(HLMN) Hillman Solutions - NASDAQ
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Tools & Accessories | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.566m USD | Total Return: 15.7% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 12.4M
EPS Trend: 93.6%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 85.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Fakeout
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) is a North American distributor of hardware-related products, specializing in fasteners, automotive components, and merchandising services. The company manages a vast portfolio of proprietary brands, including Power Pro and OOK, across a diverse catalog that spans plumbing, electrical, and home improvement categories. Its business model relies on high-volume distribution to big-box retailers and hardware stores, often integrating complex logistical services such as in-store merchandising and category management.
The industrial distribution sector is characterized by high fragmentation and a reliance on efficient supply chain management to maintain margins. Hillman differentiates itself by providing specialized retail services, such as key duplication and automated engraving kiosks, which create recurring service revenue alongside physical product sales. Investors should examine ValueRay for deeper insights into the companys valuation metrics and market position. Headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, the firm operates extensively throughout the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
- Repair and remodel market demand drives core hardware and fastener volume
- Big box retail partnerships concentrate revenue through Home Depot and Lowes
- Input cost fluctuations in steel and logistics impact gross profit margins
- Expansion of automated key duplication kiosks scales high-margin service revenue
- Strategic acquisitions consolidate market share in the fragmented home improvement sector
| Net Income: 35.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.32 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.33% < 20% (prev 23.42%; Δ 4.91% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 211.0m > Net Income 35.9m |
| Net Debt (868.0m) to EBITDA (249.7m): 3.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.95 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (196.6m) vs 12m ago -0.33% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.10% > 18% (prev 47.90%; Δ -1.80% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.62% > 50% (prev 63.56%; Δ 3.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.93 > 6 (EBIT TTM 106.2m / Interest Expense TTM 55.0m) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 669.9m - Total Current Liabilities 227.1m) / Total Assets 2.36b |
| B: -0.08 (Retained Earnings -183.4m / Total Assets 2.36b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 106.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.35b) |
| D: 1.06 (Book Value of Equity 1.22b / Total Liabilities 1.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.40 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 138.8m/134.2m, Revenue 1.56b/1.48b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 47.90% / 46.10%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 1.56b / 1.48b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 35.9m - CFO 211.0m) / TA 2.36b) |
| Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.74 with a total of 1,711,489 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.03%,
over one month by +7.80%,
over three months by -4.56% and
over the past year by +15.70%.
Hillman Solutions has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HLMN.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 12.1 | 56.7% |
P/E Trailing = 44.3333
P/E Forward = 13.2979
P/S = 1.0018
P/B = 1.2876
Revenue TTM = 1.56b USD
EBIT TTM = 106.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 249.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 714.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 34.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 895.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 83.4m
Net Debt = 868.0m USD (calculated: Debt 895.7m - CCE 27.7m)
Enterprise Value = 2.43b USD (1.57b + Debt 895.7m - CCE 27.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.93 (Ebit TTM 106.2m / Interest Expense TTM 55.0m)
EV/FCF = 26.60x (Enterprise Value 2.43b / FCF TTM 91.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.76% (FCF TTM 91.5m / Enterprise Value 2.43b)
FCF Margin = 5.85% (FCF TTM 91.5m / Revenue TTM 1.56b)
Net Margin = 2.30% (Net Income TTM 35.9m / Revenue TTM 1.56b)
Gross Margin = 46.10% ((Revenue TTM 1.56b - Cost of Revenue TTM 842.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.55% (prev 37.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 2.43b / Total Assets 2.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.14% (Interest Expense 55.0m / Debt 895.7m)
Taxrate = 29.84% (15.3m / 51.2m)
NOPAT = 74.5m (EBIT 106.2m * (1 - 29.84%))
Current Ratio = 2.95 (Total Current Assets 669.9m / Total Current Liabilities 227.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.74 (Debt 895.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.22b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.48 (Net Debt 868.0m / EBITDA 249.7m)
Debt / FCF = 9.49 (Net Debt 868.0m / FCF TTM 91.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.53% (Net Income 35.9m / Total Assets 2.36b)
RoE = 2.94% (Net Income TTM 35.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.22b)
RoCE = 5.49% (EBIT 106.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.22b + L.T.Debt 714.1m))
RoIC = 3.48% (NOPAT 74.5m / Invested Capital 2.14b)
WACC = 7.31% (E(1.57b)/V(2.46b) * Re(9.03%) + D(895.7m)/V(2.46b) * Rd(6.14%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 42.22 | Cagr: 0.39%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.70% ; FCFF base≈88.0m ; Y1≈96.0m ; Y5≈119.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.92 (EV 1.83b - Net Debt 868.0m = Equity 965.4m / Shares 196.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 10.37% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.59 | EPS CAGR: 19.80% | SUE: -2.87 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 85.59 | Revenue CAGR: 2.23% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=+1.19% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=7
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+1.31% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+0.92% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+0.5% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.70 | Chg30d=-0.95% | Revisions=-14% | GrowthEPS=+20.1% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25%