.4614
P/EG = 0.4335
Revenue TTM = 17.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 27.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.53b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.65b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.28b
Net Debt = 8.84b USD (calculated: Debt 9.65b - CCE 812.0m)
Enterprise Value = 10.1b USD (1.28b + Debt 9.65b - CCE 812.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.07 (Ebit TTM 27.0m / Interest Expense TTM 415.0m)
EV/FCF = 112.4x (Enterprise Value 10.1b / FCF TTM 90.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.89% (FCF TTM 90.0m / Enterprise Value 10.1b)
FCF Margin = 0.51% (FCF TTM 90.0m / Revenue TTM 17.6b)
Net Margin = -3.34% (Net Income TTM -587.0m / Revenue TTM 17.6b)
Gross Margin = 15.23% ((Revenue TTM 17.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 16.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 10.1b / Total Assets 18.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.30% (Interest Expense 415.0m / Debt 9.65b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = 21.3m (EBIT 27.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.12 (Total Current Assets 7.94b / Total Current Liabilities 7.06b)
Debt / Equity = 3.45 (Debt 9.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.24 (Net Debt 8.84b / EBITDA 1.07b)
Debt / FCF = 98.18 (Net Debt 8.84b / FCF TTM 90.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.03% (Net Income -587.0m / Total Assets 18.5b)
RoE = -19.78% (Net Income TTM -587.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.97b)
RoCE = 0.33% (EBIT 27.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.97b + L.T.Debt 5.33b))
RoIC = 0.18% (NOPAT 21.3m / Invested Capital 12.2b)
WACC = 3.95% (E(1.28b)/V(10.9b) * Re(8.14%) + D(9.65b)/V(10.9b) * Rd(4.30%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -51.82 | Cagr: -65.59%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈90.0m ; Y1≈90.4m ; Y5≈95.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.49b - Net Debt 8.84b = -7.35b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -99.01 | Revenue CAGR: -4.44% | SUE: 0.92 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=-0.25 | Chg30d=-44.24% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.68 | Chg30d=-2.20% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=-245.3% | GrowthRev=-4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.56 | Chg30d=+7.08% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+182.6% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=0, down=5)