(HNRG) Hallador Energy - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Thermal Coal | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 908m USD | Total Return: -0.9% in 12m

Electricity, Coal, Wholesale Energy
Total Rating 11
Safety 26
Buy Signal -2.29
Thermal Coal
Industry Rotation: +23.0
Market Cap: 908M
Avg Turnover: 14.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility87.8%
VaR 5th Pctl14.7%
VaR vs Median1.47%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.22
Rel. Str. IBD15.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group12.5
Character TTM
Beta2.237
Beta Downside2.216
Hurst Exponent0.309
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD71.13%
CAGR/Max DD0.39
CAGR/Mean DD1.01
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HNRG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.1, "2021-09": 0.26, "2021-12": -0.25, "2022-03": -0.33, "2022-06": -0.11, "2022-09": 0.05, "2022-12": 0.93, "2023-03": 0.61, "2023-06": 0.47, "2023-09": 0.44, "2023-12": -0.27, "2024-03": -0.05, "2024-06": -0.27, "2024-09": 0.04, "2024-12": -0.1469, "2025-03": 0.23, "2025-06": 0.19, "2025-09": 0.55, "2025-12": -0.01, "2026-03": -0.1887,
Last SUE: -1.88
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of HNRG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 55.638, 2021-09: 79.822, 2021-12: 65.511, 2022-03: 58.907, 2022-06: 65.929, 2022-09: 85.084, 2022-12: 152.071, 2023-03: 188.334, 2023-06: 161.194, 2023-09: 165.768, 2023-12: 119.184, 2024-03: 108.385, 2024-06: 93.825, 2024-09: 105.044, 2024-12: 94.219, 2025-03: 117.787, 2025-06: 102.889, 2025-09: 146.846, 2025-12: 101.944, 2026-03: 100.176,
Rev. CAGR: -13.32%
Rev. Trend: -73.8%
Last SUE: -0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Earnings expected to drop: P/E 36.3 → Forward 75.8

Beneish M-Score 1.00 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation

Altman Z'' 0.62 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Volatile Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: HNRG Hallador Energy

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) is an American independent power producer and fuel supplier operating through two primary segments: Electric Operations and Coal Operations. The company manages the Merom power plant, a 1,080-megawatt coal-fired facility that provides wholesale energy and accredited capacity to utilities and cooperatives. Simultaneously, it maintains the Oaktown mining complex to support coal extraction and processing in Indiana and Illinois.

The company utilizes a vertically integrated business model where its mining operations provide the primary feedstock for its power generation assets, mitigating supply chain volatility. Within the Coal & Consumable Fuels sub-industry, producers are increasingly transitioning toward power generation to capture higher margins along the energy value chain. Investors may find ValueRay useful for evaluating how these operational segments impact long-term valuation.

Founded in 1949 and headquartered in Terre Haute, Indiana, Hallador Energy functions as a critical infrastructure provider in the regional energy market. Its revenue streams are derived from both the direct sale of physical fuel and the generation of electricity for the wholesale market.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Merom power plant capacity sales drive predictable long-term utility revenue streams
  • Coal production costs at Oaktown complex impact overall consolidated profit margins
  • Wholesale electricity price volatility influences merchant power generation segment earnings
  • Environmental regulations on coal-fired power plants pose long-term operational risks
  • Regional energy demand shifts in MISO market affect power plant utilization rates
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 22.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -10.77 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -8.62% < 20% (prev -17.04%; Δ 8.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 63.2m > Net Income 22.6m
Net Debt (-1.89m) to EBITDA (78.7m): -0.02 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (46.5m) vs 12m ago 7.03% < -2%
Gross Margin: 4.27% > 18% (prev 55.81%; Δ -51.54% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 110.9% > 50% (prev 112.2%; Δ -1.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 41.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
Altman Z'' 0.62
A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 151.1m - Total Current Liabilities 190.0m) / Total Assets 448.6m
B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -52.9m / Total Assets 448.6m)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 41.4m / Avg Total Assets 407.4m)
D: 0.85 (Book Value of Equity 205.6m / Total Liabilities 243.1m)
Altman-Z'' = 0.62 = B
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 0.66 (Receivables 9.15m/12.6m, Revenue 451.9m/410.9m)
GMI: 13.06 (GM 55.81% / 4.27%)
AQI: 1.35 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 451.9m / 410.9m)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 22.6m - CFO 63.2m) / TA 448.6m)
Beneish M = 7.89 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of HNRG shares?

As of June 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.66 with a total of 1,127,464 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.50%, over one month by -5.66%, over three months by -15.56% and over the past year by -0.89%.

Is HNRG a buy, sell or hold?

Hallador Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HNRG.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HNRG price?
Analysts Target Price 29 74.1%
Hallador Energy (HNRG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 907.7m (907.7m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 36.3396
P/E Forward = 75.7576
P/S = 2.0398
P/B = 4.4993
P/EG = 1.2561
Revenue TTM = 451.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 41.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 78.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 29.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.59m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 41.5m USD (corrected: LT Debt 29.7m + ST Debt 5.59m) + Leases 6.21m
Net Debt = -1.89m USD (calculated: Debt 41.5m - CCE 43.4m)
Enterprise Value = 905.8m USD (907.7m + Debt 41.5m - CCE 43.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.42 (Ebit TTM 41.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
EV/FCF = -454.7x (Enterprise Value 905.8m / FCF TTM -1.99m)
FCF Yield = -0.22% (FCF TTM -1.99m / Enterprise Value 905.8m)
FCF Margin = -0.44% (FCF TTM -1.99m / Revenue TTM 451.9m)
Net Margin = 5.00% (Net Income TTM 22.6m / Revenue TTM 451.9m)
Gross Margin = 4.27% ((Revenue TTM 451.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 432.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -0.62% (prev -126.5%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.02 (Enterprise Value 905.8m / Total Assets 448.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 41.34% (Interest Expense 17.1m / Debt 41.5m)
Taxrate = 5.56% (1.33m / 23.9m)
NOPAT = 39.1m (EBIT 41.4m * (1 - 5.56%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 151.1m / Total Current Liabilities 190.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 41.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 205.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.02 (Net Debt -1.89m / EBITDA 78.7m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.95 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.89m / FCF TTM -1.99m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 158.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.54% (Net Income 22.6m / Total Assets 448.6m)
RoE = 14.25% (Net Income TTM 22.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 158.4m)
RoCE = 22.02% (EBIT 41.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 158.4m + L.T.Debt 29.7m))
RoIC = 16.19% (NOPAT 39.1m / Invested Capital 241.6m)
WACC = 14.95% (E(907.7m)/V(949.2m) * Re(13.85%) + D(41.5m)/V(949.2m) * Rd(41.34%) * (1-Tc(0.06)))
Discount Rate = 13.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 78.11 | Cagr: 11.22%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.99m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.88 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -73.78 | Revenue CAGR: -13.32% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=-123.33% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=+1.12% | Revisions=-14% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-34.85% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-80.2% | GrowthRev=-4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.20 | Chg30d=-8.41% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+519.4% | GrowthRev=+12.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%