HOOD Stock Analysis: Robinhood Markets | NASDAQ

Capital Markets | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 99.933m USD | 12M Return: -24.5% | US7707001027 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Equity Trading, Crypto Trading, Derivatives Trading, Payment Cards
Total Rating 38
Safety 55
Buy Signal -0.11
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: -19.7
Market Cap: 99.9B
Avg Turnover: 2.38B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility62.9%
VaR 5th Pctl10.7%
VaR vs Median3.48%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Rel. Str. IBD51.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group50
Character TTM
Beta2.975
Beta Downside2.563
Hurst Exponent0.438
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD57.26%
CAGR/Max DD2.20
CAGR/Mean DD7.25
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HOOD over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.07, "2021-12": -0.49, "2022-03": -0.45, "2022-06": -0.31, "2022-09": -0.2, "2022-12": -0.13, "2023-03": 0.1, "2023-06": 0.15, "2023-09": 0.11, "2023-12": 0.13, "2024-03": 0.18, "2024-06": 0.3, "2024-09": 0.26, "2024-12": 1.04, "2025-03": 0.44, "2025-06": 0.42, "2025-09": 0.61, "2025-12": 0.66, "2026-03": 0.47, "2026-06": 0.62,
EPS CAGR: 122.86%
EPS Trend: 91.1%
Last SUE: 1.09
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of HOOD over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 365, 2021-12: 362.713, 2022-03: 299, 2022-06: 318, 2022-09: 361, 2022-12: 380, 2023-03: 441, 2023-06: 486, 2023-09: 467, 2023-12: 471, 2024-03: 618, 2024-06: 682, 2024-09: 637, 2024-12: 1014, 2025-03: 927, 2025-06: 989, 2025-09: 1274, 2025-12: 1283, 2026-03: 1067, 2026-06: 1308,
Rev. CAGR: 50.69%
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Last SUE: 0.42
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 5.2 years of data

Jan +3.7% 0
Feb -7.3% 21
Mar -6.8% 22
Apr -2.7% 0
May +24.6% 59
Jun +7.4% 46
Jul -2.8% 10
Aug +0.8% 9
Sep +16.8% 28
Oct -2.8% 21
Nov -6.2% 21
Dec -7.0% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: HOOD Robinhood Markets

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a U.S.-based financial services platform that pioneered a commission-free brokerage model, allowing users to trade stocks, ETFs, and American depositary receipts without paying traditional per-trade fees. The company operates within the Financials sector and is classified under the Financial Exchanges & Data sub-industry, reflecting its role as a digital trading venue rather than a traditional bank.

The platform offers a broad suite of features including fractional trading, recurring investments, margin access, fully-paid securities lending, cash sweep, instant withdrawals, retirement accounts, 24-hour trading, joint investing accounts, event contracts, futures, and short selling. Beyond trading, Robinhood provides educational content through products such as Snacks, Learn, Newsfeeds (with partners including Barrons, Reuters, and Dow Jones), In-App Education, and Crypto Learn and Earn.

The company has also expanded into adjacent consumer financial products, offering Robinhood credit cards, cash cards, spending accounts, and crypto wallets. Robinhood Markets was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California, and went public on NASDAQ in July 2021.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Payment for order flow regulation threatens core revenue model
  • Interest income from cash balances rises with Fed funds rate
  • Crypto and options trading volume expansion accelerates growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 2.07b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -12.42 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 201.9% < 20% (prev 188.1%; Δ 13.72% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 245.0m > Net Income 2.07b
Net Debt (6.70b) to EBITDA (2.36b): 2.84 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (913.0m) vs 12m ago 0.43% < -2%
Gross Margin: 81.49% > 18% (prev 82.95%; Δ -1.47% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 10.74% > 50% (prev 10.10%; Δ 0.64% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 1.63
A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 54.5b - Total Current Liabilities 44.6b) / Total Assets 56.5b
B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -1.24b / Total Assets 56.5b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.27b / Avg Total Assets 45.9b)
D: 0.20 (Book Value of Equity 9.48b / Total Liabilities 47.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.63 = BB
Beneish M -2.25
DSRI: 1.69 (Receivables 23.5b/10.1b, Revenue 4.93b/3.57b)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 82.95% / 81.49%)
AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.04)
SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 4.93b / 3.57b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI 2.07b - CFO 245.0m) / TA 56.5b)
Beneish M = -2.25 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of HOOD shares?

As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 109.51 with a total of 18,771,023 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.66%, over one month by -6.67%, over three months by -3.00% and over the past year by -24.48%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 101.70 (which is 7.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is HOOD a buy, sell or hold?

Robinhood Markets has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HOOD.

  • StrongBuy: 18
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the HOOD price?
Analysts Target Price 131.5 20%
Robinhood Markets (HOOD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 99.9b (99.9b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 49.8431
P/E Forward = 45.045
P/S = 20.2622
P/B = 11.6369
P/EG = 2.1423
Revenue TTM = 4.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.36b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.5b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 22.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 160.0m
Net Debt = 6.70b USD (calculated: Debt 22.9b - CCE 16.2b)
Enterprise Value = 107b USD (99.9b + Debt 22.9b - CCE 16.2b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 2.27b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 599.1x (Enterprise Value 107b / FCF TTM 178.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.17% (FCF TTM 178.0m / Enterprise Value 107b)
FCF Margin = 3.61% (FCF TTM 178.0m / Revenue TTM 4.93b)
Net Margin = 42.01% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Revenue TTM 4.93b)
Gross Margin = 81.49% ((Revenue TTM 4.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 913.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 81.96% (prev 80.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.89 (Enterprise Value 107b / Total Assets 56.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 22.9b)
Taxrate = 13.87% (335.0m / 2.42b)
NOPAT = 1.96b (EBIT 2.27b * (1 - 13.87%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 54.5b / Total Current Liabilities 44.6b)
Debt / Equity = 2.41 (Debt 22.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.84 (Net Debt 6.70b / EBITDA 2.36b)
Debt / FCF = 37.66 (Net Debt 6.70b / FCF TTM 178.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.51% (Net Income 2.07b / Total Assets 56.5b)
RoE = 22.70% (Net Income TTM 2.07b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.13b)
RoCE = 20.09% (EBIT 2.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.13b + L.T.Debt 2.17b))
RoIC = 6.06% (NOPAT 1.96b / Invested Capital 32.3b)
WACC = 13.39% (E(99.9b)/V(123b) * Re(16.45%) + D(22.9b)/V(123b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 16.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 75.41 | Cagr: 1.89%
[DCF] Terminal Value 56.79% ; FCFF base≈1.91b ; Y1≈1.67b ; Y5≈1.35b
[DCF] Fair Price = 6.64 (EV 12.0b - Net Debt 6.70b = Equity 5.25b / Shares 790.6m; r=13.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.15 | EPS CAGR: 122.9% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.20 | Revenue CAGR: 50.69% | SUE: 0.42 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+3.81% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.12 | Chg30d=+2.60% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+3.5% | GrowthRev=+17.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=+4.14% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+34.1% | GrowthRev=+27.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +69% (up=12, down=1)