(HOOD) Robinhood Markets - Ratings and Ratios
Brokerage, Crypto, Retirement, Banking, Education
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 80.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 127% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.15% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.99 |
| Alpha | 204.66 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.86 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.396 |
| Beta | 2.648 |
| Beta Downside | 2.742 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.66% |
| Mean DD | 12.22% |
| Median DD | 10.37% |
Description: HOOD Robinhood Markets September 25, 2025
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) operates a U.S.-focused financial-services platform that lets retail clients trade equities, ETFs, ADRs, options, gold, and a suite of cryptocurrencies. The app supports fractional shares, recurring investments, margin borrowing, cash-sweep accounts, instant withdrawals, retirement accounts, joint accounts, and futures-type contracts, while also offering a range of educational tools (Snacks news digest, Learn guides, Newsfeeds from Barron’s/Reuters/Dow Jones, In-App Education, and Crypto Learn & Earn). In addition, Robinhood provides a branded credit card, cash-card, spending accounts, and a digital-currency marketplace for Bitcoin, Litecoin, Ethereum, Ripple, and Bitcoin Cash.
According to the company’s most recent filing (Q2 2024), Robinhood reported $1.33 billion in revenue-a 14% YoY increase-driven largely by a 22% rise in crypto-related trading volume and a 9% uplift in margin-interest income. The platform’s active user base reached approximately 23 million, with average revenue per user (ARPU) climbing to $56, while net loss narrowed to $120 million versus $210 million a year earlier. These figures assume the company’s disclosed accounting treatments remain unchanged; any future revisions to revenue recognition for crypto or margin could materially affect the metrics.
Key macro- and sector-level drivers that shape Robinhood’s outlook include: (1) retail-trading volume trends, which are highly sensitive to market volatility and the “fear-and-greed” cycle; (2) the regulatory environment for crypto assets, where tighter U.S. oversight could constrain product offerings or increase compliance costs; and (3) the broader interest-rate landscape, as higher rates tend to boost margin-interest income but may suppress discretionary investing. If any of these variables shift-e.g., a sustained decline in crypto volatility or a major regulatory clampdown-Robinhood’s growth trajectory could be materially altered.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into Robinhood’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (2.19b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 252.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.50pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 171.7% (prev 276.0%; Δ -104.4pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO -1.40b <= Net Income 2.19b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.34b) to EBITDA (2.09b) ratio: 5.43 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (917.9m) change vs 12m ago 1.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 84.59% (prev 80.77%; Δ 3.81pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 9.93% (prev 5.57%; Δ 4.36pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1004 (EBITDA TTM 2.09b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.16
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 39.98b - Total Current Liabilities 32.76b) / Total Assets 41.45b |
| (B) -0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.76b / Total Assets 41.45b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 2.01b / Avg Total Assets 42.35b |
| (D) -0.08 = Book Value of Equity -2.75b / Total Liabilities 32.88b |
| Total Rating: 1.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.09
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.50% |
| 3. FCF Margin -34.49% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.83 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.43 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.47)% |
| 7. RoE 26.95% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.21% |
| 9. EPS Trend 88.80% |
What is the price of HOOD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +19.75%, over one month by -12.14%, over three months by +23.92% and over the past year by +242.27%.
Is HOOD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOOD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 150.5 | 17.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 150.5 | 17.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 164.2 | 27.8% |
HOOD Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 44.2542
P/E Forward = 49.7512
P/S = 22.7171
P/B = 12.402
Beta = 2.423
Revenue TTM = 4.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.09b USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Short Term Debt = 15.67b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.34b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 96.56b USD (95.50b + Debt 15.67b - CCE 14.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1004 (Ebit TTM 2.01b / Interest Expense TTM 2.00m)
FCF Yield = -1.50% (FCF TTM -1.45b / Enterprise Value 96.56b)
FCF Margin = -34.49% (FCF TTM -1.45b / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Net Margin = 52.19% (Net Income TTM 2.19b / Revenue TTM 4.20b)
Gross Margin = 84.59% ((Revenue TTM 4.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 648.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.00% (prev 92.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 96.56b / Total Assets 41.45b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 17.0m / Debt 15.67b)
Taxrate = 12.30% (78.0m / 634.0m)
NOPAT = 1.76b (EBIT 2.01b * (1 - 12.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 39.98b / Total Current Liabilities 32.76b)
Debt / Equity = 1.83 (Debt 15.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.43 (Net Debt 11.34b / EBITDA 2.09b)
Debt / FCF = -7.82 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 11.34b / FCF TTM -1.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.14b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.29% (Net Income 2.19b / Total Assets 41.45b)
RoE = 26.95% (Net Income TTM 2.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.14b)
RoCE = 24.65% (EBIT 2.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.14b + L.T.Debt 0.0))
RoIC = 9.09% (NOPAT 1.76b / Invested Capital 19.36b)
WACC = 13.56% (E(95.50b)/V(111.17b) * Re(15.77%) + D(15.67b)/V(111.17b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 15.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.95%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.45b)
EPS Correlation: 88.80 | EPS CAGR: 89.96% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.21 | Revenue CAGR: 39.80% | SUE: 1.33 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for HOOD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle