(HPK) Highpeak Energy Acquisition - Ratings and Ratios
Crude,Natural,Gas,Condensate,Oligomer
HPK EPS (Earnings per Share)
HPK Revenue
Description: HPK Highpeak Energy Acquisition
Highpeak Energy Acquisition Corp (NASDAQ:HPK) is a US-based Oil & Gas Exploration & Production company. To assess its viability, we need to examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, production levels, and reserve replacement ratio.
The companys market capitalization stands at approximately $948.51 million, with a relatively low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.64, suggesting potential undervaluation. However, the forward P/E ratio is significantly higher at 23.47, indicating expected earnings growth. Return on Equity (RoE) is 7.48%, which is a moderate return.
Key economic drivers for HPK include crude oil and natural gas prices, as well as the companys ability to efficiently explore and produce hydrocarbons. The Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry is heavily influenced by commodity prices, making it essential to monitor price trends and the companys hedging strategies.
To further evaluate HPKs performance, we should analyze its operating cash flow, capital expenditures, and debt-to-equity ratio. A thorough examination of these metrics will help determine the companys ability to generate cash, invest in growth opportunities, and manage its debt obligations.
From a trading perspective, HPKs beta of 1.069 indicates that its stock price tends to move in line with the overall market. The Average True Range (ATR) is 6.73%, suggesting moderate volatility. These factors should be considered when assessing potential trading opportunities and risk management strategies.
HPK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 945m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-08-24 |
HPK Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -69.4% |
| Fundamental | 56.6% |
| Dividend Rating | 52.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -59.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.0 of 5 |
HPK Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.67% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.38% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 6.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.0% |
HPK Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -86.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -88% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 1.5% |
| CAGR 5y | -31.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.42 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.63 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.60 |
| Alpha | 0.08 |
| Beta | 0.760 |
| Volatility | 50.87% |
| Current Volume | 418.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 367.7k |
| Stop Loss | 6.7 (-6.7%) |
| Signal | -1.08 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (121.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 57.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.92% (prev -1.67%; Δ -0.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 614.9m > Net Income 121.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.01b) to EBITDA (760.7m) ratio: 1.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (126.1m) change vs 12m ago -2.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 47.88% (prev 40.92%; Δ 6.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.49% (prev 38.63%; Δ -8.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.01 (EBITDA TTM 760.7m / Interest Expense TTM 153.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.45
| (A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 122.2m - Total Current Liabilities 140.7m) / Total Assets 3.19b |
| (B) 0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 487.2m / Total Assets 3.19b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 308.4m / Avg Total Assets 3.16b |
| (D) 0.32 = Book Value of Equity 487.2m / Total Liabilities 1.54b |
| Total Rating: 1.45 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.63
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.59% = 0.80 |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.22% = 0.81 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.62 = 2.31 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.35 = 1.22 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.20)% = 4.00 |
| 7. RoE 7.48% = 0.62 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -0.06% = -0.00 |
| 9. EPS Trend -72.43% = -3.62 |
What is the price of HPK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.18%, over one month by -6.76%, over three months by -37.62% and over the past year by -52.18%.
Is Highpeak Energy Acquisition a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HPK is around 6.14 USD . This means that HPK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -14.48%.
Is HPK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HPK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7 | -2.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7 | -2.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 6.7 | -7.2% |
Last update: 2025-09-08 04:40
HPK Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 21.9m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 8.6092
P/E Forward = 10.6045
P/S = 0.9798
P/B = 0.5712
Beta = 1.247
Revenue TTM = 964.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 308.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 760.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 912.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.03b USD (Calculated: Short Term 912.0k + Long Term 1.03b)
Net Debt = 1.01b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.95b USD (944.7m + Debt 1.03b - CCE 21.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.01 (Ebit TTM 308.4m / Interest Expense TTM 153.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.59% (FCF TTM 31.1m / Enterprise Value 1.95b)
FCF Margin = 3.22% (FCF TTM 31.1m / Revenue TTM 964.2m)
Net Margin = 12.59% (Net Income TTM 121.4m / Revenue TTM 964.2m)
Gross Margin = 47.88% ((Revenue TTM 964.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 502.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.00 (Enterprise Value 1.95b / Book Value Of Equity 487.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.34% (Interest Expense 34.4m / Debt 1.03b)
Taxrate = 27.38% (35.9m / 130.9m)
NOPAT = 223.9m (EBIT 308.4m * (1 - 27.38%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 122.2m / Total Current Liabilities 140.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 1.03b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.35 (Net Debt 1.01b / EBITDA 760.7m)
Debt / FCF = 33.08 (Debt 1.03b / FCF TTM 31.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.62b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 3.80% (Net Income 121.4m, Total Assets 3.19b )
RoE = 7.48% (Net Income TTM 121.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.62b)
RoCE = 11.63% (Ebit 308.4m / (Equity 1.62b + L.T.Debt 1.03b))
RoIC = 8.69% (NOPAT 223.9m / Invested Capital 2.58b)
WACC = 5.49% (E(944.7m)/V(1.97b) * Re(8.82%)) + (D(1.03b)/V(1.97b) * Rd(3.34%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 30.30 | Cagr: 0.83%
Discount Rate = 8.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.38% ; FCFE base≈19.8m ; Y1≈13.2m ; Y5≈6.20m
Fair Price DCF = 0.85 (DCF Value 106.8m / Shares Outstanding 126.1m; 5y FCF grow -38.91% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -72.43 | EPS CAGR: -54.08% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -0.06 | Revenue CAGR: -0.67% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for HPK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle