Overview Dividends

(HPK) Highpeak Energy Acquisition - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US43114Q1058

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap in USD: 561m

IPO / Inception: 2020-08-24
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -72.7%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -48.06%
EPS Trend: -33.1%

Last SUE: -0.82
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 18.90%
Rev. Trend: 50.3%

Last SUE: -0.93
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	3.41%
Yield on Cost 5y	1.05%
Yield CAGR 5y	8.58%
Payout Consistency	94.2%
Payout Ratio	25.7%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	71.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	117%
Relative Tail Risk	-0.31%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-1.32
Alpha	-89.73
CAGR/Max DD	-0.48

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.455
Beta	1.577
Beta Downside	2.337

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	85.28%
Mean DD	51.97%
Median DD	51.76%

Description: HPK Highpeak Energy Acquisition November 15, 2025

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: HPK) is an independent upstream firm focused on the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural-gas liquids in the Permian Basin, which spans West Texas and Eastern New Mexico. Founded in 2019 and based in Fort Worth, Texas, the company operates a common-stock vehicle listed in the United States under the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production GICS sub-industry.

As of its latest disclosed quarter, HPK reported an average daily oil production of roughly 1,800 boe/d, with a cash-flow conversion rate near 70 % of net income-a metric that signals decent operational efficiency for a relatively young shale player. The Permian Basin continues to benefit from a low-cost drilling environment (average all-in-place cost ≈ $12/boe) and strong infrastructure capacity, both of which underpin HPK’s ability to scale output if oil prices stay above the $70-$80 per barrel range that historically drives capital spending in the region.

If you’re looking to deepen your analysis, ValueRay’s platform offers a granular view of HPK’s cost structure, debt profile, and peer-group benchmarks-making it a useful next step for a data-driven assessment.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (53.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 52.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 11.19% (prev -0.96%; Δ 12.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 558.0m > Net Income 53.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-134.9m) to EBITDA (630.6m) ratio: -0.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.65 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (124.8m) change vs 12m ago -3.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 31.48% (prev 36.20%; Δ -4.72pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 28.14% (prev 37.10%; Δ -8.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.44 (EBITDA TTM 630.6m / Interest Expense TTM 148.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.44

(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 251.3m - Total Current Liabilities 152.7m) / Total Assets 3.20b

(B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 463.3m / Total Assets 3.20b

(D) 0.29 = Book Value of Equity 463.3m / Total Liabilities 1.58b

Total Rating: 1.44 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.90

1. Piotroski 5.0pt

2. FCF Yield 9.75%

3. FCF Margin 4.72%

4. Debt/Equity 0.02

5. Debt/Ebitda -0.21

6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.43)%

7. RoE 3.26%

8. Rev. Trend 50.33%

9. EPS Trend -33.13%

What is the price of HPK shares?

As of December 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 4.69 with a total of 1,091,239 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.63%, over one month by -31.83%, over three months by -33.27% and over the past year by -67.73%.

Is HPK a buy, sell or hold?

Highpeak Energy Acquisition has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold HPK.

Strong Buy: 0
Buy: 1
Hold: 0
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HPK price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	9.3	97.2%
Analysts Target Price	9.3	97.2%
ValueRay Target Price	3.9	-17.7%

HPK Fundamental Data Overview December 26, 2025

Market Cap USD = 561.3m (561.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.4103
P/E Forward = 10.6045
P/S = 0.6367
P/B = 0.3436
Beta = 1.068
Revenue TTM = 881.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 213.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 630.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.16b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -134.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 426.4m USD (561.3m + Debt 30.0m - CCE 164.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.44 (Ebit TTM 213.8m / Interest Expense TTM 148.9m)
FCF Yield = 9.75% (FCF TTM 41.6m / Enterprise Value 426.4m)
FCF Margin = 4.72% (FCF TTM 41.6m / Revenue TTM 881.5m)
Net Margin = 6.03% (Net Income TTM 53.2m / Revenue TTM 881.5m)
Gross Margin = 31.48% ((Revenue TTM 881.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 604.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.77% (prev 26.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.13 (Enterprise Value 426.4m / Total Assets 3.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 120.1% (Interest Expense 36.0m / Debt 30.0m)
Taxrate = 16.29% (-3.57m / -21.9m)
NOPAT = 179.0m (EBIT 213.8m * (1 - 16.29%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 251.3m / Total Current Liabilities 152.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 30.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.21 (Net Debt -134.9m / EBITDA 630.6m)
Debt / FCF = -3.25 (Net Debt -134.9m / FCF TTM 41.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.63b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.66% (Net Income 53.2m / Total Assets 3.20b)
RoE = 3.26% (Net Income TTM 53.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.63b)
RoCE = 7.66% (EBIT 213.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.63b + L.T.Debt 1.16b))
RoIC = 6.79% (NOPAT 179.0m / Invested Capital 2.63b)
WACC = 11.23% (E(561.3m)/V(591.3m) * Re(11.83%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 11.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.24%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 55.51% ; FCFE base≈71.0m ; Y1≈46.6m ; Y5≈21.3m
Fair Price DCF = 2.04 (DCF Value 256.3m / Shares Outstanding 125.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -33.13 | EPS CAGR: -48.06% | SUE: -0.82 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.33 | Revenue CAGR: 18.90% | SUE: -0.93 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-0.915 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-66.2% | Growth Revenue=-8.1%

Additional Sources for HPK Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle